@article{Zyla2011, author = {Zyla, Benjamin}, title = {Außenpolitisches Selbstverst{\"a}ndnis}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {20}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62791}, pages = {38 -- 41}, year = {2011}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Zimmer2016, author = {Zimmer, Sophie}, title = {Le renouveau juif {\`a} Berlin depuis 1989 : aspects culturels et religieux}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-96920}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {589}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Die vorliegende Untersuchung verfolgt das Ziel, kulturelle und religi{\"o}se Aspekte der Erneuerung j{\"u}dischen Lebens in Berlin seit 1989 zu erforschen. Die Entwicklungen der j{\"u}dischen Gemeinschaft in der Hauptstadt seit dem Fall der Mauer und dem Zusammenbruch der Sowjetunion f{\"u}hren zur Wiederann{\"a}herung eines Teils der j{\"u}dischen Bev{\"o}lkerung in Deutschland an die eigene Kultur, Religion und Geschichte. Dabei kommt die Pluralit{\"a}t der kulturellen, literarischen und religi{\"o}sen Ausdrucksformen der j{\"u}dischen Identit{\"a}ten zum Vorschein. Die Arbeit verdeutlicht diese in Berlin nach 1989 einsetzende kulturelle und religi{\"o}se „Renaissance". Vier wichtige Punkte kennzeichnen das j{\"u}dische Leben in Berlin nach 1989. Erstens gewinnt Deutschland seit der Wiedervereinigung eine neue Rolle als m{\"o}gliches Einwanderungsland f{\"u}r Juden. Vor allem mit der massiven j{\"u}dischen Einwanderung aus den Staaten der ehemaligen Sowjetunion seit den 1990er Jahren wird Deutschland allm{\"a}hlich als wichtiges Zentrum in der europ{\"a}ischen Diaspora anerkannt. Zweitens bleibt zwar die Shoah tief verankert im Ged{\"a}chtnis der j{\"u}dischen Gemeinschaft; die meisten Kinder oder Enkelkinder von {\"U}berlebenden der Shoah weigern sich jedoch, ihre j{\"u}dische Identit{\"a}t exklusiv durch die Shoah zu definieren. Sie gr{\"u}nden zur Wiederentdeckung und Forderung ihres kulturellen, religi{\"o}sen und historischen Erbes j{\"u}dische Gruppen und Einrichtungen in Berlin, die in den meisten F{\"a}llen alternativ zur J{\"u}dischen Gemeinde entstehen: K{\"u}nstlergruppen, j{\"u}dische Kulturvereine, Konferenzen und Podiumsdiskussionen, religi{\"o}se Kongregationen und Lernh{\"a}user. Damit - und dies ist der dritte Punkt - verliert zwar die offizielle J{\"u}dische Gemeinde an Bedeutung als einzige Vertreterin der j{\"u}dischen Gemeinschaft Berlins; diese kulturelle und religi{\"o}se „Renaissance" außerhalb der offiziellen Strukturen der Gemeinde bedeutet aber auch eine wachsende Pluralit{\"a}t und Diversifizierung der j{\"u}dischen Gemeinschaft in Berlin. Viertens spielt Berlin die Hauptrolle in diesem Prozess. Heute werden viele ehemalige j{\"u}dische Orte neu belebt: Synagogen werden wiederentdeckt und renoviert, Denk- und Mahnmale gebaut, Stadtf{\"u}hrungen auf der Spur des „j{\"u}dischen Berlins" organisiert, Rabbinerseminare neu gegr{\"u}ndet. Die Topographie Berlins bildet auch eine Inspirationsquelle f{\"u}r j{\"u}dische (und nichtj{\"u}dische) Schriftsteller und K{\"u}nstler. Die Analyse dieser nach 1989 entstandenen religi{\"o}sen Initiativen, literarischen Werke und kulturellen Produktionen dient dazu, Aspekte der kulturellen und religi{\"o}sen „Renaissance" in Berlin n{\"a}her zu verdeutlichen.}, language = {fr} } @misc{WutzlerHudsonThieken2022, author = {Wutzler, Bianca and Hudson, Paul and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Adaptation strategies of flood-damaged businesses in Germany}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {1304}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-57735}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-577350}, pages = {13}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Flood risk management in Germany follows an integrative approach in which both private households and businesses can make an important contribution to reducing flood damage by implementing property-level adaptation measures. While the flood adaptation behavior of private households has already been widely researched, comparatively less attention has been paid to the adaptation strategies of businesses. However, their ability to cope with flood risk plays an important role in the social and economic development of a flood-prone region. Therefore, using quantitative survey data, this study aims to identify different strategies and adaptation drivers of 557 businesses damaged by a riverine flood in 2013 and 104 businesses damaged by pluvial or flash floods between 2014 and 2017. Our results indicate that a low perceived self-efficacy may be an important factor that can reduce the motivation of businesses to adapt to flood risk. Furthermore, property-owners tended to act more proactively than tenants. In addition, high experience with previous flood events and low perceived response costs could strengthen proactive adaptation behavior. These findings should be considered in business-tailored risk communication.}, language = {en} } @article{Woop2010, author = {Woop, Gerry}, title = {Probleme europ{\"a}ischer Sicherheitspolitik}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62975}, pages = {87 -- 95}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: NATO EU Herausforderungen}, language = {de} } @misc{Wimmer2004, author = {Wimmer, Willy}, title = {Deutschland einen Platz an der Sonne?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47305}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Wimmer2009, author = {Wimmer, Willy}, title = {Von Sternstunden und Fehlstunden}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32831}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Der 8. Mai hat es in sich. Es ist aber nicht nur die Geschichte. Die Woche vom 8. Mai war in diesem Jahr die 'Woche der Wahrheit' im Bundestag, eine Kristallkugel, die einen d{\"u}steren Blick in die Zukunft erlaubt. Das wurde durch zwei Ereignisse klar, die etwas verband, ohne dass sie zusammen geplant waren. [...]"}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Wang2016, author = {Wang, Victor-C.}, title = {Injury and illness risk factors for elite athletes in training environment}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-100925}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {viii, 84, ix}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Since 1998, elite athletes' sport injuries have been monitored in single sport event, which leads to the development of first comprehensive injury surveillance system in multi-sport Olympic Games in 2008. However, injury and illness occurred in training phases have not been systematically studied due to its multi-facets, potentially interactive risk related factors. The present thesis aim to address issues of feasibility of establishing a validated measure for injury/illness, training environment and psychosocial risk factors by creating the evaluation tool namely risk of injury questionnaire (Risk-IQ) for elite athletes, which based on IOC consensus statement 2009 recommended content of preparticipation evaluation(PPE) and periodic health exam (PHE). A total of 335 top level athletes and a total of 88 medical care providers from Germany and Taiwan participated in tow "cross-sectional plus longitudinal" Risk-IQ and MCPQ surveys respectively. Four categories of injury/illness related risk factors questions were asked in Risk-IQ for athletes while injury risk and psychological related questions were asked in MCPQ for MCP cohorts. Answers were quantified scales wise/subscales wise before analyzed with other factors/scales. In addition, adapted variables such as sport format were introduced for difference task of analysis. Validated with 2-wyas translation and test-retest reliabilities, the Risk-IQ was proved to be in good standard which were further confirmed by analyzed results from official surveys in both Germany and Taiwan. The result of Risk-IQ revealed that elite athletes' accumulated total injuries, in general, were multi-factor dependent; influencing factors including but not limited to background experiences, medical history, PHE and PPE medical resources as well as stress from life events. Injuries of different body parts were sport format and location specific. Additionally, medical support of PPE and PHE indicated significant difference between German and Taiwan. The result of the present thesis confirmed that it is feasible to construct a comprehensive evalua-tion instrument for heterogeneous elite athletes cohorts' risk factor analysis for injury/illness oc-curred during their non-competition periods. In average and with many moderators involved, Ger-man elite athletes have superior medical care support yet suffered more severe injuries than Tai-wanese counterparts. Opinions of injury related psychological issues reflected differently on vari-ous MCP groups irrespective of different nationalities. In general, influencing factors and interac-tions existed among relevant factors in both studies which implied further investigation with multiple regression analysis is needed for better understanding.}, language = {en} } @misc{VolmerBrozus2005, author = {Volmer, Ludger and Brozus, Lars}, title = {Mehr machtpolitische Sozialisierung, bitte!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47605}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @article{Volgmann2010, author = {Volgmann, Uta}, title = {Die politische Debatte {\"u}ber die europ{\"a}ische Verfassung in Polen}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-63113}, pages = {253 -- 270}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Theoretische Grundlagen der Verfassungsgesetzgebung ; Verfassungsgesetzgebung und Verfassungsbedeutung ; Europ{\"a}ischer Verfassungsgebungsprozess ; Verfassungsausarbeitung , Verfassungsdiskussion , Akt der Verfassungsgebung , Verfassungsbedeutung, symbolische Funktionen und Identit{\"a}tsstiftung , Eine Verfassung f{\"u}r die EU-B{\"u}rger ; Die europ{\"a}ische Verfassung aus polnischer Sicht ; Erarbeitung der europ{\"a}ischen Verfassung im Konvent ; Eine europ{\"a}ische Verfassung f{\"u}r die B{\"u}rger? ; Ratifikation der europ{\"a}ischen Verfassung ; Identit{\"a}tsstiftung durch eine europ{\"a}ische Verfassung? ; Vertrag statt Verfassung ; Literatur}, language = {de} } @book{Vogt2012, author = {Vogt, Cornelius}, title = {Strategische Aspekte deutscher Weltraumsicherheitspolitik}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-86956-184-4}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-59287}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {94}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Deutschland hat sich innerhalb kurzer Zeit zu einem bedeutenden sicherheitspolitischen Akteur im Weltraum entwickelt. Am 1. Dezember 2010 stellte die Bundesregierung die deutsche Raumfahrtstrategie vor. Immer wieder ist die Rede von der strategischen Bedeutung des Weltraums f{\"u}r die deutsche Sicherheitspolitik. Eine fundierte und {\"u}berpr{\"u}fbare Begr{\"u}ndung f{\"u}r diese Behauptung fehlt indes. Der Politikwissenschaftler Cornelius Vogt analysiert die strategischen Aspekte deutscher Weltraumsicherheitspolitik. Seine Untersuchung des strategischen Umfeldes, der nationalen Interessen, des sicherheitspolitischen Nutzens des Weltraums und der wichtigsten Anwendungsfelder zeigt, dass der Weltraum zum unverzichtbaren Bestandteil der gesamtstaatlichen Sicherheitsvorsorge avanciert ist.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Uhlemann2013, author = {Uhlemann, Steffi}, title = {Understanding trans-basin floods in Germany : data, information and knowledge}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-68868}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2013}, abstract = {Large Central European flood events of the past have demonstrated that flooding can affect several river basins at the same time leading to catastrophic economic and humanitarian losses that can stretch emergency resources beyond planned levels of service. For Germany, the spatial coherence of flooding, the contributing processes and the role of trans-basin floods for a national risk assessment is largely unknown and analysis is limited by a lack of systematic data, information and knowledge on past events. This study investigates the frequency and intensity of trans-basin flood events in Germany. It evaluates the data and information basis on which knowledge about trans-basin floods can be generated in order to improve any future flood risk assessment. In particu-lar, the study assesses whether flood documentations and related reports can provide a valuable data source for understanding trans-basin floods. An adaptive algorithm was developed that systematically captures trans-basin floods using series of mean daily discharge at a large number of sites of even time series length (1952-2002). It identifies the simultaneous occurrence of flood peaks based on the exceedance of an initial threshold of a 10 year flood at one location and consecutively pools all causally related, spatially and temporally lagged peak recordings at the other locations. A weighted cumulative index was developed that accounts for the spatial extent and the individual flood magnitudes within an event and allows quantifying the overall event severity. The parameters of the method were tested in a sensitivity analysis. An intensive study on sources and ways of information dissemination of flood-relevant publications in Germany was conducted. Based on the method of systematic reviews a strategic search approach was developed to identify relevant documentations for each of the 40 strongest trans-basin flood events. A novel framework for assessing the quality of event specific flood reports from a user's perspective was developed and validated by independent peers. The framework was designed to be generally applicable for any natural hazard type and assesses the quality of a document addressing accessibility as well as representational, contextual, and intrinsic dimensions of quality. The analysis of time-series of mean daily discharge resulted in the identification of 80 trans-basin flood events within the period 1952-2002 in Germany. The set is dominated by events that were recorded in the hydrological winter (64\%); 36\% occurred during the summer months. The occurrence of floods is characterised by a distinct clustering in time. Dividing the study period into two sub-periods, we find an increase in the percentage of winter events from 58\% in the first to 70.5\% in the second sub-period. Accordingly, we find a significant increase in the number of extreme trans-basin floods in the second sub-period. A large body of 186 flood relevant documentations was identified. For 87.5\% of the 40 strongest trans-basin floods in Germany at least one report has been found and for the most severe floods a substantial amount of documentation could be obtained. 80\% of the material can be considered grey literature (i.e. literature not controlled by commercial publishers). The results of the quality assessment show that the majority of flood event specific reports are of a good quality, i.e. they are well enough drafted, largely accurate and objective, and contain a substantial amount of information on the sources, pathways and receptors/consequences of the floods. The inclusion of this information in the process of knowledge building for flood risk assessment is recommended. Both the results as well as the data produced in this study are openly accessible and can be used for further research. The results of this study contribute to an improved spatial risk assessment in Germany. The identified set of trans-basin floods provides the basis for an assessment of the chance that flooding occurs simultaneously at a number of sites. The information obtained from flood event documentation can usefully supplement the analysis of the processes that govern flood risk.}, language = {en} } @misc{Trampusch2005, author = {Trampusch, Christine}, title = {Sozialpolitik in Post-Hartz Germany}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47845}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The article points to the following causes of German social policy reform, as it has taken shape by the so-called 'Hartz'-Acts: the self-inflicted financial crisis of the welfare state, the return of party leaders as agenda setters, and the weakening of employers associations and trade unions in this policy field. Through a large, informal coalition, the political parties have responded to various internal conflict constellations.}, language = {de} } @techreport{ThiekenDierckDunstetal.2018, author = {Thieken, Annegret and Dierck, Julia and Dunst, Lea and G{\"o}pfert, Christian and Heidenreich, Anna and Hetz, Karen and Kern, Julia and Kern, Kristine and Lipp, Torsten and Lippert, Cordine and Meves, Monika and Niederhafner, Stefan and Otto, Antje and Rohrbacher, Christian and Schmidt, Katja and Strate, Leander and Stumpp, Inga and Walz, Ariane}, title = {Urbane Resilienz gegen{\"u}ber extremen Wetterereignissen - Typologien und Transfer von Anpassungsstrategien in kleinen Großst{\"a}dten und Mittelst{\"a}dten (ExTrass)}, organization = {Leibniz-Institut f{\"u}r Raumbezogene Sozialforschung, adelphi research gGmbH}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-416067}, pages = {102}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Weltweit verursachen St{\"a}dte etwa 70 \% der Treibhausgasemissionen und sind daher wichtige Akteure im Klimaschutz bzw. eine wichtige Zielgruppe von Klimapolitiken. Gleichzeitig sind St{\"a}dte besonders stark von m{\"o}glichen Auswirkungen des Klimawandels betroffen: Insbesondere extreme Wetterereignisse wie Hitzewellen oder Starkregenereignisse mit {\"U}berflutungen verursachen in St{\"a}dten hohe Sachsch{\"a}den und wirken sich negativ auf die Gesundheit der st{\"a}dtischen Bev{\"o}lkerung aus. Daher verfolgt das Projekt ExTrass das Ziel, die st{\"a}dtische Resilienz gegen{\"u}ber extremen Wetterereignissen in enger Zusammenarbeit mit Stadtverwaltungen, Strukturen des Bev{\"o}lkerungsschutzes und der Zivilgesellschaft zu st{\"a}rken. Im Fokus stehen dabei (kreisfreie) Groß- und Mittelst{\"a}dte mit 50.000 bis 500.000 Einwohnern, insbesondere die Fallstudienst{\"a}dte Potsdam, Remscheid und W{\"u}rzburg. Der vorliegende Bericht beinhaltet die Ergebnisse der 14-monatigen Definitionsphase von ExTrass, in der vor allem die Abstimmung eines Arbeitsprogramms im Mittelpunkt stand, das in einem nachfolgenden dreij{\"a}hrigen Forschungsprojekt (F+E-Phase) gemeinsam von Wissenschaft und Praxispartnern umgesetzt werden soll. Begleitend wurde eine Bestandsaufnahme von Klimaanpassungs- und Klimaschutzstrategien/-pl{\"a}nen in 99 deutschen Groß- und Mittelst{\"a}dten vorgenommen. Zudem wurden f{\"u}r Potsdam und W{\"u}rzburg Pfadanalysen f{\"u}r die Klimapolitik durchgef{\"u}hrt. Darin wird insbesondere die Bedeutung von Schl{\"u}sselakteuren deutlich. Weiterhin wurden im Rahmen von Stakeholder-Workshops Anpassungsherausforderungen und aktuelle Handlungsbedarfe in den Fallstudienst{\"a}dten identifiziert und L{\"o}sungsans{\"a}tze erarbeitet, die in der F+E-Phase entwickelt und getestet werden sollen. Neben Maßnahmen auf gesamtst{\"a}dtischer Ebene und auf Stadtteilebene wurden Maßnahmen angestrebt, die die Risikowahrnehmung, Vorsorge und Selbsthilfef{\"a}higkeit von Unternehmen und Bev{\"o}lkerung st{\"a}rken k{\"o}nnen. Daher wurde der Stand der Risikokommunikation in Deutschland f{\"u}r das Projekt aufgearbeitet und eine erste Evaluation von Risikokommunikationswerkzeugen durchgef{\"u}hrt. Der Bericht endet mit einer Kurzfassung des Arbeitsprogramms 2018-2021.}, language = {de} } @misc{SprungkvonOppeln2005, author = {Sprungk, Carina and von Oppeln, Sabine}, title = {Bev{\"o}lkerungsmeinung und Elitendiskurs : die deutsche und die franz{\"o}sische Debatte {\"u}ber den europ{\"a}ischen Verfassungsvertrag}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-48051}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The authors argue that the public opinion and the discourse of political elites differ significantly within the Franco-German debate on the Constitutional Treaty of the EU. Moreover, the article shows that the discussion reflects different conceptions of European politics. These differences lead to the claim that the co-operation and the leading role of Germany and France in the EU have to be re-defined. This has to occur in the context of a politicisation of European politics, which is crucial for the future of the enlarged European Union.}, language = {de} } @misc{SpekkersRoezerThiekenetal.2017, author = {Spekkers, Matthieu and R{\"o}zer, Viktor and Thieken, Annegret and ten Veldhuis, Marie-Claire and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {A comparative survey of the impacts of extreme rainfall in two international case studies}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {640}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41843}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418432}, pages = {1337 -- 1355}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Flooding is assessed as the most important natural hazard in Europe, causing thousands of deaths, affecting millions of people and accounting for large economic losses in the past decade. Little is known about the damage processes associated with extreme rainfall in cities, due to a lack of accurate, comparable and consistent damage data. The objective of this study is to investigate the impacts of extreme rainfall on residential buildings and how affected households coped with these impacts in terms of precautionary and emergency actions. Analyses are based on a unique dataset of damage characteristics and a wide range of potential damage explaining variables at the household level, collected through computer-aided telephone interviews (CATI) and an online survey. Exploratory data analyses based on a total of 859 completed questionnaires in the cities of Munster (Germany) and Amsterdam (the Netherlands) revealed that the uptake of emergency measures is related to characteristics of the hazardous event. In case of high water levels, more efforts are made to reduce damage, while emergency response that aims to prevent damage is less likely to be effective. The difference in magnitude of the events in Munster and Amsterdam, in terms of rainfall intensity and water depth, is probably also the most important cause for the differences between the cities in terms of the suffered financial losses. Factors that significantly contributed to damage in at least one of the case studies are water contamination, the presence of a basement in the building and people's awareness of the upcoming event. Moreover, this study confirms conclusions by previous studies that people's experience with damaging events positively correlates with precautionary behaviour. For improving future damage data acquisition, we recommend the inclusion of cell phones in a CATI survey to avoid biased sampling towards certain age groups.}, language = {en} } @misc{SiegShinkoVogeletal.2019, author = {Sieg, Tobias and Shinko, Thomas and Vogel, Kristin and Mechler, Reinhard and Merz, Bruno and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {Integrated assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts including uncertainty quantification}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {708}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-42911}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-429119}, pages = {21}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Understanding and quantifying total economic impacts of flood events is essential for flood risk management and adaptation planning. Yet, detailed estimations of joint direct and indirect flood-induced economic impacts are rare. In this study an innovative modeling procedure for the joint assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts is introduced. The procedure is applied to 19 economic sectors in eight federal states of Germany after the flood events in 2013. The assessment of the direct economic impacts is object-based and considers uncertainties associated with the hazard, the exposed objects and their vulnerability. The direct economic impacts are then coupled to a supply-side Input-Output-Model to estimate the indirect economic impacts. The procedure provides distributions of direct and indirect economic impacts which capture the associated uncertainties. The distributions of the direct economic impacts in the federal states are plausible when compared to reported values. The ratio between indirect and direct economic impacts shows that the sectors Manufacturing, Financial and Insurance activities suffered the most from indirect economic impacts. These ratios also indicate that indirect economic impacts can be almost as high as direct economic impacts. They differ strongly between the economic sectors indicating that the application of a single factor as a proxy for the indirect impacts of all economic sectors is not appropriate.}, language = {en} } @misc{SemkeTiberius2020, author = {Semke, Lisa-Marie and Tiberius, Victor}, title = {Corporate Foresight and Dynamic Capabilities}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {128}, issn = {1867-5808}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-47448}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-474487}, pages = {180 -- 193}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Firms engage in forecasting and foresight activities to predict the future or explore possible future states of the business environment in order to pre-empt and shape it (corporate foresight). Similarly, the dynamic capabilities approach addresses relevant firm capabilities to adapt to fast change in an environment that threatens a firm's competitiveness and survival. However, despite these conceptual similarities, their relationship remains opaque. To close this gap, we conduct qualitative interviews with foresight experts as an exploratory study. Our results show that foresight and dynamic capabilities aim at an organizational renewal to meet future challenges. Foresight can be regarded as a specific activity that corresponds with the sensing process of dynamic capabilities. The experts disagree about the relationship between foresight and sensing and see no direct links with transformation. However, foresight can better inform post-sensing activities and, therefore, indirectly contribute to the adequate reconfiguration of the resource base, an increased innovativeness, and firm performance.}, language = {en} } @article{SchuetteIslam2011, author = {Sch{\"u}tte, Robert and Islam, Rana Deep}, title = {Mehr Debatte wagen!}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {20}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62813}, pages = {46 -- 50}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Inhalt: Zivilgesellschaftliche Teilhabe f{\"o}rdern ; {\"O}ffentlichkeit von unten}, language = {de} } @misc{Schoeneburg2002, author = {Sch{\"o}neburg, Volkmar}, title = {Der verlorene Charme des Rechtsstaates : oder: was brachten die Mauersch{\"u}tzenprozesse?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9451}, year = {2002}, abstract = {This article is a reply to a statement by Elke Schwinger in WeltTrends 31. The author tries to strike the balance between "coming to terms with the past" and the role of criminal law in this process in Germany. The principle of prohibition of retroactive laws, fixed in the 1990 German Unification Treaty and in the Constitution, had been broken in the trials against the "Mauersch{\"u}tzen" (border guards) in German criminal courts since 1990. There is an artificially constructed past which does not correspond to the reality of the border regime before 1989. The author underlines that today the criminal law is misused for political aims within the German unification process.}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2004, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Dramatisierung deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9658}, year = {2004}, abstract = {In the spring issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann (Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe- Universit{\"a}t Frankfurt a. M.) sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a Realpolitik policy generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann this transformation indicates "the deepest crisis of German foreign policy" ever. Hellmann proposes a rehabilitation of the tradition of the Bonner Republik and an active Idealpolitik. This summer issue of WeltTrends features eleven articles written in response to Hellmann by International Relations scholars. The debate focuses on analytical as well as normative aspects of current German foreign policy. The authors discuss the context of the European Common Foreign and Security Policy, the international system and the United Nations, historical aspects of German foreign policy and the German foreign policy discourse. While some contributors share Hellmann's idealist position, most challenge his plea from a more realist perspective. In the upcoming fall issue, this debate will be continued with contributions by German foreign policy makers. A final reply by Hellmann will complete the debate in the winter issue of WeltTrends. Contributions by: Franz Ansprenger, Stephan B{\"o}ckenf{\"o}rde, Wilfried von Bredow, Sabine Busse, Edwina S. Campbell, Hartmut Elsenhans, Hans J. Gießmann, Werner Link, Carlo Masala, Hanns W. Maull, and Siegfried Schwarz.}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2009, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Portr{\"a}t: John McCloy : Erster Hochkommissar der USA in Bonn}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-31503}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"McCloy war nicht einfach nur der Repr{\"a}sentant Washingtons in Westdeutschland, sondern wirkte dar{\"u}ber hinaus als einflussreicher Akteur in der amerikanischen Politik, zumal er {\"u}ber einen direkten Draht zum Außenminister und zur Regierung verf{\"u}gte. Aus gutb{\"u}rgerlichen Verh{\"a}ltnissen stammend, hatte McCloy jahrelang als Anwalt in der New Yorker Wall Street gearbeitet..."}, language = {de} } @article{Schuster2011, author = {Schuster, Ulrich}, title = {Wiederkehr des Immergleichen}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {20}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62829}, pages = {51 -- 55}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Inhalt: Fremdbestimmung oder nationale Eigeninteressen? Schein und Sein der Kritik am außenpolitischen Konsens}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{SarnesNitu2018, author = {Sarnes-Nitu, Juliane}, title = {Mit der Schuldenbremse zu nachhaltigen Staatsfinanzen?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-413804}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {294}, year = {2018}, abstract = {The core question of this paper is: Does the debt brake secure fiscal sustainability in Germany? To answer this question, we will first examine the effects of the introduction of the debt brake on the German federal states in the period 2010-16. For this purpose, the observed consolidation performance and the consolidation incentive or pressure experienced by the federal states were evaluated with the help of a scorecard specifically developed for this purpose. Multiple regression analysis was used to analyze how the scorecard factors affect the consolidation performance of the federal states. It found that nearly 90\% of the variation was explained by the independent variables budgetary position, debt burden, revenue growth and pension burden. Thus the debt brake likely played a subordinate role in the 2009-2016 consolidation episode. Subsequently, the data collected in 65 expert interviews was used to analyze the limits of the new fiscal rule, and to determine which potential risks could hinder or prevent the debt brake in the future: municipal debt, FEUs, contingent liabilities in the form of guarantees for financial institutions and pension obligations. The frequently expressed criticism that the debt brake impedes economic growth and public investments is also reviewed and rejected. Finally, we discuss potential future developments regarding the debt brake and the German public administration as well as future consolidation efforts of the L{\"a}nder.}, language = {de} } @misc{SamprognaMohorThiekenKorup2021, author = {Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme and Thieken, Annegret and Korup, Oliver}, title = {Residential flood loss estimated from Bayesian multilevel models}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-51774}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-517743}, pages = {1599 -- 1614}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Models for the predictions of monetary losses from floods mainly blend data deemed to represent a single flood type and region. Moreover, these approaches largely ignore indicators of preparedness and how predictors may vary between regions and events, challenging the transferability of flood loss models. We use a flood loss database of 1812 German flood-affected households to explore how Bayesian multilevel models can estimate normalised flood damage stratified by event, region, or flood process type. Multilevel models acknowledge natural groups in the data and allow each group to learn from others. We obtain posterior estimates that differ between flood types, with credibly varying influences of water depth, contamination, duration, implementation of property-level precautionary measures, insurance, and previous flood experience; these influences overlap across most events or regions, however. We infer that the underlying damaging processes of distinct flood types deserve further attention. Each reported flood loss and affected region involved mixed flood types, likely explaining the uncertainty in the coefficients. Our results emphasise the need to consider flood types as an important step towards applying flood loss models elsewhere. We argue that failing to do so may unduly generalise the model and systematically bias loss estimations from empirical data.}, language = {en} } @misc{Sakson2011, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Neues deutsches Gedenken?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-52523}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Bedarf es eines neuen Gedenktages der Vertriebenen in Deutschland? Die deutsche Regierung meint Ja. Auf ihre Initiative hin wurde die Entschließung "60 Jahre Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen - Auss{\"o}hnung vollenden" im Februar 2011 angenommen. Dieser Gedenktag soll der 5. August sein, also jener Tag, an dem 1950 die "Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen" in Stuttgart angenommen wurde. Der Entschluss traf im Bundestag auf den Widerstand der Opposition - aber auch auf scharfe Kritik in Polen.}, language = {de} } @book{Sakson2009, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Menschen im Wandel : Polen und Deutsche, Minderheiten und Migranten in Europas Geschichte und Gegenwart}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-940793-09-6}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46871}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {240}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Siebzehn Beitr{\"a}ge aus drei Schwerpunktbereichen der soziologischen und historischen Forschungen des polnischen Soziologen Andrzej Sakson, Direktor des Instytut Zachodni in Posen, sind in diesem zehnten PTB zusammengefasst: zu deutsch-polnischen Beziehungen, zu den Minderheiten in Polen und Deutschland sowie zur Migration in Europas Geschichte und Gegenwart. Der Band bietet zugleich einen spannenden Einblick in das zeitgen{\"o}ssische Denken eines der f{\"u}hrenden Soziologen Polens.}, language = {de} } @misc{Sakson2009, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Warschau zwischen Berlin und Moskau : eine polnische Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32782}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Die polnische {\"O}ffentlichkeit reagiert auf Entwicklungen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen besonders sensibel. Der Autor analysiert die Ostpolitik unter Schr{\"o}der und Merkel und fordert eine st{\"a}rkere Ber{\"u}cksichtigung der polnischen Interessen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen.}, language = {de} } @article{Sakson2010, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Probleme der Arbeitsmigration in Europa}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-63065}, pages = {163 -- 173}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Migranten aus den neuen EU-Staaten ; Folgen f{\"u}r die „alten" EU-Staaten ; Migration und Arbeitslosigkeit ; Ausmaß der Migration ; Sozio{\"o}konomische Struktur der polnischen Migranten ; Kosten und Nutzen von Migration ; Literatur}, language = {de} } @article{RuscheDuplouyKuhnetal.2011, author = {Rusche, Tim Maxian and Duplouy, Florent and Kuhn, Florian and von Oettingen, Anna}, title = {Deutsche Interessen}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {20}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62837}, pages = {56 -- 59}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Inhalt: Interessen, Werte und Normen bedingen sich wechselseitig! Werte und Normen lassen sich als Interessen definieren! Debattenkultur gegen das Informationsdefizit! Was ist deutsch an deutschen Interessen?}, language = {de} } @misc{RuscheBielawskiRiemannetal.2010, author = {Rusche, Tim Maxian and Bielawski, Martina and Riemann, Silke and Reimers, Lutz and Duplouy, Florent and Kuhn, Florian and von Oettingen, Anna}, title = {Deutsche Interessen offen diskutieren!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-41636}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Außenpolitik ist von den Werten, dem Selbstverst{\"a}ndnis einer Gesellschaft und den {\"o}konomischen Interessen ihrer Volkswirtschaft gepr{\"a}gt. In den ersten beiden Teilen dieses Essays zeigen wir auf, wie Deutschland seine Werte behutsam erneuern sollte und welche Bereiche zur Wahrung seines {\"o}konomischen Wohlstands zentral sind. Auf dieses Fundament setzen wir ein Pl{\"a}doyer f{\"u}r eine neue außenpolitische Kultur, die Interessen offen debattiert und klar definiert, um sie erfolgreich durchzusetzen.}, language = {de} } @article{RuscheBielawskiRiemannetal.2011, author = {Rusche, Tim Maxian and Bielawski, Martina and Riemann, Silke and Reimers, Lutz and Duplouy, Florent and Kuhn, Florian and von Oettingen, Anna}, title = {Deutsche Interessen offen diskutieren!}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {20}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62734}, pages = {9 -- 17}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Inhalt: 1. Werte und Selbstverst{\"a}ndnis behutsam erneuern Globalisierung Demografischer Wandel Klimawandel 2. Langfristig {\"o}konomischen Wohlstand sichern Bildung Forschung und Entwicklung Außenwirtschaft 3. Pl{\"a}doyer f{\"u}r eine neue außenpolitische Kultur : Deutsche Interessen - Ein Anachronismus? Status quo: Interessendefinition im Hinterzimmer Interessen klar definieren und erfolgreich durchsetzen Entscheidungsmatrix f{\"u}r Auslandseins{\"a}tze Evaluierung des Nutzens Evaluierung der Kosten Ableiten der Entscheidung Und die Moral? - Aber sicher! Der T{\"o}nissteiner Kreis}, language = {de} } @book{RugeStrohe2008, author = {Ruge, Marcus and Strohe, Hans Gerhard}, title = {Analyse von Erwartungen in der Volkswirtschaft mit Partial-Least-Squares-Modellen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-27010}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2008}, abstract = {Der statistische Diskussionbeitrag untersucht, ob und wie sich Erwartungen und Stimmungen in der Wirtschaft bilden bzw. von welchen volkswirtschaftlichen Gr{\"o}ßen sie abh{\"a}ngen. Als Methodik werden Partial Least Squares (PLS) Modelle genutzt, eine Modellklasse der Pfadanalyse mit latenten Variablen. Die verwendeten Daten wurden vom Ifo-Institut und aus der amtlichen Statistik entnommen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Risse2003, author = {Risse, Thomas}, title = {Die unipolare Weltordnung - Ein soziales Konstrukt : ein Kommentar zu den Kommentaren}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9631}, year = {2003}, abstract = {In this issue, we continue and complete the debate on the future of the transatlantic relationship and of world order after the Iraq war. The debate was initiated by an article by Thomas Risse (Freie Universit{\"a}t Berlin) in WeltTrends 39, which has provoked a remarkable reaction within the German academic community, as documented in WeltTrends 40. This issue features additional comments and the rebuttal by Thomas Risse. Most authors believe that the transatlantic partnership is in a serious crisis, but claim that it remains without an alternative for both sides of the Atlantic.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Radenacker2015, author = {Radenacker, Anke}, title = {Economic consequences of family dissolution}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-100217}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {v, 134}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Welfare states and policies have changed greatly over the past decades, mostly characterized by retrenchments in terms of government spending or in terms of restricted access to certain benefits. In the area of family policies, however, a lot of countries have simultaneously expanded provisions and transfers for families. Bringing together the macro analysis of policy variation and household income changes on the micro-level, the main research question of the dissertation is to what extent economic consequences following separation and divorce in families with children have changed between the 1980s and the 2000s in Germany and the United States. The second research question of the dissertation regards the differences in dissolution outcomes between married and cohabiting parents in Germany. The dissertation thus aims to link institutional regulations of welfare states with the actual income situation of families. To achieve this, a research design was developed that has never been used for the analysis of the economic consequences of family dissolution. For this, the two longest running panel datasets, German Socio-economic Panel (GSOEP) and the US American Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), have been used. The analytic strategy applied to estimate the effects of family dissolution on household income is a difference-in-difference design combined with coarsened exact matching (CEM). To begin with, the dissertation confirmed many findings of previous research, for example regarding the gender differences in family dissolution outcomes. Mothers experience clearly higher relative income losses and consequently higher risks of poverty than fathers. This finding is universal, that is it holds for both countries, for all time periods observed, and for all measures of economic outcome that were employed. Another confirmed finding is the higher level of welfare state intervention in Germany compared to the United States. The dissertation also revealed a number of novel findings. The results show that the expansion of family policies in Germany over time has not been accompanied by substantially decreasing income losses for mothers. Though income losses have slightly decreased over time, they have become more persistent during the years following family dissolution. The impact of the German welfare state has meanwhile been quite stable. American mothers' income losses took place on a slightly lower level than those of German mothers. Only during the 1980s their relative losses were clearly lower than those of German mothers. And also American mothers did not recover as much from their income losses during the 2000s than they used to during the 1980s. For them, the 1996 welfare reform brought a considerable decrease in welfare state support. Accordingly, the results for American mothers can certainly be described as a shift from public to private provision. The general finding of previous studies that fathers do not have to suffer income losses, or if at all rather moderate ones compared to mothers, can be confirmed. Nevertheless, both German and US American fathers face a deterioration of the economic consequences of family dissolution over time. German fathers' relative income changes are still positive though they have decreased over time. One reason for this decrease is the increasing loss of partner earnings following union dissolution. Also among American fathers, income gains still prevail in the year of family dissolution. Two years later, however, they have been facing income losses already since the 1980s which have furthermore increased considerably over time. Zooming in on Germany, family dissolution outcomes by marital status show negligible differences between cohabiting and married mothers in disposable income, but considerable differences in losses of income before taxes and transfers. It is the impact of the welfare state that equalizes the differences in income losses between these two groups of mothers. For married mothers, losses are not as high in the year of event but they have difficulties to recover from these losses. Without the income buffering of the welfare state, married mothers would, three years after family dissolution, remain with relative income losses double as high as for cohabiting mothers. Compared to mothers, differences between married and cohabiting fathers are visible in changes of income before as well as after taxes and transfers. The welfare state does not alter the difference between the two groups of fathers. With regard to both income concepts, cohabiting fathers fare worse than married fathers. Cohabiting fathers suffer moderate income losses of disposable income while married fathers experience moderate income gains. Accounting for support payments is decisive for fathers' income changes. If these payments are not deducted from disposable income, both married and cohabiting fathers experience gains in disposable income following family dissolution.}, language = {en} } @article{Piechocki2010, author = {Piechocki, Marcin}, title = {Probleme der Energiesicherheit aus polnischer Perspektive}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62982}, pages = {97 -- 115}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Maßnahmen auf nationaler Ebene Aktivit{\"a}ten im Rahmen der Europ{\"a}ischen Union Unabh{\"a}ngige Aktivit{\"a}ten auf internationaler B{\"u}hne Literatur}, language = {de} } @misc{Pichler2017, author = {Pichler, Edith}, title = {Double emigration: geographical and cultural?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-395354}, pages = {12}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Already at the beginning of the fifties on the initiative of Italy, negotiations began between the Italian and German governments for the recruitment of migrant-workers, which ended in 1955 with a bilateral agreement between the two countries. Through this recruitment policy and because of the labour-market (Industry and Building) the Italian migration was composed prevalently of men. Female immigration happened in the setting of family reunification and less as an independent movement project. After years of stagnation of italian emigration in the eighties it may also be noted that, since the early nineties, there has been a revival of immigration to Germany. This and modernisation processes in Italy changed the gender composition of the Italian immigration flow to Germany: the distance between male and female immigration is decreasing. A peculiarity of the Italians in Germany is the low occupational participation of women in comparison with other women from EU countries. However, we could observe regional differences, which depend on the migration typologies and the dominating economic structure in the areas. The paper will analyse this different aspects (immigration-processes, migrant-typologies and labour-market participation) by female Italian migrants.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Petrow2009, author = {Petrow, Theresia}, title = {Floods in Germany : analyses of trends, seasonality and circulation patterns}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-37392}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Flood hazard estimations are conducted with a variety of methods. These include flood frequency analysis (FFA), hydrologic and hydraulic modelling, probable maximum discharges as well as climate scenarios. However, most of these methods assume stationarity of the used time series, i.e., the series must not exhibit trends. Against the background of climate change and proven significant trends in atmospheric circulation patterns, it is questionable whether these changes are also reflected in the discharge data. The aim of this PhD thesis is therefore to clarify, in a spatially-explicit manner, whether the available discharge data derived from selected German catchments exhibit trends. Concerning the flood hazard, the suitability of the currently used stationary FFA approaches is evaluated for the discharge data. Moreover, dynamics in atmospheric circulation patterns are studied and the link between trends in these patterns and discharges is investigated. To tackle this research topic, a number of different analyses are conducted. The first part of the PhD thesis comprises the study and trend test of 145 discharge series from catchments, which cover most of Germany for the period 1951-2002. The seasonality and trend pattern of eight flood indicators, such as maximum series and peak-over-threshold series, are analyzed in a spatially-explicit manner. Analyses are performed on different spatial scales: at the local scale, through gauge-specific analyses, and on the catchment-wide and basin scales. Besides the analysis of discharge series, data on atmospheric circulation patterns (CP) are an important source of information, upon which conclusions about the flood hazard can be drawn. The analyses of these circulation patterns (after Hess und Brezowsky) and the study of the link to peak discharges form the second part of the thesis. For this, daily data on the dominant CP across Europe are studied; these are represented by different indicators, which are tested for trend. Moreover, analyses are performed to extract flood triggering circulation patterns and to estimate the flood potential of CPs. Correlations between discharge series and CP indicators are calculated to assess a possible link between them. For this research topic, data from 122 meso-scale catchments in the period 1951-2002 are used. In a third part, the Mulde catchment, a mesoscale sub-catchment of the Elbe basin, is studied in more detail. Fifteen discharge series of different lengths in the period 1910-2002 are available for the seasonally differentiated analysis of the flood potential of CPs and flood influencing landscape parameters. For trend tests of discharge and CP data, different methods are used. The Mann-Kendall test is applied with a significance level of 10\%, ensuring statistically sound results. Besides the test of the entire series for trend, multiple time-varying trend tests are performed with the help of a resampling approach in order to better differentiate short-term fluctuations from long-lasting trends. Calculations of the field significance complement the flood hazard assessment for the studied regions. The present thesis shows that the flood hazard is indeed significantly increasing for selected regions in Germany during the winter season. Especially affected are the middle mountain ranges in Central Germany. This increase of the flood hazard is attributed to a longer persistence of selected CPs during winter. Increasing trends in summer floods are found in the Rhine and Danube catchments, decreasing trends in the Elbe and Weser catchments. Finally, a significant trend towards a reduced diversity of CPs is found causing fewer patterns with longer persistence to dominate the weather over Europe. The detailed study of the Mulde catchment reveals a flood regime with frequent low winter floods and fewer summer floods, which bear, however, the potential of becoming extreme. Based on the results, the use of instationary approaches for flood hazard estimation is recommended in order to account for the detected trends in many of the series. Through this methodology it is possible to directly consider temporal changes in flood series, which in turn reduces the possibility of large under- or overestimations of the extreme discharges, respectively.}, language = {en} } @misc{Muetzenich2005, author = {M{\"u}tzenich, Rolf}, title = {Wandel und Kontinuit{\"a}ten deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9722}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a "realpolitik" policy, generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann, this transformation indicates one of the "deepest crisis of Germany's foreign policy" ever. The first three parts were published in the summer, fall and winter editions (no. 43, 44 and 45) of WeltTrends, which featured contributions of German International Relations scholars as well as experts from abroad. In this issue, foreign policy makers and a Polish expert join the debate.}, language = {de} } @misc{Michel2020, type = {Master Thesis}, author = {Michel, Beno{\^i}t}, title = {Soutenir l'innovation dans le secteur spatial}, series = {MEGA-Schriftenreihe}, journal = {MEGA-Schriftenreihe}, number = {1}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {2701-391X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-43599}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-435997}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {XVII, 59}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Seit dem Beginn der Raumfahrzeit in den F{\"u}nfzigern haben Frankreich und Deutschland zur Entstehung einer europ{\"a}ischen Raumfahrtindustrie beigetragen. Beide L{\"a}nder sind in diesem Sektor Hauptakteure und Hauptpartner. Die Europ{\"a}ische Weltraumorganisation, die sich auf diese zivile und milit{\"a}rische Doppelindustrie st{\"u}tzt, hat Europa auf der Weltb{\"u}hne einen wichtigen Platz einger{\"a}umt. Um die Jahrhundertwende hat das Schaffen von Clustern dazu beigetragen, die Innovation in einem Sektor zu unterst{\"u}tzen, der wegen neuer internationaler Akteure in Frage gestellt wird. Diese Cluster haben sich auf der wirtschaftlichen Ebene des Sektors etabliert: in diesen Organisationen koexistieren private und {\"o}ffentliche Akteure, die von der Forschung bis zur Implementierung der entwickelten Technologien zusammenarbeiten. Zu der Vielzahl der Maßnahmen zur Innovationsf{\"o}rderung in Frankreich und Deutschland werden nun die von der Europ{\"a}ischen Kommission festgelegten europ{\"a}ischen Ziele hinzugef{\"u}gt. Wettbewerbscluster werden nicht mehr als privilegierte Instrumente der europ{\"a}ischen Weltraumpolitik identifiziert wie in den deutsch-franz{\"o}sischen Kooperationsprojekten der letzten Jahre. Die lokalen Kapazit{\"a}ten dieser Organisationen sind nicht den heutigen europ{\"a}ischen wirtschaftlichen Probleme angepasst und erlauben es nicht, sich effektiv in die moderne Raumfahrtindustrie zu integrieren.}, language = {fr} } @article{Mehlhausen2010, author = {Mehlhausen, Thomas}, title = {Die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-63005}, pages = {145 -- 162}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union - Die anomischen Konsequenzen der deutschen Wiedervereinigung Die theoretische Debatte {\"u}ber die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union Deutsche Wiedervereinigung und europ{\"a}ische Integration Schwach sozialisierte Akteure in diffusen Entscheidungskontexten Diffuse Entscheidungskontexte und die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union Schlussfolgerungen Literatur}, language = {de} } @misc{Maull2004, author = {Maull, Hanns W.}, title = {Deutsche Machtpolitik ohne Macht}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46637}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Masala2004, author = {Masala, Carlo}, title = {Don't worry, be happy : eine Erwiderung auf Gunther Hellmann}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46629}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Malinowski2005, author = {Malinowski, Krzysztof}, title = {Konstruktion des offensiven Idealismus : {\"u}ber eine Verantwortung f{\"u}r multilaterale Zusammenarbeit und gute Nachbarschaft}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47618}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Loetzsch2004, author = {L{\"o}tzsch, Gesine}, title = {Vom Sprechen und Schweigen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47229}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Link2004, author = {Link, J{\"o}rg-Werner}, title = {Vom Elend des "offensiven Idealismus" : eine Antwort auf Hellmanns "Traditionslinie" und "Sozialisationsperspektive"}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46613}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @article{LeszkowiczBaczyński2010, author = {Leszkowicz-Baczyński, Jerzy}, title = {Die mentalen Dimensionen der Modernisierung der polnischen Gesellschaft}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-63105}, pages = {235 -- 251}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Die Spezifik Polens vor und nach der Transformation ; Vielf{\"a}ltige Paradoxien ; Oberfl{\"a}chliche Modernisierung ; Schlussfolgerung ; Literatur}, language = {de} } @misc{Lendermann2020, type = {Master Thesis}, author = {Lendermann, Marc}, title = {Die Digitalwirtschaft als Herausforderung f{\"u}r das Wettbewerbsrecht - welcher Reformbedarf in Deutschland, Frankreich und der EU?}, series = {MEGA-Schriftenreihe}, journal = {MEGA-Schriftenreihe}, number = {2}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {2701-391X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-45914}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-459142}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {XV, 61}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Der bislang in Deutschland und Frankreich sowie auf EU-Ebene geltende Rechtsrahmen ist grunds{\"a}tzlich geeignet, um den Besonderheiten der Digitalwirtschaft Rechnung tragen zu k{\"o}nnen. Legislatives Handeln scheint insbesondere dort sinnvoll, wo es zur Effektivierung der Durchsetzung des bestehenden Rechts beitr{\"a}gt. Dies betrifft unter anderem die St{\"a}rkung einstweiliger Maßnahmen, f{\"u}r deren Anwendung Frankreich als Vorbild dienen kann. In den untersuchten Rechtsordnungen l{\"a}sst sich ein inkrementeller Politikansatz beobachten: die S{\"a}ulen des Wettbewerbsrechts werken sukzessive in den Blick genommen und gesetzgeberische Maßnahmen nur schrittweise vorgenommen. Die in Deutschland und Frankreich gef{\"u}hrten Diskussionen und bereits vorgenommenen gesetzgeberischen Maßnahmen deuten derzeit auf eine zunehmende Divergenz zwischen deutschem und franz{\"o}sischem Wettbewerbsrecht bei den Antworten auf die Herausforderungen der Digitalwirtschaft hin. Zum einen, weil die in Deutschland vorgenommenen {\"A}nderungen der Zusammenschlusskontrolle in Frankreich nicht {\"u}bernommen werden. Zum anderen, weil die in Deutschland diskutierten Vorschl{\"a}ge zur Reform der Missbrauchsaufsicht kaum auf das franz{\"o}sische Recht {\"u}bertragbar sind.}, language = {de} } @misc{Leibrecht2005, author = {Leibrecht, Harald}, title = {Außenpolitik und Legitimation}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47565}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Leibrecht2009, author = {Leibrecht, Harald}, title = {Die Außenpolitik der Großen Koalition : Bilanz aus liberaler Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32747}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Deutschland ist wegen seiner verl{\"a}sslichen Außenpolitik ein weltweit angesehener Partner. Jedoch gelingt es der deutschen Außenpolitik momentan nicht, mit den Entwicklungen der globalisierten Welt Schritt zu halten. Bei wichtigen Themen hat die deutsche Regierung zu selten versucht, Stellung zu beziehen. Die F{\"a}higkeit zur friedlichen Konfliktl{\"o}sung muss Hauptanliegen unserer Außenpolitik sein. Als Grundlage daf{\"u}r muss ein st{\"a}ndiger Dialog auch mit den L{\"a}ndern, die unsere Werte nicht teilen, vorangetrieben werden.}, language = {de} } @misc{LaudanZoellerThieken2020, author = {Laudan, Jonas and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Flash floods versus river floods}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {968}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-47397}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-473974}, pages = {999 -- 1023}, year = {2020}, abstract = {River floods are among the most damaging natural hazards that frequently occur in Germany. Flooding causes high economic losses and impacts many residents. In 2016, several southern German municipalities were hit by flash floods after unexpectedly severe heavy rainfall, while in 2013 widespread river flooding had occurred. This study investigates and compares the psychological impacts of river floods and flash floods and potential consequences for precautionary behaviour. Data were collected using computer-aided telephone interviews that were conducted among flood-affected households around 9 months after each damaging event. This study applies Bayesian statistics and negative binomial regressions to test the suitability of psychological indicators to predict the precaution motivation of individuals. The results show that it is not the particular flood type but rather the severity and local impacts of the event that are crucial for the different, and potentially negative, impacts on mental health. According to the used data, however, predictions of the individual precaution motivation should not be based on the derived psychological indicators - i.e. coping appraisal, threat appraisal, burden and evasion - since their explanatory power was generally low and results are, for the most part, non-significant. Only burden reveals a significant positive relation to planned precaution regarding weak flash floods. In contrast to weak flash floods and river floods, the perceived threat of strong flash floods is significantly lower although feelings of burden and lower coping appraisals are more pronounced. Further research is needed to better include psychological assessment procedures and to focus on alternative data sources regarding floods and the connected precaution motivation of affected residents.}, language = {en} }