@article{WinterhalderSchelterKurthsetal.2006, author = {Winterhalder, Matthias and Schelter, B and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schulze-Borthage, A and Timmer, Jens}, title = {Sensitivity and specificity of coherence and phase synchronization analysis}, doi = {10.1016/j.physleta.2006.03.018}, year = {2006}, abstract = {In this Letter, we show that coherence and phase synchronization analysis are sensitive but not specific in detecting the correct class of underlying dynamics. We propose procedures to increase specificity and demonstrate the power of the approach by application to paradigmatic dynamic model systems. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved}, language = {en} } @article{VasconcelosLopesVianaetal.2006, author = {Vasconcelos, D. B. and Lopes, S. R. and Viana, R. L. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Spatial recurrence plots}, doi = {10.1103/Physreve.73.056207}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We propose an extension of the recurrence plot concept to perform quantitative analyzes of roughness and disorder of spatial patterns at a fixed time. We introduce spatial recurrence plots (SRPs) as a graphical representation of the pointwise correlation matrix, in terms of a two-dimensional spatial return plot. This technique is applied to the study of complex patterns generated by coupled map lattices, which are characterized by measures of complexity based on SRPs. We show that the complexity measures we propose for SRPs provide a systematic way of investigating the distribution of spatially coherent structures, such as synchronization domains, in lattice profiles. This approach has potential for many more applications, e.g., in surface roughness analyzes}, language = {en} } @book{VossKurthsSchwarz1996, author = {Voss, Henning U. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo}, title = {Reconstruction of grand minima of solar activity from radiocarbon data : linear and nonlinear signal analysis}, series = {Preprint NLD}, volume = {28}, journal = {Preprint NLD}, publisher = {Univ.}, address = {Potsdam}, pages = {14 S.}, year = {1996}, language = {en} } @book{FeudelKurthsNeiman1995, author = {Feudel, Ulrike and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Neiman, Alexander}, title = {The cumulant approach for investigating the noise influence on mode-locking bifurcations}, series = {Preprint NLD}, volume = {16}, journal = {Preprint NLD}, publisher = {Univ.}, address = {Potsdam}, pages = {20 S.}, year = {1995}, language = {en} } @book{RosenblumKurths1995, author = {Rosenblum, Michael and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {A model of neural control of heart rate}, series = {Preprint NLD}, volume = {12}, journal = {Preprint NLD}, publisher = {Univ.}, address = {Potsdam}, pages = {22 S.}, year = {1995}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarzParlitzetal.1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Parlitz, Ulrich and Sonett, Charles P.}, title = {Testing for nonlinearity in radiocarbon data}, issn = {1023-5809}, year = {1994}, abstract = {The radiocarbon record that has been extended from 7199 BC to 1891 AD is of fundamental importance to understand century-scale variations of solar activity. We have, therefore, studied how to extract information from dynamic reconstructions of this observational record. Using some rather unusual methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have found that the data are significantly different from linear colored noise and that there is some evidence of nonlinear behavior. The method of recurrence plots exhibits that the grand minima of solar activity are quite different in their recurrence. Most remarkably, it suggests that the recent epoch seems to be similar to the Medieval maximum.}, language = {en} } @article{SchwarzBenzKurthsetal.1993, author = {Schwarz, udo and Benz, Arnold O. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Witt, Annette}, title = {Analysis of solar spike events by means of symbolic dynamics methods}, issn = {004-6361}, year = {1993}, abstract = {Using quantities of symbolic dynamics, such as mutual information, Shannon information and algorithmic complexity, we have searched for interrelations of spikes emitted simultaneously at different frequencies during the impulsive phase of a flare event. As the spikes are related to the flare energy release and are interpreted as emissions originating at different sites having different magnetic field strengths, any relation in frequency is interpretated as a relation in space. This approach is appropriate to characterize such spatio-temporal patterns, whereas the popular estimate of fractal dimensions can be applied to low-dimensional systems only. Depending on the energy release and emission processes, two types of fragmentation are possible: a scenario of global organization (spikes are emitted in a succession of similar events by the same system) or a scenario of local organization (many systems triggered by an initial event). Mutual information which is a generalization of correlation indicates a relation in frequency beyond the bandwidth of individual spikes. The scans in the spectrograms with large mutual information also show a low level of Shannon information and algorithmic complexity, indicating that the simultaneous appearance of spikes at other frequencies is not a completely stochastic phenomenon (white noise). It may be caused by a nonlinear deterministic system or by a Markov process. By means of mutual information we find a memory over frequency intervals up to 60 MHz. Shannon information and algorithmic complexity concern the mbox{whole} frequency region, i.e. the global source region. A global organization is also apparent in quasi-periodic changes of the Shannon information and algorithmic complexity in the range of 2 - 8 seconds. The finding is compatible with a scenario of local organization in which the information of one event spreads spatially and triggers further events at different places. The region is not an ensemble of independently flashing sources, each representing a system that cascades in energy after an initial trigger. On the contrary, there is a causal connection between the sources at any time. The analysis of the four spike events suggests that the structure in frequency is not stochastic but a process in which spikes at nearby locations are simultaneously triggered by a common exciter.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarz1993, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo}, title = {Application of techniques of nonlinear dynamics to SS Cyg}, isbn = {0-7503-0282-8}, year = {1993}, abstract = {We look for structural properties in the light curve of the dwarf nova SS Cyg by means of techniques from nonlinear dynamics. Applying the popular Grassberger-Procaccia procedure, Cannizzo and Goddings (1988) showed that there is no evidence for a low-dimensional attractor underlying this record. Because there are some hints for order in the light curve, we search for other signatures of deterministic systems. Therefore, we use other methods recently developed in this theory, such as local linear prediction and recurrence maps. Our main findings are: i] the prediction error grows exponentially during outburst phases, but via a power law in the quiescent states, ii] there are some rather regular patterns in this light curve which sometimes recur, but the recurrence is not regular. This leads to the following conclusions: i] The outburst dynamics shows a higher degree of order than the quiescent one. There are some hints for deterministic chaos in the outburst behavior. ii] The light curve is a complex mixture of deterministic and stochastic structures. The analysis presented in this paper shows that methods of nonlinear dynamics can be an efficient tool for the study of complex processes, even if there is no evidence for a low-dimensional attractor.}, language = {en} } @article{WuZhouChenetal.2010, author = {Wu, Ye and Zhou, Changsong and Chen, Maoyin and Xiao, Jinghua and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Human comment dynamics in on-line social systems}, issn = {0378-4371}, doi = {10.1016/j.physa.2010.08.049}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Human comment is studied using data from 'tianya' which is one of the most popular on-line social systems in China. We found that the time interval between two consecutive comments on the same topic, called inter-event time, follows a power-law distribution. This result shows that there is no characteristic decay time on a topic. It allows for very long periods without comments that separate bursts of intensive comments. Furthermore, the frequency of a different ID commenting on a topic also follows a power-law distribution. It indicates that there are some "hubs" in the topic who lead the direction of the public opinion. Based on the personal comments habit, a model is introduced to explain these phenomena. The numerical simulations of the model fit well with the empirical results. Our findings are helpful for discovering regular patterns of human behavior in on-line society and the evolution of the public opinion on the virtual as well as real society.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarz1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo}, title = {Chaos theory and radio emission}, year = {1994}, abstract = {The application of chaos theory has become popular to understand the nature of various features of solar activity because most of them are far from regular. The usual approach, however, that is basing on finding low- dimensional structures of the underlying processes seems to be successful only in a few exceptional cases, such as in rather coherent phenomena as coronal pulsations. It is important to note that most phenomena in solar radio emission are more complex. We present two kinds of techniques from nonlinear dynamics which can be useful to analyse such phenomena: i] Fragmentation processes observed in solar spike events are studied by means of symbolic dynamics methods. Different measures of complexity calculated from such observations reveal that there is some order in this fragmentation. ii] Bursts are a typical transient phenomenon. To study energization processes causing impulsive microwave bursts, the wavelet analysis is applied. It exhibits structural differences of the pre- and post-impulsive phase in cases where the power spectra of both are not distinct.}, language = {en} }