@misc{Franzke2009, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Europ{\"a}ische Zeitenwenden}, isbn = {978386956020-5}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-39510}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Der Autor skizziert die europ{\"a}ischen Zeitenwenden vom Ausbruch des Zweiten Weltkrieges {\"u}ber das Wendejahr 1989 bis zur Gegenwart. Seine {\"U}berlegungen st{\"u}tzen sich auf die Konferenz "Das Jahr 1939: Urspr{\"u}nge und Beginn des 2. Weltkriegs", die am 9. September 2009 in Posen stattgefunden hat.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Petrow2009, author = {Petrow, Theresia}, title = {Floods in Germany : analyses of trends, seasonality and circulation patterns}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-37392}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Flood hazard estimations are conducted with a variety of methods. These include flood frequency analysis (FFA), hydrologic and hydraulic modelling, probable maximum discharges as well as climate scenarios. However, most of these methods assume stationarity of the used time series, i.e., the series must not exhibit trends. Against the background of climate change and proven significant trends in atmospheric circulation patterns, it is questionable whether these changes are also reflected in the discharge data. The aim of this PhD thesis is therefore to clarify, in a spatially-explicit manner, whether the available discharge data derived from selected German catchments exhibit trends. Concerning the flood hazard, the suitability of the currently used stationary FFA approaches is evaluated for the discharge data. Moreover, dynamics in atmospheric circulation patterns are studied and the link between trends in these patterns and discharges is investigated. To tackle this research topic, a number of different analyses are conducted. The first part of the PhD thesis comprises the study and trend test of 145 discharge series from catchments, which cover most of Germany for the period 1951-2002. The seasonality and trend pattern of eight flood indicators, such as maximum series and peak-over-threshold series, are analyzed in a spatially-explicit manner. Analyses are performed on different spatial scales: at the local scale, through gauge-specific analyses, and on the catchment-wide and basin scales. Besides the analysis of discharge series, data on atmospheric circulation patterns (CP) are an important source of information, upon which conclusions about the flood hazard can be drawn. The analyses of these circulation patterns (after Hess und Brezowsky) and the study of the link to peak discharges form the second part of the thesis. For this, daily data on the dominant CP across Europe are studied; these are represented by different indicators, which are tested for trend. Moreover, analyses are performed to extract flood triggering circulation patterns and to estimate the flood potential of CPs. Correlations between discharge series and CP indicators are calculated to assess a possible link between them. For this research topic, data from 122 meso-scale catchments in the period 1951-2002 are used. In a third part, the Mulde catchment, a mesoscale sub-catchment of the Elbe basin, is studied in more detail. Fifteen discharge series of different lengths in the period 1910-2002 are available for the seasonally differentiated analysis of the flood potential of CPs and flood influencing landscape parameters. For trend tests of discharge and CP data, different methods are used. The Mann-Kendall test is applied with a significance level of 10\%, ensuring statistically sound results. Besides the test of the entire series for trend, multiple time-varying trend tests are performed with the help of a resampling approach in order to better differentiate short-term fluctuations from long-lasting trends. Calculations of the field significance complement the flood hazard assessment for the studied regions. The present thesis shows that the flood hazard is indeed significantly increasing for selected regions in Germany during the winter season. Especially affected are the middle mountain ranges in Central Germany. This increase of the flood hazard is attributed to a longer persistence of selected CPs during winter. Increasing trends in summer floods are found in the Rhine and Danube catchments, decreasing trends in the Elbe and Weser catchments. Finally, a significant trend towards a reduced diversity of CPs is found causing fewer patterns with longer persistence to dominate the weather over Europe. The detailed study of the Mulde catchment reveals a flood regime with frequent low winter floods and fewer summer floods, which bear, however, the potential of becoming extreme. Based on the results, the use of instationary approaches for flood hazard estimation is recommended in order to account for the detected trends in many of the series. Through this methodology it is possible to directly consider temporal changes in flood series, which in turn reduces the possibility of large under- or overestimations of the extreme discharges, respectively.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Biewald2008, author = {Biewald, Anne}, title = {A dynamic life cycle model for Germany with unemployment uncertainty}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-33111}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2008}, abstract = {This work analyzes the saving and consumption behavior of agents faced with the possibility of unemployment in a dynamic and stochastic life cycle model. The intertemporal optimization is based on Dynamic Programming with a backward recursion algorithm. The implemented uncertainty is not based on income shocks as it is done in traditional life cycle models but uses Markov probabilities where the probability for the next employment status of the agent depends on the current status. The utility function used is a CRRA function (constant relative risk aversion), combined with a CES function (constant elasticity of substitution) and has several consumption goods, a subsistence level, money and a bequest function.}, language = {en} } @misc{Wimmer2009, author = {Wimmer, Willy}, title = {Von Sternstunden und Fehlstunden}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32831}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Der 8. Mai hat es in sich. Es ist aber nicht nur die Geschichte. Die Woche vom 8. Mai war in diesem Jahr die 'Woche der Wahrheit' im Bundestag, eine Kristallkugel, die einen d{\"u}steren Blick in die Zukunft erlaubt. Das wurde durch zwei Ereignisse klar, die etwas verband, ohne dass sie zusammen geplant waren. [...]"}, language = {de} } @misc{Krueger2009, author = {Kr{\"u}ger, Joachim}, title = {Stefan Heymann : ein neuer Typ deutscher Botschafter}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32821}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Nach der Gr{\"u}ndung der DDR war es eine Gruppe deutscher Antifaschisten, die an der Spitze der diplomatischen Missionen des neuen Staates auch einen neuen Typ deutscher Repr{\"a}sentanten verk{\"o}rperten. Fortan waren es nicht nur ehemalige Mitarbeiter des nationalsozialistischen AA, die nun f{\"u}r Bonn auf internationalem Parkett agierten, sondern angesehene Antifaschisten [...]"}, language = {de} } @misc{Kraemer2009, author = {Kr{\"a}mer, Raimund}, title = {Mission Weltfrieden? : ein Gespr{\"a}ch mit Dr. Gernot Erler, Staatsminister im Ausw{\"a}rtigen Amt}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32802}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In einem Interview pr{\"a}sentiert Dr. Gernot Erler (SPD, Staatsminister im Ausw{\"a}rtigen Amt)sein neuestes Buch „Mission Weltfrieden: Deutschlands neue Rolle in der Weltpolitik" und gibt damit Einblicke in die Außenpolitik der Großen Koalition und der unter Gerhard Schr{\"o}der.}, language = {de} } @misc{ImhofRudolphUnkrueer2009, author = {Imhof-Rudolph, Heike and Unkr{\"u}er, Angela}, title = {Von konzentrischen Kreisen und Geopolitik : ein Gespr{\"a}ch mit Eckart von Klaeden,außenpolitischer Sprecher der CDU/CSU Bundestagsfraktion}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32797}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In einem Interview gibt Eckart von Klaeden (CDU/CSU) seine Einsch{\"a}tzung zur Außenpolitik in schwarz-rot. Er bescheinigt ihr Erfolge im Bereich der transatlantischen Beziehungen, der G-20 und bei der Europ{\"a}ischen Ratspr{\"a}sidentschaft.}, language = {de} } @misc{Sakson2009, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Warschau zwischen Berlin und Moskau : eine polnische Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32782}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Die polnische {\"O}ffentlichkeit reagiert auf Entwicklungen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen besonders sensibel. Der Autor analysiert die Ostpolitik unter Schr{\"o}der und Merkel und fordert eine st{\"a}rkere Ber{\"u}cksichtigung der polnischen Interessen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Leibrecht2009, author = {Leibrecht, Harald}, title = {Die Außenpolitik der Großen Koalition : Bilanz aus liberaler Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32747}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Deutschland ist wegen seiner verl{\"a}sslichen Außenpolitik ein weltweit angesehener Partner. Jedoch gelingt es der deutschen Außenpolitik momentan nicht, mit den Entwicklungen der globalisierten Welt Schritt zu halten. Bei wichtigen Themen hat die deutsche Regierung zu selten versucht, Stellung zu beziehen. Die F{\"a}higkeit zur friedlichen Konfliktl{\"o}sung muss Hauptanliegen unserer Außenpolitik sein. Als Grundlage daf{\"u}r muss ein st{\"a}ndiger Dialog auch mit den L{\"a}ndern, die unsere Werte nicht teilen, vorangetrieben werden.}, language = {de} } @misc{OPUS4-3101, title = {Blattgold : Bist Du Deutschland?}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32697}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Deutschland ist schwer vermittelbar. Deutsche Kulturaußenpolitik tut, was sie kann. Das Goethe-Institut k{\"a}mpft so f{\"u}r die globale Friedensmacht Deutschland in aller Herren L{\"a}nder. Beim satzungsgem{\"a}ß gestellten Ziel der 'Vermittlung eines umfassenden Deutschlandbildes' f{\"a}llt ihm in seinem Internet-Glossar zu Deutschland dann aber f{\"u}r den Buchstaben C nur 'Cluster' ein. Vielleicht, weil es den Deutschen an 'Charisma' fehlt? [...]"}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2009, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Portr{\"a}t: John McCloy : Erster Hochkommissar der USA in Bonn}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-31503}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"McCloy war nicht einfach nur der Repr{\"a}sentant Washingtons in Westdeutschland, sondern wirkte dar{\"u}ber hinaus als einflussreicher Akteur in der amerikanischen Politik, zumal er {\"u}ber einen direkten Draht zum Außenminister und zur Regierung verf{\"u}gte. Aus gutb{\"u}rgerlichen Verh{\"a}ltnissen stammend, hatte McCloy jahrelang als Anwalt in der New Yorker Wall Street gearbeitet..."}, language = {de} } @book{Kraemer2009, author = {Kr{\"a}mer, Franziska}, title = {Die Politik Deutschlands in der Kosovofrage}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-940793-70-6}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-27673}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {132}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Anfang des Jahres 2008 erkannte die Bundesrepublik Deutschland den Kosovo als souver{\"a}nen Staat an, w{\"a}hrend sich die Europ{\"a}ische Union mit dieser Entscheidung zur{\"u}ckhielt. Die Politikwissenschaftlerin Franziska Kr{\"a}mer untersucht in ihrer Arbeit „Die Politik Deutschlands in der Kosovofrage" das Spannungsverh{\"a}ltnis zwischen eigenst{\"a}ndiger deutscher und europ{\"a}ischer Außenpolitik. Am Beispiel des Kosovo wird die Problematik der Verflechtung von deutschen und europ{\"a}ischen Politikebenen diskutiert. Die Autorin kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass die deutsche Kosovopolitik als Beispiel einer neuen deutschen Außenpolitik und nicht als der Beginn einer Europ{\"a}isierung deutscher Außenpolitik zu sehen ist.}, language = {de} } @misc{Busch2005, author = {Busch, Christoph}, title = {Rechtsradikale Vernetzung im Internet}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9772}, year = {2005}, abstract = {This article asks how the internet has been contributing to the trans-national networking of the radical right and whether the radical right has the capacity to act as a trans-national movement. Taking into account language difficulties, the ideological background of ultra- nationalism and internal disputes, the analysis shows that the radical right-wing transnational networking has hardly developed. Additionally, its internet users' potential is too low to contribute to a stronger trans-national alignment. The obstacles remain despite improved technological possibilities. This is proven by empirical examples of virtual trans-national networks.}, language = {de} } @misc{Buras2005, author = {Buras, Piotr}, title = {1945 und die Polen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9747}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The current series of anniversaries concerning World War II raise the question of how Poland is coming to terms with its past. The article summarises the ongoing Polish debate about the Warsaw Uprising and the changing perspectives on Polish history in society and political circles. The discussion about Poland's view on its own past has great influence on recent foreign political relations, e.g. with Germany, the Ukraine, or Russia.}, language = {de} } @misc{Muetzenich2005, author = {M{\"u}tzenich, Rolf}, title = {Wandel und Kontinuit{\"a}ten deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9722}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a "realpolitik" policy, generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann, this transformation indicates one of the "deepest crisis of Germany's foreign policy" ever. The first three parts were published in the summer, fall and winter editions (no. 43, 44 and 45) of WeltTrends, which featured contributions of German International Relations scholars as well as experts from abroad. In this issue, foreign policy makers and a Polish expert join the debate.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2005, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Netzwerke f{\"u}r Demokratie statt Achsen mit Autokraten}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-8071}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The German Ostpolitik of the Red-Green government between 1998 and 2005 focused particularly on the autocratic Russia. It mostly ignored the other - democratic - states in Central and Eastern Europe. Since this policy failed to improve the stability in the region, a policy change is necessary. Regional stability can only be based on the equal cooperation of democratic states. Germany should therefore intensify her support for the democratic forces in the region and integrate her policy into a common Ostpolitik within the EU.}, language = {de} }