@article{AssmannThielRomanoetal.2006,
  author    = {Assmann, Birte and Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Niemitz, Carsten},
  title     = {Recurrence plot analyses suggest a novel reference system involved in newborn spontaneous movements},
  series = {Behavior research methods : a journal of the Psychonomic Society},
  volume    = {38},
  journal   = {Behavior research methods : a journal of the Psychonomic Society},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {1554-351X},
  doi       = {10.3758/BF03192793},
  pages     = {400 -- 406},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {The movements of newborns have been thoroughly studied in terms of reflexes, muscle synergies, leg coordination, and target-directed arm/hand movements. Since these approaches have concentrated mainly on separate accomplishments, there has remained a clear need for more integrated investigations. Here, we report an inquiry in which we explicitly concentrated on taking such a perspective and, additionally, were guided by the methodological concept of home base behavior, which Ilan Golard developed for studies of exploratory behavior in animals. Methods from nonlinear dynamics, such as symbolic dynamics and recurrence plot analyses of kinematic data received from audiovisual newborn recordings, yielded new insights into the spatial and temporal organization of limb movements. In the framework of home base behavior, our approach uncovered a novel reference system of spontaneous newborn movements.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CecchiniThielSchelteretal.2018,
  author    = {Cecchini, Gloria and Thiel, Marco and Schelter, Bj{\"o}rn and Sommerlade, Linda},
  title     = {Improving network inference},
  series = {Journal of neuroscience methods},
  volume    = {307},
  journal   = {Journal of neuroscience methods},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  address   = {Amsterdam},
  issn      = {0165-0270},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.jneumeth.2018.06.011},
  pages     = {31 -- 36},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {Background: A reliable inference of networks from data is of key interest in the Neurosciences. Several methods have been suggested in the literature to reliably determine links in a network. To decide about the presence of links, these techniques rely on statistical inference, typically controlling the number of false positives, paying little attention to false negatives. New method: In this paper, by means of a comprehensive simulation study, we analyse the influence of false positive and false negative conclusions about the presence or absence of links in a network on the network topology. We show that different values to balance false positive and false negative conclusions about links should be used in order to reliably estimate network characteristics. We propose to run careful simulation studies prior to making potentially erroneous conclusion about the network topology. Results: Our analysis shows that optimal values to balance false positive and false negative conclusions about links depend on the network topology and characteristic of interest. Comparison with existing methods: Existing methods rely on a choice of the rate for false positive conclusions. They aim to be sure about individual links rather than the entire network. The rate of false negative conclusions is typically not investigated. Conclusions: Our investigation shows that the balance of false positive and false negative conclusions about links in a network has to be tuned for any network topology that is to be estimated. Moreover, within the same network topology, the results are qualitatively the same for each network characteristic, but the actual values leading to reliable estimates of the characteristics are different.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoKurthsetal.2008,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin and Kliegl, Reinhold},
  title     = {Generating surrogates from recurrences},
  issn      = {1364-503X},
  year      = {2008},
  abstract  = {In this paper, we present an approach to recover the dynamics from recurrences of a system and then generate (multivariate) twin surrogate (TS) trajectories. In contrast to other approaches, such as the linear-like surrogates, this technique produces surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i.e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system visiting the attractor in a different way. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronization, which makes it possible to systematically assess the reliability of synchronization analyses. We then apply the TS to study binocular fixational movements and find strong indications that the fixational movements of the left and right eye are phase synchronized. This result indicates that there might be only one centre in the brain that produces the fixational movements in both eyes or a close link between the two centres.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoKurths2006,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Spurious structures in recurrence plots induced by embedding},
  doi       = {10.1007/s11071-006-2010-9},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {In this paper we show that delay embedding produces spurious structures in a recurrence plot (RP) that are not present in the real attractor. We analyze typical sets of simulated data, such as white noise and data from the chaotic Rossler system to show the relevance of this effect. In the second part of the paper we show that the second order Renyi entropy and the correlation dimension are dynamical invariants that can be estimated from Recurrence Plots with arbitrary embedding dimension and delay},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{vonBlohRomanoThiel2005,
  author    = {von Bloh, Werner and Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco},
  title     = {Long-term predictability of mean daily temperature data},
  issn      = {1023-5809},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We quantify the long-term predictability of global mean daily temperature data by means of the Renyi entropy of second order K-2. We are interested in the yearly amplitude fluctuations of the temperature. Hence, the data are low- pass filtered. The obtained oscillatory signal has a more or less constant frequency, depending on the geographical coordinates, but its amplitude fluctuates irregularly. Our estimate of K-2 quantifies the complexity of these amplitude fluctuations. We compare the results obtained for the CRU data set (interpolated measured temperature in the years 1901- 2003 with 0.5 degrees resolution, Mitchell et al., 2005(1)) with the ones obtained for the temperature data from a coupled ocean-atmosphere global circulation model (AOGCM, calculated at DKRZ). Furthermore, we compare the results obtained by means of K-2 with the linear variance of the temperature data},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RomanoThielKurthsetal.2004,
  author    = {Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and von Bloh, Werner},
  title     = {Multivariate recurrence plots},
  issn      = {0375-9601},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We propose a new approach to calculate recurrence plots of multivariate time series, based on joint recurrences in phase space. This new method allows to estimate dynamical invariants of the whole system, like the joint Renyi entropy of second order. We use this entropy measure to quantitatively study in detail the phase synchronization of two bidirectionally coupled chaotic systems and identify different types of transitions to chaotic phase synchronization in dependence on the coupling strength and the frequency mismatch. By means of this analysis we find several new phenomena, such a chaos-period-chaos transition to phase synchronization for rather large coupling strengths. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarwanThielNowaczyk2002,
  author    = {Marwan, Norbert and Thiel, Marco and Nowaczyk, Norbert R.},
  title     = {Cross recurrence plot based synchronization of time series},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {The method of recurrence plots is extended to the cross recurrence plots (CRP), which among others enables the study of synchronization or time differences in two time series. This is emphasized in a distorted main diagonal in the cross recurrence plot, the line of synchronization (LOS). A non-parametrical fit of this LOS can be used to rescale the time axis of the two data series (whereby one of it is e.g. compressed or stretched) so that they are synchronized. An application of this method to geophysical sediment core data illustrates its suitability for real data. The rock magnetic data of two different sediment cores from the Makarov Basin can be adjusted to each other by using this method, so that they are comparable.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Thiel2004,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco},
  title     = {Recurrences : exploiting naturally occurring analogues},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0001633},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die Wiederkehr im Phasenraum ausgenutzt. Dabei werden drei Hauptresultate besprochen. 1. Die Wiederkehr erlaubt die Vorhersagbarkeit des Systems zu quantifizieren. 2. Die Wiederkehr enthaelt (unter bestimmten Voraussetzungen) s{\"a}mtliche relevante Information {\"u}ber die Dynamik im Phasenraum 3. Die Wiederkehr erlaubt die Erzeugung dynamischer Ersatzdaten.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KomalapriyaRomanoBlascoThieletal.2009,
  author    = {Komalapriya, Chandrasekaran and Romano Blasco, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Simonotto, Jennifer and Furman, Michael and Ditto, William L. and Carney, Paul R.},
  title     = {Analysis of high-resulution microelectrode EEG recordings in an animal model of spontaneous limbic seizures},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  doi       = {10.1142/S0218127409023226},
  year      = {2009},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoKurthsetal.2006,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin and Kliegl, Reinhold},
  title     = {Twin surrogates to test for complex synchronisation},
  doi       = {10.1209/epl/i2006-10147-0},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {We present an approach to generate (multivariate) twin surrogates (TS) based on recurrence properties. This technique generates surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i.e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system starting at different initial conditions. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronisation and exemplify this for the paradigmatic system of Rossler oscillators. The proposed test enables to assess the statistical relevance of a synchronisation analysis from passive experiments which are typical in natural systems},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RomanoThielKurthsetal.2009,
  author    = {Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Mergenthaler, Konstantin and Engbert, Ralf},
  title     = {Hypothesis test for synchronization : twin surrogates revisited},
  issn      = {1054-1500},
  doi       = {10.1063/1.3072784},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {The method of twin surrogates has been introduced to test for phase synchronization of complex systems in the case of passive experiments. In this paper we derive new analytical expressions for the number of twins depending on the size of the neighborhood, as well as on the length of the trajectory. This allows us to determine the optimal parameters for the generation of twin surrogates. Furthermore, we determine the quality of the twin surrogates with respect to several linear and nonlinear statistics depending on the parameters of the method. In the second part of the paper we perform a hypothesis test for phase synchronization in the case of experimental data from fixational eye movements. These miniature eye movements have been shown to play a central role in neural information processing underlying the perception of static visual scenes. The high number of data sets (21 subjects and 30 trials per person) allows us to compare the generated twin surrogates with the "natural" surrogates that correspond to the different trials. We show that the generated twin surrogates reproduce very well all linear and nonlinear characteristics of the underlying experimental system. The synchronization analysis of fixational eye movements by means of twin surrogates reveals that the synchronization between the left and right eye is significant, indicating that either the centers in the brain stem generating fixational eye movements are closely linked, or, alternatively that there is only one center controlling both eyes.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarwanNowaczykKurthsetal.2001,
  author    = {Marwan, Norbert and Nowaczyk, Norbert R. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Thiel, Marco},
  title     = {Cross recurrence plot based rescaling of geological time series},
  issn      = {1029-7006},
  year      = {2001},
  abstract  = {The rescaling of geological data series to a geological reference time series is of major interest in many investigations. For example, geophysical borehole data should be correlated to a given data series whose time scale is known in order to achieve an age-depth function or the sedimentation rate for the borehole data. Usually this synchronization is performed visually and by hand. Instead of using this wiggle matching by eye, we present the application of cross recurrence plots for such tasks. Using this method, the synchronization and rescaling of geological data to a given time scale is much easier and faster than by hand.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RomanoThielSchwarzetal.2001,
  author    = {Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Lange, Holger and Hauhs, M.},
  title     = {Conceptual model of runoff from a forested catchment},
  year      = {2001},
  abstract  = {We investigate the relationship between precipitation and runoff data from a small forested catchment in the Harz mountains (Germany). For this purpose, we develop a conceptual model including memory effects to predict the runoff signal using the precipitation data as input. An enhanced variant of the model also includes air temperature as input variable. We show in terms of correlation functions that this model describes main dynamical properties of the runoff, especially the delay between rain event and runoff response as the annual persistence in the runoff data.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoSchwarzetal.2001,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Hasinger, G{\"u}nther and Belloni, Tomaso},
  title     = {Nonlinear Time series analysis of the X-ray flux of compact objects},
  issn      = {0004-640x},
  year      = {2001},
  abstract  = {We analyse the X-ray light curves of compact objects using linear and nonlinear time series analysis methods. A Power Density Spectrum (PDS) describes the overall second order properties of the observed data well. To look beyond we propose the nonlinear Q-statistic to detect an asymmetry of the time series. This allows us to find relevant time scales. This method even grants a subclassification of the known states of X-ray sources.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RomanoThielKurthsetal.2006,
  author    = {Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin and Engbert, Ralf and Kliegl, Reinhold},
  title     = {Synchronization Analysis and Recurrence in Complex Systems},
  isbn      = {978-3-527-40623-4},
  year      = {2006},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{ThielRomanoKurthsetal.2006,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin and Kliegl, Reinhold},
  title     = {Generating Surrogates from Recurrences},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-56906},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {In this paper we present an approach to recover the dynamics from recurrences of a system and then generate (multivariate) twin surrogate (TS) trajectories. In contrast to other approaches, such as the linear-like surrogates, this technique produces surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i. e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system visiting the attractor in a different way. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronization, which makes it possible to systematically assess the reliability of synchronization analyses. We then apply the TS to study binocular fixational movements and find strong indications that the fixational movements of the left and right eye are phase synchronized. This result indicates that there might be one centre only in the brain that produces the fixational movements in both eyes or a close link between two centres.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{ThielRomanoKurthsetal.2006,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin},
  title     = {Twin Surrogates to Test for Complex Synchronisation},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-57231},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {We present an approach to generate (multivariate) twin surrogates (TS) based on recurrence properties. This technique generates surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i. e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system starting at different initial conditions. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronisation and exemplify this for the paradigmatic system of R¨ossler oscillators. The proposed test enables to assess the statistical relevance of a synchronisation analysis from passive experiments which are typical in natural systems.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KurthsRomanoThieletal.2006,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Osipov, Grigory V. and Ivanchenko, Mikhail V. and Kiss, Istvan Z. and Hudson, John L.},
  title     = {Synchronization analysis of coupled noncoherent oscillators},
  issn      = {0924-090X},
  doi       = {10.1007/s11071-006-1957-x},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {We present two different approaches to detect and quantify phase synchronization in the case of coupled non- phase coherent oscillators. The first one is based on the general idea of curvature of an arbitrary curve. The second one is based on recurrences of the trajectory in phase space. We illustrate both methods in the paradigmatic example of the Rossler system in the funnel regime. We show that the second method is applicable even in the case of noisy data. Furthermore, we extend the second approach to the application of chains of coupled systems, which allows us to detect easily clusters of synchronized oscillators. In order to illustrate the applicability of this approach, we show the results of the algorithm applied to experimental data from a population of 64 electrochemical oscillators},
  language  = {en}
}