TY  - JOUR
A1  - Willner, Sven N.
A1  - Levermann, Anders
A1  - Zhao, Fang
A1  - Frieler, Katja
T1  - Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels
JF  - Science Advances
N2  - Earth’s surface temperature will continue to rise for another 20 to 30 years even with the strongest carbon emission reduction currently considered. The associated changes in rainfall patterns can result in an increased flood risk worldwide. We compute the required increase in flood protection to keep high-end fluvial flood risk at present levels. The analysis is carried out worldwide for subnational administrative units. Most of the United States, Central Europe, and Northeast and West Africa, as well as large parts of India and Indonesia, require the strongest adaptation effort. More than half of the United States needs to at least double their protection within the next two decades. Thus, the need for adaptation to increased river flood is a global problem affecting industrialized regions as much as developing countries.
Y1  - 2018
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aao1914
SN  - 2375-2548
VL  - 4
IS  - 1
PB  - American Assoc. for the Advancement of Science
CY  - Washington
ER  -