@misc{ThapaWyłomańskaSikoraetal.2021,
  author    = {Thapa, Samudrajit and Wyłomańska, Agnieszka and Sikora, Grzegorz and Wagner, Caroline E. and Krapf, Diego and Kantz, Holger and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Leveraging large-deviation statistics to decipher the stochastic properties of measured trajectories},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {1118},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-49349},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-493494},
  pages     = {24},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individualproteins are routinely garnered insingle-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies.They contain vital clues on how viruses spread or drugs may be delivered in biological cells.Similar time-series are being recorded of stock values in financial markets and of climate data.Such time-series are most typically evaluated in terms of time-averaged mean-squareddisplacements (TAMSDs), which remain random variables for finite measurement times. Theirstatistical properties are different for differentphysical stochastic processes, thus allowing us toextract valuable information on the stochastic process itself. To exploit the full potential of thestatistical information encoded in measured time-series we here propose an easy-to-implementand computationally inexpensive new methodology, based on deviations of the TAMSD from itsensemble average counterpart. Specifically, we use the upper bound of these deviations forBrownian motion (BM) to check the applicability of this approach to simulated and real data sets.By comparing the probability of deviations fordifferent data sets, we demonstrate how thetheoretical bound for BM reveals additional information about observed stochastic processes. Weapply the large-deviation method to data sets of tracer beads tracked in aqueous solution, tracerbeads measured in mucin hydrogels, and of geographic surface temperature anomalies. Ouranalysis shows how the large-deviation properties can be efficiently used as a simple yet effectiveroutine test to reject the BM hypothesis and unveil relevant information on statistical propertiessuch as ergodicity breaking and short-time correlations.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{WangSenoSokolovetal.2020,
  author    = {Wang, Wei and Seno, Flavio and Sokolov, Igor M. and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Unexpected crossovers in correlated random-diffusivity processes},
  number    = {1006},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-48004},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-480049},
  pages     = {18},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {The passive and active motion of micron-sized tracer particles in crowded liquids and inside living biological cells is ubiquitously characterised by 'viscoelastic' anomalous diffusion, in which the increments of the motion feature long-ranged negative and positive correlations. While viscoelastic anomalous diffusion is typically modelled by a Gaussian process with correlated increments, so-called fractional Gaussian noise, an increasing number of systems are reported, in which viscoelastic anomalous diffusion is paired with non-Gaussian displacement distributions. Following recent advances in Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion we here introduce and discuss several possible versions of random-diffusivity models with long-ranged correlations. While all these models show a crossover from non-Gaussian to Gaussian distributions beyond some correlation time, their mean squared displacements exhibit strikingly different behaviours: depending on the model crossovers from anomalous to normal diffusion are observed, as well as a priori unexpected dependencies of the effective diffusion coefficient on the correlation exponent. Our observations of the non-universality of random-diffusivity viscoelastic anomalous diffusion are important for the analysis of experiments and a better understanding of the physical origins of 'viscoelastic yet non-Gaussian' diffusion.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{CherstvyVinodAghionetal.2017,
  author    = {Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Vinod, Deepak and Aghion, Erez and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Time averaging, ageing and delay analysis of financial time series},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-400541},
  pages     = {11},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {We introduce three strategies for the analysis of financial time series based on time averaged observables. These comprise the time averaged mean squared displacement (MSD) as well as the ageing and delay time methods for varying fractions of the financial time series. We explore these concepts via statistical analysis of historic time series for several Dow Jones Industrial indices for the period from the 1960s to 2015. Remarkably, we discover a simple universal law for the delay time averaged MSD. The observed features of the financial time series dynamics agree well with our analytical results for the time averaged measurables for geometric Brownian motion, underlying the famed Black-Scholes-Merton model. The concepts we promote here are shown to be useful for financial data analysis and enable one to unveil new universal features of stock market dynamics.},
  language  = {en}
}