TY - JOUR A1 - Crozet, Matthieu A1 - Hinz, Julian A1 - Stammann, Amrei A1 - Wanner, Joschka T1 - Worth the pain? BT - firms’ exporting behaviour to countries under sanctions JF - European economic review N2 - How do exporting firms react to sanctions? Specifically, which firms are willing — or capable — to serve the market of a sanctioned country? We investigate this question for four sanctions episodes using monthly data on the universe of French exporting firms. We draw on recent econometric advances in the estimation of dynamic fixed effects binary choice models. We find that the introduction of new sanctions in Iran and Russia significantly lowered firm-level probabilities of serving these sanctioned markets, while the (temporary) lifting of the U.S. sanctions on Cuba and the removal of sanctions against Myanmar had no or only small trade-inducing effects, respectively. Additionally, the impact of sanctions is very heterogeneous along firm dimensions and by case particularities. Firms that depend more on trade finance instruments are more strongly affected, while prior experience in the sanctioned country considerably softens the blow of sanctions, and firms can be partly immune to the sanctions effect if they are specialized in serving “crisis countries”. Finally, we find suggestive evidence for sanctions avoidance by exporting indirectly via neighboring countries. KW - sanctions KW - trade KW - foreign policy KW - extensive margin KW - firm behaviour Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103683 SN - 0014-2921 SN - 1873-572X VL - 134 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Heisig, Johannes T1 - Die Putin-Medwedjew-Rochade JF - WeltTrends : Zeitschrift für internationale Politik N2 - Die Globalisierung Russlands wird durch Rohstoffexporte und hohe Investitionen des Westens in den russischen Energiesektor vorangetrieben. Gleichzeitig festigt sich ein hybrides politisches System mit sowohl autoritären als auch demokratischen Elementen. Soll Russland ein zuverlässlicher Partner des Westens bleiben, müssen die russischen Interessen sowie die neue außenpolitische Stärke berücksichtigt werden. KW - Russland KW - Außenpolitik KW - NATO KW - Russia KW - foreign policy KW - NATO Y1 - 2008 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-21772 SN - 0944-8101 VL - 60 SP - 41 EP - 52 ER -