@article{StojkoskiSandevBasnarkovetal.2020, author = {Stojkoski, Viktor and Sandev, Trifce and Basnarkov, Lasko and Kocarev, Ljupco and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Generalised geometric Brownian motion}, series = {Entropy}, volume = {22}, journal = {Entropy}, number = {12}, publisher = {MDPI}, address = {Basel}, issn = {1099-4300}, doi = {10.3390/e22121432}, pages = {34}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Classical option pricing schemes assume that the value of a financial asset follows a geometric Brownian motion (GBM). However, a growing body of studies suggest that a simple GBM trajectory is not an adequate representation for asset dynamics, due to irregularities found when comparing its properties with empirical distributions. As a solution, we investigate a generalisation of GBM where the introduction of a memory kernel critically determines the behaviour of the stochastic process. We find the general expressions for the moments, log-moments, and the expectation of the periodic log returns, and then obtain the corresponding probability density functions using the subordination approach. Particularly, we consider subdiffusive GBM (sGBM), tempered sGBM, a mix of GBM and sGBM, and a mix of sGBMs. We utilise the resulting generalised GBM (gGBM) in order to examine the empirical performance of a selected group of kernels in the pricing of European call options. Our results indicate that the performance of a kernel ultimately depends on the maturity of the option and its moneyness.}, language = {en} } @article{XuDengSandev2020, author = {Xu, Pengbo and Deng, Weihua and Sandev, Trifce}, title = {Levy walk with parameter dependent velocity}, series = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, volume = {53}, journal = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, number = {11}, publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {1751-8113}, doi = {10.1088/1751-8121/ab7420}, pages = {26}, year = {2020}, abstract = {To analyze stochastic processes, one often uses integral transform (Fourier and Laplace) methods. However, for the time-space coupled cases, e.g. the Levy walk, sometimes the integral transform method may fail. Here we provide a Hermite polynomial expansion approach, being complementary to the integral transform method, to the Levy walk. Two approaches are compared for some already known results. We also consider the generalized Levy walk with parameter dependent velocity. Namely, we consider the Levy walk with velocity which depends on the walking length or on the duration of each step. Some interesting features of the generalized Levy walk are observed, including the special shapes of the probability density function, the first passage time distributions, and various diffusive behaviors of the mean squared displacement.}, language = {en} } @article{SandevIominKocarev2020, author = {Sandev, Trifce and Iomin, Alexander and Kocarev, Ljupco}, title = {Hitting times in turbulent diffusion due to multiplicative noise}, series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, volume = {102}, journal = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, number = {4}, publisher = {American Institute of Physics}, address = {Woodbury, NY}, issn = {2470-0045}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.102.042109}, pages = {10}, year = {2020}, abstract = {We study a distribution of times of the first arrivals to absorbing targets in turbulent diffusion, which is due to a multiplicative noise. Two examples of dynamical systems with a multiplicative noise are studied. The first one is a random process according to inhomogeneous diffusion, which is also known as a geometric Brownian motion in the Black-Scholes model. The second model is due to a random processes on a two-dimensional comb, where inhomogeneous advection is possible only along the backbone, while Brownian diffusion takes place inside the branches. It is shown that in both cases turbulent diffusion takes place as the one-dimensional random process with the log-normal distribution in the presence of absorbing targets, which are characterized by the Levy-Smirnov distribution for the first hitting times.}, language = {en} } @article{PetreskadeCastroSandevetal.2020, author = {Petreska, Irina and de Castro, Antonio S. M. and Sandev, Trifce and Lenzi, Ervin K.}, title = {The time-dependent Schr{\"o}dinger equation in non-integer dimensions for constrained quantum motion}, series = {Modern physics letters : A, Particles and fields, gravitation, cosmology, nuclear physics}, volume = {384}, journal = {Modern physics letters : A, Particles and fields, gravitation, cosmology, nuclear physics}, number = {34}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0375-9601}, doi = {10.1016/j.physleta.2020.126866}, pages = {9}, year = {2020}, abstract = {We propose a theoretical model, based on a generalized Schroedinger equation, to study the behavior of a constrained quantum system in non-integer, lower than two-dimensional space. The non-integer dimensional space is formed as a product space X x Y, comprising x-coordinate with a Hausdorff measure of dimension alpha(1) = D -1 (1 < D < 2) and y-coordinate with the Lebesgue measure of dimension of length (alpha(2) = 1). Geometric constraints are set at y = 0. Two different approaches to find the Green's function are employed, both giving the same form in terms of the Fox H-function. For D = 2, the solution for two-dimensional quantum motion on a comb is recovered. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @article{BasnarkovTomovskiSandevetal.2022, author = {Basnarkov, Lasko and Tomovski, Igor and Sandev, Trifce and Kocarev, Ljupčo}, title = {Non-Markovian SIR epidemic spreading model of COVID-19}, series = {Chaos, solitons \& fractals : applications in science and engineering ; an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science}, volume = {160}, journal = {Chaos, solitons \& fractals : applications in science and engineering ; an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Oxford [u.a.]}, issn = {0960-0779}, doi = {10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112286}, pages = {8}, year = {2022}, abstract = {We introduce non-Markovian SIR epidemic spreading model inspired by the characteristics of the COVID-19, by considering discrete-and continuous-time versions. The distributions of infection intensity and recovery period may take an arbitrary form. By taking corresponding choice of these functions, it is shown that the model reduces to the classical Markovian case. The epidemic threshold is analytically determined for arbitrary functions of infectivity and recovery and verified numerically. The relevance of the model is shown by modeling the first wave of the epidemic in Italy, Spain and the UK, in the spring, 2020.}, language = {en} } @article{PetreskaPejovSandevetal.2022, author = {Petreska, Irina and Pejov, Ljupco and Sandev, Trifce and Kocarev, Ljupčo and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Tuning of the dielectric relaxation and complex susceptibility in a system of polar molecules: a generalised model based on rotational diffusion with resetting}, series = {Fractal and fractional}, volume = {6}, journal = {Fractal and fractional}, number = {2}, publisher = {MDPI AG, Fractal Fract Editorial Office}, address = {Basel}, issn = {2504-3110}, doi = {10.3390/fractalfract6020088}, pages = {23}, year = {2022}, abstract = {The application of the fractional calculus in the mathematical modelling of relaxation processes in complex heterogeneous media has attracted a considerable amount of interest lately. The reason for this is the successful implementation of fractional stochastic and kinetic equations in the studies of non-Debye relaxation. In this work, we consider the rotational diffusion equation with a generalised memory kernel in the context of dielectric relaxation processes in a medium composed of polar molecules. We give an overview of existing models on non-exponential relaxation and introduce an exponential resetting dynamic in the corresponding process. The autocorrelation function and complex susceptibility are analysed in detail. We show that stochastic resetting leads to a saturation of the autocorrelation function to a constant value, in contrast to the case without resetting, for which it decays to zero. The behaviour of the autocorrelation function, as well as the complex susceptibility in the presence of resetting, confirms that the dielectric relaxation dynamics can be tuned by an appropriate choice of the resetting rate. The presented results are general and flexible, and they will be of interest for the theoretical description of non-trivial relaxation dynamics in heterogeneous systems composed of polar molecules.}, language = {en} } @article{SandevDomazetoskiKocarevetal.2022, author = {Sandev, Trifce and Domazetoski, Viktor and Kocarev, Ljupco and Metzler, Ralf and Chechkin, Aleksei}, title = {Heterogeneous diffusion with stochastic resetting}, series = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, volume = {55}, journal = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, number = {7}, publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {1751-8113}, doi = {10.1088/1751-8121/ac491c}, pages = {26}, year = {2022}, abstract = {We study a heterogeneous diffusion process (HDP) with position-dependent diffusion coefficient and Poissonian stochastic resetting. We find exact results for the mean squared displacement and the probability density function. The nonequilibrium steady state reached in the long time limit is studied. We also analyse the transition to the non-equilibrium steady state by finding the large deviation function. We found that similarly to the case of the normal diffusion process where the diffusion length grows like t (1/2) while the length scale xi(t) of the inner core region of the nonequilibrium steady state grows linearly with time t, in the HDP with diffusion length increasing like t ( p/2) the length scale xi(t) grows like t ( p ). The obtained results are verified by numerical solutions of the corresponding Langevin equation.}, language = {en} } @article{SinghGorskaSandev2022, author = {Singh, Rishu Kumar and G{\´o}rska, Katarzyna and Sandev, Trifce}, title = {General approach to stochastic resetting}, series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, volume = {105}, journal = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, number = {6}, publisher = {American Physical Society}, address = {College Park}, issn = {2470-0045}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.105.064133}, pages = {6}, year = {2022}, abstract = {We address the effect of stochastic resetting on diffusion and subdiffusion process. For diffusion we find that mean square displacement relaxes to a constant only when the distribution of reset times possess finite mean and variance. In this case, the leading order contribution to the probability density function (PDF) of a Gaussian propagator under resetting exhibits a cusp independent of the specific details of the reset time distribution. For subdiffusion we derive the PDF in Laplace space for arbitrary resetting protocol. Resetting at constant rate allows evaluation of the PDF in terms of H function. We analyze the steady state and derive the rate function governing the relaxation behavior. For a subdiffusive process the steady state could exist even if the distribution of reset times possesses only finite mean.}, language = {en} } @article{MendezMasoPuigdellosasSandevetal.2021, author = {Mendez, Vicenc and Maso-Puigdellosas, Axel and Sandev, Trifce and Campos, Daniel}, title = {Continuous time random walks under Markovian resetting}, series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, volume = {103}, journal = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, number = {2}, publisher = {American Physical Society}, address = {College Park}, issn = {2470-0045}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.103.022103}, pages = {8}, year = {2021}, abstract = {We investigate the effects of Markovian resetting events on continuous time random walks where the waiting times and the jump lengths are random variables distributed according to power-law probability density functions. We prove the existence of a nonequilibrium stationary state and finite mean first arrival time. However, the existence of an optimum reset rate is conditioned to a specific relationship between the exponents of both power-law tails. We also investigate the search efficiency by finding the optimal random walk which minimizes the mean first arrival time in terms of the reset rate, the distance of the initial position to the target, and the characteristic transport exponents.}, language = {en} } @article{SandevMetzlerTomovski2012, author = {Sandev, Trifce and Metzler, Ralf and Tomovski, Zivorad}, title = {Velocity and displacement correlation functions for fractional generalized Langevin equations}, series = {Fractional calculus and applied analysis : an international journal for theory and applications}, volume = {15}, journal = {Fractional calculus and applied analysis : an international journal for theory and applications}, number = {3}, publisher = {Versita}, address = {Warsaw}, issn = {1311-0454}, doi = {10.2478/s13540-012-0031-2}, pages = {426 -- 450}, year = {2012}, abstract = {We study analytically a generalized fractional Langevin equation. General formulas for calculation of variances and the mean square displacement are derived. Cases with a three parameter Mittag-Leffler frictional memory kernel are considered. Exact results in terms of the Mittag-Leffler type functions for the relaxation functions, average velocity and average particle displacement are obtained. The mean square displacement and variances are investigated analytically. Asymptotic behaviors of the particle in the short and long time limit are found. The model considered in this paper may be used for modeling anomalous diffusive processes in complex media including phenomena similar to single file diffusion or possible generalizations thereof. We show the importance of the initial conditions on the anomalous diffusive behavior of the particle.}, language = {en} }