@unpublished{KurthsPikovskijScheffczyk1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Pikovskij, Arkadij and Scheffczyk, Christian}, title = {Roughening interfaces in deterministic dynamics}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13447}, year = {1994}, abstract = {Two deterministic processes leading to roughening interfaces are considered. It is shown that the dynamics of linear perturbations of turbulent regimes in coupled map lattices is governed by a discrete version of the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation. The asymptotic scaling behavior of the perturbation field is investigated in the case of large lattices. Secondly, the dynamics of an order-disorder interface is modelled with a simple two-dimensional coupled map lattice, possesing a turbulent and a laminar state. It is demonstrated, that in some range of parameters the spreading of the turbulent state is accompanied by kinetic roughening of the interface.}, language = {en} } @article{RiedlvanLeeuwenSuhrbieretal.2009, author = {Riedl, Maik and van Leeuwen, Peter Jan and Suhrbier, Alexander and Malberg, Hagen and Groenemeyer, Dietrich and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Wessel, Niels}, title = {Testing foetal-maternal heart rate synchronization via model-based analyses}, issn = {1364-503X}, doi = {10.1098/rsta.2008.0277}, year = {2009}, abstract = {The investigation of foetal reaction to internal and external conditions and stimuli is an important tool in the characterization of the developing neural integration of the foetus. An interesting example of this is the study of the interrelationship between the foetal and the maternal heart rate. Recent studies have shown a certain likelihood of occasional heart rate synchronization between mother and foetus. In the case of respiratory-induced heart rate changes, the comparison with maternal surrogates suggests that the evidence for detected synchronization is largely statistical and does not result from physiological interaction. Rather, they simply reflect a stochastic, temporary stability of two independent oscillators with time-variant frequencies. We reanalysed three datasets from that study for a more local consideration. Epochs of assumed synchronization associated with short-term regulation of the foetal heart rate were selected and compared with synchronization resulting from white noise instead of the foetal signal. Using data-driven modelling analysis, it was possible to identify the consistent influence of the heartbeat duration of maternal beats preceding the foetal beats during epochs of synchronization. These maternal beats occurred approximately one maternal respiratory cycle prior to the affected foetal beat. A similar effect could not be found in the epochs without synchronization. Simulations based on the fitted models led to a higher likelihood of synchronization in the data segments with assumed foetal-maternal interaction than in the segment without such assumed interaction. We conclude that the data-driven model-based analysis can be a useful tool for the identification of synchronization.}, language = {en} } @article{ZolotovaPonyavinMarwanetal.2009, author = {Zolotova, Nadezhda V. and Ponyavin, Dmitri I. and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Long-term asymmetry in the wings of the butterfly diagram}, issn = {0004-6361}, doi = {10.1051/0004-6361/200811430}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Aims. Sunspot distribution in the northern and southern solar hemispheres exibit striking synchronous behaviour on the scale of a Schwabe cycle. However, sometimes the bilateral symmetry of the Butterfly diagram relative to the solar equatorial plane breaks down. The investigation of this phenomenon is important to explaining the almost-periodic behaviour of solar cycles. Methods. We use cross-recurrence plots for the study of the time-varying phase asymmetry of the northern and southern hemisphere and compare our results with the latitudinal distribution of the sunspots. Results. We observe a long-term persistence of phase leading in one of the hemispheres, which lasts almost 4 solar cycles and probably corresponds to the Gleissberg cycle. Long-term variations in the hemispheric-leading do not demonstrate clear periodicity but are strongly anti-correlated with the long-term variations in the magnetic equator.}, language = {en} } @article{MarwanKurths2009, author = {Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Comment on "Stochastic analysis of recurrence plots with applications to the detection of deterministic signals" by Rohde et al. : [Physica D 237 (2008) 619-629]}, issn = {0167-2789}, doi = {10.1016/j.physd.2009.04.018}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In the recent article "Stochastic analysis of recurrence plots with applications to the detection of deterministic signals" (Physica D 237 (2008) 619-629), Rohde et al. stated that the performance of RQA in order to detect deterministic signals would be below traditional and well-known detectors. However, we have concerns about such a general statement. Based on our own studies we cannot confirm their conclusions. Our findings suggest that the measures of complexity provided by RQA are useful detectors outperforming well-known traditional detectors, in particular for the detection of signals of complex systems, with phase differences or signals modified due to the measurement process.}, language = {en} } @article{SchinkelMarwanDimigenetal.2009, author = {Schinkel, Stefan and Marwan, Norbert and Dimigen, Olaf and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Confidence bounds of recurrence-based complexity measures}, issn = {0375-9601}, doi = {10.1016/j.physleta.2009.04.045}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In the recent past, recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) has gained an increasing interest in various research areas. The complexity measures the RQA provides have been useful in describing and analysing a broad range of data. It is known to be rather robust to noise and nonstationarities. Yet, one key question in empirical research concerns the confidence bounds of measured data. In the present Letter we suggest a method for estimating the confidence bounds of recurrence-based complexity measures. We study the applicability of the suggested method with model and real- life data.}, language = {en} } @article{SchinkelMarwanKurths2009, author = {Schinkel, Stefan and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Brain signal analysis based on recurrences}, issn = {0928-4257}, doi = {10.1016/j.jphysparis.2009.05.007}, year = {2009}, abstract = {The EEG is one of the most commonly used tools in brain research. Though of high relevance in research, the data obtained is very noisy and nonstationary. In the present article we investigate the applicability of a nonlinear data analysis method, the recurrence quantification analysis (RQA), to Such data. The method solely rests on the natural property of recurrence which is a phenomenon inherent to complex systems, such as the brain. We show that this method is indeed suitable for the analysis of EEG data and that it might improve contemporary EEG analysis.}, language = {en} } @article{BraunDitlevsenKurthsetal.2010, author = {Braun, Holger and Ditlevsen, Peter D. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Mudelsee, Manfred}, title = {Limitations of red noise in analysing Dansgaard-Oeschger events}, issn = {1814-9324}, doi = {10.5194/cp-6-85-2010}, year = {2010}, abstract = {During the last glacial period, climate records from the North Atlantic region exhibit a pronounced spectral component corresponding to a period of about 1470 years, which has attracted much attention. This spectral peak is closely related to the recurrence pattern of Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events. In previous studies a red noise random process, more precisely a first-order autoregressive (AR1) process, was used to evaluate the statistical significance of this peak, with a reported significance of more than 99\%. Here we use a simple mechanistic two-state model of DO events, which itself was derived from a much more sophisticated ocean-atmosphere model of intermediate complexity, to numerically evaluate the spectral properties of random (i.e., solely noise-driven) events. This way we find that the power spectral density of random DO events differs fundamentally from a simple red noise random process. These results question the applicability of linear spectral analysis for estimating the statistical significance of highly non-linear processes such as DO events. More precisely, to enhance our scientific understanding about the trigger of DO events, we must not consider simple "straw men" as, for example, the AR1 random process, but rather test against realistic alternative descriptions.}, language = {en} } @unpublished{EngbertScheffczykKrampeetal.1997, author = {Engbert, Ralf and Scheffczyk, Christian and Krampe, Ralf-Thomas and Rosenblum, Mikhael and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kliegl, Reinhold}, title = {Tempo-induced transitions in polyrhythmic hand movements}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-14380}, year = {1997}, abstract = {We investigate the cognitive control in polyrhythmic hand movements as a model paradigm for bimanual coordination. Using a symbolic coding of the recorded time series, we demonstrate the existence of qualitative transitions induced by experimental manipulation of the tempo. A nonlinear model with delayed feedback control is proposed, which accounts for these dynamical transitions in terms of bifurcations resulting from variation of the external control parameter. Furthermore, it is shown that transitions can also be observed due to fluctuations in the timing control level. We conclude that the complexity of coordinated bimanual movements results from interactions between nonlinear control mechanisms with delayed feedback and stochastic timing components.}, language = {en} }