@article{AertsBotzenClarkeetal.2018,
  author    = {Aerts, J. C. J. H. and Botzen, W. J. Wouter and Clarke, K. C. and Cutter, S. L. and Hall, J. W. and Merz, Bruno and Michel-Kerjan, E. and Mysiak, J. and Surminski, Swenja and Kunreuther, H.},
  title     = {Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment},
  series = {Nature climate change},
  volume    = {8},
  journal   = {Nature climate change},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {Nature Publ. Group},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {1758-678X},
  doi       = {10.1038/s41558-018-0085-1},
  pages     = {193 -- 199},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SurminskiThieken2017,
  author    = {Surminski, Swenja and Thieken, Annegret},
  title     = {Promoting flood risk reduction},
  series = {Earth's Future},
  volume    = {5},
  journal   = {Earth's Future},
  publisher = {Wiley},
  address   = {Hoboken},
  issn      = {2328-4277},
  doi       = {10.1002/2017EF000587},
  pages     = {979 -- 1001},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {Improving society's ability to prepare for, respond to and recover from flooding requires integrated, anticipatory flood risk management (FRM). However, most countries still focus their efforts on responding to flooding events if and when they occur rather than addressing their current and future vulnerability to flooding. Flood insurance is one mechanism that could promote a more ex ante approach to risk by supporting risk reduction activities. This paper uses an adapted version of Easton's System Theory to investigate the role of insurance for FRM in Germany and England. We introduce an anticipatory FRM framework, which allows flood insurance to be considered as part of a broader policy field. We analyze if and how flood insurance can catalyze a change toward a more anticipatory approach to FRM. In particular we consider insurance's role in influencing five key components of anticipatory FRM: risk knowledge, prevention through better planning, property\&\#8208;level protection measures, structural protection and preparedness (for response). We find that in both countries FRM is still a reactive, event\&\#8208;driven process, while anticipatory FRM remains underdeveloped. Collaboration between insurers and FRM decision\&\#8208;makers has already been successful, for example in improving risk knowledge and awareness, while in other areas insurance acts as a disincentive for more risk reduction action. In both countries there is evidence that insurance can play a significant role in encouraging anticipatory FRM, but this remains underutilized. Effective collaboration between insurers and government should not be seen as a cost, but as an investment to secure future insurability through flood resilience.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{MysiakSurminskiThiekenetal.2016,
  author    = {Mysiak, Jaroslav and Surminski, Swenja and Thieken, Annegret and Mechler, Reinhard and Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.},
  title     = {Brief communication},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {524},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-41014},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-410149},
  pages     = {5},
  year      = {2016},
  abstract  = {In March 2015, a new international blueprint for disaster risk reduction (DRR) was adopted in Sendai, Japan, at the end of the Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction (WCDRR, 14-18 March 2015). We review and discuss the agreed commitments and targets, as well as the negotiation leading the Sendai Framework for DRR (SF-DRR) and discuss briefly its implication for the later UN-led negotiations on sustainable development goals and climate change.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MysiakSurminskiThiekenetal.2016,
  author    = {Mysiak, Jaroslav and Surminski, Swenja and Thieken, Annegret and Mechler, Reinhard and Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.},
  title     = {Brief communication: Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction - success or warning sign for Paris?},
  series = {Natural hazards and earth system sciences},
  volume    = {16},
  journal   = {Natural hazards and earth system sciences},
  publisher = {Copernicus},
  address   = {G{\"o}ttingen},
  issn      = {1561-8633},
  doi       = {10.5194/nhess-16-2189-2016},
  pages     = {2189 -- 2193},
  year      = {2016},
  abstract  = {In March 2015, a new international blueprint for disaster risk reduction (DRR) was adopted in Sendai, Japan, at the end of the Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction (WCDRR, 14-18 March 2015). We review and discuss the agreed commitments and targets, as well as the negotiation leading the Sendai Framework for DRR (SF-DRR) and discuss briefly its implication for the later UN-led negotiations on sustainable development goals and climate change.},
  language  = {en}
}