@article{EbelingMolgedeyKurthsetal.2002,
  author    = {Ebeling, Werner and Molgedey, Lutz and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Entropy, complexity, predictability, and data analysis of time series and letter sequences},
  isbn      = {3-540-41324-3},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {The structure of time series and letter sequences is investigated using the concepts of entropy and complexity. First conditional entropy and transinformation are introduced and several generalizations are discussed. Further several measures of complexity are introduced and discussed. The capability of these concepts to describe the structure of time series and letter sequences generated by nonlinear maps, data series from meteorology, astrophysics, cardiology, cognitive psychology and finance is investigated. The relation between the complexity and the predictability of informational strings is discussed. The relation between local order and the predictability of time series is investigated.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KurthsSchwarz2001,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Nichtlineare Wissenschaften - neue Paradigmen und Konzepte},
  issn      = {0177- 3674},
  year      = {2001},
  abstract  = {In den letzten 2 Jahrzehnten des 20. Jahrhunderts hat sich mit der rasanten Entwicklung der Nichtlinearen Wissenschaften ein weiterer Umbruch vollzogen, der eine ausgepraegte Nachhaltigkeit in Wissenschaft und Technik ebenso wie in der Gesellschaft erwarten laesst. Die Nichtlinearen Wissenschaften werden auch als Nichtlineare Dynamik, Wissenschaft Komplexer Systeme oder etwas eingegrenzt Chaostheorie bezeichnet.},
  language  = {de}
}
@article{KurthsSchwarz1993,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Application of techniques of nonlinear dynamics to SS Cyg},
  isbn      = {0-7503-0282-8},
  year      = {1993},
  abstract  = {We look for structural properties in the light curve of the dwarf nova SS Cyg by means of techniques from nonlinear dynamics. Applying the popular Grassberger-Procaccia procedure, Cannizzo and Goddings (1988) showed that there is no evidence for a low-dimensional attractor underlying this record. Because there are some hints for order in the light curve, we search for other signatures of deterministic systems. Therefore, we use other methods recently developed in this theory, such as local linear prediction and recurrence maps. Our main findings are: i] the prediction error grows exponentially during outburst phases, but via a power law in the quiescent states, ii] there are some rather regular patterns in this light curve which sometimes recur, but the recurrence is not regular. This leads to the following conclusions: i] The outburst dynamics shows a higher degree of order than the quiescent one. There are some hints for deterministic chaos in the outburst behavior. ii] The light curve is a complex mixture of deterministic and stochastic structures. The analysis presented in this paper shows that methods of nonlinear dynamics can be an efficient tool for the study of complex processes, even if there is no evidence for a low-dimensional attractor.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KurthsSchwarz1994,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Chaos theory and radio emission},
  year      = {1994},
  abstract  = {The application of chaos theory has become popular to understand the nature of various features of solar activity because most of them are far from regular. The usual approach, however, that is basing on finding low- dimensional structures of the underlying processes seems to be successful only in a few exceptional cases, such as in rather coherent phenomena as coronal pulsations. It is important to note that most phenomena in solar radio emission are more complex. We present two kinds of techniques from nonlinear dynamics which can be useful to analyse such phenomena: i] Fragmentation processes observed in solar spike events are studied by means of symbolic dynamics methods. Different measures of complexity calculated from such observations reveal that there is some order in this fragmentation. ii] Bursts are a typical transient phenomenon. To study energization processes causing impulsive microwave bursts, the wavelet analysis is applied. It exhibits structural differences of the pre- and post-impulsive phase in cases where the power spectra of both are not distinct.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KurthsSchwarzParlitzetal.1994,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Parlitz, Ulrich and Sonett, Charles P.},
  title     = {Testing for nonlinearity in radiocarbon data},
  issn      = {1023-5809},
  year      = {1994},
  abstract  = {The radiocarbon record that has been extended from 7199 BC to 1891 AD is of fundamental importance to understand century-scale variations of solar activity. We have, therefore, studied how to extract information from dynamic reconstructions of this observational record. Using some rather unusual methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have found that the data are significantly different from linear colored noise and that there is some evidence of nonlinear behavior. The method of recurrence plots exhibits that the grand minima of solar activity are quite different in their recurrence. Most remarkably, it suggests that the recent epoch seems to be similar to the Medieval maximum.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KurthsSchwarzWitt1995,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Witt, Annette},
  title     = {Non-linear data analysis in solar radio astronomy},
  year      = {1995},
  abstract  = {We have discussed some tools from nonlinear dynamics which may help to analyze transient phenomena, such as solar bursts. The structure function known from turbulence theory is an appropriate method to find out some scaling behavior of fluctuations in time. More generally, the wavelet analysis, which is some generalization of the power spectrum, exhibits information on the location as well as the size of hidden characteristic features. Applying both techniques to microwave bursts, we have found some scaling properties that refer to the existence of hierarchic time structures. This is in good accordance with the electric circuit model for describing the flare-particle energization process.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{PalusKurthsSchwarzetal.2001,
  author    = {Palus, Milan and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Novotn{\´a}, Dagmar and Charv{\´a}tov{\´a}, Ivanka},
  title     = {Is the solar activity cycle synchronized with the solar inertial motion?},
  year      = {2001},
  abstract  = {The 300 year record of the yearly sunspot numbers and numerically generated trajectory of the solar inertial motion (SIM) were subjects of a synchronization analysis. Phase synchronization of the sunspot cycle and a fast component of the SIM have been found and confirmed with statistical significance in three epochs (1727-1757, 1802-1832 and 1863-1922) of the entire 1700-1997 record. This result can be considered as a quantitative support for the hypothesis that there is a weak interaction of gravity and solar activity.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RomanoThielSchwarzetal.2001,
  author    = {Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Lange, Holger and Hauhs, M.},
  title     = {Conceptual model of runoff from a forested catchment},
  year      = {2001},
  abstract  = {We investigate the relationship between precipitation and runoff data from a small forested catchment in the Harz mountains (Germany). For this purpose, we develop a conceptual model including memory effects to predict the runoff signal using the precipitation data as input. An enhanced variant of the model also includes air temperature as input variable. We show in terms of correlation functions that this model describes main dynamical properties of the runoff, especially the delay between rain event and runoff response as the annual persistence in the runoff data.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SitzSchwarzKurths2004,
  author    = {Sitz, Andre and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {The unscented Kalman filter : a powerful tool for data analysis},
  year      = {2004},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SitzSchwarzKurthsetal.2001,
  author    = {Sitz, Andre and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Maus, Doris and Wiese, Michael and Warnecke, G{\"u}nter},
  title     = {Signatures of acoustic emission signals generated during high speed cutting},
  year      = {2001},
  abstract  = {Acoustic emission signals generated during high speed cutting of steel are investigated. The data are represen ted in time-folded form. Several methods from linear and nonlinear data analysis based on time- and frequency- domain are applied to the data and reveal signatures of the observed acoustic emission signal. These investiga tions are necessary for modeling the cutting process by means of differential equations.},
  language  = {en}
}