@misc{WutzlerHudsonThieken2022, author = {Wutzler, Bianca and Hudson, Paul and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Adaptation strategies of flood-damaged businesses in Germany}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {1304}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-57735}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-577350}, pages = {13}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Flood risk management in Germany follows an integrative approach in which both private households and businesses can make an important contribution to reducing flood damage by implementing property-level adaptation measures. While the flood adaptation behavior of private households has already been widely researched, comparatively less attention has been paid to the adaptation strategies of businesses. However, their ability to cope with flood risk plays an important role in the social and economic development of a flood-prone region. Therefore, using quantitative survey data, this study aims to identify different strategies and adaptation drivers of 557 businesses damaged by a riverine flood in 2013 and 104 businesses damaged by pluvial or flash floods between 2014 and 2017. Our results indicate that a low perceived self-efficacy may be an important factor that can reduce the motivation of businesses to adapt to flood risk. Furthermore, property-owners tended to act more proactively than tenants. In addition, high experience with previous flood events and low perceived response costs could strengthen proactive adaptation behavior. These findings should be considered in business-tailored risk communication.}, language = {en} } @misc{Wimmer2004, author = {Wimmer, Willy}, title = {Deutschland einen Platz an der Sonne?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47305}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Wimmer2009, author = {Wimmer, Willy}, title = {Von Sternstunden und Fehlstunden}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32831}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Der 8. Mai hat es in sich. Es ist aber nicht nur die Geschichte. Die Woche vom 8. Mai war in diesem Jahr die 'Woche der Wahrheit' im Bundestag, eine Kristallkugel, die einen d{\"u}steren Blick in die Zukunft erlaubt. Das wurde durch zwei Ereignisse klar, die etwas verband, ohne dass sie zusammen geplant waren. [...]"}, language = {de} } @misc{VolmerBrozus2005, author = {Volmer, Ludger and Brozus, Lars}, title = {Mehr machtpolitische Sozialisierung, bitte!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47605}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Trampusch2005, author = {Trampusch, Christine}, title = {Sozialpolitik in Post-Hartz Germany}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47845}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The article points to the following causes of German social policy reform, as it has taken shape by the so-called 'Hartz'-Acts: the self-inflicted financial crisis of the welfare state, the return of party leaders as agenda setters, and the weakening of employers associations and trade unions in this policy field. Through a large, informal coalition, the political parties have responded to various internal conflict constellations.}, language = {de} } @misc{SprungkvonOppeln2005, author = {Sprungk, Carina and von Oppeln, Sabine}, title = {Bev{\"o}lkerungsmeinung und Elitendiskurs : die deutsche und die franz{\"o}sische Debatte {\"u}ber den europ{\"a}ischen Verfassungsvertrag}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-48051}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The authors argue that the public opinion and the discourse of political elites differ significantly within the Franco-German debate on the Constitutional Treaty of the EU. Moreover, the article shows that the discussion reflects different conceptions of European politics. These differences lead to the claim that the co-operation and the leading role of Germany and France in the EU have to be re-defined. This has to occur in the context of a politicisation of European politics, which is crucial for the future of the enlarged European Union.}, language = {de} } @misc{SpekkersRoezerThiekenetal.2017, author = {Spekkers, Matthieu and R{\"o}zer, Viktor and Thieken, Annegret and ten Veldhuis, Marie-Claire and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {A comparative survey of the impacts of extreme rainfall in two international case studies}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {640}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41843}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418432}, pages = {1337 -- 1355}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Flooding is assessed as the most important natural hazard in Europe, causing thousands of deaths, affecting millions of people and accounting for large economic losses in the past decade. Little is known about the damage processes associated with extreme rainfall in cities, due to a lack of accurate, comparable and consistent damage data. The objective of this study is to investigate the impacts of extreme rainfall on residential buildings and how affected households coped with these impacts in terms of precautionary and emergency actions. Analyses are based on a unique dataset of damage characteristics and a wide range of potential damage explaining variables at the household level, collected through computer-aided telephone interviews (CATI) and an online survey. Exploratory data analyses based on a total of 859 completed questionnaires in the cities of Munster (Germany) and Amsterdam (the Netherlands) revealed that the uptake of emergency measures is related to characteristics of the hazardous event. In case of high water levels, more efforts are made to reduce damage, while emergency response that aims to prevent damage is less likely to be effective. The difference in magnitude of the events in Munster and Amsterdam, in terms of rainfall intensity and water depth, is probably also the most important cause for the differences between the cities in terms of the suffered financial losses. Factors that significantly contributed to damage in at least one of the case studies are water contamination, the presence of a basement in the building and people's awareness of the upcoming event. Moreover, this study confirms conclusions by previous studies that people's experience with damaging events positively correlates with precautionary behaviour. For improving future damage data acquisition, we recommend the inclusion of cell phones in a CATI survey to avoid biased sampling towards certain age groups.}, language = {en} } @misc{SiegShinkoVogeletal.2019, author = {Sieg, Tobias and Shinko, Thomas and Vogel, Kristin and Mechler, Reinhard and Merz, Bruno and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {Integrated assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts including uncertainty quantification}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {708}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-42911}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-429119}, pages = {21}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Understanding and quantifying total economic impacts of flood events is essential for flood risk management and adaptation planning. Yet, detailed estimations of joint direct and indirect flood-induced economic impacts are rare. In this study an innovative modeling procedure for the joint assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts is introduced. The procedure is applied to 19 economic sectors in eight federal states of Germany after the flood events in 2013. The assessment of the direct economic impacts is object-based and considers uncertainties associated with the hazard, the exposed objects and their vulnerability. The direct economic impacts are then coupled to a supply-side Input-Output-Model to estimate the indirect economic impacts. The procedure provides distributions of direct and indirect economic impacts which capture the associated uncertainties. The distributions of the direct economic impacts in the federal states are plausible when compared to reported values. The ratio between indirect and direct economic impacts shows that the sectors Manufacturing, Financial and Insurance activities suffered the most from indirect economic impacts. These ratios also indicate that indirect economic impacts can be almost as high as direct economic impacts. They differ strongly between the economic sectors indicating that the application of a single factor as a proxy for the indirect impacts of all economic sectors is not appropriate.}, language = {en} } @misc{SemkeTiberius2020, author = {Semke, Lisa-Marie and Tiberius, Victor}, title = {Corporate Foresight and Dynamic Capabilities}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {128}, issn = {1867-5808}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-47448}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-474487}, pages = {180 -- 193}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Firms engage in forecasting and foresight activities to predict the future or explore possible future states of the business environment in order to pre-empt and shape it (corporate foresight). Similarly, the dynamic capabilities approach addresses relevant firm capabilities to adapt to fast change in an environment that threatens a firm's competitiveness and survival. However, despite these conceptual similarities, their relationship remains opaque. To close this gap, we conduct qualitative interviews with foresight experts as an exploratory study. Our results show that foresight and dynamic capabilities aim at an organizational renewal to meet future challenges. Foresight can be regarded as a specific activity that corresponds with the sensing process of dynamic capabilities. The experts disagree about the relationship between foresight and sensing and see no direct links with transformation. However, foresight can better inform post-sensing activities and, therefore, indirectly contribute to the adequate reconfiguration of the resource base, an increased innovativeness, and firm performance.}, language = {en} } @misc{Schoeneburg2002, author = {Sch{\"o}neburg, Volkmar}, title = {Der verlorene Charme des Rechtsstaates : oder: was brachten die Mauersch{\"u}tzenprozesse?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9451}, year = {2002}, abstract = {This article is a reply to a statement by Elke Schwinger in WeltTrends 31. The author tries to strike the balance between "coming to terms with the past" and the role of criminal law in this process in Germany. The principle of prohibition of retroactive laws, fixed in the 1990 German Unification Treaty and in the Constitution, had been broken in the trials against the "Mauersch{\"u}tzen" (border guards) in German criminal courts since 1990. There is an artificially constructed past which does not correspond to the reality of the border regime before 1989. The author underlines that today the criminal law is misused for political aims within the German unification process.}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2004, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Dramatisierung deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9658}, year = {2004}, abstract = {In the spring issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann (Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe- Universit{\"a}t Frankfurt a. M.) sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a Realpolitik policy generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann this transformation indicates "the deepest crisis of German foreign policy" ever. Hellmann proposes a rehabilitation of the tradition of the Bonner Republik and an active Idealpolitik. This summer issue of WeltTrends features eleven articles written in response to Hellmann by International Relations scholars. The debate focuses on analytical as well as normative aspects of current German foreign policy. The authors discuss the context of the European Common Foreign and Security Policy, the international system and the United Nations, historical aspects of German foreign policy and the German foreign policy discourse. While some contributors share Hellmann's idealist position, most challenge his plea from a more realist perspective. In the upcoming fall issue, this debate will be continued with contributions by German foreign policy makers. A final reply by Hellmann will complete the debate in the winter issue of WeltTrends. Contributions by: Franz Ansprenger, Stephan B{\"o}ckenf{\"o}rde, Wilfried von Bredow, Sabine Busse, Edwina S. Campbell, Hartmut Elsenhans, Hans J. Gießmann, Werner Link, Carlo Masala, Hanns W. Maull, and Siegfried Schwarz.}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2009, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Portr{\"a}t: John McCloy : Erster Hochkommissar der USA in Bonn}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-31503}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"McCloy war nicht einfach nur der Repr{\"a}sentant Washingtons in Westdeutschland, sondern wirkte dar{\"u}ber hinaus als einflussreicher Akteur in der amerikanischen Politik, zumal er {\"u}ber einen direkten Draht zum Außenminister und zur Regierung verf{\"u}gte. Aus gutb{\"u}rgerlichen Verh{\"a}ltnissen stammend, hatte McCloy jahrelang als Anwalt in der New Yorker Wall Street gearbeitet..."}, language = {de} } @misc{SamprognaMohorThiekenKorup2021, author = {Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme and Thieken, Annegret and Korup, Oliver}, title = {Residential flood loss estimated from Bayesian multilevel models}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-51774}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-517743}, pages = {1599 -- 1614}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Models for the predictions of monetary losses from floods mainly blend data deemed to represent a single flood type and region. Moreover, these approaches largely ignore indicators of preparedness and how predictors may vary between regions and events, challenging the transferability of flood loss models. We use a flood loss database of 1812 German flood-affected households to explore how Bayesian multilevel models can estimate normalised flood damage stratified by event, region, or flood process type. Multilevel models acknowledge natural groups in the data and allow each group to learn from others. We obtain posterior estimates that differ between flood types, with credibly varying influences of water depth, contamination, duration, implementation of property-level precautionary measures, insurance, and previous flood experience; these influences overlap across most events or regions, however. We infer that the underlying damaging processes of distinct flood types deserve further attention. Each reported flood loss and affected region involved mixed flood types, likely explaining the uncertainty in the coefficients. Our results emphasise the need to consider flood types as an important step towards applying flood loss models elsewhere. We argue that failing to do so may unduly generalise the model and systematically bias loss estimations from empirical data.}, language = {en} } @misc{Sakson2011, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Neues deutsches Gedenken?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-52523}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Bedarf es eines neuen Gedenktages der Vertriebenen in Deutschland? Die deutsche Regierung meint Ja. Auf ihre Initiative hin wurde die Entschließung "60 Jahre Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen - Auss{\"o}hnung vollenden" im Februar 2011 angenommen. Dieser Gedenktag soll der 5. August sein, also jener Tag, an dem 1950 die "Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen" in Stuttgart angenommen wurde. Der Entschluss traf im Bundestag auf den Widerstand der Opposition - aber auch auf scharfe Kritik in Polen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Sakson2009, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Warschau zwischen Berlin und Moskau : eine polnische Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32782}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Die polnische {\"O}ffentlichkeit reagiert auf Entwicklungen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen besonders sensibel. Der Autor analysiert die Ostpolitik unter Schr{\"o}der und Merkel und fordert eine st{\"a}rkere Ber{\"u}cksichtigung der polnischen Interessen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen.}, language = {de} } @misc{RuscheBielawskiRiemannetal.2010, author = {Rusche, Tim Maxian and Bielawski, Martina and Riemann, Silke and Reimers, Lutz and Duplouy, Florent and Kuhn, Florian and von Oettingen, Anna}, title = {Deutsche Interessen offen diskutieren!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-41636}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Außenpolitik ist von den Werten, dem Selbstverst{\"a}ndnis einer Gesellschaft und den {\"o}konomischen Interessen ihrer Volkswirtschaft gepr{\"a}gt. In den ersten beiden Teilen dieses Essays zeigen wir auf, wie Deutschland seine Werte behutsam erneuern sollte und welche Bereiche zur Wahrung seines {\"o}konomischen Wohlstands zentral sind. Auf dieses Fundament setzen wir ein Pl{\"a}doyer f{\"u}r eine neue außenpolitische Kultur, die Interessen offen debattiert und klar definiert, um sie erfolgreich durchzusetzen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Risse2003, author = {Risse, Thomas}, title = {Die unipolare Weltordnung - Ein soziales Konstrukt : ein Kommentar zu den Kommentaren}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9631}, year = {2003}, abstract = {In this issue, we continue and complete the debate on the future of the transatlantic relationship and of world order after the Iraq war. The debate was initiated by an article by Thomas Risse (Freie Universit{\"a}t Berlin) in WeltTrends 39, which has provoked a remarkable reaction within the German academic community, as documented in WeltTrends 40. This issue features additional comments and the rebuttal by Thomas Risse. Most authors believe that the transatlantic partnership is in a serious crisis, but claim that it remains without an alternative for both sides of the Atlantic.}, language = {de} } @misc{Pichler2017, author = {Pichler, Edith}, title = {Double emigration: geographical and cultural?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-395354}, pages = {12}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Already at the beginning of the fifties on the initiative of Italy, negotiations began between the Italian and German governments for the recruitment of migrant-workers, which ended in 1955 with a bilateral agreement between the two countries. Through this recruitment policy and because of the labour-market (Industry and Building) the Italian migration was composed prevalently of men. Female immigration happened in the setting of family reunification and less as an independent movement project. After years of stagnation of italian emigration in the eighties it may also be noted that, since the early nineties, there has been a revival of immigration to Germany. This and modernisation processes in Italy changed the gender composition of the Italian immigration flow to Germany: the distance between male and female immigration is decreasing. A peculiarity of the Italians in Germany is the low occupational participation of women in comparison with other women from EU countries. However, we could observe regional differences, which depend on the migration typologies and the dominating economic structure in the areas. The paper will analyse this different aspects (immigration-processes, migrant-typologies and labour-market participation) by female Italian migrants.}, language = {en} } @misc{Muetzenich2005, author = {M{\"u}tzenich, Rolf}, title = {Wandel und Kontinuit{\"a}ten deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9722}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a "realpolitik" policy, generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann, this transformation indicates one of the "deepest crisis of Germany's foreign policy" ever. The first three parts were published in the summer, fall and winter editions (no. 43, 44 and 45) of WeltTrends, which featured contributions of German International Relations scholars as well as experts from abroad. In this issue, foreign policy makers and a Polish expert join the debate.}, language = {de} } @misc{Maull2004, author = {Maull, Hanns W.}, title = {Deutsche Machtpolitik ohne Macht}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46637}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Masala2004, author = {Masala, Carlo}, title = {Don't worry, be happy : eine Erwiderung auf Gunther Hellmann}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46629}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Malinowski2005, author = {Malinowski, Krzysztof}, title = {Konstruktion des offensiven Idealismus : {\"u}ber eine Verantwortung f{\"u}r multilaterale Zusammenarbeit und gute Nachbarschaft}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47618}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Loetzsch2004, author = {L{\"o}tzsch, Gesine}, title = {Vom Sprechen und Schweigen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47229}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Link2004, author = {Link, J{\"o}rg-Werner}, title = {Vom Elend des "offensiven Idealismus" : eine Antwort auf Hellmanns "Traditionslinie" und "Sozialisationsperspektive"}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46613}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Leibrecht2005, author = {Leibrecht, Harald}, title = {Außenpolitik und Legitimation}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47565}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Leibrecht2009, author = {Leibrecht, Harald}, title = {Die Außenpolitik der Großen Koalition : Bilanz aus liberaler Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32747}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Deutschland ist wegen seiner verl{\"a}sslichen Außenpolitik ein weltweit angesehener Partner. Jedoch gelingt es der deutschen Außenpolitik momentan nicht, mit den Entwicklungen der globalisierten Welt Schritt zu halten. Bei wichtigen Themen hat die deutsche Regierung zu selten versucht, Stellung zu beziehen. Die F{\"a}higkeit zur friedlichen Konfliktl{\"o}sung muss Hauptanliegen unserer Außenpolitik sein. Als Grundlage daf{\"u}r muss ein st{\"a}ndiger Dialog auch mit den L{\"a}ndern, die unsere Werte nicht teilen, vorangetrieben werden.}, language = {de} } @misc{LaudanZoellerThieken2020, author = {Laudan, Jonas and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Flash floods versus river floods}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {968}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-47397}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-473974}, pages = {999 -- 1023}, year = {2020}, abstract = {River floods are among the most damaging natural hazards that frequently occur in Germany. Flooding causes high economic losses and impacts many residents. In 2016, several southern German municipalities were hit by flash floods after unexpectedly severe heavy rainfall, while in 2013 widespread river flooding had occurred. This study investigates and compares the psychological impacts of river floods and flash floods and potential consequences for precautionary behaviour. Data were collected using computer-aided telephone interviews that were conducted among flood-affected households around 9 months after each damaging event. This study applies Bayesian statistics and negative binomial regressions to test the suitability of psychological indicators to predict the precaution motivation of individuals. The results show that it is not the particular flood type but rather the severity and local impacts of the event that are crucial for the different, and potentially negative, impacts on mental health. According to the used data, however, predictions of the individual precaution motivation should not be based on the derived psychological indicators - i.e. coping appraisal, threat appraisal, burden and evasion - since their explanatory power was generally low and results are, for the most part, non-significant. Only burden reveals a significant positive relation to planned precaution regarding weak flash floods. In contrast to weak flash floods and river floods, the perceived threat of strong flash floods is significantly lower although feelings of burden and lower coping appraisals are more pronounced. Further research is needed to better include psychological assessment procedures and to focus on alternative data sources regarding floods and the connected precaution motivation of affected residents.}, language = {en} } @misc{LaudanRoezerSiegetal.2017, author = {Laudan, Jonas and R{\"o}zer, Viktor and Sieg, Tobias and Vogel, Kristin and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Damage assessment in Braunsbach 2016}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {653}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41839}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418392}, pages = {17}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Flash floods are caused by intense rainfall events and represent an insufficiently understood phenomenon in Germany. As a result of higher precipitation intensities, flash floods might occur more frequently in future. In combination with changing land use patterns and urbanisation, damage mitigation, insurance and risk management in flash-flood-prone regions are becoming increasingly important. However, a better understanding of damage caused by flash floods requires ex post collection of relevant but yet sparsely available information for research. At the end of May 2016, very high and concentrated rainfall intensities led to severe flash floods in several southern German municipalities. The small town of Braunsbach stood as a prime example of the devastating potential of such events. Eight to ten days after the flash flood event, damage assessment and data collection were conducted in Braunsbach by investigating all affected buildings and their surroundings. To record and store the data on site, the open-source software bundle KoBoCollect was used as an efficient and easy way to gather information. Since the damage driving factors of flash floods are expected to differ from those of riverine flooding, a post-hoc data analysis was performed, aiming to identify the influence of flood processes and building attributes on damage grades, which reflect the extent of structural damage. Data analyses include the application of random forest, a random general linear model and multinomial logistic regression as well as the construction of a local impact map to reveal influences on the damage grades. Further, a Spearman's Rho correlation matrix was calculated. The results reveal that the damage driving factors of flash floods differ from those of riverine floods to a certain extent. The exposition of a building in flow direction shows an especially strong correlation with the damage grade and has a high predictive power within the constructed damage models. Additionally, the results suggest that building materials as well as various building aspects, such as the existence of a shop window and the surroundings, might have an effect on the resulting damage. To verify and confirm the outcomes as well as to support future mitigation strategies, risk management and planning, more comprehensive and systematic data collection is necessary.}, language = {en} } @misc{Krueger2009, author = {Kr{\"u}ger, Joachim}, title = {Stefan Heymann : ein neuer Typ deutscher Botschafter}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32821}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Nach der Gr{\"u}ndung der DDR war es eine Gruppe deutscher Antifaschisten, die an der Spitze der diplomatischen Missionen des neuen Staates auch einen neuen Typ deutscher Repr{\"a}sentanten verk{\"o}rperten. Fortan waren es nicht nur ehemalige Mitarbeiter des nationalsozialistischen AA, die nun f{\"u}r Bonn auf internationalem Parkett agierten, sondern angesehene Antifaschisten [...]"}, language = {de} } @misc{Kraemer2009, author = {Kr{\"a}mer, Raimund}, title = {Mission Weltfrieden? : ein Gespr{\"a}ch mit Dr. Gernot Erler, Staatsminister im Ausw{\"a}rtigen Amt}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32802}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In einem Interview pr{\"a}sentiert Dr. Gernot Erler (SPD, Staatsminister im Ausw{\"a}rtigen Amt)sein neuestes Buch „Mission Weltfrieden: Deutschlands neue Rolle in der Weltpolitik" und gibt damit Einblicke in die Außenpolitik der Großen Koalition und der unter Gerhard Schr{\"o}der.}, language = {de} } @misc{KreibichMuellerSchroeteretal.2017, author = {Kreibich, Heidi and M{\"u}ller, Meike and Schr{\"o}ter, Kai and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {New insights into flood warning reception and emergency response by affected parties}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {659}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41838}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418381}, pages = {18}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Flood damage can be mitigated if the parties at risk are reached by flood warnings and if they know how to react appropriately. To gain more knowledge about warning reception and emergency response of private households and companies, surveys were undertaken after the August 2002 and the June 2013 floods in Germany. Despite pronounced regional differences, the results show a clear overall picture: in 2002, early warnings did not work well; e.g. many households (27 \%) and companies (45 \%) stated that they had not received any flood warnings. Additionally, the preparedness of private households and companies was low in 2002, mainly due to a lack of flood experience. After the 2002 flood, many initiatives were launched and investments undertaken to improve flood risk management, including early warnings and an emergency response in Germany. In 2013, only a small share of the affected households (5 \%) and companies (3 \%) were not reached by any warnings. Additionally, private households and companies were better prepared. For instance, the share of companies which have an emergency plan in place has increased from 10\% in 2002 to 34\% in 2013. However, there is still room for improvement, which needs to be triggered mainly by effective risk and emergency communication. The challenge is to continuously maintain and advance an integrated early warning and emergency response system even without the occurrence of extreme floods.}, language = {en} } @misc{Koszel2003, author = {Koszel, Bogdan}, title = {Polens Engagement in der euroatlantischen Zone nach dem Irak-Krieg}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9625}, year = {2003}, abstract = {In this issue, we continue and complete the debate on the future of the transatlantic relationship and of world order after the Iraq war. The debate was initiated by an article by Thomas Risse (Freie Universit{\"a}t Berlin) in WeltTrends 39, which has provoked a remarkable reaction within the German academic community, as documented in WeltTrends 40. This issue features additional comments and the rebuttal by Thomas Risse. Most authors believe that the transatlantic partnership is in a serious crisis, but claim that it remains without an alternative for both sides of the Atlantic.}, language = {de} } @misc{Kersting2005, author = {Kersting, Norbert}, title = {Electronic voting : globaler Trend oder Utopie?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-48004}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The author discusses the issue whether the internet and other electronic sources should be used for elections. Online-elections can make the electoral process not only less complex but also cheaper, thus the analysis faster and more reliable. The lower costs could, in turn, lead to a new impulse on direct-democracy-instruments. Comparing the USA, Great Britain, Germany and Switzerland the article provides information about national strategies, discourses and problems, and shows the different political and cultural settings.}, language = {de} } @misc{Kellner2012, author = {Kellner, Michael}, title = {Agenda gegen Waffenhandel}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-60480}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Deutschlands linke Mehrheit ist gespalten. In besonderem Maße betrifft dies außenpolitische Themen. Gegen den menschenfeindlichen Irrsinn von R{\"u}stungsexporten anzugehen k{\"o}nnte hingegen ein einigendes Projekt werden. Die Kanzlerin hat mit ihrer zynischen Behauptung, R{\"u}stungsexporte k{\"o}nnten Bestandteil von Konfliktbearbeitung sein, eine Steilvorlage geboten.}, language = {de} } @misc{JungKraheBusching2017, author = {Jung, Janis Moritz and Krah{\´e}, Barbara and Busching, Robert}, title = {Differential risk profiles for reactive and proactive aggression}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Humanwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Humanwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {588}, issn = {1866-8364}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-43322}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-433229}, pages = {71 -- 84}, year = {2017}, abstract = {This two-wave longitudinal study identified configurations of social rejection, affiliation with aggressive peers, and academic failure and examined their predictivity for reactive and proactive aggression in a sample of 1,479 children and adolescents aged between 9 and 19 years. Latent profile analysis yielded three configurations of risk factors, made up of a non-risk group, a risk group scoring high on measures of social rejection (SR), and a risk group scoring high on measures of affiliation with aggressive peers and academic failure (APAF). Latent path analysis revealed that, as predicted, only membership in the SR group at T1 predicted reactive aggression at T2 17 months later. By contrast, only membership in the APAF group at T1 predicted proactive aggression at T2.}, language = {en} } @misc{JantzJann2018, author = {Jantz, Bastian and Jann, Werner}, title = {Mapping accountability changes in labour market administrations}, volume = {79}, number = {3}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-403642}, pages = {22}, year = {2018}, abstract = {The article explores how recent changes in the governance of employment services in three European countries (Denmark, Germany and Norway) have influenced accountability relationships. The overall assumption in the growing literature about accountability is that the number of actors involved in accountability arrangements is rising, that accountability relationships are becoming more numerous and complex, and that these changes may lead to contradictory accountability relationships, and finally to 'multi accountability disorder'. The article tries to explore these assumptions by analysing the different actors involved and the information requested in the new governance arrangements in all three countries. It concludes that the considerable changes in organizational arrangements and more managerial information demanded and provided have led to more shared forms of accountability. Nevertheless, a clear development towards less political or administrative accountability could not be observed.}, language = {en} } @misc{ImhofRudolphUnkrueer2009, author = {Imhof-Rudolph, Heike and Unkr{\"u}er, Angela}, title = {Von konzentrischen Kreisen und Geopolitik : ein Gespr{\"a}ch mit Eckart von Klaeden,außenpolitischer Sprecher der CDU/CSU Bundestagsfraktion}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32797}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In einem Interview gibt Eckart von Klaeden (CDU/CSU) seine Einsch{\"a}tzung zur Außenpolitik in schwarz-rot. Er bescheinigt ihr Erfolge im Bereich der transatlantischen Beziehungen, der G-20 und bei der Europ{\"a}ischen Ratspr{\"a}sidentschaft.}, language = {de} } @misc{ImhofRudolph2010, author = {Imhof-Rudolph, Heike}, title = {Wehrpflicht ade - tut Scheiden weh?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-48970}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Wieviel Bundeswehr braucht Deutschland? Und wozu? Das prim{\"a}re Ziel der Bundeswehr, die Landesverteidigung, ist ein genauso antiquierter Begriff wie ihre Struktur. Welche Transformation der Streitkr{\"a}fte ist geboten?}, language = {de} } @misc{HuberKrummenauerPenaOrtizetal.2020, author = {Huber, Veronika and Krummenauer, Linda and Pe{\~n}a-Ortiz, Cristina and Lange, Stefan and Gasparrini, Antonio and Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria and Garcia-Herrera, Ricardo and Frieler, Katja}, title = {Temperature-related excess mortality in German cities at 2 °C and higher degrees of global warming}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-51651}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-516511}, pages = {12}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Background: Investigating future changes in temperature-related mortality as a function of global mean temperature (GMT) rise allows for the evaluation of policy-relevant climate change targets. So far, only few studies have taken this approach, and, in particular, no such assessments exist for Germany, the most populated country of Europe. Methods: We assess temperature-related mortality in 12 major German cities based on daily time-series of all-cause mortality and daily mean temperatures in the period 1993-2015, using distributed-lag non-linear models in a two-stage design. Resulting risk functions are applied to estimate excess mortality in terms of GMT rise relative to pre-industrial levels, assuming no change in demographics or population vulnerability. Results: In the observational period, cold contributes stronger to temperature-related mortality than heat, with overall attributable fractions of 5.49\% (95\%CI: 3.82-7.19) and 0.81\% (95\%CI: 0.72-0.89), respectively. Future projections indicate that this pattern could be reversed under progressing global warming, with heat-related mortality starting to exceed cold-related mortality at 3 degrees C or higher GMT rise. Across cities, projected net increases in total temperature-related mortality were 0.45\% (95\%CI: -0.02-1.06) at 3 degrees C, 1.53\% (95\%CI: 0.96-2.06) at 4 degrees C, and 2.88\% (95\%CI: 1.60-4.10) at 5 degrees C, compared to today's warming level of 1 degrees C. By contrast, no significant difference was found between projected total temperature-related mortality at 2 degrees C versus 1 degrees C of GMT rise. Conclusions: Our results can inform current adaptation policies aimed at buffering the health risks from increased heat exposure under climate change. They also allow for the evaluation of global mitigation efforts in terms of local health benefits in some of Germany's most populated cities.}, language = {en} } @misc{Hoyer2004, author = {Hoyer, Werner}, title = {Außenpolitik aus dem Bauch}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47205}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Hellmann2004, author = {Hellmann, Gunther}, title = {Wider die machtpolitische Resozialisierung der deutschen Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-8027}, year = {2004}, abstract = {German foreign policy is in the midst of a far-reaching transformation. Contrary to disciplinary expectations, this process is neither properly captured by descriptions in the liberal tradition („Europeanisation", „Civilian Power") nor by Realist expectations that Germany is doomed to „remilitarise" and/or „renationalise". However, the key term of foreign policy discourse, „normalisation", is an unmistakable code, signalling a rediscovery of traditional Realpolitik practices which fit Germany's current environment. The paper argues that rather than merely playing the role of an obedient disciple of Realpolitik socialisers, Germany ought to rehabilitate the foreign policy tradition of the Bonn Republic in support of an active Idealpolitik transformation of its environment. The article serves as a starting point for a debate on German foreign policy in the upcoming issues of WeltTrends.}, language = {de} } @misc{Hellmann2005, author = {Hellmann, Gunther}, title = {Der neue Zwang zur großen Politik und die Wiederentdeckung besserer Welten : Eine Einladung zur Transformation der Auseinandersetzung {\"u}ber die machtpolitische Resozialisierung deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47890}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the Spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. The debate was resumed through the Summer, Fall, Winter and Spring editions (no. 43 to 46) of WeltTrends, which featured articles of German International Relations scholars as well as foreign policy-makers and experts from abroad. In his concluding article, Hellmann seizes the opportunity to outline and comment on some characteristics of the debate as revealed in the contributions of his critics.}, language = {de} } @misc{Handl2004, author = {Handl, Vladimir}, title = {„Machtpolitische" oder „nationalstaatliche Resozialisierung" Deutschlands?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47456}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Gruendel2005, author = {Gr{\"u}ndel, Olaf}, title = {Konservatismus in der europ{\"a}ischen Ideengeschichte : Wirkungen in Theorie und politischer Praxis}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47663}, year = {2005}, abstract = {Literaturbericht Rezensierte B{\"u}cher: B{\"o}sch, Frank: Die Adenauer-CDU. Gr{\"u}ndung, Aufstieg und Krise einer Erfolgspartei 1945- 1969, Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt, Stuttgart 2001, 575 Seiten, ISBN 3-421-05438-X. B{\"o}sch, Frank: Das konservative Milieu. Vereinskultur und lokale Sammlungspolitik (1900-1960) (= Ver{\"o}ffentlichungen des Zeitgeschichtlichen Arbeitskreises Niedersachsen 19), Wallstein Verlag, G{\"o}ttingen 2002, 266 Seiten, ISBN 3-89244-501-X. B{\"o}sch, Frank: Macht und Machtverlust. Die Geschichte der CDU, Deutsche Verlags- Anstalt, M{\"u}nchen 2002, 312 Seiten, ISBN 3-421-05601-3. Gauland, Alexander: Anleitung zum Konservativsein, Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt, M{\"u}nchen 2002, 131 Seiten, ISBN 3-421-05649-8. Geppert, Dominik: Thatchers konservative Revolution. Der Richtungswandel der britischen Tories 1975-1979 (= Ver{\"o}ffentlichungen des Deutschen Historischen Instituts London 53), Oldenbourg Wissenschaftsverlag, M{\"u}nchen 2002, 463 Seiten, ISBN 3-486-56661-X. Mannheim, Karl / Stehr, Nico / Kettler, David / Meja, Volker (Hrsg.): Konservatismus. Ein Beitrag zur Soziologie des Wissens. Suhrkamp Taschenbuch Verlag, Frankfurt am Main 2003, 288 Seiten, ISBN 3-518-28078-3. Rill, Robert / Zellenberg, Ulrich (Hrsg.): Konservativismus in {\"O}sterreich. Str{\"o}mungen, Ideen, Personen und Vereinigungen, Stocker-Verlag, Graz 1999, 368 Seiten, ISBN 3-7020-0860-8. Schrenck-Notzing, Caspar v.: Lexikon des Konservatismus, Stocker-Verlag, Graz 1996, 608 Seiten, ISBN 3-7020-0760-1.}, language = {de} } @misc{Grosse2003, author = {Große, Ines}, title = {Ethnizit{\"a}t und Zuwanderung in Deutschland}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9547}, year = {2003}, abstract = {The central focus of this essay is the "politicisation" of ethnicity in contemporary German immigration policy and its underlying ethnic ideology. Emphasis is put on the relevance of ethnicity and how it is viewed within the framework of German immigration policy. The author discusses German citizenship policy and its ideology, which creates ethnic boundaries in order to serve as a mechanism to defend limited access to German citizenship. The effects of the elevation of so-called ethnic groups through privileged immigration are explained with the example of ethnic German emigrants living in the former Soviet Union - the "Auslandsdeutschen" - and the process of their ethnic formation.}, language = {de} } @misc{Giessmann2004, author = {Gießmann, Hans J.}, title = {Deutsche Außenpolitik sollte gescheite Friedenspolitik sein}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9676}, year = {2004}, abstract = {In the spring issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann (Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe- Universit{\"a}t Frankfurt a. M.) sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a Realpolitik policy generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann this transformation indicates "the deepest crisis of German foreign policy" ever. Hellmann proposes a rehabilitation of the tradition of the Bonner Republik and an active Idealpolitik. This summer issue of WeltTrends features eleven articles written in response to Hellmann by International Relations scholars. The debate focuses on analytical as well as normative aspects of current German foreign policy. The authors discuss the context of the European Common Foreign and Security Policy, the international system and the United Nations, historical aspects of German foreign policy and the German foreign policy discourse. While some contributors share Hellmann's idealist position, most challenge his plea from a more realist perspective. In the upcoming fall issue, this debate will be continued with contributions by German foreign policy makers. A final reply by Hellmann will complete the debate in the winter issue of WeltTrends. Contributions by: Franz Ansprenger, Stephan B{\"o}ckenf{\"o}rde, Wilfried von Bredow, Sabine Busse, Edwina S. Campbell, Hartmut Elsenhans, Hans J. Gießmann, Werner Link, Carlo Masala, Hanns W. Maull, and Siegfried Schwarz.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2005, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Netzwerke f{\"u}r Demokratie statt Achsen mit Autokraten}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-8071}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The German Ostpolitik of the Red-Green government between 1998 and 2005 focused particularly on the autocratic Russia. It mostly ignored the other - democratic - states in Central and Eastern Europe. Since this policy failed to improve the stability in the region, a policy change is necessary. Regional stability can only be based on the equal cooperation of democratic states. Germany should therefore intensify her support for the democratic forces in the region and integrate her policy into a common Ostpolitik within the EU.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2009, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Europ{\"a}ische Zeitenwenden}, isbn = {978386956020-5}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-39510}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Der Autor skizziert die europ{\"a}ischen Zeitenwenden vom Ausbruch des Zweiten Weltkrieges {\"u}ber das Wendejahr 1989 bis zur Gegenwart. Seine {\"U}berlegungen st{\"u}tzen sich auf die Konferenz "Das Jahr 1939: Urspr{\"u}nge und Beginn des 2. Weltkriegs", die am 9. September 2009 in Posen stattgefunden hat.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2010, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Chefdiplomat versus Missionarin}, isbn = {978-3-941880-06-1}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-40824}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Die Frage, ob die CDU-Bundestagsabgeordnete Erika Steinbach, seit 1998 Pr{\"a}sidenten des Bundes der Vertriebenen (BdV), einen Sitz im Stiftungsrat des "Zentrums gegen Vertreibung" einnehmen soll, spaltet die politische Landschaft. Die von der SPD beantragte Aktuelle Stunde des Bundestages am 26. November 2009 machte dies erneut deutlich. Auch die neue Bundesregierung ist in dieser Frage gespalten.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2012, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Europa ohne Kompass}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-59881}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Die noch nicht ausgestandene Staatsschuldenkrise seit Ende 2009 hat Europa st{\"a}rker ver{\"a}ndert, als viele wahrhaben wollen. Es stellt sich die grunds{\"a}tzliche Frage des Sinns der europ{\"a}ischen Integration. Vor allem die Glaubw{\"u}rdigkeit des europ{\"a}ischen politischen F{\"u}hrungspersonals hat gelitten. Ohne Kompass wurstelt man sich seit mehr als zwei Jahren durch. Keine "rote Linie", die nicht nach wenigen Wochen {\"u}berschritten wurde, kein Masterplan, der nicht bald Makulatur geworden ist.}, language = {de} }