@article{AydinerCherstvyMetzler2018,
  author    = {Aydiner, Ekrem and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Wealth distribution, Pareto law, and stretched exponential decay of money},
  series = {Physica : europhysics journal ; A, Statistical mechanics and its applications},
  volume    = {490},
  journal   = {Physica : europhysics journal ; A, Statistical mechanics and its applications},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  address   = {Amsterdam},
  issn      = {0378-4371},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.physa.2017.08.017},
  pages     = {278 -- 288},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {We study by Monte Carlo simulations a kinetic exchange trading model for both fixed and distributed saving propensities of the agents and rationalize the person and wealth distributions. We show that the newly introduced wealth distribution - that may be more amenable in certain situations - features a different power-law exponent, particularly for distributed saving propensities of the agents. For open agent-based systems, we analyze the person and wealth distributions and find that the presence of trap agents alters their amplitude, leaving however the scaling exponents nearly unaffected. For an open system, we show that the total wealth - for different trap agent densities and saving propensities of the agents - decreases in time according to the classical Kohlrausch-Williams-Watts stretched exponential law. Interestingly, this decay does not depend on the trap agent density, but rather on saving propensities. The system relaxation for fixed and distributed saving schemes are found to be different.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{PulkkinenMetzler2015,
  author    = {Pulkkinen, Otto and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Variance-corrected Michaelis-Menten equation predicts transient rates of single-enzyme reactions and response times in bacterial gene-regulation},
  series = {Scientific reports},
  journal   = {Scientific reports},
  number    = {5},
  publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {2045-2322},
  doi       = {10.1038/srep17820},
  year      = {2015},
  abstract  = {Many chemical reactions in biological cells occur at very low concentrations of constituent molecules. Thus, transcriptional gene-regulation is often controlled by poorly expressed transcription-factors, such as E.coli lac repressor with few tens of copies. Here we study the effects of inherent concentration fluctuations of substrate-molecules on the seminal Michaelis-Menten scheme of biochemical reactions. We present a universal correction to the Michaelis-Menten equation for the reaction-rates. The relevance and validity of this correction for enzymatic reactions and intracellular gene-regulation is demonstrated. Our analytical theory and simulation results confirm that the proposed variance-corrected Michaelis-Menten equation predicts the rate of reactions with remarkable accuracy even in the presence of large non-equilibrium concentration fluctuations. The major advantage of our approach is that it involves only the mean and variance of the substrate-molecule concentration. Our theory is therefore accessible to experiments and not specific to the exact source of the concentration fluctuations.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VilkAghionAvgaretal.2022,
  author    = {Vilk, Ohad and Aghion, Erez and Avgar, Tal and Beta, Carsten and Nagel, Oliver and Sabri, Adal and Sarfati, Raphael and Schwartz, Daniel K. and Weiß, Matthias and Krapf, Diego and Nathan, Ran and Metzler, Ralf and Assaf, Michael},
  title     = {Unravelling the origins of anomalous diffusion},
  series = {Physical Review Research},
  volume    = {4},
  journal   = {Physical Review Research},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {American Physical Society},
  address   = {College Park, MD},
  issn      = {2643-1564},
  doi       = {10.1103/PhysRevResearch.4.033055},
  pages     = {033055-1 -- 033055-16},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Anomalous diffusion or, more generally, anomalous transport, with nonlinear dependence of the mean-squared displacement on the measurement time, is ubiquitous in nature. It has been observed in processes ranging from microscopic movement of molecules to macroscopic, large-scale paths of migrating birds. Using data from multiple empirical systems, spanning 12 orders of magnitude in length and 8 orders of magnitude in time, we employ a method to detect the individual underlying origins of anomalous diffusion and transport in the data. This method decomposes anomalous transport into three primary effects: long-range correlations ("Joseph effect"), fat-tailed probability density of increments ("Noah effect"), and nonstationarity ("Moses effect"). We show that such a decomposition of real-life data allows us to infer nontrivial behavioral predictions and to resolve open questions in the fields of single-particle tracking in living cells and movement ecology.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RitschelCherstvyMetzler2021,
  author    = {Ritschel, Stefan and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Universality of delay-time averages for financial time series},
  series = {Journal of physics. Complexity},
  volume    = {2},
  journal   = {Journal of physics. Complexity},
  number    = {4},
  publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.},
  address   = {Bristol},
  issn      = {2632-072X},
  doi       = {10.1088/2632-072X/ac2220},
  pages     = {30},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {We analyze historical data of stock-market prices for multiple financial indices using the concept of delay-time averaging for the financial time series (FTS). The region of validity of our recent theoretical predictions [Cherstvy A G et al 2017 New J. Phys. 19 063045] for the standard and delayed time-averaged mean-squared 'displacements' (TAMSDs) of the historical FTS is extended to all lag times. As the first novel element, we perform extensive computer simulations of the stochastic differential equation describing geometric Brownian motion (GBM) which demonstrate a quantitative agreement with the analytical long-term price-evolution predictions in terms of the delayed TAMSD (for all stock-market indices in crisis-free times). Secondly, we present a robust procedure of determination of the model parameters of GBM via fitting the features of the price-evolution dynamics in the FTS for stocks and cryptocurrencies. The employed concept of single-trajectory-based time averaging can serve as a predictive tool (proxy) for a mathematically based assessment and rationalization of probabilistic trends in the evolution of stock-market prices.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SposiniGrebenkovMetzleretal.2020,
  author    = {Sposini, Vittoria and Grebenkov, Denis S. and Metzler, Ralf and Oshanin, Gleb and Seno, Flavio},
  title     = {Universal spectral features of different classes of random-diffusivity processes},
  series = {New Journal of Physics},
  volume    = {22},
  journal   = {New Journal of Physics},
  number    = {6},
  publisher = {Dt. Physikalische Ges.},
  address   = {Bad Honnef},
  issn      = {1367-2630},
  doi       = {10.1088/1367-2630/ab9200},
  pages     = {26},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {Stochastic models based on random diffusivities, such as the diffusing-diffusivity approach, are popular concepts for the description of non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous media. Studies of these models typically focus on the moments and the displacement probability density function. Here we develop the complementary power spectral description for a broad class of random-diffusivity processes. In our approach we cater for typical single particle tracking data in which a small number of trajectories with finite duration are garnered. Apart from the diffusing-diffusivity model we study a range of previously unconsidered random-diffusivity processes, for which we obtain exact forms of the probability density function. These new processes are different versions of jump processes as well as functionals of Brownian motion. The resulting behaviour subtly depends on the specific model details. Thus, the central part of the probability density function may be Gaussian or non-Gaussian, and the tails may assume Gaussian, exponential, log-normal, or even power-law forms. For all these models we derive analytically the moment-generating function for the single-trajectory power spectral density. We establish the generic 1/f²-scaling of the power spectral density as function of frequency in all cases. Moreover, we establish the probability density for the amplitudes of the random power spectral density of individual trajectories. The latter functions reflect the very specific properties of the different random-diffusivity models considered here. Our exact results are in excellent agreement with extensive numerical simulations.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WangSenoSokolovetal.2020,
  author    = {Wang, Wei and Seno, Flavio and Sokolov, Igor M. and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Unexpected crossovers in correlated random-diffusivity processes},
  series = {New Journal of Physics},
  volume    = {22},
  journal   = {New Journal of Physics},
  publisher = {Dt. Physikalische Ges.},
  address   = {Bad Honnef},
  issn      = {1367-2630},
  doi       = {10.1088/1367-2630/aba390},
  pages     = {17},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {The passive and active motion of micron-sized tracer particles in crowded liquids and inside living biological cells is ubiquitously characterised by 'viscoelastic' anomalous diffusion, in which the increments of the motion feature long-ranged negative and positive correlations. While viscoelastic anomalous diffusion is typically modelled by a Gaussian process with correlated increments, so-called fractional Gaussian noise, an increasing number of systems are reported, in which viscoelastic anomalous diffusion is paired with non-Gaussian displacement distributions. Following recent advances in Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion we here introduce and discuss several possible versions of random-diffusivity models with long-ranged correlations. While all these models show a crossover from non-Gaussian to Gaussian distributions beyond some correlation time, their mean squared displacements exhibit strikingly different behaviours: depending on the model crossovers from anomalous to normal diffusion are observed, as well as a priori unexpected dependencies of the effective diffusion coefficient on the correlation exponent. Our observations of the non-universality of random-diffusivity viscoelastic anomalous diffusion are important for the analysis of experiments and a better understanding of the physical origins of 'viscoelastic yet non-Gaussian' diffusion.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BodrovaChechkinCherstvyetal.2016,
  author    = {Bodrova, Anna S. and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Safdari, Hadiseh and Sokolov, Igor M. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Underdamped scaled Brownian motion},
  series = {Scientific reports},
  volume    = {6},
  journal   = {Scientific reports},
  publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {2045-2322},
  doi       = {10.1038/srep30520},
  year      = {2016},
  abstract  = {It is quite generally assumed that the overdamped Langevin equation provides a quantitative description of the dynamics of a classical Brownian particle in the long time limit. We establish and investigate a paradigm anomalous diffusion process governed by an underdamped Langevin equation with an explicit time dependence of the system temperature and thus the diffusion and damping coefficients. We show that for this underdamped scaled Brownian motion (UDSBM) the overdamped limit fails to describe the long time behaviour of the system and may practically even not exist at all for a certain range of the parameter values. Thus persistent inertial effects play a non-negligible role even at significantly long times. From this study a general questions on the applicability of the overdamped limit to describe the long time motion of an anomalously diffusing particle arises, with profound consequences for the relevance of overdamped anomalous diffusion models. We elucidate our results in view of analytical and simulations results for the anomalous diffusion of particles in free cooling granular gases.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MetzlerCherstvyChechkinetal.2015,
  author    = {Metzler, Ralf and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Bodrova, Anna S.},
  title     = {Ultraslow scaled Brownian motion},
  series = {New journal of physics : the open-access journal for physics},
  volume    = {17},
  journal   = {New journal of physics : the open-access journal for physics},
  number    = {063038},
  publisher = {Dt. Physikalische Ges., IOP},
  address   = {Bad Honnef, London},
  issn      = {1367-2630},
  doi       = {10.1088/1367-2630/17/6/063038},
  year      = {2015},
  abstract  = {We define and study in detail utraslow scaled Brownian motion (USBM) characterized by a time dependent diffusion coefficient of the form . For unconfined motion the mean squared displacement (MSD) of USBM exhibits an ultraslow, logarithmic growth as function of time, in contrast to the conventional scaled Brownian motion. In a harmonic potential the MSD of USBM does not saturate but asymptotically decays inverse-proportionally to time, reflecting the highly non-stationary character of the process. We show that the process is weakly non-ergodic in the sense that the time averaged MSD does not converge to the regular MSD even at long times, and for unconfined motion combines a linear lag time dependence with a logarithmic term. The weakly non-ergodic behaviour is quantified in terms of the ergodicity breaking parameter. The USBM process is also shown to be ageing: observables of the system depend on the time gap between initiation of the test particle and start of the measurement of its motion. Our analytical results are shown to agree excellently with extensive computer simulations.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{PetreskaPejovSandevetal.2022,
  author    = {Petreska, Irina and Pejov, Ljupco and Sandev, Trifce and Kocarev, Ljupčo and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Tuning of the dielectric relaxation and complex susceptibility in a system of polar molecules: a generalised model based on rotational diffusion with resetting},
  series = {Fractal and fractional},
  volume    = {6},
  journal   = {Fractal and fractional},
  number    = {2},
  publisher = {MDPI AG, Fractal Fract Editorial Office},
  address   = {Basel},
  issn      = {2504-3110},
  doi       = {10.3390/fractalfract6020088},
  pages     = {23},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {The application of the fractional calculus in the mathematical modelling of relaxation processes in complex heterogeneous media has attracted a considerable amount of interest lately. The reason for this is the successful implementation of fractional stochastic and kinetic equations in the studies of non-Debye relaxation. In this work, we consider the rotational diffusion equation with a generalised memory kernel in the context of dielectric relaxation processes in a medium composed of polar molecules. We give an overview of existing models on non-exponential relaxation and introduce an exponential resetting dynamic in the corresponding process. The autocorrelation function and complex susceptibility are analysed in detail. We show that stochastic resetting leads to a saturation of the autocorrelation function to a constant value, in contrast to the case without resetting, for which it decays to zero. The behaviour of the autocorrelation function, as well as the complex susceptibility in the presence of resetting, confirms that the dielectric relaxation dynamics can be tuned by an appropriate choice of the resetting rate. The presented results are general and flexible, and they will be of interest for the theoretical description of non-trivial relaxation dynamics in heterogeneous systems composed of polar molecules.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{GrebenkovMetzlerOshaninetal.2019,
  author    = {Grebenkov, Denis S. and Metzler, Ralf and Oshanin, Gleb and Dagdug, Leonardo and Berezhkovskii, Alexander M. and Skvortsov, Alexei T.},
  title     = {Trapping of diffusing particles by periodic absorbing rings on a cylindrical tube},
  series = {The journal of chemical physics : bridges a gap between journals of physics and journals of chemistr},
  volume    = {150},
  journal   = {The journal of chemical physics : bridges a gap between journals of physics and journals of chemistr},
  number    = {20},
  publisher = {American Institute of Physics},
  address   = {Melville},
  issn      = {0021-9606},
  doi       = {10.1063/1.5098390},
  pages     = {2},
  year      = {2019},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{TeomyMetzler2019,
  author    = {Teomy, Eial and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Transport in exclusion processes with one-step memory: density dependence and optimal acceleration},
  series = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical},
  volume    = {52},
  journal   = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical},
  number    = {38},
  publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.},
  address   = {Bristol},
  issn      = {1751-8113},
  doi       = {10.1088/1751-8121/ab37e4},
  pages     = {19},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {We study a lattice gas of persistent walkers, in which each site is occupied by at most one particle and the direction each particle attempts to move to depends on its last step. We analyse the mean squared displacement (MSD) of the particles as a function of the particle density and their persistence (the tendency to continue moving in the same direction). For positive persistence the MSD behaves as expected: it increases with the persistence and decreases with the density. However, for strong anti-persistence we find two different regimes, in which the dependence of the MSD on the density is non-monotonic. For very strong anti-persistence there is an optimal density at which the MSD reaches a maximum. In an intermediate regime, the MSD as a function of the density exhibits both a minimum and a maximum, a phenomenon which has not been observed before. We derive a mean-field theory which qualitatively explains this behaviour.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{LiXuLietal.2020,
  author    = {Li, Hua and Xu, Yong and Li, Yongge and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Transition path dynamics across rough inverted parabolic potential barrier},
  series = {The European physical journal : Plus},
  volume    = {135},
  journal   = {The European physical journal : Plus},
  number    = {9},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {Berlin ; Heidelberg},
  issn      = {2190-5444},
  doi       = {10.1140/epjp/s13360-020-00752-7},
  pages     = {22},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {Transition path dynamics have been widely studied in chemical, physical, and technological systems. Mostly, the transition path dynamics is obtained for smooth barrier potentials, for instance, generic inverse-parabolic shapes. We here present analytical results for the mean transition path time, the distribution of transition path times, the mean transition path velocity, and the mean transition path shape in a rough inverted parabolic potential function under the driving of Gaussian white noise. These are validated against extensive simulations using the forward flux sampling scheme in parallel computations. We observe how precisely the potential roughness, the barrier height, and the noise intensity contribute to the particle transition in the rough inverted barrier potential.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThapaLukatSelhuberUnkeletal.2019,
  author    = {Thapa, Samudrajit and Lukat, Nils and Selhuber-Unkel, Christine and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Transient superdiffusion of polydisperse vacuoles in highly motile amoeboid cells},
  series = {The journal of chemical physics : bridges a gap between journals of physics and journals of chemistr},
  volume    = {150},
  journal   = {The journal of chemical physics : bridges a gap between journals of physics and journals of chemistr},
  number    = {14},
  publisher = {American Institute of Physics},
  address   = {Melville},
  issn      = {0021-9606},
  doi       = {10.1063/1.5086269},
  pages     = {18},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {We perform a detailed statistical analysis of diffusive trajectories of membrane-enclosed vesicles (vacuoles) in the supercrowded cytoplasm of living Acanthamoeba castellanii cells. From the vacuole traces recorded in the center-of-area frame of moving amoebae, we examine the statistics of the time-averaged mean-squared displacements of vacuoles, their generalized diffusion coefficients and anomalous scaling exponents, the ergodicity breaking parameter, the non-Gaussian features of displacement distributions of vacuoles, the displacement autocorrelation function, as well as the distributions of speeds and positions of vacuoles inside the amoeba cells. Our findings deliver novel insights into the internal dynamics of cellular structures in these infectious pathogens. Published under license by AIP Publishing.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SposiniKrapfMarinarietal.2022,
  author    = {Sposini, Vittoria and Krapf, Diego and Marinari, Enzo and Sunyer, Raimon and Ritort, Felix and Taheri, Fereydoon and Selhuber-Unkel, Christine and Benelli, Rebecca and Weiss, Matthias and Metzler, Ralf and Oshanin, Gleb},
  title     = {Towards a robust criterion of anomalous diffusion},
  series = {Communications Physics},
  volume    = {5},
  journal   = {Communications Physics},
  publisher = {Springer Nature},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {2399-3650},
  doi       = {10.1038/s42005-022-01079-8},
  pages     = {10},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Anomalous-diffusion, the departure of the spreading dynamics of diffusing particles from the traditional law of Brownian-motion, is a signature feature of a large number of complex soft-matter and biological systems. Anomalous-diffusion emerges due to a variety of physical mechanisms, e.g., trapping interactions or the viscoelasticity of the environment. However, sometimes systems dynamics are erroneously claimed to be anomalous, despite the fact that the true motion is Brownian—or vice versa. This ambiguity in establishing whether the dynamics as normal or anomalous can have far-reaching consequences, e.g., in predictions for reaction- or relaxation-laws. Demonstrating that a system exhibits normal- or anomalous-diffusion is highly desirable for a vast host of applications. Here, we present a criterion for anomalous-diffusion based on the method of power-spectral analysis of single trajectories. The robustness of this criterion is studied for trajectories of fractional-Brownian-motion, a ubiquitous stochastic process for the description of anomalous-diffusion, in the presence of two types of measurement errors. In particular, we find that our criterion is very robust for subdiffusion. Various tests on surrogate data in absence or presence of additional positional noise demonstrate the efficacy of this method in practical contexts. Finally, we provide a proof-of-concept based on diverse experiments exhibiting both normal and anomalous-diffusion.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{GrebenkovMetzlerOshanin2018,
  author    = {Grebenkov, Denis S. and Metzler, Ralf and Oshanin, Gleb},
  title     = {Towards a full quantitative description of single-molecule reaction kinetics in biological cells},
  series = {Physical chemistry, chemical physics : a journal of European Chemical Societies},
  volume    = {20},
  journal   = {Physical chemistry, chemical physics : a journal of European Chemical Societies},
  number    = {24},
  publisher = {Royal Society of Chemistry},
  address   = {Cambridge},
  issn      = {1463-9076},
  doi       = {10.1039/c8cp02043d},
  pages     = {16393 -- 16401},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {The first-passage time (FPT), i.e., the moment when a stochastic process reaches a given threshold value for the first time, is a fundamental mathematical concept with immediate applications. In particular, it quantifies the statistics of instances when biomolecules in a biological cell reach their specific binding sites and trigger cellular regulation. Typically, the first-passage properties are given in terms of mean first-passage times. However, modern experiments now monitor single-molecular binding-processes in living cells and thus provide access to the full statistics of the underlying first-passage events, in particular, inherent cell-to-cell fluctuations. We here present a robust explicit approach for obtaining the distribution of FPTs to a small partially reactive target in cylindrical-annulus domains, which represent typical bacterial and neuronal cell shapes. We investigate various asymptotic behaviours of this FPT distribution and show that it is typically very broad in many biological situations, thus, the mean FPT can differ from the most probable FPT by orders of magnitude. The most probable FPT is shown to strongly depend only on the starting position within the geometry and to be almost independent of the target size and reactivity. These findings demonstrate the dramatic relevance of knowing the full distribution of FPTs and thus open new perspectives for a more reliable description of many intracellular processes initiated by the arrival of one or few biomolecules to a small, spatially localised region inside the cell.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VinodCherstvyMetzleretal.2022,
  author    = {Vinod, Deepak and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Metzler, Ralf and Sokolov, Igor M.},
  title     = {Time-averaging and nonergodicity of reset geometric Brownian motion with drift},
  series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  volume    = {106},
  journal   = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {American Physical Society},
  address   = {College Park},
  issn      = {2470-0045},
  doi       = {10.1103/PhysRevE.106.034137},
  pages     = {36},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {How do near-bankruptcy events in the past affect the dynamics of stock-market prices in the future? Specifically, what are the long-time properties of a time-local exponential growth of stock-market prices under the influence of stochastically occurring economic crashes? Here, we derive the ensemble- and time-averaged properties of the respective "economic" or geometric Brownian motion (GBM) with a nonzero drift exposed to a Poissonian constant-rate price-restarting process of "resetting." We examine-based both on thorough analytical calculations and on findings from systematic stochastic computer simulations-the general situation of reset GBM with a nonzero [positive] drift and for all special cases emerging for varying parameters of drift, volatility, and reset rate in the model. We derive and summarize all short- and long-time dependencies for the mean-squared displacement (MSD), the variance, and the mean time-averaged MSD (TAMSD) of the process of Poisson-reset GBM under the conditions of both rare and frequent resetting. We consider three main regions of model parameters and categorize the crossovers between different functional behaviors of the statistical quantifiers of this process. The analytical relations are fully supported by the results of computer simulations. In particular, we obtain that Poisson-reset GBM is a nonergodic stochastic process, with generally MSD(Delta) not equal TAMSD(Delta) and Variance(Delta) not equal TAMSD(Delta) at short lag times Delta and for long trajectory lengths T. We investigate the behavior of the ergodicity-breaking parameter in each of the three regions of parameters and examine its dependence on the rate of reset at Delta/T << 1. Applications of these theoretical results to the analysis of prices of reset-containing options are pertinent.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CherstvyVinodAghionetal.2017,
  author    = {Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Vinod, Deepak and Aghion, Erez and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Time averaging, ageing and delay analysis of financial time series},
  series = {New journal of physics},
  volume    = {19},
  journal   = {New journal of physics},
  publisher = {IOP},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {1367-2630},
  doi       = {10.1088/1367-2630/aa7199},
  pages     = {1 -- 11},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {We introduce three strategies for the analysis of financial time series based on time averaged observables. These comprise the time averaged mean squared displacement (MSD) as well as the ageing and delay time methods for varying fractions of the financial time series. We explore these concepts via statistical analysis of historic time series for several Dow Jones Industrial indices for the period from the 1960s to 2015. Remarkably, we discover a simple universal law for the delay time averaged MSD. The observed features of the financial time series dynamics agree well with our analytical results for the time averaged measurables for geometric Brownian motion, underlying the famed Black-Scholes-Merton model. The concepts we promote here are shown to be useful for financial data analysis and enable one to unveil new universal features of stock market dynamics.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WangCherstvyKantzetal.2021,
  author    = {Wang, Wei and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Kantz, Holger and Metzler, Ralf and Sokolov, Igor M.},
  title     = {Time averaging and emerging nonergodicity upon resetting of fractional Brownian motion and heterogeneous diffusion processes},
  series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  volume    = {104},
  journal   = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  number    = {2},
  publisher = {American Institute of Physics},
  address   = {Woodbury, NY},
  issn      = {2470-0045},
  doi       = {10.1103/PhysRevE.104.024105},
  pages     = {27},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {How different are the results of constant-rate resetting of anomalous-diffusion processes in terms of their ensemble-averaged versus time-averaged mean-squared displacements (MSDs versus TAMSDs) and how does stochastic resetting impact nonergodicity? We examine, both analytically and by simulations, the implications of resetting on the MSD- and TAMSD-based spreading dynamics of particles executing fractional Brownian motion (FBM) with a long-time memory, heterogeneous diffusion processes (HDPs) with a power-law space-dependent diffusivity D(x) = D0|x|gamma and their "combined" process of HDP-FBM. We find, inter alia, that the resetting dynamics of originally ergodic FBM for superdiffusive Hurst exponents develops disparities in scaling and magnitudes of the MSDs and mean TAMSDs indicating weak ergodicity breaking. For subdiffusive HDPs we also quantify the nonequivalence of the MSD and TAMSD and observe a new trimodal form of the probability density function. For reset FBM, HDPs and HDP-FBM we compute analytically and verify by simulations the short-time MSD and TAMSD asymptotes and long-time plateaus reminiscent of those for processes under confinement. We show that certain characteristics of these reset processes are functionally similar despite a different stochastic nature of their nonreset variants. Importantly, we discover nonmonotonicity of the ergodicitybreaking parameter EB as a function of the resetting rate r. For all reset processes studied we unveil a pronounced resetting-induced nonergodicity with a maximum of EB at intermediate r and EB similar to(1/r )-decay at large r. Alongside the emerging MSD-versus-TAMSD disparity, this r-dependence of EB can be an experimentally testable prediction. We conclude by discussing some implications to experimental systems featuring resetting dynamics.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CherstvyThapaMardoukhietal.2018,
  author    = {Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Thapa, Samudrajit and Mardoukhi, Yousof and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Time averages and their statistical variation for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process},
  series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  volume    = {98},
  journal   = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  number    = {2},
  publisher = {American Physical Society},
  address   = {College Park},
  issn      = {2470-0045},
  doi       = {10.1103/PhysRevE.98.022134},
  pages     = {15},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {How ergodic is diffusion under harmonic confinements? How strongly do ensemble- and time-averaged displacements differ for a thermally-agitated particle performing confined motion for different initial conditions? We here study these questions for the generic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process and derive the analytical expressions for the second and fourth moment. These quantifiers are particularly relevant for the increasing number of single-particle tracking experiments using optical traps. For a fixed starting position, we discuss the definitions underlying the ensemble averages. We also quantify effects of equilibrium and nonequilibrium initial particle distributions onto the relaxation properties and emerging nonequivalence of the ensemble- and time-averaged displacements (even in the limit of long trajectories). We derive analytical expressions for the ergodicity breaking parameter quantifying the amplitude scatter of individual time-averaged trajectories, both for equilibrium and outof-equilibrium initial particle positions, in the entire range of lag times. Our analytical predictions are in excellent agreement with results of computer simulations of the Langevin equation in a parabolic potential. We also examine the validity of the Einstein relation for the ensemble- and time-averaged moments of the OU-particle. Some physical systems, in which the relaxation and nonergodic features we unveiled may be observable, are discussed.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{FernandezCharcharCherstvyetal.2020,
  author    = {Fernandez, Amanda Diez and Charchar, Patrick and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Metzler, Ralf and Finnis, Michael W.},
  title     = {The diffusion of doxorubicin drug molecules in silica nanoslits is non-Gaussian, intermittent and anticorrelated},
  series = {Physical chemistry, chemical physics},
  volume    = {22},
  journal   = {Physical chemistry, chemical physics},
  number    = {48},
  publisher = {Royal Society of Chemistry},
  address   = {Cambridge},
  issn      = {1463-9076},
  doi       = {10.1039/d0cp03849k},
  pages     = {27955 -- 27965},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {In this study we investigate, using all-atom molecular-dynamics computer simulations, the in-plane diffusion of a doxorubicin drug molecule in a thin film of water confined between two silica surfaces. We find that the molecule diffuses along the channel in the manner of a Gaussian diffusion process, but with parameters that vary according to its varying transversal position. Our analysis identifies that four Gaussians, each describing particle motion in a given transversal region, are needed to adequately describe the data. Each of these processes by itself evolves with time at a rate slower than that associated with classical Brownian motion due to a predominance of anticorrelated displacements. Long adsorption events lead to ageing, a property observed when the diffusion is intermittently hindered for periods of time with an average duration which is theoretically infinite. This study presents a simple system in which many interesting features of anomalous diffusion can be explored. It exposes the complexity of diffusion in nanoconfinement and highlights the need to develop new understanding.},
  language  = {en}
}