@misc{Berger2004, author = {Berger, Thomas}, title = {„Back to the Future" : German style}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47434}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Buras2005, author = {Buras, Piotr}, title = {1945 und die Polen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9747}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The current series of anniversaries concerning World War II raise the question of how Poland is coming to terms with its past. The article summarises the ongoing Polish debate about the Warsaw Uprising and the changing perspectives on Polish history in society and political circles. The discussion about Poland's view on its own past has great influence on recent foreign political relations, e.g. with Germany, the Ukraine, or Russia.}, language = {de} } @misc{Busch2005, author = {Busch, Christoph}, title = {Rechtsradikale Vernetzung im Internet}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9772}, year = {2005}, abstract = {This article asks how the internet has been contributing to the trans-national networking of the radical right and whether the radical right has the capacity to act as a trans-national movement. Taking into account language difficulties, the ideological background of ultra- nationalism and internal disputes, the analysis shows that the radical right-wing transnational networking has hardly developed. Additionally, its internet users' potential is too low to contribute to a stronger trans-national alignment. The obstacles remain despite improved technological possibilities. This is proven by empirical examples of virtual trans-national networks.}, language = {de} } @misc{Busse2004, author = {Busse, Sabine}, title = {F{\"u}r ein Voranschreiten der deutschen Realit{\"a}t : ein Pl{\"a}doyer f{\"u}r verantwortungsvollen Pragmatismus}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46588}, year = {2004}, abstract = {Galt vor 1990 das ungeschriebene Gesetz, dass 1948/49 die Bundesrepublik nicht als Staat auf der Suche nach einer eigenen Außenpolitik, sondern als Ergebnis amerikanischer Außenpolitik auf der Suche nach einem Staat gegr{\"u}ndet wurde, stellt Deutschland heute immer weniger ein St{\"u}ck Amerika mitten in Europa dar. Die neue „Berliner Realit{\"a}t" beinhaltet also die Tatsache, dass Deutschland nicht mehr Objekt der weltgeschichtlichen Situation ist, „sondern auch Subjekt, verantwortlich f{\"u}r weit mehr als das eigene Schicksal"5. Der damit verbundenen Verantwortung kann sich Deutschland nicht entziehen. Es ist deshalb an der Zeit, f{\"u}r einen deutschen Pragmatismus zu pl{\"a}dieren, der weniger von tagespolitischen Erw{\"a}gungen gepr{\"a}gt sein sollte, sondern mit Werten (wie Verantwortungsbewusstsein und Ehrlichkeit) und Zielen (wie wirtschaftlicher Wohlstand und Sicherheit) unterf{\"u}ttert werden muss. Daraus ergeben sich außenpolitische Visionen, die das Handeln der Politiker antreiben und legitimieren. Mittelfristig k{\"o}nnen diese deutschen außenpolitischen Visionen immer mehr mit denen der anderen 24 EU-Mitgliedstaaten verschmelzen, sodass hier tats{\"a}chlich eine gewisse {\"U}berwindung der Nationalstaaten - aber eben nur innerhalb der EU - zu beobachten w{\"a}re. Allerdings w{\"u}rde sich an diese Entwicklung unmittelbar die Frage anschließen, ob die neue europ{\"a}ische Selbstbestimmung nur im Verh{\"a}ltnis zu den USA zu gewinnen, oder ob sie nicht viel weit reichender zu formulieren ist.}, language = {de} } @misc{Buechs2005, author = {B{\"u}chs, Milena}, title = {EU-Besch{\"a}ftigungsstrategie : Effektiv und demokratisch?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47829}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The European Employment Strategy (EES) belongs to the European Union's „softer", legally non-binding policy instruments. Many politicians and academics associated its introduction with the expectation for a strengthening of the EU's social dimension and democratic quality. This article examines whether, so far, the EES can be regarded as effective and legitimate. To illustrate this, the author briefly examines the role of the EES for the development of labour market policy in Germany and the UK.}, language = {de} } @misc{Campbell2004, author = {Campbell, Edwina S.}, title = {Berlin : look to the world!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46591}, year = {2004}, abstract = {In the spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Professor Gunther Hellmann made a „plea for offensive idealism" and „against the power political resocialization of German foreign policy". To a long-time outside observer of that foreign policy, this plea is unsurprising, but depressing. In keeping with Professor Hellmann's own willingness, „notwendige Differenzierungen [zu] vernachl{\"a}ssigen zugunsten einer bewussten Zuspitzung" I will comment on the aspects of his argument that strike an American colleague as particularly disturbing.}, language = {en} } @misc{Cichocki2004, author = {Cichocki, Marek A.}, title = {Der hohe Preis der Macht}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47445}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Deimer2005, author = {Deimer, Klaus}, title = {Niedriglohn und soziale Sicherung}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47850}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the need to reform the German labour market, the so-called ‚Hartz IV'- Act cut down subsidies for unemployed people in order to increase the pressure for searching for a new job. By law, low-paid jobs shall be introduced. However, even if this creates employment, there will be a future problem: pensions for these people will dramatically drop below the poverty line. The author argues that, in order to avoid such 'poverty-traps', an alternative social support system should be considered: a 'tax transfer system' with lowered income tax, yet complete reduction of legal exceptions on the one hand, and transfer systems combined with work incentives on the other hand.}, language = {de} } @misc{Elsenhans2004, author = {Elsenhans, Hartmut}, title = {Selbstbeschr{\"a}nkter Realismus und geographisch begrenzter Idealismus}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46606}, year = {2004}, abstract = {Hellmanns Warnung vor einer Resozialisierung der deutschen Außenpolitik in eine traditionelle Großmachtrolle erweckt bei mir viel Sympathie. Seine Alternative finde ich moralisch ehrenhaft, aber realistisch nur innerhalb des Prozesses der europ{\"a}ischen Integration. Ich glaube allerdings nicht, dass das Erbe der Geschichte Deutschlands ein besonderes außenpolitisches Vorgehen erzwingt. Ebenso wenig glaube ich, dass idealistische Positionen, gleich welcher Couleur, bei der Bewahrung von Frieden realistischen {\"u}berlegen sind. Der Berliner Republik haftet ein gewisser Wilhelminismus in der Außenpolitik an. Man will durch Nachholen gleich werden wie die anderen. Die Warnung vor Rissen im B{\"u}ndnis und vor der M{\"o}glichkeit einer Spirale des Niedergangs der europ{\"a}ischen Integration im Beitrag von Hellmann teile ich. Ich w{\"u}rde noch weiter gehen: Auch die humanit{\"a}re Intervention bleibt Intervention. Prinzipien der Menschenrechte sind wichtig, ihre Ausgestaltung, manchmal sogar Teile ihrer Prinzipien aber strittig. Welche Kriterien gibt uns der offensive Realismus bei der St{\"a}rkung der Interventionsm{\"o}glichkeiten draußen, wenn wir dabei keine machtpolitischen Interessen vertreten sollen? Wenn wir nicht alle {\"U}bel der Welt abschaffen wollen, dann muss eine Hierarchie verfolgt werden. Die rot-gr{\"u}ne Koalition hat mit der Ausnahme der Irak-Entscheidung im Wesentlichen das Ziel verfolgt, den eigenen Einfluss innerhalb der westlichen Staatengemeinschaft zu steigern. Hellmanns Empfehlung lautet wohl, dort mitzumachen, wo supranationale Institutionen geschaffen werden sollen. Welches sind die Kriterien zur Messung dieser Ziele?}, language = {de} } @misc{FleischerSeyfried2013, author = {Fleischer, Julia and Seyfried, Markus}, title = {Drawing from the bargaining pool}, series = {Party politics}, journal = {Party politics}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404479}, pages = {12}, year = {2013}, abstract = {This article expands our current knowledge about ministerial selection in coalition governments and analyses why ministerial candidates succeed in acquiring a cabinet position after general elections. It argues that political parties bargain over potential office-holders during government-formation processes, selecting future cabinet ministers from an emerging bargaining pool'. The article draws upon a new dataset comprising all ministrable candidates discussed by political parties during eight government-formation processes in Germany between 1983 and 2009. The conditional logit regression analysis reveals that temporal dynamics, such as the day she enters the pool, have a significant effect on her success in achieving a cabinet position. Other determinants of ministerial selection discussed in the existing literature, such as party and parliamentary expertise, are less relevant for achieving ministerial office. The article concludes that scholarship on ministerial selection requires a stronger emphasis for its endogenous nature in government-formation as well as the relevance of temporal dynamics in such processes.}, language = {en} } @misc{Franzke2005, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Netzwerke f{\"u}r Demokratie statt Achsen mit Autokraten}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-8071}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The German Ostpolitik of the Red-Green government between 1998 and 2005 focused particularly on the autocratic Russia. It mostly ignored the other - democratic - states in Central and Eastern Europe. Since this policy failed to improve the stability in the region, a policy change is necessary. Regional stability can only be based on the equal cooperation of democratic states. Germany should therefore intensify her support for the democratic forces in the region and integrate her policy into a common Ostpolitik within the EU.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2009, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Europ{\"a}ische Zeitenwenden}, isbn = {978386956020-5}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-39510}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Der Autor skizziert die europ{\"a}ischen Zeitenwenden vom Ausbruch des Zweiten Weltkrieges {\"u}ber das Wendejahr 1989 bis zur Gegenwart. Seine {\"U}berlegungen st{\"u}tzen sich auf die Konferenz "Das Jahr 1939: Urspr{\"u}nge und Beginn des 2. Weltkriegs", die am 9. September 2009 in Posen stattgefunden hat.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2010, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Chefdiplomat versus Missionarin}, isbn = {978-3-941880-06-1}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-40824}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Die Frage, ob die CDU-Bundestagsabgeordnete Erika Steinbach, seit 1998 Pr{\"a}sidenten des Bundes der Vertriebenen (BdV), einen Sitz im Stiftungsrat des "Zentrums gegen Vertreibung" einnehmen soll, spaltet die politische Landschaft. Die von der SPD beantragte Aktuelle Stunde des Bundestages am 26. November 2009 machte dies erneut deutlich. Auch die neue Bundesregierung ist in dieser Frage gespalten.}, language = {de} } @misc{Franzke2012, author = {Franzke, Jochen}, title = {Europa ohne Kompass}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-59881}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Die noch nicht ausgestandene Staatsschuldenkrise seit Ende 2009 hat Europa st{\"a}rker ver{\"a}ndert, als viele wahrhaben wollen. Es stellt sich die grunds{\"a}tzliche Frage des Sinns der europ{\"a}ischen Integration. Vor allem die Glaubw{\"u}rdigkeit des europ{\"a}ischen politischen F{\"u}hrungspersonals hat gelitten. Ohne Kompass wurstelt man sich seit mehr als zwei Jahren durch. Keine "rote Linie", die nicht nach wenigen Wochen {\"u}berschritten wurde, kein Masterplan, der nicht bald Makulatur geworden ist.}, language = {de} } @misc{Giessmann2004, author = {Gießmann, Hans J.}, title = {Deutsche Außenpolitik sollte gescheite Friedenspolitik sein}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9676}, year = {2004}, abstract = {In the spring issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann (Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe- Universit{\"a}t Frankfurt a. M.) sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a Realpolitik policy generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann this transformation indicates "the deepest crisis of German foreign policy" ever. Hellmann proposes a rehabilitation of the tradition of the Bonner Republik and an active Idealpolitik. This summer issue of WeltTrends features eleven articles written in response to Hellmann by International Relations scholars. The debate focuses on analytical as well as normative aspects of current German foreign policy. The authors discuss the context of the European Common Foreign and Security Policy, the international system and the United Nations, historical aspects of German foreign policy and the German foreign policy discourse. While some contributors share Hellmann's idealist position, most challenge his plea from a more realist perspective. In the upcoming fall issue, this debate will be continued with contributions by German foreign policy makers. A final reply by Hellmann will complete the debate in the winter issue of WeltTrends. Contributions by: Franz Ansprenger, Stephan B{\"o}ckenf{\"o}rde, Wilfried von Bredow, Sabine Busse, Edwina S. Campbell, Hartmut Elsenhans, Hans J. Gießmann, Werner Link, Carlo Masala, Hanns W. Maull, and Siegfried Schwarz.}, language = {de} } @misc{Grosse2003, author = {Große, Ines}, title = {Ethnizit{\"a}t und Zuwanderung in Deutschland}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9547}, year = {2003}, abstract = {The central focus of this essay is the "politicisation" of ethnicity in contemporary German immigration policy and its underlying ethnic ideology. Emphasis is put on the relevance of ethnicity and how it is viewed within the framework of German immigration policy. The author discusses German citizenship policy and its ideology, which creates ethnic boundaries in order to serve as a mechanism to defend limited access to German citizenship. The effects of the elevation of so-called ethnic groups through privileged immigration are explained with the example of ethnic German emigrants living in the former Soviet Union - the "Auslandsdeutschen" - and the process of their ethnic formation.}, language = {de} } @misc{Gruendel2005, author = {Gr{\"u}ndel, Olaf}, title = {Konservatismus in der europ{\"a}ischen Ideengeschichte : Wirkungen in Theorie und politischer Praxis}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47663}, year = {2005}, abstract = {Literaturbericht Rezensierte B{\"u}cher: B{\"o}sch, Frank: Die Adenauer-CDU. Gr{\"u}ndung, Aufstieg und Krise einer Erfolgspartei 1945- 1969, Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt, Stuttgart 2001, 575 Seiten, ISBN 3-421-05438-X. B{\"o}sch, Frank: Das konservative Milieu. Vereinskultur und lokale Sammlungspolitik (1900-1960) (= Ver{\"o}ffentlichungen des Zeitgeschichtlichen Arbeitskreises Niedersachsen 19), Wallstein Verlag, G{\"o}ttingen 2002, 266 Seiten, ISBN 3-89244-501-X. B{\"o}sch, Frank: Macht und Machtverlust. Die Geschichte der CDU, Deutsche Verlags- Anstalt, M{\"u}nchen 2002, 312 Seiten, ISBN 3-421-05601-3. Gauland, Alexander: Anleitung zum Konservativsein, Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt, M{\"u}nchen 2002, 131 Seiten, ISBN 3-421-05649-8. Geppert, Dominik: Thatchers konservative Revolution. Der Richtungswandel der britischen Tories 1975-1979 (= Ver{\"o}ffentlichungen des Deutschen Historischen Instituts London 53), Oldenbourg Wissenschaftsverlag, M{\"u}nchen 2002, 463 Seiten, ISBN 3-486-56661-X. Mannheim, Karl / Stehr, Nico / Kettler, David / Meja, Volker (Hrsg.): Konservatismus. Ein Beitrag zur Soziologie des Wissens. Suhrkamp Taschenbuch Verlag, Frankfurt am Main 2003, 288 Seiten, ISBN 3-518-28078-3. Rill, Robert / Zellenberg, Ulrich (Hrsg.): Konservativismus in {\"O}sterreich. Str{\"o}mungen, Ideen, Personen und Vereinigungen, Stocker-Verlag, Graz 1999, 368 Seiten, ISBN 3-7020-0860-8. Schrenck-Notzing, Caspar v.: Lexikon des Konservatismus, Stocker-Verlag, Graz 1996, 608 Seiten, ISBN 3-7020-0760-1.}, language = {de} } @misc{Handl2004, author = {Handl, Vladimir}, title = {„Machtpolitische" oder „nationalstaatliche Resozialisierung" Deutschlands?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47456}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Hellmann2004, author = {Hellmann, Gunther}, title = {Wider die machtpolitische Resozialisierung der deutschen Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-8027}, year = {2004}, abstract = {German foreign policy is in the midst of a far-reaching transformation. Contrary to disciplinary expectations, this process is neither properly captured by descriptions in the liberal tradition („Europeanisation", „Civilian Power") nor by Realist expectations that Germany is doomed to „remilitarise" and/or „renationalise". However, the key term of foreign policy discourse, „normalisation", is an unmistakable code, signalling a rediscovery of traditional Realpolitik practices which fit Germany's current environment. The paper argues that rather than merely playing the role of an obedient disciple of Realpolitik socialisers, Germany ought to rehabilitate the foreign policy tradition of the Bonn Republic in support of an active Idealpolitik transformation of its environment. The article serves as a starting point for a debate on German foreign policy in the upcoming issues of WeltTrends.}, language = {de} } @misc{Hellmann2005, author = {Hellmann, Gunther}, title = {Der neue Zwang zur großen Politik und die Wiederentdeckung besserer Welten : Eine Einladung zur Transformation der Auseinandersetzung {\"u}ber die machtpolitische Resozialisierung deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47890}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the Spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. The debate was resumed through the Summer, Fall, Winter and Spring editions (no. 43 to 46) of WeltTrends, which featured articles of German International Relations scholars as well as foreign policy-makers and experts from abroad. In his concluding article, Hellmann seizes the opportunity to outline and comment on some characteristics of the debate as revealed in the contributions of his critics.}, language = {de} } @misc{Hoyer2004, author = {Hoyer, Werner}, title = {Außenpolitik aus dem Bauch}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47205}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{HuberKrummenauerPenaOrtizetal.2020, author = {Huber, Veronika and Krummenauer, Linda and Pe{\~n}a-Ortiz, Cristina and Lange, Stefan and Gasparrini, Antonio and Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria and Garcia-Herrera, Ricardo and Frieler, Katja}, title = {Temperature-related excess mortality in German cities at 2 °C and higher degrees of global warming}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-51651}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-516511}, pages = {12}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Background: Investigating future changes in temperature-related mortality as a function of global mean temperature (GMT) rise allows for the evaluation of policy-relevant climate change targets. So far, only few studies have taken this approach, and, in particular, no such assessments exist for Germany, the most populated country of Europe. Methods: We assess temperature-related mortality in 12 major German cities based on daily time-series of all-cause mortality and daily mean temperatures in the period 1993-2015, using distributed-lag non-linear models in a two-stage design. Resulting risk functions are applied to estimate excess mortality in terms of GMT rise relative to pre-industrial levels, assuming no change in demographics or population vulnerability. Results: In the observational period, cold contributes stronger to temperature-related mortality than heat, with overall attributable fractions of 5.49\% (95\%CI: 3.82-7.19) and 0.81\% (95\%CI: 0.72-0.89), respectively. Future projections indicate that this pattern could be reversed under progressing global warming, with heat-related mortality starting to exceed cold-related mortality at 3 degrees C or higher GMT rise. Across cities, projected net increases in total temperature-related mortality were 0.45\% (95\%CI: -0.02-1.06) at 3 degrees C, 1.53\% (95\%CI: 0.96-2.06) at 4 degrees C, and 2.88\% (95\%CI: 1.60-4.10) at 5 degrees C, compared to today's warming level of 1 degrees C. By contrast, no significant difference was found between projected total temperature-related mortality at 2 degrees C versus 1 degrees C of GMT rise. Conclusions: Our results can inform current adaptation policies aimed at buffering the health risks from increased heat exposure under climate change. They also allow for the evaluation of global mitigation efforts in terms of local health benefits in some of Germany's most populated cities.}, language = {en} } @misc{ImhofRudolph2010, author = {Imhof-Rudolph, Heike}, title = {Wehrpflicht ade - tut Scheiden weh?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-48970}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Wieviel Bundeswehr braucht Deutschland? Und wozu? Das prim{\"a}re Ziel der Bundeswehr, die Landesverteidigung, ist ein genauso antiquierter Begriff wie ihre Struktur. Welche Transformation der Streitkr{\"a}fte ist geboten?}, language = {de} } @misc{ImhofRudolphUnkrueer2009, author = {Imhof-Rudolph, Heike and Unkr{\"u}er, Angela}, title = {Von konzentrischen Kreisen und Geopolitik : ein Gespr{\"a}ch mit Eckart von Klaeden,außenpolitischer Sprecher der CDU/CSU Bundestagsfraktion}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32797}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In einem Interview gibt Eckart von Klaeden (CDU/CSU) seine Einsch{\"a}tzung zur Außenpolitik in schwarz-rot. Er bescheinigt ihr Erfolge im Bereich der transatlantischen Beziehungen, der G-20 und bei der Europ{\"a}ischen Ratspr{\"a}sidentschaft.}, language = {de} } @misc{JantzJann2018, author = {Jantz, Bastian and Jann, Werner}, title = {Mapping accountability changes in labour market administrations}, volume = {79}, number = {3}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-403642}, pages = {22}, year = {2018}, abstract = {The article explores how recent changes in the governance of employment services in three European countries (Denmark, Germany and Norway) have influenced accountability relationships. The overall assumption in the growing literature about accountability is that the number of actors involved in accountability arrangements is rising, that accountability relationships are becoming more numerous and complex, and that these changes may lead to contradictory accountability relationships, and finally to 'multi accountability disorder'. The article tries to explore these assumptions by analysing the different actors involved and the information requested in the new governance arrangements in all three countries. It concludes that the considerable changes in organizational arrangements and more managerial information demanded and provided have led to more shared forms of accountability. Nevertheless, a clear development towards less political or administrative accountability could not be observed.}, language = {en} } @misc{JungKraheBusching2017, author = {Jung, Janis Moritz and Krah{\´e}, Barbara and Busching, Robert}, title = {Differential risk profiles for reactive and proactive aggression}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Humanwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Humanwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {588}, issn = {1866-8364}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-43322}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-433229}, pages = {71 -- 84}, year = {2017}, abstract = {This two-wave longitudinal study identified configurations of social rejection, affiliation with aggressive peers, and academic failure and examined their predictivity for reactive and proactive aggression in a sample of 1,479 children and adolescents aged between 9 and 19 years. Latent profile analysis yielded three configurations of risk factors, made up of a non-risk group, a risk group scoring high on measures of social rejection (SR), and a risk group scoring high on measures of affiliation with aggressive peers and academic failure (APAF). Latent path analysis revealed that, as predicted, only membership in the SR group at T1 predicted reactive aggression at T2 17 months later. By contrast, only membership in the APAF group at T1 predicted proactive aggression at T2.}, language = {en} } @misc{Kellner2012, author = {Kellner, Michael}, title = {Agenda gegen Waffenhandel}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-60480}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Deutschlands linke Mehrheit ist gespalten. In besonderem Maße betrifft dies außenpolitische Themen. Gegen den menschenfeindlichen Irrsinn von R{\"u}stungsexporten anzugehen k{\"o}nnte hingegen ein einigendes Projekt werden. Die Kanzlerin hat mit ihrer zynischen Behauptung, R{\"u}stungsexporte k{\"o}nnten Bestandteil von Konfliktbearbeitung sein, eine Steilvorlage geboten.}, language = {de} } @misc{Kersting2005, author = {Kersting, Norbert}, title = {Electronic voting : globaler Trend oder Utopie?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-48004}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The author discusses the issue whether the internet and other electronic sources should be used for elections. Online-elections can make the electoral process not only less complex but also cheaper, thus the analysis faster and more reliable. The lower costs could, in turn, lead to a new impulse on direct-democracy-instruments. Comparing the USA, Great Britain, Germany and Switzerland the article provides information about national strategies, discourses and problems, and shows the different political and cultural settings.}, language = {de} } @misc{Koszel2003, author = {Koszel, Bogdan}, title = {Polens Engagement in der euroatlantischen Zone nach dem Irak-Krieg}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9625}, year = {2003}, abstract = {In this issue, we continue and complete the debate on the future of the transatlantic relationship and of world order after the Iraq war. The debate was initiated by an article by Thomas Risse (Freie Universit{\"a}t Berlin) in WeltTrends 39, which has provoked a remarkable reaction within the German academic community, as documented in WeltTrends 40. This issue features additional comments and the rebuttal by Thomas Risse. Most authors believe that the transatlantic partnership is in a serious crisis, but claim that it remains without an alternative for both sides of the Atlantic.}, language = {de} } @misc{KreibichMuellerSchroeteretal.2017, author = {Kreibich, Heidi and M{\"u}ller, Meike and Schr{\"o}ter, Kai and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {New insights into flood warning reception and emergency response by affected parties}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {659}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41838}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418381}, pages = {18}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Flood damage can be mitigated if the parties at risk are reached by flood warnings and if they know how to react appropriately. To gain more knowledge about warning reception and emergency response of private households and companies, surveys were undertaken after the August 2002 and the June 2013 floods in Germany. Despite pronounced regional differences, the results show a clear overall picture: in 2002, early warnings did not work well; e.g. many households (27 \%) and companies (45 \%) stated that they had not received any flood warnings. Additionally, the preparedness of private households and companies was low in 2002, mainly due to a lack of flood experience. After the 2002 flood, many initiatives were launched and investments undertaken to improve flood risk management, including early warnings and an emergency response in Germany. In 2013, only a small share of the affected households (5 \%) and companies (3 \%) were not reached by any warnings. Additionally, private households and companies were better prepared. For instance, the share of companies which have an emergency plan in place has increased from 10\% in 2002 to 34\% in 2013. However, there is still room for improvement, which needs to be triggered mainly by effective risk and emergency communication. The challenge is to continuously maintain and advance an integrated early warning and emergency response system even without the occurrence of extreme floods.}, language = {en} } @misc{Kraemer2009, author = {Kr{\"a}mer, Raimund}, title = {Mission Weltfrieden? : ein Gespr{\"a}ch mit Dr. Gernot Erler, Staatsminister im Ausw{\"a}rtigen Amt}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32802}, year = {2009}, abstract = {In einem Interview pr{\"a}sentiert Dr. Gernot Erler (SPD, Staatsminister im Ausw{\"a}rtigen Amt)sein neuestes Buch „Mission Weltfrieden: Deutschlands neue Rolle in der Weltpolitik" und gibt damit Einblicke in die Außenpolitik der Großen Koalition und der unter Gerhard Schr{\"o}der.}, language = {de} } @misc{Krueger2009, author = {Kr{\"u}ger, Joachim}, title = {Stefan Heymann : ein neuer Typ deutscher Botschafter}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32821}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Nach der Gr{\"u}ndung der DDR war es eine Gruppe deutscher Antifaschisten, die an der Spitze der diplomatischen Missionen des neuen Staates auch einen neuen Typ deutscher Repr{\"a}sentanten verk{\"o}rperten. Fortan waren es nicht nur ehemalige Mitarbeiter des nationalsozialistischen AA, die nun f{\"u}r Bonn auf internationalem Parkett agierten, sondern angesehene Antifaschisten [...]"}, language = {de} } @misc{LaudanRoezerSiegetal.2017, author = {Laudan, Jonas and R{\"o}zer, Viktor and Sieg, Tobias and Vogel, Kristin and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Damage assessment in Braunsbach 2016}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {653}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41839}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418392}, pages = {17}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Flash floods are caused by intense rainfall events and represent an insufficiently understood phenomenon in Germany. As a result of higher precipitation intensities, flash floods might occur more frequently in future. In combination with changing land use patterns and urbanisation, damage mitigation, insurance and risk management in flash-flood-prone regions are becoming increasingly important. However, a better understanding of damage caused by flash floods requires ex post collection of relevant but yet sparsely available information for research. At the end of May 2016, very high and concentrated rainfall intensities led to severe flash floods in several southern German municipalities. The small town of Braunsbach stood as a prime example of the devastating potential of such events. Eight to ten days after the flash flood event, damage assessment and data collection were conducted in Braunsbach by investigating all affected buildings and their surroundings. To record and store the data on site, the open-source software bundle KoBoCollect was used as an efficient and easy way to gather information. Since the damage driving factors of flash floods are expected to differ from those of riverine flooding, a post-hoc data analysis was performed, aiming to identify the influence of flood processes and building attributes on damage grades, which reflect the extent of structural damage. Data analyses include the application of random forest, a random general linear model and multinomial logistic regression as well as the construction of a local impact map to reveal influences on the damage grades. Further, a Spearman's Rho correlation matrix was calculated. The results reveal that the damage driving factors of flash floods differ from those of riverine floods to a certain extent. The exposition of a building in flow direction shows an especially strong correlation with the damage grade and has a high predictive power within the constructed damage models. Additionally, the results suggest that building materials as well as various building aspects, such as the existence of a shop window and the surroundings, might have an effect on the resulting damage. To verify and confirm the outcomes as well as to support future mitigation strategies, risk management and planning, more comprehensive and systematic data collection is necessary.}, language = {en} } @misc{LaudanZoellerThieken2020, author = {Laudan, Jonas and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Flash floods versus river floods}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {968}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-47397}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-473974}, pages = {999 -- 1023}, year = {2020}, abstract = {River floods are among the most damaging natural hazards that frequently occur in Germany. Flooding causes high economic losses and impacts many residents. In 2016, several southern German municipalities were hit by flash floods after unexpectedly severe heavy rainfall, while in 2013 widespread river flooding had occurred. This study investigates and compares the psychological impacts of river floods and flash floods and potential consequences for precautionary behaviour. Data were collected using computer-aided telephone interviews that were conducted among flood-affected households around 9 months after each damaging event. This study applies Bayesian statistics and negative binomial regressions to test the suitability of psychological indicators to predict the precaution motivation of individuals. The results show that it is not the particular flood type but rather the severity and local impacts of the event that are crucial for the different, and potentially negative, impacts on mental health. According to the used data, however, predictions of the individual precaution motivation should not be based on the derived psychological indicators - i.e. coping appraisal, threat appraisal, burden and evasion - since their explanatory power was generally low and results are, for the most part, non-significant. Only burden reveals a significant positive relation to planned precaution regarding weak flash floods. In contrast to weak flash floods and river floods, the perceived threat of strong flash floods is significantly lower although feelings of burden and lower coping appraisals are more pronounced. Further research is needed to better include psychological assessment procedures and to focus on alternative data sources regarding floods and the connected precaution motivation of affected residents.}, language = {en} } @misc{Leibrecht2005, author = {Leibrecht, Harald}, title = {Außenpolitik und Legitimation}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47565}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Leibrecht2009, author = {Leibrecht, Harald}, title = {Die Außenpolitik der Großen Koalition : Bilanz aus liberaler Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32747}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Deutschland ist wegen seiner verl{\"a}sslichen Außenpolitik ein weltweit angesehener Partner. Jedoch gelingt es der deutschen Außenpolitik momentan nicht, mit den Entwicklungen der globalisierten Welt Schritt zu halten. Bei wichtigen Themen hat die deutsche Regierung zu selten versucht, Stellung zu beziehen. Die F{\"a}higkeit zur friedlichen Konfliktl{\"o}sung muss Hauptanliegen unserer Außenpolitik sein. Als Grundlage daf{\"u}r muss ein st{\"a}ndiger Dialog auch mit den L{\"a}ndern, die unsere Werte nicht teilen, vorangetrieben werden.}, language = {de} } @misc{Link2004, author = {Link, J{\"o}rg-Werner}, title = {Vom Elend des "offensiven Idealismus" : eine Antwort auf Hellmanns "Traditionslinie" und "Sozialisationsperspektive"}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46613}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Loetzsch2004, author = {L{\"o}tzsch, Gesine}, title = {Vom Sprechen und Schweigen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47229}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Malinowski2005, author = {Malinowski, Krzysztof}, title = {Konstruktion des offensiven Idealismus : {\"u}ber eine Verantwortung f{\"u}r multilaterale Zusammenarbeit und gute Nachbarschaft}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47618}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Masala2004, author = {Masala, Carlo}, title = {Don't worry, be happy : eine Erwiderung auf Gunther Hellmann}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46629}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Maull2004, author = {Maull, Hanns W.}, title = {Deutsche Machtpolitik ohne Macht}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46637}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Muetzenich2005, author = {M{\"u}tzenich, Rolf}, title = {Wandel und Kontinuit{\"a}ten deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9722}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a "realpolitik" policy, generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann, this transformation indicates one of the "deepest crisis of Germany's foreign policy" ever. The first three parts were published in the summer, fall and winter editions (no. 43, 44 and 45) of WeltTrends, which featured contributions of German International Relations scholars as well as experts from abroad. In this issue, foreign policy makers and a Polish expert join the debate.}, language = {de} } @misc{Pichler2017, author = {Pichler, Edith}, title = {Double emigration: geographical and cultural?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-395354}, pages = {12}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Already at the beginning of the fifties on the initiative of Italy, negotiations began between the Italian and German governments for the recruitment of migrant-workers, which ended in 1955 with a bilateral agreement between the two countries. Through this recruitment policy and because of the labour-market (Industry and Building) the Italian migration was composed prevalently of men. Female immigration happened in the setting of family reunification and less as an independent movement project. After years of stagnation of italian emigration in the eighties it may also be noted that, since the early nineties, there has been a revival of immigration to Germany. This and modernisation processes in Italy changed the gender composition of the Italian immigration flow to Germany: the distance between male and female immigration is decreasing. A peculiarity of the Italians in Germany is the low occupational participation of women in comparison with other women from EU countries. However, we could observe regional differences, which depend on the migration typologies and the dominating economic structure in the areas. The paper will analyse this different aspects (immigration-processes, migrant-typologies and labour-market participation) by female Italian migrants.}, language = {en} } @misc{Risse2003, author = {Risse, Thomas}, title = {Die unipolare Weltordnung - Ein soziales Konstrukt : ein Kommentar zu den Kommentaren}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9631}, year = {2003}, abstract = {In this issue, we continue and complete the debate on the future of the transatlantic relationship and of world order after the Iraq war. The debate was initiated by an article by Thomas Risse (Freie Universit{\"a}t Berlin) in WeltTrends 39, which has provoked a remarkable reaction within the German academic community, as documented in WeltTrends 40. This issue features additional comments and the rebuttal by Thomas Risse. Most authors believe that the transatlantic partnership is in a serious crisis, but claim that it remains without an alternative for both sides of the Atlantic.}, language = {de} } @misc{RuscheBielawskiRiemannetal.2010, author = {Rusche, Tim Maxian and Bielawski, Martina and Riemann, Silke and Reimers, Lutz and Duplouy, Florent and Kuhn, Florian and von Oettingen, Anna}, title = {Deutsche Interessen offen diskutieren!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-41636}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Außenpolitik ist von den Werten, dem Selbstverst{\"a}ndnis einer Gesellschaft und den {\"o}konomischen Interessen ihrer Volkswirtschaft gepr{\"a}gt. In den ersten beiden Teilen dieses Essays zeigen wir auf, wie Deutschland seine Werte behutsam erneuern sollte und welche Bereiche zur Wahrung seines {\"o}konomischen Wohlstands zentral sind. Auf dieses Fundament setzen wir ein Pl{\"a}doyer f{\"u}r eine neue außenpolitische Kultur, die Interessen offen debattiert und klar definiert, um sie erfolgreich durchzusetzen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Sakson2011, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Neues deutsches Gedenken?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-52523}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Bedarf es eines neuen Gedenktages der Vertriebenen in Deutschland? Die deutsche Regierung meint Ja. Auf ihre Initiative hin wurde die Entschließung "60 Jahre Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen - Auss{\"o}hnung vollenden" im Februar 2011 angenommen. Dieser Gedenktag soll der 5. August sein, also jener Tag, an dem 1950 die "Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen" in Stuttgart angenommen wurde. Der Entschluss traf im Bundestag auf den Widerstand der Opposition - aber auch auf scharfe Kritik in Polen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Sakson2009, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Warschau zwischen Berlin und Moskau : eine polnische Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32782}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Die polnische {\"O}ffentlichkeit reagiert auf Entwicklungen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen besonders sensibel. Der Autor analysiert die Ostpolitik unter Schr{\"o}der und Merkel und fordert eine st{\"a}rkere Ber{\"u}cksichtigung der polnischen Interessen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen.}, language = {de} } @misc{SamprognaMohorThiekenKorup2021, author = {Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme and Thieken, Annegret and Korup, Oliver}, title = {Residential flood loss estimated from Bayesian multilevel models}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-51774}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-517743}, pages = {1599 -- 1614}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Models for the predictions of monetary losses from floods mainly blend data deemed to represent a single flood type and region. Moreover, these approaches largely ignore indicators of preparedness and how predictors may vary between regions and events, challenging the transferability of flood loss models. We use a flood loss database of 1812 German flood-affected households to explore how Bayesian multilevel models can estimate normalised flood damage stratified by event, region, or flood process type. Multilevel models acknowledge natural groups in the data and allow each group to learn from others. We obtain posterior estimates that differ between flood types, with credibly varying influences of water depth, contamination, duration, implementation of property-level precautionary measures, insurance, and previous flood experience; these influences overlap across most events or regions, however. We infer that the underlying damaging processes of distinct flood types deserve further attention. Each reported flood loss and affected region involved mixed flood types, likely explaining the uncertainty in the coefficients. Our results emphasise the need to consider flood types as an important step towards applying flood loss models elsewhere. We argue that failing to do so may unduly generalise the model and systematically bias loss estimations from empirical data.}, language = {en} } @misc{Schwarz2004, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Dramatisierung deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9658}, year = {2004}, abstract = {In the spring issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann (Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe- Universit{\"a}t Frankfurt a. M.) sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a Realpolitik policy generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann this transformation indicates "the deepest crisis of German foreign policy" ever. Hellmann proposes a rehabilitation of the tradition of the Bonner Republik and an active Idealpolitik. This summer issue of WeltTrends features eleven articles written in response to Hellmann by International Relations scholars. The debate focuses on analytical as well as normative aspects of current German foreign policy. The authors discuss the context of the European Common Foreign and Security Policy, the international system and the United Nations, historical aspects of German foreign policy and the German foreign policy discourse. While some contributors share Hellmann's idealist position, most challenge his plea from a more realist perspective. In the upcoming fall issue, this debate will be continued with contributions by German foreign policy makers. A final reply by Hellmann will complete the debate in the winter issue of WeltTrends. Contributions by: Franz Ansprenger, Stephan B{\"o}ckenf{\"o}rde, Wilfried von Bredow, Sabine Busse, Edwina S. Campbell, Hartmut Elsenhans, Hans J. Gießmann, Werner Link, Carlo Masala, Hanns W. Maull, and Siegfried Schwarz.}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2009, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Portr{\"a}t: John McCloy : Erster Hochkommissar der USA in Bonn}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-31503}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"McCloy war nicht einfach nur der Repr{\"a}sentant Washingtons in Westdeutschland, sondern wirkte dar{\"u}ber hinaus als einflussreicher Akteur in der amerikanischen Politik, zumal er {\"u}ber einen direkten Draht zum Außenminister und zur Regierung verf{\"u}gte. Aus gutb{\"u}rgerlichen Verh{\"a}ltnissen stammend, hatte McCloy jahrelang als Anwalt in der New Yorker Wall Street gearbeitet..."}, language = {de} }