@phdthesis{Kuhlbrodt2002,
  author    = {Kuhlbrodt, Till},
  title     = {Stability and variability of open-ocean deep convection in deterministic and stochastic simple models},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0000622},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {Die Tiefenkonvektion ist ein wesentlicher Bestandteil der Zirkulation im Nordatlantik. Sie beeinflusst den nordw{\"a}rtigen W{\"a}rmetransport der thermohalinen Zirkulation. Ein Verst{\"a}ndnis ihrer Stabilit{\"a}t und Variabilit{\"a}t ist daher n{\"o}tig, um Klimaver{\"a}nderungen im Bereich des Nordatlantiks einsch{\"a}tzen zu k{\"o}nnen. Diese Arbeit hat zum Ziel, das konzeptionelle Verst{\"a}ndnis der Stabilit{\"a}t und der Variabilit{\"a}t der Tiefenkonvektion zu verbessern. Beobachtungsdaten aus der Labradorsee zeigen Phasen mit und ohne Tiefenkonvektion. Ein einfaches Modell mit zwei Boxen wird an diese Daten angepasst. Das Ergebnis legt nahe, dass die Labradorsee zwei koexistierende stabile Zust{\"a}nde hat, einen mit regelm{\"a}ßiger Tiefenkonvektion und einen ohne Tiefenkonvektion. Diese Bistabilit{\"a}t ergibt sich aus einer positiven Salzgehalts-R{\"u}ckkopplung, deren Ursache ein Netto-S{\"u}ßwassereintrag in die Deckschicht ist. Der konvektive Zustand kann schnell instabil werden, wenn der mittlere Antrieb sich hin zu w{\"a}rmeren oder weniger salzhaltigen Bedingungen {\"a}ndert. Die wetterbedingte Variabilit{\"a}t des externen Antriebs wird durch die Addition eines stochastischen Antriebsterms in das Modell eingebaut. Es zeigt sich, dass dann die Tiefenkonvektion h{\"a}ufig an- und wieder ausgeschaltet wird. Die mittlere Aufenthaltszeit in beiden Zust{\"a}nden ist ein Maß ihrer stochastischen Stabilit{\"a}t. Die stochastische Stabilit{\"a}t h{\"a}ngt in glatter Weise von den Parametern des Antriebs ab, im Gegensatz zu der deterministischen (nichtstochastischen) Stabilit{\"a}t, die sich abrupt {\"a}ndern kann. Sowohl das Mittel als auch die Varianz des stochastischen Antriebs beeinflussen die H{\"a}ufigkeit von Tiefenkonvektion. Eine Abnahme der Konvektionsh{\"a}ufigkeit, als Reaktion auf eine Abnahme des Salzgehalts an der Oberfl{\"a}che, kann zum Beispiel durch eine Zunahme der Variabilit{\"a}t in den W{\"a}rmefl{\"u}ssen kompensiert werden. Mit einem weiter vereinfachten Box-Modell werden einige Eigenschaften der stochastischen Stabilit{\"a}t analytisch untersucht. Es wird ein neuer Effekt beschrieben, die wandernde Monostabilit{\"a}t: Auch wenn die Tiefenkonvektion aufgrund ge{\"a}nderter Parameter des Antriebs kein stabiler Zustand mehr ist, kann der stochastische Antrieb immer noch h{\"a}ufig Konvektionsereignisse ausl{\"o}sen. Die analytischen Gleichungen zeigen explizit, wie die wandernde Monostabilit{\"a}t sowie andere Effekte von den Modellparametern abh{\"a}ngen. Diese Abh{\"a}ngigkeit ist f{\"u}r die mittleren Aufenthaltszeiten immer exponentiell, f{\"u}r die Wahrscheinlichkeit langer nichtkonvektiver Phasen dagegen nur dann, wenn diese Wahrscheinlichkeit gering ist. Es ist zu erwarten, dass wandernde Monostabilit{\"a}t auch in anderen Teilen des Klimasystems eine Rolle spielt. Insgesamt zeigen die Ergebnisse, dass die Stabilit{\"a}t der Tiefenkonvektion in der Labradorsee sehr empfindlich auf den Antrieb reagiert. Die Rolle der Variabilit{\"a}t ist entscheidend f{\"u}r ein Verst{\"a}ndnis dieser Empfindlichkeit. Kleine {\"A}nderungen im Antrieb k{\"o}nnen bereits die H{\"a}ufigkeit von Tiefenkonvektionsereignissen deutlich mindern, was sich vermutlich stark auf das regionale Klima auswirkt.},
  subject      = {Labradorsee ; Thermohaline Konvektion ; Stochastisches Modell},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Lischke2015,
  author    = {Lischke, Betty},
  title     = {Food web regulation under different forcing regimes in shallow lakes},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-89149},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {131},
  year      = {2015},
  abstract  = {The standing stock and production of organismal biomass depends strongly on the organisms' biotic environment, which arises from trophic and non-trophic interactions among them. The trophic interactions between the different groups of organisms form the food web of an ecosystem, with the autotrophic and bacterial production at the basis and potentially several levels of consumers on top of the producers. Feeding interactions can regulate communities either by severe grazing pressure or by shortage of resources or prey production, termed top-down and bottom-up control, respectively. The limitations of all communities conglomerate in the food web regulation, which is subject to abiotic and biotic forcing regimes arising from external and internal constraints. This dissertation presents the effects of alterations in two abiotic, external forcing regimes, terrestrial matter input and long-lasting low temperatures in winter. Diverse methodological approaches, a complex ecosystem model study and the analysis of two whole-lake measurements, were performed to investigate effects for the food web regulation and the resulting consequences at the species, community and ecosystem scale. Thus, all types of organisms, autotrophs and heterotrophs, at all trophic levels were investigated to gain a comprehensive overview of the effects of the two mentioned altered forcing regimes. In addition, an extensive evaluation of the trophic interactions and resulting carbon fluxes along the pelagic and benthic food web was performed to display the efficiencies of the trophic energy transfer within the food webs. All studies were conducted in shallow lakes, which is worldwide the most abundant type of lakes. The specific morphology of shallow lakes allows that the benthic production contributes substantially to the whole-lake production. Further, as shallow lakes are often small they are especially sensitive to both, changes in the input of terrestrial organic matter and the atmospheric temperature. Another characteristic of shallow lakes is their appearance in alternative stable states. They are either in a clear-water or turbid state, where macrophytes and phytoplankton dominate, respectively. Both states can stabilize themselves through various mechanisms. These two alternative states and stabilizing mechanisms are integrated in the complex ecosystem model PCLake, which was used to investigate the effects of the enhanced terrestrial particulate organic matter (t-POM) input to lakes. The food web regulation was altered by three distinct pathways: (1) Zoobenthos received more food, increased in biomass which favored benthivorous fish and those reduced the available light due to bioturbation. (2) Zooplankton substituted autochthonous organic matter in their diet by suspended t-POM, thus the autochthonous organic matter remaining in the water reduced its transparency. (3) T-POM suspended into the water and reduced directly the available light. As macrophytes are more light-sensitive than phytoplankton they suffered the most from the lower transparency. Consequently, the resilience of the clear-water state was reduced by enhanced t-POM inputs, which makes the turbid state more likely at a given nutrient concentration. In two subsequent winters long-lasting low temperatures and a concurrent long duration of ice coverage was observed which resulted in low overall adult fish biomasses in the two study lakes - Schulzensee and Gollinsee, characterized by having and not having submerged macrophytes, respectively. Before the partial winterkill of fish Schulzensee allowed for a higher proportion of piscivorous fish than Gollinsee. However, the partial winterkill of fish aligned both communities as piscivorous fish are more sensitive to low oxygen concentrations. Young of the year fish benefitted extremely from the absence of adult fish due to lower predation pressure. Therefore, they could exert a strong top-down control on crustaceans, which restructured the entire zooplankton community leading to low crustacean biomasses and a community composition characterized by copepodites and nauplii. As a result, ciliates were released from top-down control, increased to high biomasses compared to lakes of various trophic states and depths and dominated the zooplankton community. While being very abundant in the study lakes and having the highest weight specific grazing rates among the zooplankton, ciliates exerted potentially a strong top-down control on small phytoplankton and particle-attached bacteria. This resulted in a higher proportion of large phytoplankton compared to other lakes. Additionally, the phytoplankton community was evenly distributed presumably due to the numerous fast growing and highly specific ciliate grazers. Although, the pelagic food web was completely restructured after the subsequent partial winterkills of fish, both lakes were resistant to effects of this forcing regime at the ecosystem scale. The consistently high predation pressure on phytoplankton prevented that Schulzensee switched from the clear-water to the turbid state. Further mechanisms, which potentially stabilized the clear-water state, were allelopathic effects by macrophytes and nutrient limitation in summer. The pelagic autotrophic and bacterial production was an order of magnitude more efficient transferred to animal consumers than the respective benthic production, despite the alterations of the food web structure after the partial winterkill of fish. Thus, the compiled mass-balanced whole-lake food webs suggested that the benthic bacterial and autotrophic production, which exceeded those of the pelagic habitat, was not used by animal consumers. This holds even true if the food quality, additional consumers such as ciliates, benthic protozoa and meiobenthos, the pelagic-benthic link and the potential oxygen limitation of macrobenthos were considered. Therefore, low benthic efficiencies suggest that lakes are primarily pelagic systems at least at the animal consumer level. Overall, this dissertation gives insights into the regulation of organism groups in the pelagic and benthic habitat at each trophic level under two different forcing regimes and displays the efficiency of the carbon transfer in both habitats. The results underline that the alterations of external forcing regimes affect all hierarchical level including the ecosystem.},
  language  = {en}
}