TY - JOUR A1 - Mishra, Praveen Kumar A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Anoop, A. A1 - Plessen, Birgit A1 - Jehangir, Arshid A1 - Gaye, Birgit A1 - Menzel, Philip A1 - Weise, Stephan M. A1 - Yousuf, Abdul R. T1 - Carbonate isotopes from high altitude Tso Moriri Lake (NW Himalayas) provide clues to late glacial and Holocene moisture source and atmospheric circulation changes JF - Palaeogeography, palaeoclimatology, palaeoecology : an international journal for the geo-sciences N2 - High resolution isotopic (delta O-18 and delta C-13) investigations on endogenic carbonates (calcite/aragonite) from Tso Moriri Lake, NW Himalaya show dramatic fluctuations during the late glacial and the early Holocene, and a persistent enrichment trend during the late Holocene. Changes in this lake are largely governed by the [input (meltwater + monsoon precipitation)/evaporationj (WE) ratio, also reflected in changes in the carbonate mineralogy with aragonite being formed during periods of lowest I/E. Using new isotopic data on endogenic carbonates in combination with the available data on geochemistry, mineralogy, and reconstructed mean annual precipitation, we demonstrate that the late glacial and early Holocene carbonate delta O-18 variability resulted from fluctuating Indian summer monsoon (ISM) precipitation in NW Himalaya. This region experienced increasing ISM precipitation between ca. 13.1 and 11.7 cal ka and highest ISM precipitation during the early Holocene (11.2-8.5 cal ka). However, during the late Holocene, evaporation was the dominant control on the carbonate delta O-18. Regional comparison of reconstructed hydrological changes from Tso Moriri Lake with other archives from the Asian summer monsoon and westerlies domain shows that the intensified westerly influence that resulted in higher lake levels (after 8 cal ka) in central Asia was not strongly felt in NW Himalaya. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Carbonates KW - Holocene KW - Indian summer monsoon KW - Isotopes KW - Tso Moriri Lake Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2015.02.031 SN - 0031-0182 SN - 1872-616X VL - 425 SP - 76 EP - 83 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lauterbach, Stefan A1 - Witt, Roman A1 - Plessen, Birgit A1 - Dulski, Peter A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Mingram, Jens A1 - Gleixner, Gerd A1 - Hettler-Riedel, Sabine A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Schnetger, Bernhard A1 - Schwalb, Antje A1 - Schwarz, Anja T1 - Climatic imprint of the mid-latitude Westerlies in the Central Tian Shan of Kyrgyzstan and teleconnections to North Atlantic climate variability during the last 6000 years JF - The Holocene : an interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change N2 - In general, a moderate drying trend is observed in mid-latitude arid Central Asia since the Mid-Holocene, attributed to the progressively weakening influence of the mid-latitude Westerlies on regional climate. However, as the spatio-temporal pattern of this development and the underlying climatic mechanisms are yet not fully understood, new high-resolution paleoclimate records from this region are needed. Within this study, a sediment core from Lake Son Kol (Central Kyrgyzstan) was investigated using sedimentological, (bio) geochemical, isotopic, and palynological analyses, aiming at reconstructing regional climate development during the last 6000 years. Biogeochemical data, mainly reflecting summer moisture conditions, indicate predominantly wet conditions until 4950 cal. yr BP, succeeded by a pronounced dry interval between 4950 and 3900 cal. yr BP. In the following, a return to wet conditions and a subsequent moderate drying trend until present times are observed. This is consistent with other regional paleoclimate records and likely reflects the gradual Late Holocene diminishment of the amount of summer moisture provided by the mid-latitude Westerlies. However, climate impact of the Westerlies was apparently not only restricted to the summer season but also significant during winter as indicated by recurrent episodes of enhanced allochthonous input through snowmelt, occurring before 6000 cal. yr BP and at 5100-4350, 3450-2850, and 1900-1500 cal. yr BP. The distinct similar to 1500year periodicity of these episodes of increased winter precipitation in Central Kyrgyzstan resembles similar cyclicities observed in paleoclimate records around the North Atlantic, likely indicating a hemispheric-scale climatic teleconnection and an impact of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) variability in Central Asia. KW - Central Asia KW - climate KW - Holocene KW - lake sediments KW - mid-latitude Westerlies KW - NAO Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614534741 SN - 0959-6836 SN - 1477-0911 VL - 24 IS - 8 SP - 970 EP - 984 PB - Sage Publ. CY - London ER - TY - GEN A1 - Lauterbach, Stefan A1 - Witt, Roman A1 - Plessen, Birgit A1 - Dulski, Peter A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Mingram, Jens A1 - Gleixner, Gerd A1 - Hettler-Riedel, Sabine A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Schnetger, Bernhard A1 - Schwalb, Antje A1 - Schwarz, Anja T1 - Climatic imprint of the mid-latitude Westerlies in the Central Tian Shan of Kyrgyzstan and teleconnections to North Atlantic climate variability during the last 6000 years N2 - In general, a moderate drying trend is observed in mid-latitude arid Central Asia since the Mid-Holocene, attributed to the progressively weakening influence of the mid-latitude Westerlies on regional climate. However, as the spatio-temporal pattern of this development and the underlying climatic mechanisms are yet not fully understood, new high-resolution paleoclimate records from this region are needed. Within this study, a sediment core from Lake Son Kol (Central Kyrgyzstan) was investigated using sedimentological, (bio) geochemical, isotopic, and palynological analyses, aiming at reconstructing regional climate development during the last 6000 years. Biogeochemical data, mainly reflecting summer moisture conditions, indicate predominantly wet conditions until 4950 cal. yr BP, succeeded by a pronounced dry interval between 4950 and 3900 cal. yr BP. In the following, a return to wet conditions and a subsequent moderate drying trend until present times are observed. This is consistent with other regional paleoclimate records and likely reflects the gradual Late Holocene diminishment of the amount of summer moisture provided by the mid-latitude Westerlies. However, climate impact of the Westerlies was apparently not only restricted to the summer season but also significant during winter as indicated by recurrent episodes of enhanced allochthonous input through snowmelt, occurring before 6000 cal. yr BP and at 5100-4350, 3450-2850, and 1900-1500 cal. yr BP. The distinct similar to 1500year periodicity of these episodes of increased winter precipitation in Central Kyrgyzstan resembles similar cyclicities observed in paleoclimate records around the North Atlantic, likely indicating a hemispheric-scale climatic teleconnection and an impact of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) variability in Central Asia. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 408 KW - Central Asia KW - climate KW - Holocene KW - lake sediments KW - mid-latitude Westerlies KW - NAO Y1 - 2017 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404085 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mishra, Praveen Kumar A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Anoop, A. A1 - Krishnan, R. A1 - Gaye, Birgit A1 - Basavaiah, N. A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Menzel, Philip A1 - Riedel, Nils T1 - Contrasting pattern of hydrological changes during the past two millennia from central and northern India BT - regional climate difference or anthropogenic impact? JF - Global and planetary change N2 - High resolution reconstructions of the India Summer Monsoon (ISM) are essential to identify regionally different patterns of climate change and refine predictive models. We find opposing trends of hydrological proxies between northern (Sahiya cave stalagmite) and central India (Lonar Lake) between 100 and 1300 CE with the strongest anti-correlation between 810 and 1300 CE. The apparently contradictory data raise the question if these are related to widely different regional precipitation patterns or reflect human influence in/around the Lonar Lake. By comparing multiproxy data with historical records, we demonstrate that only the organic proxies in the Lonar Lake show evidence of anthropogenic impact. However, evaporite data (mineralogy and delta O-18) are indicative of precipitation/evaporation (P/E) into the Lonar Lake. Back-trajectories of air-mass circulation over northern and central India show that the relative contribution of the Bay of Bengal (BoB) branch of the ISM is crucial for determining the delta O-18 of carbonate proxies only in north India, whereas central India is affected significantly by the Arabian Sea (AS) branch of the ISM. We conclude that the delta O-18 of evaporative carbonates in the Lonar Lake reflects P/E and, in the interval under consideration, is not influenced by source water changes. The opposing trend between central and northern India can be explained by (i) persistent multidecadal droughts over central India between 810 and 1300 CE that provided an effective mechanism for strengthening sub-tropical westerly winds resulting in enhancement of wintertime (non-monsoonal) rainfall over northern parts of the Indian subcontinent, and/or (ii) increased moisture influx to northern India from the depleted BoB source waters. KW - ENSO KW - Isotopes KW - Indian summer monsoon KW - Lonar Lake KW - Stalagmites KW - Westerlies Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.12.005 SN - 0921-8181 SN - 1872-6364 VL - 161 SP - 97 EP - 107 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Goswami, Bedartha A1 - Heitzig, Jobst A1 - Rehfeld, Kira A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Anoop, Ambili A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Estimation of sedimentary proxy records together with associated uncertainty JF - Nonlinear processes in geophysics N2 - Sedimentary proxy records constitute a significant portion of the recorded evidence that allows us to investigate paleoclimatic conditions and variability. However, uncertainties in the dating of proxy archives limit our ability to fix the timing of past events and interpret proxy record intercomparisons. While there are various age-modeling approaches to improve the estimation of the age-depth relations of archives, relatively little focus has been placed on the propagation of the age (and radiocarbon calibration) uncertainties into the final proxy record. We present a generic Bayesian framework to estimate proxy records along with their associated uncertainty, starting with the radiometric age-depth and proxy-depth measurements, and a radiometric calibration curve if required. We provide analytical expressions for the posterior proxy probability distributions at any given calendar age, from which the expected proxy values and their uncertainty can be estimated. We illustrate our method using two synthetic data sets and then use it to construct the proxy records for groundwater inflow and surface erosion from Lonar lake in central India. Our analysis reveals interrelations between the uncertainty of the proxy record over time and the variance of proxies along the depth of the archive. For the Lonar lake proxies, we show that, rather than the age uncertainties, it is the proxy variance combined with calibration uncertainty that accounts for most of the final uncertainty. We represent the proxy records as probability distributions on a precise, error-free timescale that makes further time series analyses and intercomparisons of proxies relatively simple and clear. Our approach provides a coherent understanding of age uncertainties within sedimentary proxy records that involve radiometric dating. It can be potentially used within existing age modeling structures to bring forth a reliable and consistent framework for proxy record estimation. Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-21-1093-2014 SN - 1023-5809 VL - 21 IS - 6 SP - 1093 EP - 1111 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Eroglu, Deniz A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Finding recurrence networks' threshold adaptively for a specific time series JF - Nonlinear processes in geophysics N2 - Recurrence-plot-based recurrence networks are an approach used to analyze time series using a complex networks theory. In both approaches - recurrence plots and recurrence networks -, a threshold to identify recurrent states is required. The selection of the threshold is important in order to avoid bias of the recurrence network results. In this paper, we propose a novel method to choose a recurrence threshold adaptively. We show a comparison between the constant threshold and adaptive threshold cases to study period-chaos and even period-period transitions in the dynamics of a prototypical model system. This novel method is then used to identify climate transitions from a lake sediment record. Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-21-1085-2014 SN - 1023-5809 VL - 21 IS - 6 SP - 1085 EP - 1092 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Huang, Xiangtong A1 - Oberhaensli, Hedi A1 - von Suchodoletz, Hans A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Sorrel, Philippe A1 - Plessen, Birgit A1 - Mathis, Marie A1 - Usubaliev, Raskul T1 - Hydrological changes in western Central Asia (Kyrgyzstan) during the Holocene as inferred from a palaeolimnological study in lake Son Kul JF - Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal N2 - The hydrology of western Central Asia is highly sensitive to climatic perturbations. In order to understand its long-term variability and to infer linkages between precipitation and atmospheric and oceanic systems, we conducted a thorough sedimentary and geochemical study on a composite core retrieved in lake Son Kul (central Kyrgyzstan). A multi-proxy approach was conducted on lake sediments based on grain size analyses, magnetic susceptibility, total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN) and carbon and oxygen isotope analyses on bulk and biogenic materials (ostracoda and molluscs shells) at a resolution equivalent to ca 40 years, aiming to characterise the sequence of palaeolimnological changes in Son Kul. As indicated by delta O-18 record of bulk carbonates, mainly consisting of aragonite, the Holocene hydrological balance was negative during most of time, suggesting an excess of evaporation (E) over precipitation (P). Limnological conditions fluctuated rapidly before 5000 cal yr BP indicating significant changes in regional hydrology and climate. In particular, the long-term negative hydrological balance was impeded by several short stages with marked increase of precipitation, lasting several decades to a few centuries (e.g., 8300-8200, 6900-6700, 6300-6100, 5500-5400, 5300-5200 and 3100 -3000 cal yr BP). Precipitation changes as inferred from 8180 data are also documented by increased minerogenic detritus and higher TOC. We propose that the seasonal pattern of precipitation varied transiently in western Central Asia during the Holocene, although evaporation changes may also account for the rapid changes observed in delta O-18 data. When the annual water balance was less critical (P <= E), the excess of water might be ascribed to increased precipitation during cold seasons mainly because winter precipitation has more negative delta O-18 than its summer equivalent. Conversely, when the annual water balance is negative (P E), the moisture was mainly delivered during the warm season, as between 5000 and 2000 cal yr BP. Our results thus imply that moisture sources could have changed as well during the Holocene. Moisture was delivered as today mainly during summer from the extended Caspian-Aral Basin and eastern Mediterranean, although Arctic and even North Atlantic seas might be important moisture sources when seasonal precipitation was dominated by winter precipitation. We hypothesise that warming Arctic and North Atlantic seas were important for the North Hemisphere circulation during the cold season. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Holocene KW - Tien Shan (western Central Asia) KW - Oxygen and carbon isotopes KW - Hydrological balance Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.09.012 SN - 0277-3791 VL - 103 SP - 134 EP - 152 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anoop, Ambili A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Krishnan, R. A1 - Naumann, Rudolf A1 - Dulski, Peter T1 - Intensified monsoon and spatiotemporal changes in precipitation patterns in the NW Himalaya during the early-mid holocene JF - Quaternary international : the journal of the International Union for Quaternary Research N2 - We have undertaken a high resolution palaeoclimate reconstruction on radiocarbon dated palaeolake sediments from the Spiti valley, NW Himalaya. This site lies in the climatically sensitive winter westerlies and Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) transitional regime and provides an opportunity to reconstruct the precipitation seasonality, and extreme precipitation events that are characterised by intensified erosion. The lake sediments reveal distinct lithofacies that provide evidence of changes in depositional environment and climate during early to mid Holocene (8.7-6.1 cal ka BP). We have identified three stages during the period of lake's existence: the Stage I (8.7-7.6 cal ka BP) is marked by lake establishment; Stage II (similar to 7.6-6.8 cal ka BP) by sustained cooler periods and weakened summer monsoon, and Stage III (similar to 6.8-6.1 cal ka BP) by a shift from colder to warmer climate with stronger ISM. We have identified several short term cooler periods at ca. 8.7, 8.5, 8.3 and 7.2-6.9 cal ka BP. Based on an overview of regional climate records we show that there is an abrupt switch in precipitation seasonality ca. 6.8 cal ka BP that is followed by the onset of the intensified monsoon in the NW Himalaya. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd and INQUA. All rights reserved. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2013.08.014 SN - 1040-6182 VL - 313 SP - 74 EP - 84 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mishra, Praveen Kumar A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Jehangir, Arshid A1 - Anoop, Ambili A1 - Yousuf, Abdul R. A1 - Gaye, Birgit T1 - Investigating the role of meltwater versus precipitation seasonality in abrupt lake-level rise in the high-altitude Tso Moriri Lake (India) JF - Palaeogeography, palaeoclimatology, palaeoecology : an international journal for the geo-sciences N2 - We present late Quaternary lake level reconstruction from the high altitude Tso Moriri Lake (NW Indian Himalaya) using a combination of new and published data from shallow and deep water cores, and catchment geomorphology. Our reconstruction indicates two dramatic lake level increases - a late glacial (ca. 16.4-12.6 cal kyr B.P.) rise of 65 m, and a 47 m rise during the early Holocene wet phase (ca. 11.2-8.5 cal kyr B.P.) which are separated by the Younger Dryas (YD) event. We decouple the role of precipitation seasonality and snow melt using a combination of proxies sensitive to the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM), and a regional spatio-temporal transect that provides information on the eastward penetration of the winter westerlies. A comparison of shallow and deep water cores shows that (i) the first lake level increase (similar to 65 m, ca. 16.4-12.6 cal kyr B.P.) is caused by melt water inflow triggered by the increasing summer insolation; (ii) the second lake level increase (similar to 47 m, 11.2-8.5 cal kyr B.P.) is largely caused by a rise in annual precipitation coupled with reduced summer evaporation; (iii) in contrast to the onset of ISM (Bay of Bengal branch) at ca. 14.7 ka in lower elevations in NE India, the hydroclimatic influence of ISM in the high altitude Himalaya is seen only between 12.7 and 12 cal kyr B.P., though the influence of solar insolation (via increased snowmelt) is visible from 16.4 cal kyr B.P. onwards; (iv) the eastward penetration of westerlies in Indian Himalayas is strongly influenced by the strength of the Siberian High. KW - Indian Summer Monsoon KW - Westerlies KW - Lake level reconstruction KW - Endogenic carbonates Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2017.12.026 SN - 0031-0182 SN - 1872-616X VL - 493 SP - 20 EP - 29 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mishrat, Praveen K. A1 - Anoop, A. A1 - Jehangir, A. A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Menze, R. A1 - Schettler, Georg A1 - Naumann, R. A1 - Weise, S. A1 - Andersen, N. A1 - Yousuf, A. R. A1 - Gaye, Birgit T1 - Limnology and modern sedimentation patterns in high altitude Tso Moriri Lake, NW Himalaya - implications for proxy development JF - Fundamental and applied limnology : official journal of the International Association of Theoretical and Applied Limnology N2 - We report the results of our investigations on the catchment area, lake surface sediments, and hydrology of the high altitude alpine Tso Moriri Lake, NW Himalayas (India). Our results indicate that the lake is currently alkaline, and thermally stratified with an oxic bottom layer. Results from hydrochemistry and isotopic composition (delta O-18 and delta D) of inflowing streams and lake waters show that Tso Moriri Lake is an evaporative lake with contributions from both westerly source (snow melt) and Indian summer monsoon precipitation. Geochemical and mineralogical investigations on the catchment and lake surface sediments reveal the presence of authigenic aragonite in modern lake sediment. The lithogenic components reflect the inflow and sorting processes during transport into the lake, whereas the authigenic carbonate fraction can be linked to the changes in ([precipitation+meltwater]/evaporation) (I/E) balance within the lake. The spatial variability in grain size distribution within the lake surface sediments shows that the grain size data can be utilised as a proxy for transport energy and shoreline proximity in the lake basin. We have evaluated the applicability of commonly applied environmentally sensitive proxies (isotopes, mineralogy, weathering indices) for palaeoenvironmental reconstruction in the Tso Moriri Lake. Our results show that the commonly used weathering index (Rb/Sr) is not applicable due to Sr contribution from authigenic carbonates. The useful weathering indices in Tso Moriri Lake are the Si/Al and the Chemical Proxy of Alteration (CPA). Since the carbonates are formed by evaporative processes, their presence and isotopic values can be used as indicators of I/E changes in the lake. KW - geochemistry KW - lake sediments KW - palaeoenvironmental proxies KW - Tso Moriri Lake KW - weathering indices Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1127/fal/2014/0664 SN - 1863-9135 VL - 185 IS - 3-4 SP - 329 EP - 348 PB - Schweizerbart CY - Stuttgart ER -