@article{SitzSchwarzKurths2004,
  author    = {Sitz, Andre and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {The unscented Kalman filter : a powerful tool for data analysis},
  year      = {2004},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{OrgisBrandSchwarzetal.2009,
  author    = {Orgis, Thomas and Brand, Sascha and Schwarz, Udo and Handorf, D{\"o}rthe and Dethloff, Klaus and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Influence of interactive stratospheric chemistry on large-scale air mass exchange in a global circulation model},
  issn      = {1951-6355},
  doi       = {10.1140/epjst/e2009-01105-8},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {A new globally uniform Lagrangian transport scheme for large ensembles of passive tracer particles is presented and applied to wind data from a coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model that includes interactive dynamical feedback with stratospheric chemistry. This feedback from the chemistry is found to enhance large-scale meridional air mass exchange in the northern winter stratosphere as well as intrusion of stratospheric air into the troposphere, where both effects are due to a weakened polar vortex.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WesselAssmusWeidermannetal.2004,
  author    = {Wessel, Niels and Aßmus, Joerg and Weidermann, Frank and Konvicka, Jan and Nestmann, S. and Neugebauer, R. and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Modeling thermal displacements in modular tool systems},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {In the last decade, there has been an increasing interest in compensating thermally induced errors to improve the manufacturing accuracy of modular tool systems. These modular tool systems are interfaces between spindle and workpiece and consist of several complicatedly formed parts. Their thermal behavior is dominated by nonlinearities, delay and hysteresis effects even in tools with simpler geometry and it is difficult to describe it theoretically. Due to the dominant nonlinear nature of this behavior the so far used linear regression between the temperatures and the displacements is insufficient. Therefore, in this study we test the hypothesis whether we can reliably predict such thermal displacements via nonlinear temperature-displacement regression functions. These functions are estimated firstly from learning measurements using the alternating conditional expectation (ACE) algorithm and then tested on independent data sets. First, we analyze data that were generated by a finite element spindle model. We find that our approach is a powerful tool to describe the relation between temperatures and displacements for simulated data. Next, we analyze the temperature-displacement relationship in a silent real experimental setup, where the tool system is thermally forced. Again, the ACE-algorithm is powerful to estimate the deformation with high precision. The corresponding errors obtained by using the nonlinear regression approach are 10-fold lower in comparison to multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, we investigate the thermal behavior of a modular tool system in a working milling machine and get again promising results. The thermally induced errors can be estimated with 1-2\${mu m}\$ accuracy using this nonlinear regression analysis. Therefore, this approach seems to be very useful for the development of new modular tool systems.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoSchwarzetal.2004,
  author    = {Thiel, M. and Romano, Maria Carmen and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Timmer, Jens},
  title     = {Surrogate-based hypothesis test without surrogates},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {Fourier surrogate data are artificially generated time series, that - based on a resampling scheme - share the linear properties with an observed time series. In this paper we study a statistical surrogate hypothesis test to detect deviations from a linear Gaussian process with respect to asymmetry in time (Q-statistic). We apply this test to a Fourier representable function and obtain a representation of the asymmetry in time of the sample data, a characteristic for nonlinear processes, and the significance in terms of the Fourier coefficients. The main outcome is that we calculate the expected value of the mean and the standard deviation of the asymmetries of the surrogate data analytically and hence, no surrogates have to be generated. To illustrate the results we apply our method to the saw tooth function, the Lorenz system and to measured X-ray data of Cygnus X-1},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WesselSchwarzSaparinetal.2002,
  author    = {Wessel, Niels and Schwarz, Udo and Saparin, Peter and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Symbolic dynamics for medical data analysis},
  isbn      = {3-936142-09-2},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {Observational data of natural systems, as measured in medical measurements are typically quite different from those obtained in laboratories. Due to the peculiarities of these data, wellknown characteristics, such as power spectra or fractal dimension, often do not provide a suitable description. To study such data, we present here some measures of complexity, which are basing on symbolic dynamics. Firstly, a motivation for using symbolic dynamics and measures of complexity in data analysis based on the logistic map is given and next, two applications to medical data are shown. We demonstrate that symbolic dynamics is a useful tool for the risk assessment of patients after myocardial infarction as well as for the evaluation of th e architecture of human cancellous bone.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{EbelingMolgedeyKurthsetal.2002,
  author    = {Ebeling, Werner and Molgedey, Lutz and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Entropy, complexity, predictability, and data analysis of time series and letter sequences},
  isbn      = {3-540-41324-3},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {The structure of time series and letter sequences is investigated using the concepts of entropy and complexity. First conditional entropy and transinformation are introduced and several generalizations are discussed. Further several measures of complexity are introduced and discussed. The capability of these concepts to describe the structure of time series and letter sequences generated by nonlinear maps, data series from meteorology, astrophysics, cardiology, cognitive psychology and finance is investigated. The relation between the complexity and the predictability of informational strings is discussed. The relation between local order and the predictability of time series is investigated.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SitzSchwarzKurthsetal.2002,
  author    = {Sitz, Andre and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Voss, Henning U.},
  title     = {Estimation of parameters and unobserved components for nonlinear systems from noisy time series},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {We study the problem of simultaneous estimation of parameters and unobserved states from noisy data of nonlinear time-continuous systems, including the case of additive stochastic forcing. We propose a solution by adapting the recently developed statistical method of unscented Kalman filtering to this problem. Due to its recursive and derivative-free structure, this method minimizes the cost function in a computationally efficient and robust way. It is found that parameters as well as unobserved components can be estimated with high accuracy, including confidence bands, from heavily noise-corrupted data.},
  language  = {en}
}
@unpublished{VossKurthsSchwarz1996,
  author    = {Voss, Henning and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Reconstruction of grand minima of solar activity from Delta 14 C data : linear and nonlinear signal analysis},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-14083},
  year      = {1996},
  abstract  = {Using a special technique of data analysis, we have found out 34 grand minima of solar activity obtained from a 7,700 years long Δ14C record. The method used rests on a proper filtering of the Δ14C record and the extrapolation of verifiable results for the later history back in time. Additionally, we use a method of nonlinear dynamics, the recurrence rate, to back up the results. Our findings are not contradictory to the record of solar maxima resp. minima by Eddy [5], but constitute a considerable extension. Hence, it has become possible to look closer at the validity of models. This way, we have tested several models for solar activity, esp. the model of Barnes et al. [1]. There are hints for that the grand minima might solely be driven by the 209 year period found in the Δ14C record.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VossKurthsSchwarz1996,
  author    = {Voss, Henning U. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Reconstruction of grand minima of solar activity from radiocarbon data : linear and nonlinear signal analysis},
  year      = {1996},
  abstract  = {Using a special technique of data analysis, we have found out 34 grand minima of solar activity in a 7,700 years long C14 record. The method used rests on a proper filtering of the C14 record and the extrapolation of verifiable results for the later history back in time. Additionally, we have applied a method of nonlinear dynamics, the recurrence rate, to back up the results. Our findings are not contradictory to the record of grand minima by Eddy, but constitute a considerable extension. Hence, it has become possible to look closer at the validity of models. This way, we have tested esp. the model of Barnes et al. There are hints for that the grand minima might solely be driven by the 209--year period found in the C14 record.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KomalapriyaRomanoBlascoThieletal.2009,
  author    = {Komalapriya, Chandrasekaran and Romano Blasco, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Simonotto, Jennifer and Furman, Michael and Ditto, William L. and Carney, Paul R.},
  title     = {Analysis of high-resulution microelectrode EEG recordings in an animal model of spontaneous limbic seizures},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  doi       = {10.1142/S0218127409023226},
  year      = {2009},
  language  = {en}
}