39494
2017
2017
eng
18
3
9
article
MDPI
Basel
1
--
2017-03-10
--
Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Three Representative Ukrainian Catchments Using Eco-Hydrological Modelling
The information about climate change impact on river discharge is vitally important for planning adaptation measures. The future changes can affect different water-related sectors. The main goal of this study was to investigate the potential water resource changes in Ukraine, focusing on three mesoscale river catchments (Teteriv, UpperWestern Bug, and Samara) characteristic for different geographical zones. The catchment scale watershed model—Soil and Water Integrated Model (SWIM)—was setup, calibrated, and validated for the three catchments under consideration. A set of seven GCM-RCM (General Circulation Model-Regional Climate Model) coupled climate scenarios corresponding to RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and 8.5 were used to drive the hydrological catchment model. The climate projections, used in the study, were considered as three combinations of low, intermediate, and high end scenarios. Our results indicate the shifts in the seasonal distribution of runoff in all three catchments. The spring high flow occurs earlier as a result of temperature increases and earlier snowmelt. The fairly robust trend is an increase in river discharge in the winter season, and most of the scenarios show a potential decrease in river discharge in the spring.
Water
10.3390/w9030204
2073-4441
Universität Potsdam, Publikationsfonds
PA 2017_11
1205.07
online registration
204
<a href="http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-394956">Zweitveröffentlichung in der Schriftenreihe Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe ; 323</a>
CC-BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
Iulii Didovets
Anastasia Lobanova
Axel Bronstert
Sergiy Snizhko
Cathrine Fox Maule
Valentina Krysanova
eng
uncontrolled
Ukraine
eng
uncontrolled
climate change impact
eng
uncontrolled
river discharge
eng
uncontrolled
Samara
eng
uncontrolled
Teteriv
eng
uncontrolled
Western Bug
eng
uncontrolled
runoff
eng
uncontrolled
SWIM
eng
uncontrolled
IMPRESSIONS
Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik
Institut für Geowissenschaften
Referiert
Publikationsfonds der Universität Potsdam
Open Access
Institut für Erd- und Umweltwissenschaften
Universität Potsdam
39495
2017
2017
eng
18
postprint
1
--
2017-03-10
--
Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Three Representative Ukrainian Catchments Using Eco-Hydrological Modelling
The information about climate change impact on river discharge is vitally important for planning adaptation measures. The future changes can affect different water-related sectors. The main goal of this study was to investigate the potential water resource changes in Ukraine, focusing on three mesoscale river catchments (Teteriv, UpperWestern Bug, and Samara) characteristic for different geographical zones. The catchment scale watershed model—Soil and Water Integrated Model (SWIM)—was setup, calibrated, and validated for the three catchments under consideration. A set of seven GCM-RCM (General Circulation Model-Regional Climate Model) coupled climate scenarios corresponding to RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and 8.5 were used to drive the hydrological catchment model. The climate projections, used in the study, were considered as three combinations of low, intermediate, and high end scenarios. Our results indicate the shifts in the seasonal distribution of runoff in all three catchments. The spring high flow occurs earlier as a result of temperature increases and earlier snowmelt. The fairly robust trend is an increase in river discharge in the winter season, and most of the scenarios show a potential decrease in river discharge in the spring.
urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-394956
online registration
Universität Potsdam, Publikationsfonds
1008,77
PA 2017_11
Water (2017) Nr. 9:204. - DOI: 10.3390/w9030204
<a href="http://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/opus4-ubp/frontdoor/index/index/docId/39494">Bibliographieeintrag der Originalveröffentlichung/Quelle</a>
CC-BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
Iulii Didovets
Anastasia Lobanova
Axel Bronstert
Sergiy Snizhko
Cathrine Fox Maule
Valentina Krysanova
Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe
323
eng
uncontrolled
Ukraine
eng
uncontrolled
climate change impact
eng
uncontrolled
river discharge
eng
uncontrolled
Samara
eng
uncontrolled
Teteriv
eng
uncontrolled
Western Bug
eng
uncontrolled
runoff
eng
uncontrolled
SWIM
eng
uncontrolled
IMPRESSIONS
Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik
open_access
Institut für Geowissenschaften
Referiert
Open Access
Institut für Erd- und Umweltwissenschaften
Universität Potsdam
https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/files/39495/pmnr323_online.pdf