@article{BubeckDillenardtAlfierietal.2019,
  author    = {Bubeck, Philip and Dillenardt, Lisa and Alfieri, Lorenzo and Feyen, Luc and Thieken, Annegret and Kellermann, Patric},
  title     = {Global warming to increase flood risk on European railways},
  series = {Climatic change : an interdisciplinary, intern. journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change},
  volume    = {155},
  journal   = {Climatic change : an interdisciplinary, intern. journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change},
  number    = {1},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {Dordrecht},
  issn      = {0165-0009},
  doi       = {10.1007/s10584-019-02434-5},
  pages     = {19 -- 36},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {For effective disaster risk management and adaptation planning, a good understanding of current and projected flood risk is required. Recent advances in quantifying flood risk at the regional and global scale have largely neglected critical infrastructure, or addressed this important sector with insufficient detail. Here, we present the first European-wide assessment of current and future flood risk to railway tracks for different global warming scenarios using an infrastructure-specific damage model. We find that the present risk, measured as expected annual damage, to railway networks in Europe is approx. (sic)581 million per year, with the highest risk relative to the length of the network in North Macedonia, Croatia, Norway, Portugal, and Germany. Based on an ensemble of climate projections for RCP8.5, we show that current risk to railway networks is projected to increase by 255\% under a 1.5 degrees C, by 281\% under a 2 degrees C, and by 310\% under a 3 degrees C warming scenario. The largest increases in risk under a 3 degrees C scenario are projected for Slovakia, Austria, Slovenia, and Belgium. Our advances in the projection of flood risk to railway infrastructure are important given their criticality, and because losses to public infrastructure are usually not insured or even uninsurable in the private market. To cover the risk increase due to climate change, European member states would need to increase expenditure in transport by (sic)1.22 billion annually under a 3 degrees C warming scenario without further adaptation. Limiting global warming to the 1.5 degrees C goal of the Paris Agreement would result in avoided losses of (sic)317 million annually.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{ThiekenBubeckRieseetal.2019,
  author    = {Thieken, Annegret and Bubeck, Philip and Riese, Miriam and Ulbrich, Uwe and Kind, Christian and Kaiser, Theresa},
  title     = {Foreword Heavy Rain Risk Management in Germany},
  series = {Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung},
  volume    = {63},
  journal   = {Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung},
  number    = {4},
  publisher = {Bundesanstalt f{\"u}r Gew{\"a}sserkunde},
  address   = {Koblenz},
  issn      = {1439-1783},
  pages     = {192 -- 192},
  year      = {2019},
  language  = {de}
}
@article{RieseThiekenMueggenburgetal.2019,
  author    = {Riese, Miriam and Thieken, Annegret and M{\"u}ggenburg, Eva and Bubeck, Philip},
  title     = {Synergies and barriers of the possible integration of heavy rainfall for the implementation of the European Floods Directive},
  series = {Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung},
  volume    = {63},
  journal   = {Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung},
  number    = {4},
  publisher = {Bundesanst. f{\"u}r Gew{\"a}sserkunde},
  address   = {Koblenz},
  issn      = {1439-1783},
  doi       = {10.5675/HyWa_2019.4_1},
  pages     = {193 -- 202},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {The heavy rainfall events in recent years have caused great damage, which has increased the public awareness of the topic of heavy rainfall. For this reason, this article discusses how a systematic integration of heavy rainfall within the framework of the European Floods Directive would be possible and reasonable. For this purpose, a matrix covering possible synergies and barriers was created for all steps of the directive, which were then examined in 15 semi-structured interviews with representatives from specialized administration, the private sector and academia. Although there are some synergies, the additional effort required, especially regarding the identification of the risk areas and the higher level of detail required for risk modeling, would be so high that the European Floods Directive cannot be deemed to be an appropriate framework for heavy rainfall risk management. Nevertheless, there is a need for action, e.g. in the field of self-protection, improved risk communication to the population, combined with increased public and interagency cooperation.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{HudsonPhamBubeck2019,
  author    = {Hudson, Paul and Pham, My and Bubeck, Philip},
  title     = {An evaluation and monetary assessment of the impact of flooding on subjective well-being across genders in Vietnam},
  series = {Climate \& development},
  volume    = {11},
  journal   = {Climate \& development},
  number    = {7},
  publisher = {Routledge, Taylor \& Francis Group},
  address   = {Abingdon},
  issn      = {1756-5529},
  doi       = {10.1080/17565529.2019.1579698},
  pages     = {623 -- 637},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {The intangible impacts of floods on welfare are not well investigated, even though they are important aspects of welfare. Moreover, flooding has gender based impacts on welfare. These differing impacts create a gender based flood risk resilience gap. We study the intangible impacts of flood risk on the subjective well-being of residents in central Vietnam. The measurement of intangible impacts through subjective well-being is a growing field within flood risk research. We find an initial drop in welfare through subjective well-being across genders when a flood is experienced. Male respondents tended to recover their welfare losses by around 80\% within 5 years while female respondents were associated with a welfare recovery of around 70\%. A monetization of the impacts floods have on an individual's subjective well-being shows that for the average female respondent, between 41\% to 86\% of annual income would be required to compensate subjective well-being losses after 5 years of experiencing a flood. The corresponding value for males is 30\% to 57\% of annual income. This shows that the intangible impacts of flood risk are important (across genders) and need to be integrated into flood (or climate) risk assessments to develop more socially appropriate risk management strategies.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{HudsonThiekenBubeck2019,
  author    = {Hudson, Paul and Thieken, Annegret and Bubeck, Philip},
  title     = {The challenges of longitudinal surveys in the flood risk domain},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {759},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-43409},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-434092},
  pages     = {23},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {There has been much research regarding the perceptions, preferences, behaviour, and responses of people exposed to flooding and other nat- ural hazards. Cross-sectional surveys have been the predominant method applied in such research. While cross-sectional data can provide a snapshot of a respondent's behaviour and perceptions, it cannot be assumed that the respondent's perceptions are constant over time. As a result, many important research questions relating to dynamic processes, such as changes in risk perceptions, adaptation behaviour, and resilience cannot be fully addressed by cross-sectional surveys. To overcome these shortcomings, there has been a call for developing longitudinal (or panel) datasets in research on natural hazards, vulnerabilities, and risks. However, experiences with implementing longitudinal surveys in the flood risk domain (FRD), which pose distinct methodological challenges, are largely lacking. The key problems are sample recruitment, attrition rate, and attrition bias. We present a review of the few existing longitudinal surveys in the FRD. In addition, we investigate the potential attrition bias and attrition rates in a panel dataset of flood-affected households in Germany. We find little potential for attrition bias to occur. High attrition rates across longitudinal survey waves are the larger concern. A high attrition rate rapidly depletes the longitudinal sample. To overcome high attrition, longitudinal data should be collected as part of a multisector partnership to allow for sufficient resources to implement sample retention strategies. If flood-specific panels are developed, different sample retention strategies should be applied and evaluated in future research to understand how much-needed longitudinal surveying techniques can be successfully applied to the study of individuals threatened by flooding.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{HudsonPhamBubeck2019,
  author    = {Hudson, Paul and Pham, My and Bubeck, Philip},
  title     = {An evaluation and monetary assessment of the impact of flooding on subjective well-being across genders in Vietnam},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {736},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-43341},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-433414},
  pages     = {623 -- 637},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {The intangible impacts of floods on welfare are not well investigated, even though they are important aspects of welfare. Moreover, flooding has gender based impacts on welfare. These differing impacts create a gender based flood risk resilience gap. We study the intangible impacts of flood risk on the subjective well-being of residents in central Vietnam. The measurement of intangible impacts through subjective well-being is a growing field within flood risk research. We find an initial drop in welfare through subjective well-being across genders when a flood is experienced. Male respondents tended to recover their welfare losses by around 80\% within 5 years while female respondents were associated with a welfare recovery of around 70\%. A monetization of the impacts floods have on an individual's subjective well-being shows that for the average female respondent, between 41\% to 86\% of annual income would be required to compensate subjective well-being losses after 5 years of experiencing a flood. The corresponding value for males is 30\% to 57\% of annual income. This shows that the intangible impacts of flood risk are important (across genders) and need to be integrated into flood (or climate) risk assessments to develop more socially appropriate risk management strategies.},
  language  = {en}
}