@article{JeltschGroeneveldWisseletal.2005, author = {Jeltsch, Florian and Groeneveld, J{\"u}rgen and Wissel, Christian and Wucherer, W. and Dimeyeva, L.}, title = {Seed dispersal by cattle may cause shrub encroachment of Grewia flava on southern Kalahari rangelands}, isbn = {3-86537-386-0}, year = {2005}, language = {en} } @article{WichmannGroeneveldJeltschetal.2005, author = {Wichmann, Matthias and Groeneveld, J{\"u}rgen and Jeltsch, Florian and Grimm, Volker}, title = {Mitigation of climate change impacts on raptors by behavioural adaptation : ecological buffering mechanisms}, issn = {0921-8181}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The predicted climate change causes deep concerns on the effects of increasing temperatures and changing precipitation patterns on species viability and, in turn, on biodiversity. Models of Population Viability Analysis (PVA) provide a powerful tool to assess the risk of species extinction. However, most PVA models do not take into account the potential effects of behavioural adaptations. Organisms might adapt to new environmental situations and thereby mitigate negative effects of climate change. To demonstrate such mitigation effects, we use an existing PVA model describing a population of the tawny eagle (Aquila rapax) in the southern Kalahari. This model does not include behavioural adaptations. We develop a new model by assuming that the birds enlarge their average territory size to compensate for lower amounts of precipitation. Here, we found the predicted increase in risk of extinction due to climate change to be much lower than in the original model. However, this "buffering" of climate change by behavioural adaptation is not very effective in coping with increasing interannual variances. We refer to further examples of ecological "buffering mechanisms" from the literature and argue that possible buffering mechanisms should be given due consideration when the effects of climate change on biodiversity are to be predicted. (c) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved}, language = {en} } @article{GrimmRevillaGroeneveldetal.2005, author = {Grimm, Volker and Revilla, Eloy and Groeneveld, J{\"u}rgen and Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie and Schwager, Monika and Tews, J{\"o}rg and Wichmann, Matthias and Jeltsch, Florian}, title = {Importance of buffer mechanisms for population viability analysis}, year = {2005}, language = {en} } @article{WichmannGroeneveldJeltschetal.2005, author = {Wichmann, Matthias and Groeneveld, J{\"u}rgen and Jeltsch, Florian and Grimm, Volker}, title = {Mitigation of climate change impacts on raptors by behavioural adaption : ecological buffering mechanism}, year = {2005}, language = {en} } @article{EstherGroeneveldEnrightetal.2008, author = {Esther, Alexandra and Groeneveld, J{\"u}rgen and Enright, Neal J. and Miller, Ben P. and Lamont, Byron B. and Perry, George L. W. and Schurr, Frank Martin and Jeltsch, Florian}, title = {Assessing the importance of seed immigration on coexistence of plant functional types in a species-rich ecosystem}, issn = {0304-3800}, doi = {10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.01.014}, year = {2008}, abstract = {Modelling and empirical studies have shown that input from the regional seed pool is essential to maintain local species diversity. However, most of these studies have concentrated on simplified, if not neutral, model systems, and focus on a limited subset of species or on aggregated measures of diversity only (e.g., species richness or Shannon diversity). Thus they ignore more complex species interactions and important differences between species. To gain a better understanding of how seed immigration affects community structure at the local scale in real communities we conducted computer simulation experiments based on plant functional types (PFTs) for a species-rich, fire-prone Mediterranean-type shrubland in Western Australia. We developed a spatially explicit simulation model to explore the community dynamics of 38 PFTs, defined by seven traits - regeneration mode, seed production, seed size, maximum crown diameter, drought tolerance, dispersal mode and seed bank type - representing 78 woody species. Model parameterisation is based on published and unpublished data on the population dynamics of shrub species collected over 18 years. Simulation experiments are based on two contrasting seed immigration scenarios: (1) the 'equal seed input number' scenario, where the number of immigrant seeds is the same for all PFTs, and (2) the 'equal seed input mass' scenario, where the cumulative mass of migrating seeds is the same for all PFTs. Both scenarios were systematically tested and compared for different overall seed input values. Without immigration the local community drifts towards a state with only 13 coexisting PFTs. With increasing immigration rates in terms of overall mass of seeds the simulated number of coexisting PFTs and Shannon diversity quickly approaches values observed in the field. The equal seed mass scenario resulted in a more diverse community than did the seed number scenario. The model successfully approximates the frequency distributions (relative densities) of all individual plant traits except seed size for scenarios associated with equal seed input mass and high immigration rate. However, no scenario satisfactorily approximated the frequency distribution for all traits in combination. Our results show that regional seed input can explain the more aggregated measures of local community structure, and some, but not all, aspects of community composition. This points to the possible importance of other (untested) processes and traits (e.g., dispersal vectors) operating at the local scale. Our modelling framework can readily allow new factors to be systematically investigated, which is a major advantage compared to previous simulation studies, as it allows us to find structurally realistic models, which can address questions pertinent to ecological theory and to conservation management.}, language = {en} } @article{EstherGroeneveldEnrightetal.2011, author = {Esther, Alexandra and Groeneveld, J{\"u}rgen and Enright, Neal J. and Miller, Ben P. and Lamont, Byron B. and Perry, George L. W. and Tietjen, Britta and Jeltsch, Florian}, title = {Low-dimensional trade-offs fail to explain richness and structure in species-rich plant communities}, series = {Theoretical ecology}, volume = {4}, journal = {Theoretical ecology}, number = {4}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Heidelberg}, issn = {1874-1738}, doi = {10.1007/s12080-010-0092-y}, pages = {495 -- 511}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Mathematical models and ecological theory suggest that low-dimensional life history trade-offs (i.e. negative correlation between two life history traits such as competition vs. colonisation) may potentially explain the maintenance of species diversity and community structure. In the absence of trade-offs, we would expect communities to be dominated by 'super-types' characterised by mainly positive trait expressions. However, it has proven difficult to find strong empirical evidence for such trade-offs in species-rich communities. We developed a spatially explicit, rule-based and individual-based stochastic model to explore the importance of low-dimensional trade-offs. This model simulates the community dynamics of 288 virtual plant functional types (PFTs), each of which is described by seven life history traits. We consider trait combinations that fit into the trade-off concept, as well as super-types with little or no energy constraints or resource limitations, and weak PFTs, which do not exploit resources efficiently. The model is parameterised using data from a fire-prone, species-rich Mediterranean-type shrubland in southwestern Australia. We performed an exclusion experiment, where we sequentially removed the strongest PFT in the simulation and studied the remaining communities. We analysed the impact of traits on performance of PFTs in the exclusion experiment with standard and boosted regression trees. Regression tree analysis of the simulation results showed that the trade-off concept is necessary for PFT viability in the case of weak trait expression combinations such as low seed production or small seeds. However, species richness and diversity can be high despite the presence of super-types. Furthermore, the exclusion of super-types does not necessarily lead to a large increase in PFT richness and diversity. We conclude that low-dimensional trade-offs do not provide explanations for multi-species co-existence contrary to the prediction of many conceptual models.}, language = {en} }