@incollection{LueckBalderjahnKammetal.2000, author = {L{\"u}ck, Erika and Balderjahn, Ingo and Kamm, Birgit and Greil, Holle and Wallschl{\"a}ger, Hans-Dieter and Jessel, Beate and B{\"o}ckmann, Christine and Oberh{\"a}nsli, Roland and Soyez, Konrad and Schmeer, Ernst and Blumenstein, Oswald and Berndt, Klaus-Peter and Edeling, Thomas and Friedrich, Sabine and Kaden, Klaus and Scheller, Frieder W. and Petersen, Hans-Georg and Asche, Hartmut and Bronstert, Axel and Giest, Hartmut and Gaedke, Ursula and L{\"o}hmannsr{\"o}ben, Hans-Gerd and Jeltsch, Florian and J{\"a}nkel, Ralph and Gzik, Axel and Bork, Hans-Rudolf and Bork, Hans-Rudolf}, title = {Umweltforschung f{\"u}r das Land Brandenburg : Arbeitsgruppen und Professuren}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-3797}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2000}, language = {de} } @article{KrolJaegerBronstertetal.2006, author = {Krol, Maarten and Jaeger, Annekathrin and Bronstert, Axel and G{\"u}ntner, Andreas}, title = {Integrated modelling of climate, water, soil, agricultural and socio-economic processes: A general introduction of the methodology and some exemplary results from the semi-arid north-east of Brazil}, series = {Journal of hydrology}, volume = {328}, journal = {Journal of hydrology}, number = {3-4}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0022-1694}, doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.12.021}, pages = {417 -- 431}, year = {2006}, abstract = {Many semi-arid regions are characterised by water scarcity and vulnerability of natural resources, pronounced climatic variability and social stress. Integrated studies including climatotogy, hydrology, and socio-econornic studies are required both for analysing the dynamic natural conditions and to assess possible strategies to make semi-arid regions Less vulnerable to the present and changing climate. The model introduced here dynamically describes the retationships between climate forcing, water availability, agriculture and selected societal processes. The model has been tailored to simulate the rather complex situation in the semi-and north-eastern Brazil in a quantitative manner including the sensitivity to external forcing, such as climate change. The selected results presented show the general functioning of the integrated model, with a primary focus on climate change impacts. It becomes evident that due to Large differences in regional climate scenarios, it is still impossible to give quantitative values for the most probable development, e.g., to assign probabilities to the simulated results. However, it becomes clear that water is a very crucial factor, and that an efficient and ecologically sound water management is a key question for the further development of that semi-arid region. The simulation results show that, independent of the differences in climate change scenarios, rain-fed farming is more vulnerable to drought impacts compared to irrigated farming. However, the capacity of irrigation and other water infrastructure systems to enhance resilience in respect to climatic fluctuations is significantly constrained given a significant negative precipitation trend. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @incollection{BronstertCrisologoHeistermannetal.2020, author = {Bronstert, Axel and Crisologo, Irene and Heistermann, Maik and {\"O}zt{\"u}rk, Ugur and Vogel, Kristin and Wendi, Dadiyorto}, title = {Flash-floods: more often, more severe, more damaging?}, series = {Climate change, hazards and adaptation options: handling the impacts of a changing climate}, booktitle = {Climate change, hazards and adaptation options: handling the impacts of a changing climate}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Cham}, isbn = {978-3-030-37425-9}, issn = {1610-2010}, doi = {10.1007/978-3-030-37425-9_12}, pages = {225 -- 244}, year = {2020}, abstract = {In recent years, urban and rural flash floods in Europe and abroad have gained considerable attention because of their sudden occurrence, severe material damages and even danger to life of inhabitants. This contribution addresses questions about possibly changing environmental conditions which might have altered the occurrence frequencies of such events and their consequences. We analyze the following major fields of environmental changes. Altered high intensity rain storm conditions, as a consequence of regionalwarming; Possibly altered runoff generation conditions in response to high intensity rainfall events; Possibly altered runoff concentration conditions in response to the usage and management of the landscape, such as agricultural, forest practices or rural roads; Effects of engineering measures in the catchment, such as retention basins, check dams, culverts, or river and geomorphological engineering measures. We take the flash-flood in Braunsbach, SW-Germany, as an example, where a particularly concise flash flood event occurred at the end of May 2016. This extreme cascading natural event led to immense damage in this particular village. The event is retrospectively analyzed with regard to meteorology, hydrology, geomorphology and damage to obtain a quantitative assessment of the processes and their development. The results show that it was a very rare rainfall event with extreme intensities, which in combination with catchment properties and altered environmental conditions led to extreme runoff, extreme debris flow and immense damages. Due to the complex and interacting processes, no single flood cause can be identified, since only the interplay of those led to such an event. We have shown that environmental changes are important, but-at least for this case study-even natural weather and hydrologic conditions would still have resulted in an extreme flash flood event.}, language = {en} } @article{BronstertBuergerPfister2021, author = {Bronstert, Axel and B{\"u}rger, Gerhard and Pfister, Angela}, title = {Vorhersage und Projektion von Sturzfluten - Vorwort}, series = {Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung : HyWa = Hydrology and water resources management, Germany / Hrsg.: Fachverwaltungen des Bundes und der L{\"a}nder}, volume = {65}, journal = {Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung : HyWa = Hydrology and water resources management, Germany / Hrsg.: Fachverwaltungen des Bundes und der L{\"a}nder}, number = {6}, publisher = {Bundesanst. f{\"u}r Gew{\"a}sserkunde, BfG}, address = {Koblenz}, issn = {1439-1783}, pages = {260 -- 261}, year = {2021}, language = {de} } @article{DeAraujoGuentnerBronstert2006, author = {De Araujo, Jos{\`e} Carlos and G{\"u}ntner, Andreas and Bronstert, Axel}, title = {Loss of reservoir volume by sediment deposition and its impact on water availability in semiarid Brazil}, issn = {0262-6667}, doi = {10.1623/hysj.51.1.157}, year = {2006}, abstract = {A methodology is presented to assess the impact of reservoir silting oil water availability for semiarid environments, applied to seven representative watersheds in the state of Ceara, Brazil. Water yield is computed using stochastic modelling for several reliability levels and water yield reduction is quantified for the focus areas. The yield-volume elasticity concept, which indicates the relative yield reduction in terms of relative storage capacity of the reservoirs, is presented and applied. Results chow that storage capacity was reduced by 0.2\% year(-1) due to silting, that the risk of water shortage almost doubled in less than 50 years for the most critical reservoir, and that reduction of storage capacity had three times more impact oil yield reduction than the increase in evaporation. Average 90\% reliable yield-volume elasticity was 0.8, which means that the global water yield (Q(90)) in Ceara is expected to diminish yearly by 388 L s(-1) due to reservoir silting}, language = {en} } @book{BronstertCarreraKabatetal.2005, author = {Bronstert, Axel and Carrera, Jesus and Kabat, Pavel and L{\"u}tkemeier, Sabine}, title = {Coupled models for the hydrological cycle : integrating atmosphere, biosphere and pedosphere}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg}, address = {Berlin, Heidelberg}, isbn = {3-540-22371-1}, doi = {10.1007/b138919}, pages = {345 S.}, year = {2005}, language = {en} } @article{BronstertEngel2005, author = {Bronstert, Axel and Engel, H.}, title = {Ver{\"a}nderung der Abfl{\"u}sse}, series = {Warnsignal Klima - genug Wasser f{\"u}r alle? : wissenschaftliche Fakten}, journal = {Warnsignal Klima - genug Wasser f{\"u}r alle? : wissenschaftliche Fakten}, publisher = {Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen}, address = {Hamburg}, isbn = {978-3-9809668-0-1}, pages = {175 -- 181}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @article{Bronstert2004, author = {Bronstert, Axel}, title = {Rainfall-runoff modelling for assessing impacts of climate and land-use change}, year = {2004}, language = {en} } @article{Bronstert2004, author = {Bronstert, Axel}, title = {Probleme, Grenzen und Herausforderungen der hydrologischen Modellierung: Wasserhaushalt und Abfluss}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @article{KrauseBauerMorgneretal.2004, author = {Krause, Stefan and Bauer, Andreas and Morgner, Markus and Bronstert, Axel}, title = {Wasserhaushaltsmodellierung als Beitrag zur Erstellung eines nachhaltigen Flusseinzugsgebietsmanagements an der Unteren Havel}, isbn = {3-937758-18-6}, year = {2004}, language = {de} }