@article{BronstertdeAraujoBatallaVillanuevaetal.2014,
  author    = {Bronstert, Axel and de Araujo, Jose-Carlos and Batalla Villanueva, Ramon J. and Costa, Alexandre Cunha and Delgado, Jos{\´e} Miguel Martins and Francke, Till and F{\"o}rster, Saskia and Guentner, Andreas and Lopez-Tarazon, Jos{\´e} Andr{\´e}s and Mamede, George Leite and Medeiros, Pedro Henrique Augusto and Mueller, Eva and Vericat, Damia},
  title     = {Process-based modelling of erosion, sediment transport and reservoir siltation in mesoscale semi-arid catchments},
  series = {Journal of soils and sediments : protection, risk assessment and remediation},
  volume    = {14},
  journal   = {Journal of soils and sediments : protection, risk assessment and remediation},
  number    = {12},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {Heidelberg},
  issn      = {1439-0108},
  doi       = {10.1007/s11368-014-0994-1},
  pages     = {2001 -- 2018},
  year      = {2014},
  abstract  = {To support scientifically sound water management in dryland environments a modelling system has been developed for the quantitative assessment of water and sediment fluxes in catchments, transport in the river system, and retention in reservoirs. The spatial scale of interest is the mesoscale because this is the scale most relevant for management of water and land resources. This modelling system comprises process-oriented hydrological components tailored for dryland characteristics coupled with components comprising hillslope erosion, sediment transport and reservoir deposition processes. The spatial discretization is hierarchically designed according to a multi-scale concept to account for particular relevant process scales. The non-linear and partly intermittent run-off generation and sediment dynamics are dealt with by accounting for connectivity phenomena at the intersections of landscape compartments. The modelling system has been developed by means of data from nested research catchments in NE-Spain and in NE-Brazil. In the semi-arid NE of Brazil sediment retention along the topography is the main process for sediment retention at all scales, i.e. the sediment delivery is transport limited. This kind of deposition retains roughly 50 to 60 \% of eroded sediment, maintaining a similar deposition proportion in all spatial scales investigated. On the other hand, the sediment retained in reservoirs is clearly related to the scale, increasing with catchment area. With increasing area, there are more reservoirs, increasing the possibility of deposition. Furthermore, the area increase also promotes an increase in flow volume, favouring the construction of larger reservoirs, which generally overflow less frequently and retain higher sediment fractions. The second example comprises a highly dynamic Mediterranean catchment in NE-Spain with nested sub-catchments and reveals the full dynamics of hydrological, erosion and deposition features. The run-off modelling performed well with only some overestimation during low-flow periods due to the neglect of water losses along the river. The simulated peaks in sediment flux are reproduced well, while low-flow sediment transport is less well captured, due to the disregard of sediment remobilization in the riverbed during low flow. This combined observation and modelling study deepened the understanding of hydro-sedimentological systems characterized by flashy run-off generation and by erosion and sediment transport pulses through the different landscape compartments. The connectivity between the different landscape compartments plays a very relevant role, regarding both the total mass of water and sediment transport and the transport time through the catchment.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CostaBronstertKneis2012,
  author    = {Costa, Alexandre Cunha and Bronstert, Axel and Kneis, David},
  title     = {Probabilistic flood forecasting for a mountainous headwater catchment using a nonparametric stochastic dynamic approach},
  series = {Hydrological sciences journal = Journal des sciences hydrologiques},
  volume    = {57},
  journal   = {Hydrological sciences journal = Journal des sciences hydrologiques},
  number    = {1},
  publisher = {Routledge, Taylor \& Francis Group},
  address   = {Abingdon},
  issn      = {0262-6667},
  doi       = {10.1080/02626667.2011.637043},
  pages     = {10 -- 25},
  year      = {2012},
  abstract  = {Hydrological models are commonly used to perform real-time runoff forecasting for flood warning. Their application requires catchment characteristics and precipitation series that are not always available. An alternative approach is nonparametric modelling based only on runoff series. However, the following questions arise: Can nonparametric models show reliable forecasting? Can they perform as reliably as hydrological models? We performed probabilistic forecasting one, two and three hours ahead for a runoff series, with the aim of ascribing a probability density function to predicted discharge using time series analysis based on stochastic dynamics theory. The derived dynamic terms were compared to a hydrological model, LARSIM. Our procedure was able to forecast within 95\% confidence interval 1-, 2- and 3-h ahead discharge probability functions with about 1.40 m(3)/s of range and relative errors (\%) in the range [-30; 30]. The LARSIM model and the best nonparametric approaches gave similar results, but the range of relative errors was larger for the nonparametric approaches.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CostaFoersterdeAraujoetal.2013,
  author    = {Costa, Alexandre Cunha and F{\"o}rster, Saskia and de Araujo, Jose Carlos and Bronstert, Axel},
  title     = {Analysis of channel transmission losses in a dryland river reach in north-eastern Brazil using streamflow series, groundwater level series and multi-temporal satellite data},
  series = {Hydrological processes},
  volume    = {27},
  journal   = {Hydrological processes},
  number    = {7},
  publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell},
  address   = {Hoboken},
  issn      = {1099-1085},
  doi       = {10.1002/hyp.9243},
  pages     = {1046 -- 1060},
  year      = {2013},
  abstract  = {Scarcity of hydrological data, especially streamflow discharge and groundwater level series, restricts the understanding of channel transmission losses (TL) in drylands. Furthermore, the lack of information on spatial river dynamics encompasses high uncertainty on TL analysis in large rivers. The objective of this study was to combine the information from streamflow and groundwater level series with multi-temporal satellite data to derive a hydrological concept of TL for a reach of the Middle Jaguaribe River (MJR) in semi-arid north-eastern Brazil. Based on this analysis, we proposed strategies for its modelling and simulation. TL take place in an alluvium, where river and groundwater can be considered to be hydraulically connected. Most losses certainly infiltrated only through streambed and levees and not through the flood plains, as could be shown by satellite image analysis. TL events whose input river flows were smaller than a threshold did not reach the outlet of the MJR. TL events whose input flows were higher than this threshold reached the outlet losing on average 30\% of their input. During the dry seasons (DS) and at the beginning of rainy seasons (DS/BRS), no river flow is expected for pre-events, and events have vertical infiltration into the alluvium. At the middle and the end of the rainy seasons (MRS/ERS), river flow sustained by base flow occurs before/after events, and lateral infiltration into the alluvium plays a major role. Thus, the MJR shifts from being a losing river at DS/BRS to become a losing/gaining (mostly losing) river at MRS/ERS. A model of this system has to include the coupling of river and groundwater flow processes linked by a leakage approach.},
  language  = {en}
}