@unpublished{GairingHoegeleKosenkova2016, author = {Gairing, Jan and H{\"o}gele, Michael and Kosenkova, Tetiana}, title = {Transportation distances and noise sensitivity of multiplicative L{\´e}vy SDE with applications}, volume = {5}, number = {2}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {2193-6943}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-86693}, pages = {24}, year = {2016}, abstract = {This article assesses the distance between the laws of stochastic differential equations with multiplicative L{\´e}vy noise on path space in terms of their characteristics. The notion of transportation distance on the set of L{\´e}vy kernels introduced by Kosenkova and Kulik yields a natural and statistically tractable upper bound on the noise sensitivity. This extends recent results for the additive case in terms of coupling distances to the multiplicative case. The strength of this notion is shown in a statistical implementation for simulations and the example of a benchmark time series in paleoclimate.}, language = {en} } @unpublished{FlandoliHoegele2014, author = {Flandoli, Franco and H{\"o}gele, Michael}, title = {A solution selection problem with small stable perturbations}, volume = {3}, number = {8}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {2193-6943}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-71205}, pages = {43}, year = {2014}, abstract = {The zero-noise limit of differential equations with singular coefficients is investigated for the first time in the case when the noise is a general alpha-stable process. It is proved that extremal solutions are selected and the probability of selection is computed. Detailed analysis of the characteristic function of an exit time form on the half-line is performed, with a suitable decomposition in small and large jumps adapted to the singular drift.}, language = {en} } @unpublished{HoegelePavlyukevich2014, author = {H{\"o}gele, Michael and Pavlyukevich, Ilya}, title = {Metastability of Morse-Smale dynamical systems perturbed by heavy-tailed L{\´e}vy type noise}, volume = {3}, number = {5}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {2193-6943}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-70639}, pages = {27}, year = {2014}, abstract = {We consider a general class of finite dimensional deterministic dynamical systems with finitely many local attractors each of which supports a unique ergodic probability measure, which includes in particular the class of Morse-Smale systems in any finite dimension. The dynamical system is perturbed by a multiplicative non-Gaussian heavytailed L{\´e}vy type noise of small intensity ε > 0. Specifically we consider perturbations leading to a It{\^o}, Stratonovich and canonical (Marcus) stochastic differential equation. The respective asymptotic first exit time and location problem from each of the domains of attractions in case of inward pointing vector fields in the limit of ε-> 0 has been investigated by the authors. We extend these results to domains with characteristic boundaries and show that the perturbed system exhibits a metastable behavior in the sense that there exits a unique ε-dependent time scale on which the random system converges to a continuous time Markov chain switching between the invariant measures. As examples we consider α-stable perturbations of the Duffing equation and a chemical system exhibiting a birhythmic behavior.}, language = {en} } @unpublished{GairingHoegeleKosenkovaetal.2014, author = {Gairing, Jan and H{\"o}gele, Michael and Kosenkova, Tetiana and Kulik, Alexei Michajlovič}, title = {On the calibration of L{\´e}vy driven time series with coupling distances : an application in paleoclimate}, volume = {3}, number = {2}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {2193-6943}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-69781}, pages = {18}, year = {2014}, abstract = {This article aims at the statistical assessment of time series with large fluctuations in short time, which are assumed to stem from a continuous process perturbed by a L{\´e}vy process exhibiting a heavy tail behavior. We propose an easily implementable procedure to estimate efficiently the statistical difference between the noisy behavior of the data and a given reference jump measure in terms of so-called coupling distances. After a short introduction to L{\´e}vy processes and coupling distances we recall basic statistical approximation results and derive rates of convergence. In the sequel the procedure is elaborated in detail in an abstract setting and eventually applied in a case study to simulated and paleoclimate data. It indicates the dominant presence of a non-stable heavy-tailed jump L{\´e}vy component for some tail index greater than 2.}, language = {en} } @unpublished{GairingHoegeleKosenkovaetal.2013, author = {Gairing, Jan and H{\"o}gele, Michael and Kosenkova, Tetiana and Kulik, Alexei Michajlovič}, title = {Coupling distances between L{\´e}vy measures and applications to noise sensitivity of SDE}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-68886}, year = {2013}, abstract = {We introduce the notion of coupling distances on the space of L{\´e}vy measures in order to quantify rates of convergence towards a limiting L{\´e}vy jump diffusion in terms of its characteristic triplet, in particular in terms of the tail of the L{\´e}vy measure. The main result yields an estimate of the Wasserstein-Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance on path space between two L{\´e}vy diffusions in terms of the couping distances. We want to apply this to obtain precise rates of convergence for Markov chain approximations and a statistical goodness-of-fit test for low-dimensional conceptual climate models with paleoclimatic data.}, language = {en} } @unpublished{HoegeleRuffino2013, author = {H{\"o}gele, Michael and Ruffino, Paulo}, title = {Averaging along L{\´e}vy diffusions in foliated spaces}, issn = {2193-6943}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-64926}, year = {2013}, abstract = {We consider an SDE driven by a L{\´e}vy noise on a foliated manifold, whose trajectories stay on compact leaves. We determine the effective behavior of the system subject to a small smooth transversal perturbation of positive order epsilon. More precisely, we show that the average of the transversal component of the SDE converges to the solution of a deterministic ODE, according to the average of the perturbing vector field with respect to the invariant measures on the leaves (of the unpertubed system) as epsilon goes to 0. In particular we give upper bounds for the rates of convergence. The main results which are proved for pure jump L{\´e}vy processes complement the result by Gargate and Ruffino for Stratonovich SDEs to L{\´e}vy driven SDEs of Marcus type.}, language = {en} }