@misc{AyzelIzhitskiy2018, author = {Ayzel, Georgy and Izhitskiy, Alexander}, title = {Coupling physically based and data-driven models for assessing freshwater inflow into the Small Aral Sea}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {703}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-42787}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-427873}, pages = {151 -- 158}, year = {2018}, abstract = {The Aral Sea desiccation and related changes in hydroclimatic conditions on a regional level is a hot topic for past decades. The key problem of scientific research projects devoted to an investigation of modern Aral Sea basin hydrological regime is its discontinuous nature - the only limited amount of papers takes into account the complex runoff formation system entirely. Addressing this challenge we have developed a continuous prediction system for assessing freshwater inflow into the Small Aral Sea based on coupling stack of hydrological and data-driven models. Results show a good prediction skill and approve the possibility to develop a valuable water assessment tool which utilizes the power of classical physically based and modern machine learning models both for territories with complex water management system and strong water-related data scarcity. The source code and data of the proposed system is available on a Github page (https://github.com/SMASHIproject/IWRM2018).}, language = {en} }