1216
2006
eng
postprint
0
2007-05-07
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Stochastic time series of daily precipitation for the interior of Israel
This contribution describes a generator of stochastic time series of daily precipitation for the interior of Israel from c. 90 to 900 mm mean annual precipitation (MAP) as a tool for studies of daily rain variability. The probability of rainfall on a given day of the year is described by a regular Gaussian peak curve function. The amount of rain is drawn randomly from an exponential distribution whose mean is the daily mean rain amount (averaged across years for each day of the year) described by a flattened Gaussian peak curve. Parameters for the curves have been calculated from monthly aggregated, long-term rain records from seven meteorological stations. Parameters for arbitrary points on the MAP gradient are calculated from a regression equation with MAP as the only independent variable. The simple structure of the generator allows it to produce time series with daily rain patterns that are projected under climate change scenarios and simultaneously control MAP. Increasing within-year variability of daily precipitation amounts also increases among-year variability of MAP as predicted by global circulation models. Thus, the time series incorporate important characteristics for climate change research and represent a flexible tool for simulations of daily vegetation or surface hydrology dynamics.
urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13155
1315
Israel Journal of Earth Science. - 55 (2006), 2, p. 103 - 109. - ISSN: 0021-2164
<hr>This paper was first published in:<br><a href="http://www.sciencefromisrael.com/(n02fy055zjxjmu450n1woa45)/app/home/journal.asp?referrer=parent&backto=homemainpublications,2,5;" target=_blanc> Israel Journal of Earth Science</a>, 55 (2006), 2, p. 103 - 109<br>ISSN 0021-2164<br>DOI: <ahref="http://dx.doi.org/10.1560/IJES_55_2_103" target=_blanc>10.1560/IJES_55_2_103 </a>
Martin Köchy
Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe
paper 029
deu
uncontrolled
stochastische Zeitreihen
deu
uncontrolled
täglicher Niederschlag
deu
uncontrolled
Israel
deu
uncontrolled
Klimawandel
eng
uncontrolled
stochastic time series
eng
uncontrolled
daily precipitation
eng
uncontrolled
Israel
eng
uncontrolled
climate change
Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik
open_access
Institut für Biochemie und Biologie
Universität Potsdam
https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/files/1216/Koechy2006.pdf