@article{ZollerHainzlHolschneideretal.2005,
  author    = {Zoller, Gert and Hainzl, Sebastian and Holschneider, Matthias and Ben-Zion, Yehuda},
  title     = {Aftershocks resulting from creeping sections in a heterogeneous fault},
  issn      = {0094-8276},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We show that realistic aftershock sequences with space-time characteristics compatible with observations are generated by a model consisting of brittle fault segments separated by creeping zones. The dynamics of the brittle regions is governed by static/kinetic friction, 3D elastic stress transfer and small creep deformation. The creeping parts are characterized by high ongoing creep velocities. These regions store stress during earthquake failures and then release it in the interseismic periods. The resulting postseismic deformation leads to aftershock sequences following the modified Omori law. The ratio of creep coefficients in the brittle and creeping sections determines the duration of the postseismic transients and the exponent p of the modified Omori law},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{HainzlOgata2005,
  author    = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Ogata, Y.},
  title     = {Detecting fluid signals in seismicity data through statistical earthquake modeling},
  issn      = {0148-0227},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {[1] According to the well-known Coulomb failure criterion the variation of either stress or pore pressure can result in earthquake rupture. Aftershock sequences characterized by the Omori law are often assumed to be the consequence of varying stress, whereas earthquake swarms are thought to be triggered by fluid intrusions. The role of stress triggering can be analyzed by modeling solely three-dimensional (3-D) elastic stress changes in the crust, but fluid flows which initiate seismicity cannot be investigated without considering complex seismicity patterns resulting from both pore pressure variations and earthquake-connected stress field changes. We show that the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is an appropriate tool to extract the primary fluid signal from such complex seismicity patterns. We analyze a large earthquake swarm that occurred in 2000 in Vogtland/NW Bohemia, central Europe. By fitting the stochastic ETAS model, we find that stress triggering is dominant in creating the observed seismicity patterns and explains the observed fractal interevent time distribution. External forcing, identified with pore pressure changes due to fluid intrusion, is found to directly trigger only a few percent of the total activity. However, temporal deconvolution indicates that a pronounced fluid signal initiated the swarm. These results are confirmed by our analogous investigation of model simulations in which earthquakes are triggered by fluid intrusion as well as stress transfers on a fault plane embedded in a 3-D elastic half-space. The deconvolution procedure based on the ETAS model is able to reveal the underlying pore pressure variations},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Hainzl1999,
  author    = {Hainzl, Sebastian},
  title     = {Erdbeben und selbstorganisierte Kritizit{\"a}t : Modellierung der raumzeitlichen Erdbebendynamik},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0000130},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  year      = {1999},
  abstract  = {Diese Arbeit besch{\"a}ftigt sich mit der Annahme, dass den Erdbeben ein selbstorganisiert kritischer Zustand der Erdkruste zugrunde liegt. Mit Hilfe einer Erweiterung bisheriger Modelle wird gezeigt, dass ein solcher Zustand nicht nur f{\"u}r die Gr{\"o}ssenverteilung der Erdbeben (Gutenberg-Richter Gesetz), sondern auch f{\"u}r das beobachtete raumzeitliche Auftreten, z.B. f{\"u}r das Omori-Gesetz f{\"u}r Nachbebenserien, verantwortlich sein kann. Desweiteren wird die Frage nach der Vorhersagbarkeit grosser Erdbeben in solchen Modellsimulationen untersucht.},
  language  = {de}
}
@article{ZoellerHainzlKurths2001,
  author    = {Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Hainzl, Sebastian and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Observation of growing correlation length as an indicator for critical point behavior prior to large earthquakes},
  year      = {2001},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{HainzlZoellerKurthsetal.2000,
  author    = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Zschau, Jochen},
  title     = {Seismic quiescence as an indicator for large earthquakes in a system of self-organized criticality},
  year      = {2000},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{HainzlZoellerKurths2000,
  author    = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Self-organization of spatio-temporal earthquake clusters},
  year      = {2000},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{HainzlZoellerKurths1999,
  author    = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Self-organized criticality model for earthquakes : Quiescence, foreshocks and aftershocks},
  year      = {1999},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{HainzlZoellerKurths1999,
  author    = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Similar power laws for foreshock and aftershock sequences in a spring block model for earthquakes},
  year      = {1999},
  language  = {en}
}
@inproceedings{HainzlScherbaumZoeller2006,
  author    = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Scherbaum, Frank and Z{\"o}ller, Gert},
  title     = {Spatiotemporal earthquake patterns},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-7267},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {Interdisziplin{\"a}res Zentrum f{\"u}r Musterdynamik und Angewandte Fernerkundung Workshop vom 9. - 10. Februar 2006},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{EngbertHainzlZoelleretal.1998,
  author    = {Engbert, Ralf and Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Testing for unstable periodic orbits to characterize spatiotemporal dynamics},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}