@article{BenderBertheauKoerppenetal.2022, author = {Bender, Benedict and Bertheau, Clementine and K{\"o}rppen, Tim and Lauppe, Hannah and Gronau, Norbert}, title = {A proposal for future data organization in enterprise systems}, series = {Information systems and e-business management}, volume = {20}, journal = {Information systems and e-business management}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Heidelberg}, issn = {1617-9846}, doi = {10.1007/s10257-022-00555-6}, pages = {441 -- 494}, year = {2022}, abstract = {The digital transformation sets new requirements to all classes of enterprise systems in companies. ERP systems in particular, which represent the dominant class of enterprise systems, are struggling to meet the new requirements at all levels of the architecture. Therefore, there is an urgent need to reconsider the overall architecture of the systems and address the root of the related issues. Given that many restrictions ERP pose on their adaptability are related to the standardization of data, the database layer of ERP systems is addressed. Since database serve as the foundation for data storage and retrieval, they limit the flexibility of enterprise systems and the chance to adapt to new requirements accordingly. So far, relational databases are widely used. Using a systematic literature approach, recent requirements for ERP systems were identified. Prominent database approaches were assessed against the 23 requirements identified. The results reveal the strengths and weaknesses of recent database approaches. To this end, the results highlight the demand to combine multiple database approaches to fulfill recent business requirements. From a conceptual point of view, this paper supports the idea of federated databases which are interoperable to fulfill future requirements and support business operation. This research forms the basis for renewal of the current generation of ERP systems and proposes to ERP vendors to use different database concepts in the future.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Krummenauer2022, author = {Krummenauer, Linda}, title = {Global heat adaptation among urban populations and its evolution under different climate futures}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-55929}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-559294}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xix, 161}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Heat and increasing ambient temperatures under climate change represent a serious threat to human health in cities. Heat exposure has been studied extensively at a global scale. Studies comparing a defined temperature threshold with the future daytime temperature during a certain period of time, had concluded an increase in threat to human health. Such findings however do not explicitly account for possible changes in future human heat adaptation and might even overestimate heat exposure. Thus, heat adaptation and its development is still unclear. Human heat adaptation refers to the local temperature to which populations are adjusted to. It can be inferred from the lowest point of the U- or V-shaped heat-mortality relationship (HMR), the Minimum Mortality Temperature (MMT). While epidemiological studies inform on the MMT at the city scale for case studies, a general model applicable at the global scale to infer on temporal change in MMTs had not yet been realised. The conventional approach depends on data availability, their robustness, and on the access to daily mortality records at the city scale. Thorough analysis however must account for future changes in the MMT as heat adaptation happens partially passively. Human heat adaptation consists of two aspects: (1) the intensity of the heat hazard that is still tolerated by human populations, meaning the heat burden they can bear and (2) the wealth-induced technological, social and behavioural measures that can be employed to avoid heat exposure. The objective of this thesis is to investigate and quantify human heat adaptation among urban populations at a global scale under the current climate and to project future adaptation under climate change until the end of the century. To date, this has not yet been accomplished. The evaluation of global heat adaptation among urban populations and its evolution under climate change comprises three levels of analysis. First, using the example of Germany, the MMT is calculated at the city level by applying the conventional method. Second, this thesis compiles a data pool of 400 urban MMTs to develop and train a new model capable of estimating MMTs on the basis of physical and socio-economic city characteristics using multivariate non-linear multivariate regression. The MMT is successfully described as a function of the current climate, the topography and the socio-economic standard, independently of daily mortality data for cities around the world. The city-specific MMT estimates represents a measure of human heat adaptation among the urban population. In a final third analysis, the model to derive human heat adaptation was adjusted to be driven by projected climate and socio-economic variables for the future. This allowed for estimation of the MMT and its change for 3 820 cities worldwide for different combinations of climate trajectories and socio-economic pathways until 2100. The knowledge on the evolution of heat adaptation in the future is a novelty as mostly heat exposure and its future development had been researched. In this work, changes in heat adaptation and exposure were analysed jointly. A wide range of possible health-related outcomes up to 2100 was the result, of which two scenarios with the highest socio-economic developments but opposing strong warming levels were highlighted for comparison. Strong economic growth based upon fossil fuel exploitation is associated with a high gain in heat adaptation, but may not be able to compensate for the associated negative health effects due to increased heat exposure in 30\% to 40\% of the cities investigated caused by severe climate change. A slightly less strong, but sustainable growth brings moderate gains in heat adaptation but a lower heat exposure and exposure reductions in 80\% to 84\% of the cities in terms of frequency (number of days exceeding the MMT) and intensity (magnitude of the MMT exceedance) due to a milder global warming. Choosing a 2 ° C compatible development by 2100 would therefore lower the risk of heat-related mortality at the end of the century. In summary, this thesis makes diverse and multidisciplinary contributions to a deeper understanding of human adaptation to heat under the current and the future climate. It is one of the first studies to carry out a systematic and statistical analysis of urban characteristics which are useful as MMT drivers to establish a generalised model of human heat adaptation, applicable at the global level. A broad range of possible heat-related health options for various future scenarios was shown for the first time. This work is of relevance for the assessment of heat-health impacts in regions where mortality data are not accessible or missing. The results are useful for health care planning at the meso- and macro-level and to urban- and climate change adaptation planning. Lastly, beyond having met the posed objective, this thesis advances research towards a global future impact assessment of heat on human health by providing an alternative method of MMT estimation, that is spatially and temporally flexible in its application.}, language = {en} } @misc{KruseGerdesKathetal.2018, author = {Kruse, Stefan and Gerdes, Alexander and Kath, Nadja J. and Herzschuh, Ulrike}, title = {Implementing spatially explicit wind-driven seed and pollen dispersal in the individual-based larch simulation model}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {929}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-44597}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-445978}, pages = {4451 -- 4467}, year = {2018}, abstract = {It is of major interest to estimate the feedback of arctic ecosystems to the global warming we expect in upcoming decades. The speed of this response is driven by the potential of species to migrate, tracking their climate optimum. For this, sessile plants have to produce and disperse seeds to newly available habitats, and pollination of ovules is needed for the seeds to be viable. These two processes are also the vectors that pass genetic information through a population. A restricted exchange among subpopulations might lead to a maladapted population due to diversity losses. Hence, a realistic implementation of these dispersal processes into a simulation model would allow an assessment of the importance of diversity for the migration of plant species in various environments worldwide. To date, dynamic global vegetation models have been optimized for a global application and overestimate the migration of biome shifts in currently warming temperatures. We hypothesize that this is caused by neglecting important fine-scale processes, which are necessary to estimate realistic vegetation trajectories. Recently, we built and parameterized a simulation model LAVESI for larches that dominate the latitudinal treelines in the northernmost areas of Siberia. In this study, we updated the vegetation model by including seed and pollen dispersal driven by wind speed and direction. The seed dispersal is modelled as a ballistic flight, and for the pollination of ovules of seeds produced, we implemented a wind-determined and distance-dependent probability distribution function using a von Mises distribution to select the pollen donor. A local sensitivity analysis of both processes supported the robustness of the model's results to the parameterization, although it highlighted the importance of recruitment and seed dispersal traits for migration rates. This individual-based and spatially explicit implementation of both dispersal processes makes it easily feasible to inherit plant traits and genetic information to assess the impact of migration processes on the genetics. Finally, we suggest how the final model can be applied to substantially help in unveiling the important drivers of migration dynamics and, with this, guide the improvement of recent global vegetation models.}, language = {en} } @misc{LachmairRuizFernandezBuryetal.2016, author = {Lachmair, Martin and Ruiz Fernandez, Susana and Bury, Nils-Alexander and Gerjets, Peter and Fischer, Martin H. and Bock, Otmar L.}, title = {How body orientation affects concepts of space, time and valence}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Humanwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Humanwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {505}, issn = {1866-8364}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41094}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-410942}, pages = {16}, year = {2016}, abstract = {The aim of the present study was to test the functional relevance of the spatial concepts UP or DOWN for words that use these concepts either literally (space) or metaphorically (time, valence). A functional relevance would imply a symmetrical relationship between the spatial concepts and words related to these concepts, showing that processing words activate the related spatial concepts on one hand, but also that an activation of the concepts will ease the retrieval of a related word on the other. For the latter, the rotation angle of participant's body position was manipulated either to an upright or a head-down tilted body position to activate the related spatial concept. Afterwards participants produced in a within-subject design previously memorized words of the concepts space, time and valence according to the pace of a metronome. All words were related either to the spatial concept UP or DOWN. The results including Bayesian analyses show (1) a significant interaction between body position and words using the concepts UP and DOWN literally, (2) a marginal significant interaction between body position and temporal words and (3) no effect between body position and valence words. However, post-hoc analyses suggest no difference between experiments. Thus, the authors concluded that integrating sensorimotor experiences is indeed of functional relevance for all three concepts of space, time and valence. However, the strength of this functional relevance depends on how close words are linked to mental concepts representing vertical space.}, language = {en} } @misc{FrielerLevermannElliottetal.2015, author = {Frieler, Katja and Levermann, Anders and Elliott, J. and Heinke, J. and Arneth, A. and Bierkens, M. F. P. and Ciais, Philippe and Clark, D. B. and Deryng, D. and Doell, P. and Falloon, P. and Fekete, B. and Folberth, Christian and Friend, A. D. and Gellhorn, C. and Gosling, S. N. and Haddeland, I. and Khabarov, N. and Lomas, M. and Masaki, Y. and Nishina, K. and Neumann, K. and Oki, T. and Pavlick, R. and Ruane, A. C. and Schmid, E. and Schmitz, C. and Stacke, T. and Stehfest, E. and Tang, Q. and Wisser, D. and Huber, V. and Piontek, Franziska and Warszawski, L. and Schewe, Jacob and Lotze-Campen, Hermann and Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim}, title = {A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections}, series = {Earth system dynamics}, journal = {Earth system dynamics}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407968}, pages = {14}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of large-scale tipping points (e.g. Lenton et al., 2008; Levermann et al., 2012; Schellnhuber, 2010) and changes in extreme meteorological events (Field et al., 2012) with complex impacts on societies (Hallegatte et al., 2013). Thus climate change mitigation is considered a necessary societal response for avoiding uncontrollable impacts (Conference of the Parties, 2010). On the other hand, large-scale climate change mitigation itself implies fundamental changes in, for example, the global energy system. The associated challenges come on top of others that derive from equally important ethical imperatives like the fulfilment of increasing food demand that may draw on the same resources. For example, ensuring food security for a growing population may require an expansion of cropland, thereby reducing natural carbon sinks or the area available for bio-energy production. So far, available studies addressing this problem have relied on individual impact models, ignoring uncertainty in crop model and biome model projections. Here, we propose a probabilistic decision framework that allows for an evaluation of agricultural management and mitigation options in a multi-impact-model setting. Based on simulations generated within the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), we outline how cross-sectorally consistent multi-model impact simulations could be used to generate the information required for robust decision making. Using an illustrative future land use pattern, we discuss the trade-off between potential gains in crop production and associated losses in natural carbon sinks in the new multiple crop-and biome-model setting. In addition, crop and water model simulations are combined to explore irrigation increases as one possible measure of agricultural intensification that could limit the expansion of cropland required in response to climate change and growing food demand. This example shows that current impact model uncertainties pose an important challenge to long-term mitigation planning and must not be ignored in long-term strategic decision making.}, language = {en} } @article{HuehnertThapa2012, author = {H{\"u}hnert, Dorte and Thapa, Basanta E. P.}, title = {Vorwort : Lernen - Denken - Handeln}, series = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, journal = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-60900}, pages = {8 -- 9}, year = {2012}, language = {de} } @article{Strassburg2012, author = {Straßburg, Christoph}, title = {Die Freiheit des Geldes}, series = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, journal = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-60693}, pages = {172 -- 179}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Inhalt: - Geld macht uns frei! - Wie wird man zum Schuldenstaat? - Das Gesch{\"a}ft mit dem Geld - Vorschl{\"a}ge f{\"u}r ein notwendiges Umdenken}, language = {de} } @article{Nickel2012, author = {Nickel, Katharina}, title = {Vom Ingenieur zum Tellerw{\"a}scher?}, series = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, journal = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-60681}, pages = {163 -- 171}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Inhalt - Der Fachkr{\"a}ftemangel - ein gegenw{\"a}rtiges und zuk{\"u}nftiges Problem - Neue Hoffnung - gesetzliche Neuerungen - Die deutsche »Willkommenskultur« - Ausblick}, language = {de} } @article{Mueller2012, author = {M{\"u}ller, Jacob}, title = {F{\"u}nf Finger hat die Hand …}, series = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, journal = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-60674}, pages = {154 -- 162}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Inhalt - Zuk{\"u}nftige Entwicklung und Interessenvertretung - Prek{\"a}re Besch{\"a}ftigung im Weiterbildungssektor - Die Erosion sozialer Sicherung und Gegenstrategien}, language = {de} } @article{Partel2012, author = {Partel, Marion}, title = {Was isst die Zukunft?}, series = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, journal = {Perspektiven f{\"u}r morgen : Gedanken zur Zukunft von Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-60667}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Inhalt - Gegenw{\"a}rtige Situation und Prognosen f{\"u}r den Zugang zu Nahrung: Globale Fleisch- und Getreideverteilung - Chronische Unterern{\"a}hrung und steigender Nahrungspreis - Zukunftsmodell 1: »land grabbing« - Zukunftsmodell 2: Insekten essen - Zukunftsmodell 3: »Vertical Farming« - Zukunftsmodell 4: Verringerung von Essensverschwendung}, language = {de} }