@inproceedings{КононенкоCalabrettoMayeretal.2016, author = {Кононенко, Наталия and Calabretto, Roberto and Mayer, Michael and Киршбаум, Генрих and Salvestroni, Simonetta and Zehnder, Christian and Булгакова, Oксана and Vassilieva, Ekaterina and Paperny, Vladimir and Engel, Christine and Christians, Heiko and Petzer, Tatjana and Pellanda, Marina and Вардиц, Владислава}, title = {Andrej Tarkovskij: Klassiker - Классик - Classic - Classico}, editor = {Franz, Norbert P.}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-86956-352-7}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-90975}, pages = {313}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Vom 18. bis 20. September 2014 versammelten sich an der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam kultur- und filmwissenschaftlich arbeitende Wissenschaftler zu einem Andrej Tarkovskij gewidmeten Symposium, dem ersten internationalen. Die 25 Teilnehmer kamen n{\"a}mlich aus neun L{\"a}ndern. Dadurch, dass nicht wenige auch eine - wie man heute sagt - „Migrationsbiographie" haben, potenzierte sich die durch die jeweils unterschiedliche Herkunft bedingte Multiperspektivik, zu der jedoch der Modus der Wissenschaftlichkeit ein deutlich relativierendes Korrektiv bildet. Der vorliegende Band enth{\"a}lt im Wesentlichen die dort vorgestellten Beitr{\"a}ge, aber auch die der Fachleute, die nicht pers{\"o}nlich hatten nach Potsdam kommen k{\"o}nnen.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Šustr2020, author = {Šustr, David}, title = {Molecular diffusion in polyelectrolyte multilayers}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-48903}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-489038}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {106}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Research on novel and advanced biomaterials is an indispensable step towards their applications in desirable fields such as tissue engineering, regenerative medicine, cell culture, or biotechnology. The work presented here focuses on such a promising material: polyelectrolyte multilayer (PEM) composed of hyaluronic acid (HA) and poly(L-lysine) (PLL). This gel-like polymer surface coating is able to accumulate (bio-)molecules such as proteins or drugs and release them in a controlled manner. It serves as a mimic of the extracellular matrix (ECM) in composition and intrinsic properties. These qualities make the HA/PLL multilayers a promising candidate for multiple bio-applications such as those mentioned above. The work presented aims at the development of a straightforward approach for assessment of multi-fractional diffusion in multilayers (first part) and at control of local molecular transport into or from the multilayers by laser light trigger (second part). The mechanism of the loading and release is governed by the interaction of bioactives with the multilayer constituents and by the diffusion phenomenon overall. The diffusion of a molecule in HA/PLL multilayers shows multiple fractions of different diffusion rate. Approaches, that are able to assess the mobility of molecules in such a complex system, are limited. This shortcoming motivated the design of a novel evaluation tool presented here. The tool employs a simulation-based approach for evaluation of the data acquired by fluorescence recovery after photobleaching (FRAP) method. In this approach, possible fluorescence recovery scenarios are primarily simulated and afterwards compared with the data acquired while optimizing parameters of a model until a sufficient match is achieved. Fluorescent latex particles of different sizes and fluorescein in an aqueous medium are utilized as test samples validating the analysis results. The diffusion of protein cytochrome c in HA/PLL multilayers is evaluated as well. This tool significantly broadens the possibilities of analysis of spatiotemporal FRAP data, which originate from multi-fractional diffusion, while striving to be widely applicable. This tool has the potential to elucidate the mechanisms of molecular transport and empower rational engineering of the drug release systems. The second part of the work focuses on the fabrication of such a spatiotemporarily-controlled drug release system employing the HA/PLL multilayer. This release system comprises different layers of various functionalities that together form a sandwich structure. The bottom layer, which serves as a reservoir, is formed by HA/PLL PEM deposited on a planar glass substrate. On top of the PEM, a layer of so-called hybrids is deposited. The hybrids consist of thermoresponsive poly(N-isopropylacrylamide) (PNIPAM) -based hydrogel microparticles with surface-attached gold nanorods. The layer of hybrids is intended to serve as a gate that controls the local molecular transport through the PEM-solution-interface. The possibility of stimulating the molecular transport by near-infrared (NIR) laser irradiation is being explored. From several tested approaches for the deposition of hybrids onto the PEM surface, the drying-based approach was identified as optimal. Experiments, that examine the functionality of the fabricated sandwich at elevated temperature, document the reversible volume phase transition of the PEM-attached hybrids while sustaining the sandwich stability. Further, the gold nanorods were shown to effectively absorb light radiation in the tissue- and cell-friendly NIR spectral region while transducing the energy of light into heat. The rapid and reversible shrinkage of the PEM-attached hybrids was thereby achieved. Finally, dextran was employed as a model transport molecule. It loads into the PEM reservoir in a few seconds with the partition constant of 2.4, while it spontaneously releases in a slower, sustained manner. The local laser irradiation of the sandwich, which contains the fluorescein isothiocyanate tagged dextran, leads to a gradual reduction of fluorescence intensity in the irradiated region. The release system fabricated employs renowned photoresponsivity of the hybrids in an innovative setting. The results of the research are a step towards a spatially-controlled on-demand drug release system that paves the way to spatiotemporally controlled drug release. The approaches developed in this work have the potential to elucidate the molecular dynamics in ECM and to foster engineering of multilayers with properties tuned to mimic the ECM. The work aims at spatiotemporal control over the diffusion of bioactives and their presentation to the cells.}, language = {en} } @techreport{ŠedovaČizmaziovaCook2021, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Šedov{\´a}, Barbora and Čizmaziov{\´a}, Lucia and Cook, Athene}, title = {A meta-analysis of climate migration literature}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {29}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-49982}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-499827}, pages = {83}, year = {2021}, abstract = {The large literature that aims to find evidence of climate migration delivers mixed findings. This meta-regression analysis i) summarizes direct links between adverse climatic events and migration, ii) maps patterns of climate migration, and iii) explains the variation in outcomes. Using a set of limited dependent variable models, we meta-analyze thus-far the most comprehensive sample of 3,625 estimates from 116 original studies and produce novel insights on climate migration. We find that extremely high temperatures and drying conditions increase migration. We do not find a significant effect of sudden-onset events. Climate migration is most likely to emerge due to contemporaneous events, to originate in rural areas and to take place in middle-income countries, internally, to cities. The likelihood to become trapped in affected areas is higher for women and in low-income countries, particularly in Africa. We uniquely quantify how pitfalls typical for the broader empirical climate impact literature affect climate migration findings. We also find evidence of different publication biases.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Šedova2022, author = {Šedov{\´a}, Barbora}, title = {Heterogeneous effects of weather and climate change on human migration}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-53673}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-536733}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xix, 284}, year = {2022}, abstract = {While estimated numbers of past and future climate migrants are alarming, the growing empirical evidence suggests that the association between adverse climate-related events and migration is not universally positive. This dissertation seeks to advance our understanding of when and how climate migration emerges by analyzing heterogeneous climatic influences on migration in low- and middle-income countries. To this end, it draws on established economic theories of migration, datasets from physical and social sciences, causal inference techniques and approaches from systematic literature review. In three of its five chapters, I estimate causal effects of processes of climate change on inequality and migration in India and Sub-Saharan Africa. By employing interaction terms and by analyzing sub-samples of data, I explore how these relationships differ for various segments of the population. In the remaining two chapters, I present two systematic literature reviews. First, I undertake a comprehensive meta-regression analysis of the econometric climate migration literature to summarize general climate migration patterns and explain the conflicting findings. Second, motivated by the broad range of approaches in the field, I examine the literature from a methodological perspective to provide best practice guidelines for studying climate migration empirically. Overall, the evidence from this dissertation shows that climatic influences on human migration are highly heterogeneous. Whether adverse climate-related impacts materialize in migration depends on the socio-economic characteristics of the individual households, such as wealth, level of education, agricultural dependence or access to adaptation technologies and insurance. For instance, I show that while adverse climatic shocks are generally associated with an increase in migration in rural India, they reduce migration in the agricultural context of Sub-Saharan Africa, where the average wealth levels are much lower so that households largely cannot afford the upfront costs of moving. I find that unlike local climatic shocks which primarily enhance internal migration to cities and hence accelerate urbanization, shocks transmitted via agricultural producer prices increase migration to neighboring countries, likely due to the simultaneous decrease in real income in nearby urban areas. These findings advance our current understanding by showing when and how economic agents respond to climatic events, thus providing explicit contexts and mechanisms of climate change effects on migration in the future. The resulting collection of findings can guide policy interventions to avoid or mitigate any present and future welfare losses from climate change-related migration choices.}, language = {en} } @book{Şener2014, author = {Şener, Ula{\c{s}}}, title = {Die Neutralit{\"a}tstheorie des Geldes}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-86956-307-7}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-72367}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {v, 87}, year = {2014}, abstract = {{\"O}konomen wie Wirtschaftspolitiker berufen sich auf die Neutralit{\"a}tstheorie des Geldes, wenn sie eine Entpolitisierung der Geldpolitik fordern. Sowohl die Theorie der Geldneutralit{\"a}t als auch das Paradigma der Entpolitisierung der Geldpolitik sind jedoch problematisch. Die polit{\"o}konomischen Entwicklungen nach der globalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise 2007/2008 und die j{\"u}ngsten Kontroversen {\"u}ber die Rolle und Bedeutung von Geld haben dies deutlich vor Augen gef{\"u}hrt. Die vorliegende Arbeit diskutiert zun{\"a}chst die konzeptionellen Grundlagen und theoretischen Modelle der Geldneutralit{\"a}t. Anschließend werden die zentralen theoretischen Annahmen und Aussagen der Neutralit{\"a}tstheorie aus einer kritischen heterodoxen Perspektive hinterfragt. Es wird argumentiert, dass Geld eine nicht-neutrale Produktionskraft ist, die weder {\"o}konomisch noch sozial neutral ist. Die Bedingungen, unter denen Geld verf{\"u}gbar ist und zirkuliert, sind richtungsweisend f{\"u}r die {\"o}konomische Entwicklung. Daher kann es auch kein neutrales Geld oder gar eine apolitische Geldpolitik geben.}, language = {de} } @book{Şener2016, author = {Şener, Ula{\c{s}}}, title = {Die Neutralit{\"a}tstheorie des Geldes}, edition = {2., durchgesehene Aufl.}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-86956-344-2}, issn = {2197-8069}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-83164}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {v, 87}, year = {2016}, abstract = {{\"O}konomen wie Wirtschaftspolitiker berufen sich auf die Neutralit{\"a}tstheorie des Geldes, wenn sie eine Entpolitisierung der Geldpolitik fordern. Sowohl die Theorie der Geldneutralit{\"a}t als auch das Paradigma der Entpolitisierung der Geldpolitik sind jedoch problematisch. Die polit{\"o}konomischen Entwicklungen nach der globalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise 2007/2008 und die j{\"u}ngsten Kontroversen {\"u}ber die Rolle und Bedeutung von Geld haben dies deutlich vor Augen gef{\"u}hrt. Die vorliegende Arbeit diskutiert zun{\"a}chst die konzeptionellen Grundlagen und theoretischen Modelle der Geldneutralit{\"a}t. Anschließend werden die zentralen theoretischen Annahmen und Aussagen der Neutralit{\"a}tstheorie aus einer kritischen heterodoxen Perspektive hinterfragt. Es wird argumentiert, dass Geld eine nicht-neutrale Produktionskraft ist, die weder {\"o}konomisch noch sozial neutral ist. Die Bedingungen, unter denen Geld verf{\"u}gbar ist und zirkuliert, sind richtungsweisend f{\"u}r die {\"o}konomische Entwicklung. Daher kann es auch kein neutrales Geld oder gar eine apolitische Geldpolitik geben.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Şener2016, author = {Şener, Ula{\c{s}}}, title = {Die relative Autonomie der Zentralbank}, series = {Potsdam Economic Studies}, volume = {5}, journal = {Potsdam Economic Studies}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-86956-362-6}, issn = {2196-8691}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-88856}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xvii, 375}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht die Politik der Zentralbankunabh{\"a}ngigkeit (ZBU) am Beispiel der T{\"u}rkei. Im Mittelpunkt der Arbeit stehen theoretische und empirische Fragen und Probleme, die sich im Zusammenhang mit der ZBU stellen und anhand der t{\"u}rkischen Geldpolitik diskutiert werden. Ein zentrales Ziel der Arbeit besteht darin, zu untersuchen, ob und inwiefern die t{\"u}rkische Zentralbank nach Erlangung der de jure institutionellen Unabh{\"a}ngigkeit tats{\"a}chlich als unabh{\"a}ngig und entpolitisiert eingestuft werden kann. Um diese Forschungsfrage zu beantworten, werden die institutionellen Bedingungen, die Ziele und die Regeln, nach denen sich die t{\"u}rkische Geldpolitik richtet, gekl{\"a}rt. Anschließend wird empirisch {\"u}berpr{\"u}ft, ob die geldpolitische Praxis der CBRT sich an dem offiziell vorgegebenen Regelwerk orientiert. Die Hauptthese dieser Arbeit lautet, dass die formelle Unabh{\"a}ngigkeit der CBRT und die regelorientierte Geldpolitik nicht mit einer Entpolitisierung der Geldpolitik in der T{\"u}rkei gleichzusetzen ist. Als Alternative schl{\"a}gt die vorliegende Studie vor, den institutionellen Status der CBRT als einen der relativen Autonomie zu untersuchen. Auch eine de jure unabh{\"a}ngige Zentralbank kann sich nicht von politischen Eingriffen abkoppeln, wie das Fallbeispiel T{\"u}rkei zeigen wird.}, language = {de} } @misc{ŚlęzakMetzlerMagdziarz2019, author = {Ślęzak, Jakub and Metzler, Ralf and Magdziarz, Marcin}, title = {Codifference can detect ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {748}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-43617}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-436178}, pages = {25}, year = {2019}, abstract = {We show that the codifference is a useful tool in studying the ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity properties of stochastic time series. While the codifference is a measure of dependence that was previously studied mainly in the context of stable processes, we here extend its range of applicability to random-parameter and diffusing-diffusivity models which are important in contemporary physics, biology and financial engineering. We prove that the codifference detects forms of dependence and ergodicity breaking which are not visible from analysing the covariance and correlation functions. We also discuss a related measure of dispersion, which is a nonlinear analogue of the mean squared displacement.}, language = {en} } @misc{ŚlęzakMetzlerMagdziarz2018, author = {Ślęzak, Jakub and Metzler, Ralf and Magdziarz, Marcin}, title = {Superstatistical generalised Langevin equation}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-409315}, pages = {25}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Recent advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques demonstrate the emergence of normal or anomalous, viscoelastic diffusion in conjunction with non-Gaussian distributions in soft, biological, and active matter systems. We here formulate a stochastic model based on a generalised Langevin equation in which non-Gaussian shapes of the probability density function and normal or anomalous diffusion have a common origin, namely a random parametrisation of the stochastic force. We perform a detailed analysis demonstrating how various types of parameter distributions for the memory kernel result in exponential, power law, or power-log law tails of the memory functions. The studied system is also shown to exhibit a further unusual property: the velocity has a Gaussian one point probability density but non-Gaussian joint distributions. This behaviour is reflected in the relaxation from a Gaussian to a non-Gaussian distribution observed for the position variable. We show that our theoretical results are in excellent agreement with stochastic simulations.}, language = {en} } @misc{ŚlęzakBurneckiMetzler2019, author = {Ślęzak, Jakub and Burnecki, Krzysztof and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Random coefficient autoregressive processes describe Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous systems}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {765}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-43792}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-437923}, pages = {18}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Many studies on biological and soft matter systems report the joint presence of a linear mean-squared displacement and a non-Gaussian probability density exhibiting, for instance, exponential or stretched-Gaussian tails. This phenomenon is ascribed to the heterogeneity of the medium and is captured by random parameter models such as 'superstatistics' or 'diffusing diffusivity'. Independently, scientists working in the area of time series analysis and statistics have studied a class of discrete-time processes with similar properties, namely, random coefficient autoregressive models. In this work we try to reconcile these two approaches and thus provide a bridge between physical stochastic processes and autoregressive models.Westart from the basic Langevin equation of motion with time-varying damping or diffusion coefficients and establish the link to random coefficient autoregressive processes. By exploring that link we gain access to efficient statistical methods which can help to identify data exhibiting Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion.}, language = {en} } @misc{ĆwiekKupczyńskaAltmannArendetal.2016, author = {Ćwiek-Kupczyńska, Hanna and Altmann, Thomas and Arend, Daniel and Arnaud, Elizabeth and Chen, Dijun and Cornut, Guillaume and Fiorani, Fabio and Frohmberg, Wojciech and Junker, Astrid and Klukas, Christian and Lange, Matthias and Mazurek, Cezary and Nafissi, Anahita and Neveu, Pascal and van Oeveren, Jan and Pommier, Cyril and Poorter, Hendrik and Rocca-Serra, Philippe and Sansone, Susanna-Assunta and Scholz, Uwe and van Schriek, Marco and Seren, {\"U}mit and Usadel, Bj{\"o}rn and Weise, Stephan and Kersey, Paul and Krajewski, Paweł}, title = {Measures for interoperability of phenotypic data}, series = {Plant methods}, journal = {Plant methods}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407299}, pages = {18}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Background: Plant phenotypic data shrouds a wealth of information which, when accurately analysed and linked to other data types, brings to light the knowledge about the mechanisms of life. As phenotyping is a field of research comprising manifold, diverse and time ‑consuming experiments, the findings can be fostered by reusing and combin‑ ing existing datasets. Their correct interpretation, and thus replicability, comparability and interoperability, is possible provided that the collected observations are equipped with an adequate set of metadata. So far there have been no common standards governing phenotypic data description, which hampered data exchange and reuse. Results: In this paper we propose the guidelines for proper handling of the information about plant phenotyping experiments, in terms of both the recommended content of the description and its formatting. We provide a docu‑ ment called "Minimum Information About a Plant Phenotyping Experiment", which specifies what information about each experiment should be given, and a Phenotyping Configuration for the ISA ‑Tab format, which allows to practically organise this information within a dataset. We provide examples of ISA ‑Tab ‑formatted phenotypic data, and a general description of a few systems where the recommendations have been implemented. Conclusions: Acceptance of the rules described in this paper by the plant phenotyping community will help to achieve findable, accessible, interoperable and reusable data.}, language = {en} } @misc{UestuenBartetzkoBoernke2015, author = {{\"U}st{\"u}n, Suayib and Bartetzko, Verena and B{\"o}rnke, Frederik}, title = {The Xanthomonas effector XopJ triggers a conditional hypersensitive response upon treatment of N. benthamiana leaves with salicylic acid}, series = {Frontiers in plant science}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-406537}, pages = {11}, year = {2015}, abstract = {XopJ is a Xanthomonas type III effector protein that promotes bacterial virulence on susceptible pepper plants through the inhibition of the host cell proteasome and a resultant suppression of salicylic acid (SA) - dependent defense responses. We show here that Nicotiana benthamiana leaves transiently expressing XopJ display hypersensitive response (HR) -like symptoms when exogenously treated with SA. This apparent avirulence function of XopJ was further dependent on effector myristoylation as well as on an intact catalytic triad, suggesting a requirement of its enzymatic activity for HR-like symptom elicitation. The ability of XopJ to cause a HR-like symptom development upon SA treatment was lost upon silencing of SGT1 and NDR1, respectively, but was independent of EDS1 silencing, suggesting that XopJ is recognized by an R protein of the CC-NBS-LRR class. Furthermore, silencing of NPR1 abolished the elicitation of HR-like symptoms in XopJ expressing leaves after SA application. Measurement of the proteasome activity indicated that proteasome inhibition by XopJ was alleviated in the presence of SA, an effect that was not observed in NPR1 silenced plants. Our results suggest that XopJ - triggered HR-like symptoms are closely related to the virulence function of the effector and that XopJ follows a two-signal model in order to elicit a response in the non-host plant N. benthamiana.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Oeztuerk2018, author = {{\"O}zt{\"u}rk, Ugur}, title = {Learning more to predict landslides}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-42643}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-426439}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xxi, 104}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Landslides are frequent natural hazards in rugged terrain, when the resisting frictional force of the surface of rupture yields to the gravitational force. These forces are functions of geological and morphological factors, such as angle of internal friction, local slope gradient or curvature, which remain static over hundreds of years; whereas more dynamic triggering events, such as rainfall and earthquakes, compromise the force balance by temporarily reducing resisting forces or adding transient loads. This thesis investigates landslide distribution and orientation due to landslide triggers (e.g. rainfall) at different scales (6-4∙10^5 km^2) and aims to link rainfall movement with the landslide distribution. It additionally explores the local impacts of the extreme rainstorms on landsliding and the role of precursory stability conditions that could be induced by an earlier trigger, such as an earthquake. Extreme rainfall is a common landslide trigger. Although several studies assessed rainfall intensity and duration to study the distribution of thus triggered landslides, only a few case studies quantified spatial rainfall patterns (i.e. orographic effect). Quantifying the regional trajectories of extreme rainfall could aid predicting landslide prone regions in Japan. To this end, I combined a non-linear correlation metric, namely event synchronization, and radial statistics to assess the general pattern of extreme rainfall tracks over distances of hundreds of kilometers using satellite based rainfall estimates. Results showed that, although the increase in rainfall intensity and duration positively correlates with landslide occurrence, the trajectories of typhoons and frontal storms were insufficient to explain landslide distribution in Japan. Extreme rainfall trajectories inclined northwestwards and were concentrated along some certain locations, such as coastlines of southern Japan, which was unnoticed in the landslide distribution of about 5000 rainfall-triggered landslides. These landslides seemed to respond to the mean annual rainfall rates. Above mentioned findings suggest further investigation on a more local scale to better understand the mechanistic response of landscape to extreme rainfall in terms of landslides. On May 2016 intense rainfall struck southern Germany triggering high waters and landslides. The highest damage was reported at the Braunsbach, which is located on the tributary-mouth fan formed by the Orlacher Bach. Orlacher Bach is a ~3 km long creek that drains a catchment of about ~6 km^2. I visited this catchment in June 2016 and mapped 48 landslides along the creek. Such high landslide activity was not reported in the nearby catchments within ~3300 km^2, despite similar rainfall intensity and duration based on weather radar estimates. My hypothesis was that several landslides were triggered by rainfall-triggered flash floods that undercut hillslope toes along the Orlacher Bach. I found that morphometric features such as slope and curvature play an important role in landslide distribution on this micro scale study site (<10 km^2). In addition, the high number of landslides along the Orlacher Bach could also be boosted by accumulated damages on hillslopes due karst weathering over longer time scales. Precursory damages on hillslopes could also be induced by past triggering events that effect landscape evolution, but this interaction is hard to assess independently from the latest trigger. For example, an earthquake might influence the evolution of a landscape decades long, besides its direct impacts, such as landslides that follow the earthquake. Here I studied the consequences of the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake (MW 7.1) that triggered some 1500 landslides in an area of ~4000 km^2 in central Kyushu, Japan. Topography, i.e. local slope and curvature, both amplified and attenuated seismic waves, thus controlling the failure mechanism of those landslides (e.g. progressive). I found that topography fails in explaining the distribution and the preferred orientation of the landslides after the earthquake; instead the landslides were concentrated around the northeast of the rupture area and faced mostly normal to the rupture plane. This preferred location of the landslides was dominated mainly by the directivity effect of the strike-slip earthquake, which is the propagation of wave energy along the fault in the rupture direction; whereas amplitude variations of the seismic radiation altered the preferred orientation. I suspect that the earthquake directivity and the asymmetry of seismic radiation damaged hillslopes at those preferred locations increasing landslide susceptibility. Hence a future weak triggering event, e.g. scattered rainfall, could further trigger landslides at those damaged hillslopes.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Oetsch2012, author = {{\"O}tsch, Rainald}, title = {Stromerzeugung in Deutschland unter den Rahmenbedingungen von Klimapolitik und liberalisiertem Strommarkt : Bewertung von Kraftwerksinvestitionen mit Bayes'schen Einflussdiagrammen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-69056}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Mit der Liberalisierung des Strommarkts, den unsicheren Aussichten in der Klimapolitik und stark schwankenden Preisen bei Brennstoffen, Emissionsrechten und Kraftwerkskomponenten hat bei Kraftwerksinvestitionen das Risikomanagement an Bedeutung gewonnen. Dies {\"a}ußert sich im vermehrten Einsatz probabilistischer Verfahren. Insbesondere bei regulativen Risiken liefert der klassische, h{\"a}ufigkeitsbasierte Wahrscheinlichkeitsbegriff aber keine Handhabe zur Risikoquantifizierung. In dieser Arbeit werden Kraftwerksinvestitionen und -portfolien in Deutschland mit Methoden des Bayes'schen Risikomanagements bewertet. Die Bayes'sche Denkschule begreift Wahrscheinlichkeit als pers{\"o}nliches Maß f{\"u}r Unsicherheit. Wahrscheinlichkeiten k{\"o}nnen auch ohne statistische Datenanalyse allein mit Expertenbefragungen gewonnen werden. Das Zusammenwirken unsicherer Werttreiber wurde mit einem probabilistischen DCF-Modell (Discounted Cash Flow-Modell) spezifiziert und in ein Einflussdiagramm mit etwa 1200 Objekten umgesetzt. Da der {\"U}berw{\"a}lzungsgrad von Brennstoff- und CO2-Kosten und damit die H{\"o}he der von den Kraftwerken erwirtschafteten Deckungsbeitr{\"a}ge im Wettbewerb bestimmt werden, reicht eine einzelwirtschaftliche Betrachtung der Kraftwerke nicht aus. Strompreise und Auslastungen werden mit Heuristiken anhand der individuellen Position der Kraftwerke in der Merit Order bestimmt, d.h. anhand der nach kurzfristigen Grenzkosten gestaffelten Einsatzreihenfolge. Dazu wurden 113 thermische Großkraftwerke aus Deutschland in einer Merit Order vereinigt. Das Modell liefert Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilungen f{\"u}r zentrale Gr{\"o}ßen wie Kapitalwerte von Bestandsportfolien sowie Stromgestehungskosten und Kapitalwerte von Einzelinvestitionen (Steinkohle- und Braunkohlekraftwerke mit und ohne CO2-Abscheidung sowie GuD-Kraftwerke). Der Wert der Bestandsportfolien von RWE, E.ON, EnBW und Vattenfall wird prim{\"a}r durch die Beitr{\"a}ge der Braunkohle- und Atomkraftwerke bestimmt. Erstaunlicherweise schl{\"a}gt sich der Emissionshandel nicht in Verlusten nieder. Dies liegt einerseits an den Zusatzgewinnen der Atomkraftwerke, andererseits an den bis 2012 gratis zugeteilten Emissionsrechten, welche hohe Windfall-Profite generieren. Dadurch erweist sich der Emissionshandel in seiner konkreten Ausgestaltung insgesamt als gewinnbringendes Gesch{\"a}ft. {\"U}ber die Restlaufzeit der Bestandskraftwerke resultiert ab 2008 aus der Einf{\"u}hrung des Emissionshandels ein Barwertvorteil von insgesamt 8,6 Mrd. €. In {\"a}hnlicher Dimension liegen die Barwertvorteile aus der 2009 von der Bundesregierung in Aussicht gestellten Laufzeitverl{\"a}ngerung f{\"u}r Atomkraftwerke. Bei einer achtj{\"a}hrigen Laufzeitverl{\"a}ngerung erg{\"a}ben sich je nach CO2-Preisniveau Barwertvorteile von 8 bis 15 Mrd. €. Mit h{\"o}heren CO2-Preisen und Laufzeitverl{\"a}ngerungen von bis zu 28 Jahren w{\"u}rden 25 Mrd. € oder mehr zus{\"a}tzlich anfallen. Langfristig erscheint fraglich, ob unter dem gegenw{\"a}rtigen Marktdesign noch Anreize f{\"u}r Investitionen in fossile Kraftwerke gegeben sind. Zu Beginn der NAP 2-Periode noch rentable Investitionen in Braunkohle- und GuD-Kraftwerke werden mit der auslaufenden Gratiszuteilung von Emissionsrechten zunehmend unrentabler. Die Rentabilit{\"a}t wird durch Strommarkteffekte der erneuerbaren Energien und ausscheidender alter Gas- und {\"O}lkraftwerke stetig weiter untergraben. Steinkohlekraftwerke erweisen sich selbst mit anf{\"a}nglicher Gratiszuteilung als riskante Investition. Die festgestellten Anreizprobleme f{\"u}r Neuinvestitionen sollten jedoch nicht dem Emissionshandel zugeschrieben werden, sondern resultieren aus den an Grenzkosten orientierten Strompreisen. Das Anreizproblem ist allerdings bei moderaten CO2-Preisen am gr{\"o}ßten. Es gilt auch f{\"u}r Kraftwerke mit CO2-Abscheidung: Obwohl die erwarteten Vermeidungskosten f{\"u}r CCS-Kraftwerke gegen{\"u}ber konventionellen Kohlekraftwerken im Jahr 2025 auf 25 €/t CO2 (Braunkohle) bzw. 38,5 €/t CO2 (Steinkohle) gesch{\"a}tzt werden, wird ihr Bau erst ab CO2-Preisen von 50 bzw. 77 €/t CO2 rentabel. Ob und welche Kraftwerksinvestitionen sich langfristig rechnen, wird letztlich aber politisch entschieden und ist selbst unter stark idealisierten Bedingungen kaum vorhersagbar.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Oenel2008, author = {{\"O}nel, Hakan}, title = {Electron acceleration in a flare plasma via coronal circuits}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-29035}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2008}, abstract = {The Sun is a star, which due to its proximity has a tremendous influence on Earth. Since its very first days mankind tried to "understand the Sun", and especially in the 20th century science has uncovered many of the Sun's secrets by using high resolution observations and describing the Sun by means of models. As an active star the Sun's activity, as expressed in its magnetic cycle, is closely related to the sunspot numbers. Flares play a special role, because they release large energies on very short time scales. They are correlated with enhanced electromagnetic emissions all over the spectrum. Furthermore, flares are sources of energetic particles. Hard X-ray observations (e.g., by NASA's RHESSI spacecraft) reveal that a large fraction of the energy released during a flare is transferred into the kinetic energy of electrons. However the mechanism that accelerates a large number of electrons to high energies (beyond 20 keV) within fractions of a second is not understood yet. The thesis at hand presents a model for the generation of energetic electrons during flares that explains the electron acceleration based on real parameters obtained by real ground and space based observations. According to this model photospheric plasma flows build up electric potentials in the active regions in the photosphere. Usually these electric potentials are associated with electric currents closed within the photosphere. However as a result of magnetic reconnection, a magnetic connection between the regions of different magnetic polarity on the photosphere can establish through the corona. Due to the significantly higher electric conductivity in the corona, the photospheric electric power supply can be closed via the corona. Subsequently a high electric current is formed, which leads to the generation of hard X-ray radiation in the dense chromosphere. The previously described idea is modelled and investigated by means of electric circuits. For this the microscopic plasma parameters, the magnetic field geometry and hard X-ray observations are used to obtain parameters for modelling macroscopic electric components, such as electric resistors, which are connected with each other. This model demonstrates that such a coronal electric current is correlated with large scale electric fields, which can accelerate the electrons quickly up to relativistic energies. The results of these calculations are encouraging. The electron fluxes predicted by the model are in agreement with the electron fluxes deduced from the measured photon fluxes. Additionally the model developed in this thesis proposes a new way to understand the observed double footpoint hard X-ray sources.}, language = {en} } @misc{AgelBoykenEisenbergetal.2023, author = {{\´A}gel, Vilmos and Boyken, Thomas and Eisenberg, Peter and Fuhrhop, Nanna and Peters, Kendra and Schreiber, Niklas and Yildirim, Derya and Bon, Laura and Engelberg, Stefan and Rapp, Irene and Gr{\"u}ttemeier, Ralf and Musan, Renate and Schneider, Stefan}, title = {Literarische Grammatik}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Philosophische Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Philosophische Reihe}, number = {183}, editor = {Fuhrhop, Nanna and Reinken, Niklas and Schreiber, Niklas}, issn = {1866-8380}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-58738}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-587380}, pages = {201}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Dieser Band versammelt neun Beitr{\"a}ge mit dem Ziel, Sprach- und Literaturwissenschaft aufeinander zu beziehen: Literatur grammatisch zu betrachten und Grammatik f{\"u}r Literatur (neu) zu denken. Jeder Beitrag nimmt mindestens einen grammatischen und einen literarischen Gegenstand zum Ausgangspunkt. Dabei ist die Bandbreite groß; sie reicht von Bodo Kirchhoffs Roman ‚D{\"a}mmer und Aufruhr' {\"u}ber die Kurzgeschichte ‚Das Brot' von Wolfgang Borchert bis hin zu Marion Poschmanns Gedichtzyklus ‚Kindergarten Lichtenberg' und deckt unterschiedlichste sprachliche Bereiche wie Tempus, semantische Rollen, Interpunktionszeichen oder Metaphern ab. Ist es in der Schule geradezu erw{\"u}nscht, Grammatik und Literatur integrativ zu unterrichten, verfolgen sie als universit{\"a}re Disziplinen oft ganz unterschiedliche Fragestellungen an verschiedenen Sprachwerken. Vor diesem Hintergrund ist dieser Band ein interdisziplin{\"a}rer Versuch, Anregungen und neue Perspektiven f{\"u}r schulische wie universit{\"a}re Bildungskontexte zu geben.}, language = {de} } @misc{Zuellich2011, type = {Master Thesis}, author = {Z{\"u}llich, Gunda}, title = {Migration and development in Senegal : a system dynamics analysis of the feedback relationships}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-57836}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2011}, abstract = {This thesis investigates the reciprocal relationship between migration and development in Senegal. Therewith, it contributes to the debate as to whether migration in developing countries enhances or rather impedes the development process. Even though extensive and controversial discussions can be found in the scientific literature regarding the impact of migration on development, research has scarcely examined the feedback relationships between migration and development. Science however agrees with both the fact that migration affects development as well as that the level of development in a country determines migration behaviour. Thus, both variables are neither dependent nor independent, but endogenous variables influencing each other and producing behavioural pattern that cannot be investigated using a static and unidirectional approach. On account of this, the thesis studies the feedback mechanisms existing between migration and development and the behavioural pattern generated by the high interdependence in order to be able to draw conclusions concerning the impact of changes in migration behaviour on the development process. To explore these research questions, the study applies the computer simulation method 'System Dynamics' and amplifies the simulation model for national development planning called 'Threshold 21' (T21), representing development processes endogenously and integrating economic, social and environmental aspects, using a structure that portrays the reasons and consequences of migration. The model has been customised to Senegal, being an appropriate representative of the theoretical interesting universe of cases. The comparison of the model generated scenarios - in which the intensity of emigration, the loss and gain of education, the remittances or the level of dependence changes - facilitates the analysis. The present study produces two important results. The first outcome is the development of an integrative framework representing migration and development in an endogenous way and incorporating several aspects of different theories. This model can be used as a starting point for further discussions and improvements and it is a fairly relevant and useful result against the background that migration is not integrated into most of the development planning tools despite its significant impact. The second outcome is the gained insights concerning the feedback relations between migration and development and the impact of changes in migration on development. To give two examples: It could be found that migration impacts development positively, indicated by HDI, but that the dominant behaviour of migration and development is a counteracting behaviour. That means that an increase in emigration leads to an improvement in development, while this in turn causes a decline in emigration, counterbalancing the initial increase. Another insight concerns the discovery that migration causes a decline in education in the short term, but leads to an increase in the long term, after approximately 25 years - a typical worse-before-better behaviour. From these and further observations, important policy implications can be derived for the sending and receiving countries. Hence, by overcoming the unidirectional perspective, this study contributes to an improved understanding of the highly complex relationship between migration and development and their feedback relations.}, language = {en} } @misc{ZuehlkeMeilingRoderetal.2021, author = {Z{\"u}hlke, Martin and Meiling, Till Thomas and Roder, Phillip and Riebe, Daniel and Beitz, Toralf and Bald, Ilko and L{\"o}hmannsr{\"o}ben, Hans-Gerd and Janßen, Traute and Erhard, Marcel and Repp, Alexander}, title = {Photodynamic Inactivation of E. coli Bacteria via Carbon Nanodots}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-53842}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-538425}, pages = {23742 -- 23749}, year = {2021}, abstract = {The increasing development of antibiotic resistance in bacteria has been a major problem for years, both in human and veterinary medicine. Prophylactic measures, such as the use of vaccines, are of great importance in reducing the use of antibiotics in livestock. These vaccines are mainly produced based on formaldehyde inactivation. However, the latter damages the recognition elements of the bacterial proteins and thus could reduce the immune response in the animal. An alternative inactivation method developed in this work is based on gentle photodynamic inactivation using carbon nanodots (CNDs) at excitation wavelengths λex > 290 nm. The photodynamic inactivation was characterized on the nonvirulent laboratory strain Escherichia coli K12 using synthesized CNDs. For a gentle inactivation, the CNDs must be absorbed into the cytoplasm of the E. coli cell. Thus, the inactivation through photoinduced formation of reactive oxygen species only takes place inside the bacterium, which means that the outer membrane is neither damaged nor altered. The loading of the CNDs into E. coli was examined using fluorescence microscopy. Complete loading of the bacterial cells could be achieved in less than 10 min. These studies revealed a reversible uptake process allowing the recovery and reuse of the CNDs after irradiation and before the administration of the vaccine. The success of photodynamic inactivation was verified by viability assays on agar. In a homemade flow photoreactor, the fastest successful irradiation of the bacteria could be carried out in 34 s. Therefore, the photodynamic inactivation based on CNDs is very effective. The membrane integrity of the bacteria after irradiation was verified by slide agglutination and atomic force microscopy. The method developed for the laboratory strain E. coli K12 could then be successfully applied to the important avian pathogens Bordetella avium and Ornithobacterium rhinotracheale to aid the development of novel vaccines.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Zuehlke2017, author = {Z{\"u}hlke, Martin}, title = {Elektrosprayionisation Ionenmobilit{\"a}tsspektrometrie}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407452}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {viii, 113, XIV}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Die Elektrosprayionisation (ESI) ist eine der weitverbreitetsten Ionisationstechniken f{\"u}r fl{\"u}ssige Pro-ben in der Massen- und Ionenmobilit{\"a}ts(IM)-Spektrometrie. Aufgrund ihrer schonenden Ionisierung wird ESI vorwiegend f{\"u}r empfindliche, komplexe Molek{\"u}le in der Biologie und Medizin eingesetzt. {\"U}berdies ist sie allerdings f{\"u}r ein sehr breites Spektrum an Substanzklassen anwendbar. Die IM-Spektrometrie wurde urspr{\"u}nglich zur Detektion gasf{\"o}rmiger Proben entwickelt, die haupts{\"a}chlich durch radioaktive Quellen ionisiert werden. Sie ist die einzige analytische Methode, bei der Isomere in Echtzeit getrennt und {\"u}ber ihre charakteristische IM direkt identifiziert werden k{\"o}nnen. ESI wurde in den 90ger Jahren durch die Hill Gruppe in die IM-Spektrometrie eingef{\"u}hrt. Die Kombination wird bisher jedoch nur von wenigen Gruppen verwendet und hat deshalb noch ein hohes Entwick-lungspotential. Ein vielversprechendes Anwendungsfeld ist der Einsatz in der Hochleistungs-fl{\"u}ssigkeitschromatographie (HPLC) zur mehrdimensionalen Trennung. Heutzutage ist die HPLC die Standardmethode zur Trennung komplexer Proben in der Routineanalytik. HPLC-Trennungsg{\"a}nge sind jedoch h{\"a}ufig langwierig und der Einsatz verschiedener Laufmittel, hoher Flussraten, von Puffern, sowie Laufmittelgradienten stellt hohe Anforderungen an die Detektoren. Die ESI-IM-Spektrometrie wurde in einigen Studien bereits als HPLC-Detektor eingesetzt, war dort bisher jedoch auf Flussratensplitting oder geringe Flussraten des Laufmittels beschr{\"a}nkt. In dieser kumulativen Doktorarbeit konnte daher erstmals ein ESI IM-Spektrometer als HPLC-Detektor f{\"u}r den Flussratenbereich von 200-1500 μl/min entwickelt werden. Anhand von f{\"u}nf Publi-kationen wurden (1) {\"u}ber eine umfassende Charakterisierung die Eignung des Spektrometers als HPLC-Detektor festgestellt, (2) ausgew{\"a}hlte komplexe Trenng{\"a}nge pr{\"a}sentiert und (3) die Anwen-dung zum Reaktionsmonitoring und (4, 5) m{\"o}gliche Weiterentwicklungen gezeigt. Erfolgreich konnten mit dem selbst-entwickelten ESI IM-Spektrometer typische HPLC-Bedingungen wie Wassergehalte im Laufmittel von bis zu 90\%, Pufferkonzentrationen von bis zu 10 mM, sowie Nachweisgrenzen von bis zu 50 nM erreicht werden. Weiterhin wurde anhand der komplexen Trennungsg{\"a}nge (24 Pestizide/18 Aminos{\"a}uren) gezeigt, dass die HPLC und die IM-Spektrometrie eine hohe Orthogonalit{\"a}t besitzen. Eine effektive Peakkapazit{\"a}t von 240 wurde so realisiert. Auf der HPLC-S{\"a}ule koeluierende Substanzen konnten {\"u}ber die Driftzeit getrennt und {\"u}ber ihre IM identifi-ziert werden, sodass die Gesamttrennzeiten erheblich minimiert werden konnten. Die Anwend-barkeit des ESI IM-Spektrometers zur {\"U}berwachung chemischer Synthesen wurde anhand einer dreistufigen Reaktion demonstriert. Es konnten die wichtigsten Edukte, Zwischenprodukte und Produkte aller Stufen identifiziert werden. Eine quantitative Auswertung war sowohl {\"u}ber eine kurze HPLC-Vortrennung als auch durch die Entwicklung eines eigenen Kalibrierverfahrens, welches die Ladungskonkurrenz bei ESI ber{\"u}cksichtigt, ohne HPLC m{\"o}glich. Im zweiten Teil der Arbeit werden zwei Weiterentwicklungen des Spektrometers pr{\"a}sentiert. Eine M{\"o}glichkeit ist die Reduzierung des Drucks in den intermedi{\"a}ren Bereich (300 - 1000 mbar) mit dem Ziel der Verringerung der ben{\"o}tigten Spannungen. Mithilfe von Streulichtbildern und Strom-Spannungs-Kurven wurden f{\"u}r geringe Dr{\"u}cke eine verminderte Freisetzung der Analyt-Ionen aus den Tropfen festgestellt. Die Verluste konnten jedoch {\"u}ber h{\"o}here elektrische Feldst{\"a}rken ausgeglichen werden, sodass gleiche Nachweisgrenzen bei 500 mbar und bei 1 bar erreicht wurden. Die zweite Weiterentwicklung ist ein neuartiges Ionentors mit Pulsschaltung, welches eine Verdopplung der Aufl{\"o}sung auf bis zu R > 100 bei gleicher Sensitivit{\"a}t erm{\"o}glichte. Eine denkbare Anwendung im Bereich der Peptidanalytik wurde mit beachtlichen Aufl{\"o}sungen der Peptide von R = 90 gezeigt.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Zoeller1999, author = {Z{\"o}ller, Gert}, title = {Analyse raumzeitlicher Muster in Erdbebendaten}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0000122}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {1999}, abstract = {Die vorliegende Arbeit besch{\"a}ftigt sich mit der Charakterisierung von Seismizit{\"a}t anhand von Erdbebenkatalogen. Es werden neue Verfahren der Datenanalyse entwickelt, die Aufschluss dar{\"u}ber geben sollen, ob der seismischen Dynamik ein stochastischer oder ein deterministischer Prozess zugrunde liegt und was daraus f{\"u}r die Vorhersagbarkeit starker Erdbeben folgt. Es wird gezeigt, dass seismisch aktive Regionen h{\"a}ufig durch nichtlinearen Determinismus gekennzeichent sind. Dies schließt zumindest die M{\"o}glichkeit einer Kurzzeitvorhersage ein. Das Auftreten seismischer Ruhe wird h{\"a}ufig als Vorl{\"a}uferphaenomen f{\"u}r starke Erdbeben gedeutet. Es wird eine neue Methode pr{\"a}sentiert, die eine systematische raumzeitliche Kartierung seismischer Ruhephasen erm{\"o}glicht. Die statistische Signifikanz wird mit Hilfe des Konzeptes der Ersatzdaten bestimmt. Als Resultat erh{\"a}lt man deutliche Korrelationen zwischen seismischen Ruheperioden und starken Erdbeben. Gleichwohl ist die Signifikanz daf{\"u}r nicht hoch genug, um eine Vorhersage im Sinne einer Aussage {\"u}ber den Ort, die Zeit und die St{\"a}rke eines zu erwartenden Hauptbebens zu erm{\"o}glichen.}, language = {en} }