@article{deFrenneGraaeKolbetal.2010,
  author    = {de Frenne, Pieter and Graae, Bente Jessen and Kolb, Annette and Brunet, J{\"o}rg and Chabrerie, Olivier and Cousins, Sara A. O. and Decocq, Guillaume and Dhondt, Rob and Diekmann, Martin and Eriksson, Olof and Heinken, Thilo and Hermy, Martin and J{\"o}gar, uelle and Saguez, Robert and Shevtsova, Anna and Stanton, Sharon and Zindel, Renate and Zobel, Martin and Verheyen, Kris},
  title     = {Significant effects of temperature on the reproductive output of the forest herb Anemone nemorosa L.},
  issn      = {0378-1127},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.foreco.2009.04.038},
  year      = {2010},
  abstract  = {Climate warming is already influencing plant migration in different parts of the world. Numerous models have been developed to forecast future plant distributions. Few studies, however, have investigated the potential effect of warming on the reproductive output of plants. Understorey forest herbs in particular, have received little attention in the debate on climate change impacts. This study focuses on the effect of temperature on sexual reproductive output (number of seeds, seed mass, germination percentage and seedling mass) of Anemone nemorosa L., a model species for slow colonizing herbaceous forest plants. We sampled seeds of A. nemorosa in populations along a 2400 km latitudinal gradient from northern France to northern Sweden during three growing seasons (2005,2006 and 2008). This study design allowed us to isolate the effects of accumulated temperature (Growing Degree Hours; GDH) from latitude and the local abiotic and biotic environment. Germination and seed sowing trials were performed in incubators, a greenhouse and under field conditions in a forest. Finally, we disentangled correlations between the different reproductive traits of A. nemorosa along the latitudinal gradient. We found a clear positive relationship between accumulated temperature and seed and seedling traits: reproductive output of A. nemorosa improved with increasing GDH along the latitudinal gradient. Seed mass and seedling mass, for instance, increased by 9.7\% and 10.4\%, respectively, for every 1000 degrees C h increase in GDH. We also derived strong correlations between several seed and seedling traits both under field conditions and in incubators. Our results indicate that seed mass, incubator-based germination percentage (Germ\%(Inc)) and the output of germinable seeds (product of number of seeds and Germ\%(Inc) divided by 100) from plants grown along a latitudinal gradient (i.e. at different temperature regimes) provide valuable proxies to parameterize key population processes in models. We conclude that (1) climate warming may have a pronounced positive impact on sexual reproduction of A. nemorosa and (2) climate models forecasting plant distributions would benefit from including the temperature sensitivity of key seed traits and population processes.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{deFrenneKolbVerheyenetal.2009,
  author    = {de Frenne, Pieter and Kolb, Annette and Verheyen, Kris and Brunet, Johanne and Chabrerie, Olivier and Decocq, Guillaume and Diekmann, Martin and Eriksson, Ove and Heinken, Thilo and Hermy, Martin and J{\~o}gar, {\"U}lle and Stanton, Sara and Quataert, Paul and Zindel, Renate and Zobel, Martin and Graae, Bente Jessen},
  title     = {Unravelling the effects of temperature, latitude and local environment on the reproduction of forest herbs},
  issn      = {1466-822X},
  doi       = {10.1111/j.1466-8238.2009.00487.x},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {Aim To investigate the effect of temperature, latitude and local environment on the reproductive traits of widespread perennial forest herbs to better understand the potential impacts of rising temperatures on their population dynamics and colonization capacities. Location Six regions along a latitudinal gradient from France to Sweden. Methods Within each region, we collected data from three to five populations of up to six species. For each species, several variables were recorded in each region (temperature, latitude) and population (local abiotic and biotic environmental variables), and seed production and germination were estimated. Resource investment in reproduction (RIR) was quantified as seed number ¥ seed mass, while germinable seed output (GSO) was expressed as seed number ¥ germination percentage.We performed linear regression and mixed effect models to investigate the effects of temperature (growing degree hours), latitude and local abiotic and biotic environment on RIR and GSO. Results Temperature and latitude explained most of the variation in RIR and GSO for early flowering species with a northerly distribution range edge (Anemone nemorosa, Paris quadrifolia and Oxalis acetosella). Reproduction of the more southerly distributed species (Brachypodium sylvaticum, Circaea lutetiana and Primula elatior), in contrast, was independent of temperature/latitude. In the late summer species, B. sylvaticum and C. lutetiana, variation in RIR and GSO was best explained by local environmental variables, while none of the investigated variables appeared to be related to reproduction in P. elatior. Main conclusions We showed that reproduction of only two early flowering, northerly distributed species was related to temperature. This suggests that the potential reproductive response of forest herbs to climate warming partly depends on their phenology and distribution, but also that the response is to some extent species dependent. These findings should be taken into account when predictions about future shifts in distribution range are made.},
  language  = {en}
}