@phdthesis{Kunkel2023,
  author    = {Kunkel, Stefanie},
  title     = {Green industry through industry 4.0? Expected and observed effects of digitalisation in industry for environmental sustainability},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-61395},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-613954},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {vii, 168},
  year      = {2023},
  abstract  = {Digitalisation in industry - also called "Industry 4.0" - is seen by numerous actors as an opportunity to reduce the environmental impact of the industrial sector. The scientific assessments of the effects of digitalisation in industry on environmental sustainability, however, are ambivalent. This cumulative dissertation uses three empirical studies to examine the expected and observed effects of digitalisation in industry on environmental sustainability. The aim of this dissertation is to identify opportunities and risks of digitalisation at different system levels and to derive options for action in politics and industry for a more sustainable design of digitalisation in industry. I use an interdisciplinary, socio-technical approach and look at selected countries of the Global South (Study 1) and the example of China (all studies). In the first study (section 2, joint work with Marcel Matthess), I use qualitative content analysis to examine digital and industrial policies from seven different countries in Africa and Asia for expectations regarding the impact of digitalisation on sustainability and compare these with the potentials of digitalisation for sustainability in the respective country contexts. The analysis reveals that the documents express a wide range of vague expectations that relate more to positive indirect impacts of information and communication technology (ICT) use, such as improved energy efficiency and resource management, and less to negative direct impacts of ICT, such as electricity consumption through ICT. In the second study (section 3, joint work with Marcel Matthess, Grischa Beier and Bing Xue), I conduct and analyse interviews with 18 industry representatives of the electronics industry from Europe, Japan and China on digitalisation measures in supply chains using qualitative content analysis. I find that while there are positive expectations regarding the effects of digital technologies on supply chain sustainability, their actual use and observable effects are still limited. Interview partners can only provide few examples from their own companies which show that sustainability goals have already been pursued through digitalisation of the supply chain or where sustainability effects, such as resource savings, have been demonstrably achieved. In the third study (section 4, joint work with Peter Neuh{\"a}usler, Melissa Dachrodt and Marcel Matthess), I conduct an econometric panel data analysis. I examine the relationship between the degree of Industry 4.0, energy consumption and energy intensity in ten manufacturing sectors in China between 2006 and 2019. The results suggest that overall, there is no significant relationship between the degree of Industry 4.0 and energy consumption or energy intensity in manufacturing sectors in China. However, differences can be found in subgroups of sectors. I find a negative correlation of Industry 4.0 and energy intensity in highly digitalised sectors, indicating an efficiency-enhancing effect of Industry 4.0 in these sectors. On the other hand, there is a positive correlation of Industry 4.0 and energy consumption for sectors with low energy consumption, which could be explained by the fact that digitalisation, such as the automation of previously mainly labour-intensive sectors, requires energy and also induces growth effects. In the discussion section (section 6) of this dissertation, I use the classification scheme of the three levels macro, meso and micro, as well as of direct and indirect environmental effects to classify the empirical observations into opportunities and risks, for example, with regard to the probability of rebound effects of digitalisation at the three levels. I link the investigated actor perspectives (policy makers, industry representatives), statistical data and additional literature across the system levels and consider political economy aspects to suggest fields of action for more sustainable (digitalised) industries. The dissertation thus makes two overarching contributions to the academic and societal discourse. First, my three empirical studies expand the limited state of research at the interface between digitalisation in industry and sustainability, especially by considering selected countries in the Global South and the example of China. Secondly, exploring the topic through data and methods from different disciplinary contexts and taking a socio-technical point of view, enables an analysis of (path) dependencies, uncertainties, and interactions in the socio-technical system across different system levels, which have often not been sufficiently considered in previous studies. The dissertation thus aims to create a scientifically and practically relevant knowledge basis for a value-guided, sustainability-oriented design of digitalisation in industry.},
  language  = {en}
}
@incollection{Rieck2023,
  author    = {Rieck, Christian E.},
  title     = {Region ohne Richtung},
  series = {Zwischen Moskau, Peking und Washington: Lateinamerika in der Großmachtkonkurrenz},
  booktitle = {Zwischen Moskau, Peking und Washington: Lateinamerika in der Großmachtkonkurrenz},
  publisher = {Nomos},
  address   = {Baden-Baden},
  isbn      = {978-3-7560-0033-3},
  doi       = {10.5771/9783748936121},
  pages     = {121 -- 130},
  year      = {2023},
  abstract  = {Welche Auswirkungen wird die aufziehende Großm{\"a}chtekonkurrenz also auf die regionale Sicherheitsordnung haben? Der Beitrag n{\"a}hert sich dieser Frage {\"u}ber die regionalen Bedingungsfaktoren, die den Rahmen f{\"u}r jegliche Ingerenz extraregionaler M{\"a}chte bilden: Die regionalen Sicherheitskomplexe in Lateinamerika und der Karibik, einschließlich der Regionalorganisationen und Regionalm{\"a}chte, sowie der Einflusssph{\"a}ren und Anreizsysteme der Großm{\"a}chte. Am Ende wagt der Beitrag einen Ausblick auf die Entwicklung der lateinamerikanischen Sicherheitspolitik im Angesicht der Geopolitik der Großm{\"a}chte. Die hier vorgestellte Kernthese wagt ein strukturelles und deshalb wenig alarmistisches Argument: Die Großm{\"a}chtekonkurrenz wird die bestehende Fragmentierung der regionalen Sicherheitsordnung weiter vertiefen, doch wird die Region gleichzeitig nicht substanziell an Agency gegen{\"u}ber den Großm{\"a}chten verlieren. Der Schl{\"u}ssel hierzu ist die außenpolitische Maxime der „gebundenen {\"A}quidistanz", die Dependenzen diversifiziert und damit nicht als Widerspruch, sondern als Positivsummenspiel versteht.},
  language  = {de}
}
@article{CarlaUhinkFreitag2022,
  author    = {Carl{\`a}-Uhink, Filippo and Freitag, Florian},
  title     = {Theme Park Imitations},
  series = {Cultural History},
  volume    = {11},
  journal   = {Cultural History},
  number    = {2},
  publisher = {Edinburgh University Press},
  address   = {Edinburgh},
  issn      = {2045-290X},
  doi       = {10.3366/cult.2022.0267},
  pages     = {181 -- 198},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Theme parks frequently draw not only on historical themes, from antiquity to the roaring twenties, but also on their own history - that is, the history of the medium of the theme park itself. This article uses the example of the Happy World ride at Happy Valley Beijing (China) to discuss theme park imitations, that is, the fact that theme parks frequently borrow individual elements (themes, technologies, visuals, layouts, names) and/or entire units (rides, restaurants, themed areas) from each other. Opened in 2014 in the Greek-themed Aegean Harbour section of Happy Valley Beijing, Happy World may upon first sight look like an almost exact copy of Disney's 'it's a small world' (opened at Disneyland in California in 1966) but turns out to be, upon closer examination, a complex refunctionalization of central elements of 'it's a small world' that establishes meaningful connections between (ancient) Greece and the city of Beijing via the theme of the Olympic Games: drawing on the origins of 'it's a small world' in the 1964-5 New York World's Fair and the latter's motto of 'Peace through Understanding', Happy World takes visitors on a journey from the ancient Olympiad to contemporary Beijing (the site of the 2008 Summer and the 2022 Winter Olympic Games) to offer a theme park rendition of the 2008 Olympic torch relay as an homage to 'the spirit [of peace, respect, and friendship] in the people's [sic] of the world'.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{JagtianiWellek2022,
  author    = {Jagtiani, Sharinee L. and Wellek, Sophia},
  title     = {In the Shadow of Ukraine},
  series = {Survival},
  volume    = {64},
  journal   = {Survival},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {Routledge, Taylor \& Francis Group},
  address   = {Abingdon},
  issn      = {126962024X},
  doi       = {10.1080/00396338.2022.2078045},
  pages     = {29 -- 48},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {In 2022, India captured global attention over its response to the war in Ukraine. While calling for both parties' return to diplomacy, India abstained from several United Nations resolutions condemning Russian aggression. For a country that ostensibly subscribes to the values of democracy and territorial integrity, its response appeared frustrating and contradictory, but it is broadly consistent with its long-standing policy of non-alignment. Although India's relationship with China is increasingly contentious, New Delhi is not yet fully convinced that it is in India's interest to swing westwards. The country's relations with Russia and China are deep, complex and substantive. In addition to the military and economic benefits it derives from its connection with Russia, New Delhi and Moscow share an avowed preference for a more equal, multipolar world. India will eventually have to reflect on the extent to which it can sustain its balancing act.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{GosensGilmanovaLilliestam2021,
  author    = {Gosens, Jorrit and Gilmanova, Alina and Lilliestam, Johan},
  title     = {Windows of opportunity for catching up in formative clean-tech sectors and the rise of China in concentrated solar power},
  series = {Environmental innovation and societal transitions},
  volume    = {39},
  journal   = {Environmental innovation and societal transitions},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  address   = {Amsterdam},
  issn      = {2210-4224},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.eist.2021.03.005},
  pages     = {86 -- 106},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {We analyse the potential for industry entry and catching up by latecomer countries or firms in formative sectors, by deriving a framework that builds on the concept of windows of opportunity for catching up. This framework highlights differences in technological, market, and institutional characteristics between formative and mature sectors, and elaborates how this may affect opportunities for catching up. We apply this framework to the global Concentrated Solar Power sector, in which China has rapidly narrowed the gap to the global forefront in terms of technological capabilities and market competitiveness. We find that the formative nature of the sector resulted in turbulent development of the technological, market, and institutional dimensions, making it more difficult for early leaders to retain leadership, and therefore easier for latecomer firms or countries to catch up. This signals an increased role in early-stage technology development in the next phase of the energy transition.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{GilmanovaWangGosensetal.2021,
  author    = {Gilmanova, Alina and Wang, Zhifeng and Gosens, Jorrit and Lilliestam, Johan},
  title     = {Building an internationally competitive concentrating solar power industry in China},
  series = {Energy sources : B, economics, planning and policy},
  volume    = {16},
  journal   = {Energy sources : B, economics, planning and policy},
  number    = {6},
  publisher = {Taylor \& Francis},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {1556-7249},
  doi       = {10.1080/15567249.2021.1931563},
  pages     = {515 -- 541},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {This article draws lessons from experiences of developing the photovoltaic (PV) and onshore wind power sectors in China for the development of Chinese Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) into an internationally competitive industry. We analyze the sectoral development with a framework that expands on the concept of lead markets, identifying factors that determine whether domestic industrial development paths may or may not generate export success. We find that the Chinese CSP sector has good potential for becoming internationally competitive because of a strong Chinese knowledge base, a clear eye for product quality, standard-setting, and a focus on the high-efficiency and large-storage technological routes most likely to see growing demand in future international markets. Chinese solar towers are already cheaper than international competitors and so far, appear reliable. However, continued and stable deployment support for CSP, designed to reward dispatchable solar power generation, enabling continued domestic learning-by-doing and -interacting is likely required to realize this export potential. To date, Chinese CSP policy has done many things right and, if the domestic market is maintained through renewed support, has put the Chinese industry well on the path to international competitiveness.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Schimpf2020,
  author    = {Schimpf, Stefan},
  title     = {Herkunft und Ablagerungsmilieu quart{\"a}rer Sedimente im Einzugsgebiet des Heihe, NW China},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {xi, 186},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {Der zentralasiatische Naturraum, wie er sich uns heute pr{\"a}sentiert, ist das Ergebnis eines Zusammenwirkens vieler verschiedener Faktoren {\"u}ber Jahrmillionen hinweg. Im aktuellen Kontext des Klimawandels zeigt sich jedoch, wie stark sich Stofffl{\"u}sse auch kurzfristig {\"a}ndern und dabei das Gesicht der Landschaft verwandeln k{\"o}nnen. Die Gobi-W{\"u}ste in der Inneren Mongolei (China), als Teil der gleichnamigen Trockenregionen Nordwestchinas, ist aufgrund der Ausgestaltung ihrer landschaftspr{\"a}genden Elemente sowie ihrer Landschaftsdynamik, im Zusammenhang mit der Lage zum Tibet-Plateau, in den Fokus der klimageschichtlichen Grundlagenforschung ger{\"u}ckt. Als großes Langzeitarchiv unterschiedlichster fluvialer, lakustriner und {\"a}olischer Sedimente stellt sie eine bedeutende Lokalit{\"a}t zur Rekonstruktion von lokalen und regionalen Stofffl{\"u}ssen dar.. Andererseits ist die Gobi-W{\"u}ste zugleich auch eine bedeutende Quelle f{\"u}r den {\"u}berregionalen Staubtransport, da sie aufgrund der klimatischen Bedingungen insbesondere der Erosion durch Ausblasung preisgegeben wird. Vor diesem Hintergrund erfolgten zwischen 2011 und 2014, im Rahmen des BMBF-Verbundprogramms WTZ Zentralasien - Monsundynamik \& Geo{\"o}kosysteme (F{\"o}rderkennzeichen 03G0814), mehrere deutsch-chinesische Expeditionen in das Ejina-Becken (Innere Mongolei) und das Qilian Shan-Vorland. Im Zuge dieser Expeditionen wurden f{\"u}r eine Bestimmung potenzieller Sedimentquellen erstmals zahlreiche Oberfl{\"a}chenproben aus dem gesamten Einzugsgebiet des Heihe (schwarzer Fluss) gesammelt. Zudem wurden mit zwei Bohrungen im inneren des Ejina-Beckens, erg{\"a}nzende Sedimentbohrkerne zum bestehenden Bohrkern D100 (siehe W{\"u}nnemann (2005)) abgeteuft, um weit reichende, erg{\"a}nzende Informationen zur Landschaftsgeschichte und zum {\"u}berregionalen Sedimenttransfer zu erhalten. Gegenstand und Ziel der vorliegenden Doktorarbeit ist die sedimentologisch-mineralogische Charakterisierung des Untersuchungsgebietes in Bezug auf potenzielle Sedimentquellen und Stofffl{\"u}sse des Ejina-Beckens sowie die Rekonstruktion der Ablagerungsgeschichte eines dort erbohrten, 19m langen Sedimentbohrkerns (GN100). Schwerpunkt ist hierbei die Kl{\"a}rung der Sedimentherkunft innerhalb des Bohrkerns sowie die Ausweisung von Herkunftssignalen und m{\"o}glichen Sedimentquellen bzw. Sedimenttransportpfaden. Die methodische Herangehensweise basiert auf einem Multi-Proxy-Ansatz zur Charakterisierung der klastischen Sedimentfazies anhand von Gel{\"a}ndebeobachtungen, lithologisch-granulometrischen und mineralogisch-geochemischen Analysen sowie statistischen Verfahren. F{\"u}r die mineralogischen Untersuchungen der Sedimente wurde eine neue, rasterelektronenmikroskopische Methode zur automatisierten Partikelanalyse genutzt und den traditionellen Methoden gegen{\"u}bergestellt. Die synoptische Betrachtung der granulometrischen, geochemischen und mineralogischen Befunde der Oberfl{\"a}chensedimente ergibt f{\"u}r das Untersuchungsgebiet ein logisches Kaskadenmodell mit immer wiederkehrenden Prozessbereichen und {\"a}hnlichen Prozesssignalen. Die umfangreichen granulometrischen Analysen deuten dabei auf abnehmende Korngr{\"o}ßen mit zunehmender Entfernung vom Qilian Shan hin und erm{\"o}glichen die Identifizierung von vier texturellen Signalen: den fluvialen Sanden, den D{\"u}nensanden, den Stillwassersedimenten und St{\"a}uben. Diese Ergebnisse k{\"o}nnen als Interpretationsgrundlage f{\"u}r die Korngr{\"o}ßenanalysen des Bohrkerns genutzt werden. Somit ist es m{\"o}glich, die Ablagerungsgeschichte der Bohrkernsedimente zu rekonstruieren und in Verbindung mit eigenen und literaturbasierten Datierungen in einen Gesamtkontext einzuh{\"a}ngen. F{\"u}r das Untersuchungsgebiet werden somit vier Ablagerungsphasen ausgewiesen, die bis in die Zeit des letzten glazialen Maximums (LGM) zur{\"u}ckreichen. W{\"a}hrend dieser Ablagerungsphasen kam es im Zuge unterschiedlicher Aktivit{\"a}ts- und Stabilit{\"a}tsphasen zu einer kontinuierlichen Progradation und {\"U}berpr{\"a}gung des Schwemmf{\"a}chers. Eine besonders aktive Phase kann zwischen 8 ka und 4 ka BP festgestellt werden, w{\"a}hrend der es aufgrund zunehmender fluvialer Aktivit{\"a}ten zu einer deutlich verst{\"a}rkten Schwemmf{\"a}cherdynamik gekommen zu sein scheint. In den Abschnitten davor und danach waren es vor allem {\"a}olische Prozesse, die zu einer {\"U}berpr{\"a}gung des Schwemmf{\"a}chers gef{\"u}hrt haben. Hinsichtlich der mineralogischen Herkunftssignale gibt es eine große Variabilit{\"a}t. Dies spiegelt die enorme Heterogenit{\"a}t der Geologie des Untersuchungsgebietes wider, wodurch die r{\"a}umlichen Signale nicht sehr stark ausgepr{\"a}gt sind. Dennoch, k{\"o}nnen f{\"u}r das Einzugsgebiet drei gr{\"o}ßere Bereiche deklariert werden, die als Herkunftsgebiet in Frage kommen. Das {\"o}stliche Qilian Shan Vorland zeichnet sich dabei durch deutlich h{\"o}here Chloritgehalte als prim{\"a}re Quelle f{\"u}r die Sedimente im Ejina-Becken aus. Sie unterscheiden sich insbesondere durch stark divergierende Chloritgehalte in der Tonmineral- und Gesamtmineralfraktion, was das {\"o}stliche Qilian Shan Vorland als prim{\"a}re Quelle f{\"u}r die Sedimente im Ejina-Becken auszeichnet. Dies steht in Zusammenhang mit den Gr{\"u}nschiefern, Ophioliten und Serpentiniten in diesem Bereich. Geochemisch deutet vor allem das Cr/Rb-Verh{\"a}ltnis eine große Variabilit{\"a}t innerhalb des Einzugsgebietes an. Auch hier ist es das {\"o}stliche Vorland, welches aufgrund seines hohen Anteils an mafischen Gesteinen reich an Chromiten und Spinellen ist und sich somit vom restlichen Untersuchungsgebiet abhebt. Die zeitliche aber auch die generelle Variabilit{\"a}t der Sedimentherkunft l{\"a}sst sich in den Bohrkernsedimenten nicht so deutlich nachzeichnen. Die mineralogisch-sedimentologischen Eigenschaften der erbohrten klastischen Sedimente zeugen zwar von zwischenzeitlichen {\"A}nderungen bei der Sedimentherkunft, diese sind jedoch nicht so deutlich ausgepr{\"a}gt, wie es die Quellsignale in den Oberfl{\"a}chensedimenten vermuten lassen. Ein Grund daf{\"u}r scheint die starke Vermischung unterschiedlichster Sedimente w{\"a}hrend des Transportes zu sein. Die Kombination der Korngr{\"o}ßenergebnisse mit den Befunden der Gesamt- und Schwermineralogie deuten darauf hin, dass es zwischenzeitlich eine Phase mit {\"u}berwiegend {\"a}olischen Prozessen gegeben hat, die mit einem Sedimenteintrag aus dem westlichen Bei Shan in Verbindung stehen. Neben der Zunahme ultrastabiler Schwerminerale wie Zirkon und Granat und der Abnahme opaker Schwerminerale, weisen vor allem die heutigen Verh{\"a}ltnisse darauf hin. Der Vergleich der traditionellen Schwermineralanalyse mit der Computer-Controlled-Scanning-Electron-Microscopy (kurz: CCSEM), die eine automatisierte Partikelauswertung der Proben erm{\"o}glicht, zeigt den deutlichen Vorteil der modernen Analysemethode. Neben einem zeitlichen Vorteil, den man durch die automatisierte Abarbeitung der vorbereiteten Proben erlangen kann, steht vor allem die deutlich gr{\"o}ßere statistische Signifikanz des Ergebnisses im Vordergrund. Zudem k{\"o}nnen mit dieser Methode auch chemische Variet{\"a}ten einiger Schwerminerale bestimmt werden, die eine noch feinere Klassifizierung und sicherere Aussagen zu einer m{\"o}glichen Sedimentherkunft erm{\"o}glichen. Damit ergeben sich außerdem verbesserte Aussagen zu Zusammensetzungen und Entstehungsprozessen der abgelagerten Sedimente. Die Studie verdeutlicht, dass die Sedimentherkunft innerhalb des Untersuchungsgebietes sowie die ablaufenden Prozesse zum Teil stark von lokalen Gegebenheiten abh{\"a}ngen. Die Heterogenit{\"a}t der Geologie und die Gr{\"o}ße des Einzugsgebietes sowie die daraus resultierende Komplexit{\"a}t der Sedimentgenese, machen exakte Zuordnungen zu klar definierten Sedimentquellen sehr schwer. Dennoch zeigen die Ergebnisse, dass die Sedimentzufuhr in das Ejina-Becken in erster Linie durch fluviale klastische Sedimente des Heihe aus dem Qilian Shan erfolgt sein muss. Die Untersuchungsergebnisse zeigen jedoch ebenso die Notwendigkeit einer erg{\"a}nzenden Bearbeitung angrenzender Untersuchungsgebiete, wie beispielsweise den Gobi-Altai im Norden oder den Beishan im Westen, sowie die Verdichtung der Oberfl{\"a}chenbeprobung zur feineren Aufl{\"o}sung von lokalen Sedimentquellen.},
  language  = {de}
}
@article{ZhangGuoChen2020,
  author    = {Zhang, Yan-qiu and Guo, Zeng-hui and Chen, Dai-zhao},
  title     = {Porosity distribution in cyclic dolomites of the Lower Qiulitag Group (Upper Cambrian) in northwestern Tarim Basin, China},
  series = {China geology},
  volume    = {3},
  journal   = {China geology},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  address   = {Amsterdam},
  issn      = {2096-5192},
  pages     = {425 -- 444},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {Increasing interests in hydrocarbon resources at depths have drawn greater attentions to the deeply-buried carbonate reservoirs in the Tarim Basin in China. In this study, the cyclic dolomite rocks of Upper Cambrian Lower Qiulitag Group from four outcrop sections in northwestern Tarim Basin were selected to investigate and evaluate the petrophysical properties in relation to depositional facies and cyclicity. The Lower Qiulitag Group includes ten lithofacies, which were deposited in intermediate to shallow subtidal, restricted shallow subtidal, intertidal, and supratidal environments on a carbonate ramp system. These lithofacies are vertically stacked into repeated shallowing-upward, meter-scale cycles which are further grouped into six third-order depositional sequences (Sq1 to Sq6). There are variable types of pore spaces in the Lower Qiulitag Group dolomite rocks, including interparticle, intraparticle, and fenestral pores of primary origin, inter crystal, and vuggy pores of late diagenetic modification. The porosity in the dolomites is generally facies-selective as that the microbially-originated thrombolites and stromatolites generally yield a relatively high porosity. In contrast, the high-energy ooidal grainstones generally have very low porosity. In this case, the microbialite-based peritidal cycles and peritidal cycle-dominated highstand (or regressive) successions have relatively high volumes of pore spaces, although highly fluctuating (or vertical inhomogeneous). Accordingly, the grainstone-based subtidal cycles and subtidal cycle-dominated transgressive successions generally yield extremely low porosity. This scenario indicates that porosity development and preservation in the thick dolomite successions are primarily controlled by depositional facies which were influenced by sea-level fluctuations of different orders and later diagenetic overprinting.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{TardifFluteauDonnadieuetal.2020,
  author    = {Tardif, Delphine and Fluteau, Fr{\´e}d{\´e}ric and Donnadieu, Yannick and Le Hir, Guillaume and Ladant, Jean-Baptiste and Sepulchre, Pierre and Licht, Alexis and Poblete, Fernando and Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume},
  title     = {The origin of Asian monsoons},
  series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {1436},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-51677},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-516770},
  pages     = {21},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {The Cenozoic inception and development of the Asian monsoons remain unclear and have generated much debate, as several hypotheses regarding circulation patterns at work in Asia during the Eocene have been proposed in the few last decades. These include (a) the existence of modern-like monsoons since the early Eocene; (b) that of a weak South Asian monsoon (SAM) and little to no East Asian monsoon (EAM); or (c) a prevalence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrations, also referred to as Indonesian-Australian monsoon (I-AM). As SAM and EAM are supposed to have been triggered or enhanced primarily by Asian palaeogeographic changes, their possible inception in the very dynamic Eocene palaeogeographic context remains an open question, both in the modelling and field-based communities. We investigate here Eocene Asian climate conditions using the IPSL-CM5A2 (Sepulchre et al., 2019) earth system model and revised palaeogeographies. Our Eocene climate simulation yields atmospheric circulation patterns in Asia substantially different from modern conditions. A large high-pressure area is simulated over the Tethys ocean, which generates intense low tropospheric winds blowing southward along the western flank of the proto-Himalayan-Tibetan plateau (HTP) system. This low-level wind system blocks, to latitudes lower than 10 degrees N, the migration of humid and warm air masses coming from the Indian Ocean. This strongly contrasts with the modern SAM, during which equatorial air masses reach a latitude of 20-25 degrees N over India and southeastern China. Another specific feature of our Eocene simulation is the widespread subsidence taking place over northern India in the midtroposphere (around 5000 m), preventing deep convective updraught that would transport water vapour up to the condensation level. Both processes lead to the onset of a broad arid region located over northern India and over the HTP. More humid regions of high seasonality in precipitation encircle this arid area, due to the prevalence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrations (or Indonesian-Australian monsoon, I-AM) rather than monsoons. Although the existence of this central arid region may partly result from the specifics of our simulation (model dependence and palaeogeographic uncertainties) and has yet to be confirmed by proxy records, most of the observational evidence for Eocene monsoons are located in the highly seasonal transition zone between the arid area and the more humid surroundings. We thus suggest that a zonal arid climate prevailed over Asia before the initiation of monsoons that most likely occurred following Eocene palaeogeographic changes. Our results also show that precipitation seasonality should be used with caution to infer the presence of a monsoonal circulation and that the collection of new data in this arid area is of paramount importance to allow the debate to move forward.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{TardifFluteauDonnadieuetal.2020,
  author    = {Tardif, Delphine and Fluteau, Fr{\´e}d{\´e}ric and Donnadieu, Yannick and Le Hir, Guillaume and Ladant, Jean-Baptiste and Sepulchre, Pierre and Licht, Alexis and Poblete, Fernando and Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume},
  title     = {The origin of Asian monsoons},
  series = {Climate of the Past},
  volume    = {16},
  journal   = {Climate of the Past},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {Copernicus Publications},
  address   = {G{\"o}ttingen},
  issn      = {1814-9332},
  doi       = {10.5194/cp-16-847-2020},
  pages     = {847 -- 865},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {The Cenozoic inception and development of the Asian monsoons remain unclear and have generated much debate, as several hypotheses regarding circulation patterns at work in Asia during the Eocene have been proposed in the few last decades. These include (a) the existence of modern-like monsoons since the early Eocene; (b) that of a weak South Asian monsoon (SAM) and little to no East Asian monsoon (EAM); or (c) a prevalence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrations, also referred to as Indonesian-Australian monsoon (I-AM). As SAM and EAM are supposed to have been triggered or enhanced primarily by Asian palaeogeographic changes, their possible inception in the very dynamic Eocene palaeogeographic context remains an open question, both in the modelling and field-based communities. We investigate here Eocene Asian climate conditions using the IPSL-CM5A2 (Sepulchre et al., 2019) earth system model and revised palaeogeographies. Our Eocene climate simulation yields atmospheric circulation patterns in Asia substantially different from modern conditions. A large high-pressure area is simulated over the Tethys ocean, which generates intense low tropospheric winds blowing southward along the western flank of the proto-Himalayan-Tibetan plateau (HTP) system. This low-level wind system blocks, to latitudes lower than 10 degrees N, the migration of humid and warm air masses coming from the Indian Ocean. This strongly contrasts with the modern SAM, during which equatorial air masses reach a latitude of 20-25 degrees N over India and southeastern China. Another specific feature of our Eocene simulation is the widespread subsidence taking place over northern India in the midtroposphere (around 5000 m), preventing deep convective updraught that would transport water vapour up to the condensation level. Both processes lead to the onset of a broad arid region located over northern India and over the HTP. More humid regions of high seasonality in precipitation encircle this arid area, due to the prevalence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrations (or Indonesian-Australian monsoon, I-AM) rather than monsoons. Although the existence of this central arid region may partly result from the specifics of our simulation (model dependence and palaeogeographic uncertainties) and has yet to be confirmed by proxy records, most of the observational evidence for Eocene monsoons are located in the highly seasonal transition zone between the arid area and the more humid surroundings. We thus suggest that a zonal arid climate prevailed over Asia before the initiation of monsoons that most likely occurred following Eocene palaeogeographic changes. Our results also show that precipitation seasonality should be used with caution to infer the presence of a monsoonal circulation and that the collection of new data in this arid area is of paramount importance to allow the debate to move forward.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Michalczyk2019,
  author    = {Michalczyk, Anna},
  title     = {Modelling of nitrogen cycles in intensive winter wheat-summer maize double cropping systems in the North China Plain},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-44421},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-444213},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {X, 154},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {The North China Plain (NCP) is one of the most productive and intensive agricultural regions in China. High doses of mineral nitrogen (N) fertiliser, often combined with flood irrigation, are applied, resulting in N surplus, groundwater depletion and environmental pollution. The objectives of this thesis were to use the HERMES model to simulate the N cycle in winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.)-summer maize (Zea mays L.) double crop rotations and show the performance of the HERMES model, of the new ammonia volatilisation sub-module and of the new nitrification inhibition tool in the NCP. Further objectives were to assess the models potential to save N and water on plot and county scale, as well as on short and long-term. Additionally, improved management strategies with the help of a model-based nitrogen fertiliser recommendation (NFR) and adapted irrigation, should be found. Results showed that the HERMES model performed well under growing conditions of the NCP and was able to describe the relevant processes related to soil-plant interactions concerning N and water during a 2.5 year field experiment. No differences in grain yield between the real-time model-based NFR and the other treatments of the experiments on plot scale in Quzhou County could be found. Simulations with increasing amounts of irrigation resulted in significantly higher N leaching, higher N requirements of the NFR and reduced yields. Thus, conventional flood irrigation as currently practised by the farmers bears great uncertainties and exact irrigation amounts should be known for future simulation studies. In the best-practice scenario simulation on plot-scale, N input and N leaching, but also irrigation water could be reduced strongly within 2 years. Thus, the model-based NFR in combination with adapted irrigation had the highest potential to reduce nitrate leaching, compared to farmers practice and mineral N (Nmin)-reduced treatments. Also the calibrated and validated ammonia volatilisation sub-module of the HERMES model worked well under the climatic and soil conditions of northern China. Simple ammonia volatilisation approaches gave also satisfying results compared to process-oriented approaches. During the simulation with Ammonium sulphate Nitrate with nitrification inhibitor (ASNDMPP) ammonia volatilisation was higher than in the simulation without nitrification inhibitor, while the result for nitrate leaching was the opposite. Although nitrification worked well in the model, nitrification-born nitrous oxide emissions should be considered in future. Results of the simulated annual long-term (31 years) N losses in whole Quzhou County in Hebei Province were 296.8 kg N ha-1 under common farmers practice treatment and 101.7 kg N ha-1 under optimised treatment including NFR and automated irrigation (OPTai). Spatial differences in simulated N losses throughout Quzhou County, could only be found due to different N inputs. Simulations of an optimised treatment, could save on average more than 260 kg N ha-1a-1 from fertiliser input and 190 kg N ha-1a-1 from N losses and around 115.7 mm a-1 of water, compared to farmers practice. These long-term simulation results showed lower N and water saving potential, compared to short-term simulations and underline the necessity of long-term simulations to overcome the effect of high initial N stocks in soil. Additionally, the OPTai worked best on clay loam soil except for a high simulated denitrification loss, while the simulations using farmers practice irrigation could not match the actual water needs resulting in yield decline, especially for winter wheat. Thus, a precise adaption of management to actual weather conditions and plant growth needs is necessary for future simulations. However, the optimised treatments did not seem to be able to maintain the soil organic matter pools, even with full crop residue input. Extra organic inputs seem to be required to maintain soil quality in the optimised treatments. HERMES is a relatively simple model, with regard to data input requirements, to simulate the N cycle. It can offer interpretation of management options on plot, on county and regional scale for extension and research staff. Also in combination with other N and water saving methods the model promises to be a useful tool.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{TianCaoDallmeyeretal.2018,
  author    = {Tian, Fang and Cao, Xianyong and Dallmeyer, Anne and Lohmann, Gerrit and Zhang, Xu and Ni, Jian and Andreev, Andrei and Anderson, Patricia M. and Lozhkin, Anatoly V. and Bezrukova, Elena and Rudaya, Natalia and Xu, Qinghai and Herzschuh, Ulrike},
  title     = {Biome changes and their inferred climatic drivers in northern and eastern continental Asia at selected times since 40 cal ka BP},
  series = {Vegetation History and Archaeobotany},
  volume    = {27},
  journal   = {Vegetation History and Archaeobotany},
  number    = {2},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {0939-6314},
  doi       = {10.1007/s00334-017-0653-8},
  pages     = {365 -- 379},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {Recent global warming is pronounced in high-latitude regions (e.g. northern Asia), and will cause the vegetation to change. Future vegetation trends (e.g. the "arctic greening") will feed back into atmospheric circulation and the global climate system. Understanding the nature and causes of past vegetation changes is important for predicting the composition and distribution of future vegetation communities. Fossil pollen records from 468 sites in northern and eastern Asia were biomised at selected times between 40 cal ka bp and today. Biomes were also simulated using a climate-driven biome model and results from the two approaches compared in order to help understand the mechanisms behind the observed vegetation changes. The consistent biome results inferred by both approaches reveal that long-term and broad-scale vegetation patterns reflect global- to hemispheric-scale climate changes. Forest biomes increase around the beginning of the late deglaciation, become more widespread during the early and middle Holocene, and decrease in the late Holocene in fringe areas of the Asian Summer Monsoon. At the southern and southwestern margins of the taiga, forest increases in the early Holocene and shows notable species succession, which may have been caused by winter warming at ca. 7 cal ka bp. At the northeastern taiga margin (central Yakutia and northeastern Siberia), shrub expansion during the last deglaciation appears to prevent the permafrost from thawing and hinders the northward expansion of evergreen needle-leaved species until ca. 7 cal ka bp. The vegetation-climate disequilibrium during the early Holocene in the taiga-tundra transition zone suggests that projected climate warming will not cause a northward expansion of evergreen needle-leaved species.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{Zhu2017,
  author    = {Zhu, Jinshan},
  title     = {Assessing China's price review policy on Clean Development Mechanism projects},
  series = {European Journal of Law and Economics},
  volume    = {43},
  journal   = {European Journal of Law and Economics},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {0929-1261},
  doi       = {10.1007/s10657-016-9550-3},
  pages     = {285 -- 316},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {The Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) allows developed countries to meet part of their obligational emission reductions by carrying out emission reduction projects in developing countries. China imposed a price floor to the CDM carbon credits produced in China through its price review policy. Scholars have not agreed on the purpose of China's price review policy. With a theoretical model and a coherent empirical study, the present study shows that the price floor imposed by China's price review is more likely to protect those domestic project owners against price discrimination, rather than to distort the CDM market. Nevertheless, China's price review has its own flaws. Although a regression study shows month of approval, types of projects and location of project can explain 55\% of price floor designation, the operation of price review remains quite random and unpredictable in individual cases. This would bring extra bureaucratically uncertainty on its way to curb market uncertainty. Its function can be fulfilled by alternative policy tools with better economic efficiency and legal legitimacy, such as mandatory price disclosure and trading forum, which doesn't have such drawback, but still be able to alleviate possible price discrimination in individual cases.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{TianCaoDallmeyeretal.2017,
  author    = {Tian, Fang and Cao, Xianyong and Dallmeyer, Anne and Zhao, Yan and Ni, Jian and Herzschuh, Ulrike},
  title     = {Pollen-climate relationships in time (9 ka, 6 ka, 0 ka) and space (upland vs. lowland) in eastern continental Asia},
  series = {Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal},
  volume    = {156},
  journal   = {Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  address   = {Oxford},
  issn      = {0277-3791},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.11.027},
  pages     = {1 -- 11},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {Temporal and spatial stability of the vegetation climate relationship is a basic ecological assumption for pollen-based quantitative inferences of past climate change and for predicting future vegetation. We explore this assumption for the Holocene in eastern continental Asia (China, Mongolia). Boosted regression trees (BRT) between fossil pollen taxa percentages (Abies, Artemisia, Betula, Chenopodiaceae, Cyperaceae, Ephedra, Picea, Pinus, Poaceae and Quercus) and climate model outputs of mean annual precipitation (P-ann) and mean temperature of the warmest month (Mt(wa)) for 9 and 6 ka (ka = thousand years before present) were set up and results compared to those obtained from relating modern pollen to modern climate. Overall, our results reveal only slight temporal differences in the pollen climate relationships. Our analyses suggest that the importance of P-ann compared with Mt(wa) for taxa distribution is higher today than it was at 6 ka and 9 ka. In particular, the relevance of P-ann for Picea and Pinus increases and has become the main determinant. This change in the climate tree pollen relationship parallels a widespread tree pollen decrease in north-central China and the eastern Tibetan Plateau. We assume that this is at least partly related to vegetation climate disequilibrium originating from human impact. Increased atmospheric CO2 concentration may have permitted the expansion of moisture-loving herb taxa (Cyperaceae and Poaceae) during the late Holocene into arid/semi-arid areas. We furthermore find that the pollen climate relationship between north-central China and the eastern Tibetan Plateau is generally similar, but that regional differences are larger than temporal differences. In summary, vegetation climate relationships in China are generally stable in space and time, and pollen-based climate reconstructions can be applied to the Holocene. Regional differences imply the calibration-set should be restricted spatially.},
  language  = {en}
}
@incollection{Kuhlmann2016,
  author    = {Kuhlmann, Sabine},
  title     = {Local Government in Germany},
  series = {Comparative Studies on Vertical Administration Reforms in China and Germany (Speyerer Forschungsberichte ; 285)},
  booktitle = {Comparative Studies on Vertical Administration Reforms in China and Germany (Speyerer Forschungsberichte ; 285)},
  editor    = {Wang, Yukai and F{\"a}rber, Gisela},
  publisher = {Deutsches Forschungsinstitut f{\"u}r {\"o}ffentliche Verwaltung},
  address   = {Speyer},
  organization    = {Deutsches Forschungsinstitut f{\"u}r {\"o}ffentliche Verwaltung Speyer},
  isbn      = {978-3-941738-23-2},
  publisher      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {51 -- 67},
  year      = {2016},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CaoHerzschuhNietal.2015,
  author    = {Cao, Xianyong and Herzschuh, Ulrike and Ni, Jian and Zhao, Yan and B{\"o}hmer, Thomas},
  title     = {Spatial and temporal distributions of major tree taxa in eastern continental Asia during the last 22,000 years},
  series = {The Holocene : an interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change},
  volume    = {25},
  journal   = {The Holocene : an interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change},
  number    = {1},
  publisher = {Sage Publ.},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {0959-6836},
  doi       = {10.1177/0959683614556385},
  pages     = {79 -- 91},
  year      = {2015},
  abstract  = {This study investigates the spatial and temporal distributions of 14 key arboreal taxa and their driving forces during the last 22,000 calendar years before ad 1950 (kyr BP) using a taxonomically harmonized and temporally standardized fossil pollen dataset with a 500-year resolution from the eastern part of continental Asia. Logistic regression was used to estimate pollen abundance thresholds for vegetation occurrence (presence or dominance), based on modern pollen data and present ranges of 14 taxa in China. Our investigation reveals marked changes in spatial and temporal distributions of the major arboreal taxa. The thermophilous (Castanea, Castanopsis, Cyclobalanopsis, Fagus, Pterocarya) and eurythermal (Juglans, Quercus, Tilia, Ulmus) broadleaved tree taxa were restricted to the current tropical or subtropical areas of China during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and spread northward since c. 14.5kyr BP. Betula and conifer taxa (Abies, Picea, Pinus), in contrast, retained a wider distribution during the LGM and showed no distinct expansion direction during the Late Glacial. Since the late mid-Holocene, the abundance but not the spatial extent of most trees decreased. The changes in spatial and temporal distributions for the 14 taxa are a reflection of climate changes, in particular monsoonal moisture, and, in the late Holocene, human impact. The post-LGM expansion patterns in eastern continental China seem to be different from those reported for Europe and North America, for example, the westward spread for eurythermal broadleaved taxa.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZhangChenZhouetal.2015,
  author    = {Zhang, Yanqiu and Chen, Daizhao and Zhou, Xiqiang and Guo, Zenghui and Wei, Wenwen and Mutti, Maria},
  title     = {Depositional facies and stratal cyclicity of dolomites in the Lower Qiulitag Group (Upper Cambrian) in northwestern Tarim Basin, NW China},
  series = {Facies : an international journal of palaeontology, sedimentology, geology},
  volume    = {61},
  journal   = {Facies : an international journal of palaeontology, sedimentology, geology},
  number    = {1},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {0172-9179},
  doi       = {10.1007/s10347-014-0417-1},
  pages     = {24},
  year      = {2015},
  abstract  = {The Upper Cambrian Lower Qiulitag Group in the Tarim Basin, NW China, is overwhelmingly composed of cyclic dolomites. Based on extensive field investigations and facies analysis from four outcrop sections in the Bachu-Keping area, northwestern Tarim Basin, four main types of facies are recognized: open-marine subtidal, restricted shallow subtidal, intertidal, and supratidal facies, and these are further subdivided into ten lithofacies. In general, these facies are vertically arranged into shallowing-upward, metre-scale cycles. These cycles are commonly composed of a thin basal horizon reflecting abrupt deepening, and a thicker upper succession showing gradual shallowing upwards. Based on the vertical facies arrangements and changes across boundary surfaces, two types of cycle: peritidal and shallow subtidal cycle, are further identified. The peritidal cycles, predominating over the lower-middle Lower Qiulitag Group, commence with shallow subtidal to lower intertidal facies and are capped by inter-supratidal facies. In contrast, the shallow subtidal cycles, dominating the upper Lower Qiulitag Group, are capped by shallow-subtidal facies. Based on vertical lithofacies variations, cycle stacking patterns, and accommodation variations revealed by Fischer plots, six larger-scale third-order depositional sequences (Sq1-Sq6) are recognized. These sequences generally consist of a lower transgressive and an upper regressive systems tract. The transgressive tracts are dominated by thicker-than-average cycles, indicating an overall accommodation increase, whereas the regressive tracts are characterized by thinner-than-average peritidal cycles, indicating an overall accommodation decrease. The sequence boundaries are characterized by transitional zones of stacked thinner-than-average cycles, rather than by a single surface. These sequences can further be grouped into lower-order sequence sets: the lower and upper sequence sets. The lower sequence set, including Sq1-Sq3, is characterized by peritidal facies-dominated sequences and a progressive decrease in accommodation space, indicating a longer-term fall in sea level. In contrast, the upper sequence set (Sq4-Sq6) is characterized by subtidal facies-dominated sequences and a progressive increase in accommodation space, indicating a longer-term rise in sea level.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{CaoHerzschuhNietal.2014,
  author    = {Cao, Xianyong and Herzschuh, Ulrike and Ni, Jian and Zhao, Yan and B{\"o}hmer, Thomas},
  title     = {Spatial and temporal distributions of major tree taxa in eastern continental Asia during the last 22,000 years},
  series = {The Holocene},
  volume    = {25},
  journal   = {The Holocene},
  number    = {1},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404176},
  pages     = {13},
  year      = {2014},
  abstract  = {This study investigates the spatial and temporal distributions of 14 key arboreal taxa and their driving forces during the last 22,000 calendar years before ad 1950 (kyr BP) using a taxonomically harmonized and temporally standardized fossil pollen dataset with a 500-year resolution from the eastern part of continental Asia. Logistic regression was used to estimate pollen abundance thresholds for vegetation occurrence (presence or dominance), based on modern pollen data and present ranges of 14 taxa in China. Our investigation reveals marked changes in spatial and temporal distributions of the major arboreal taxa. The thermophilous (Castanea, Castanopsis, Cyclobalanopsis, Fagus, Pterocarya) and eurythermal (Juglans, Quercus, Tilia, Ulmus) broadleaved tree taxa were restricted to the current tropical or subtropical areas of China during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and spread northward since c. 14.5 kyr BP. Betula and conifer taxa (Abies, Picea, Pinus), in contrast, retained a wider distribution during the LGM and showed no distinct expansion direction during the Late Glacial. Since the late mid-Holocene, the abundance but not the spatial extent of most trees decreased. The changes in spatial and temporal distributions for the 14 taxa are a reflection of climate changes, in particular monsoonal moisture, and, in the late Holocene, human impact. The post-LGM expansion patterns in eastern continental China seem to be different from those reported for Europe and North America, for example, the westward spread for eurythermal broadleaved taxa.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{Kiraly2013,
  author    = {Kiraly, Attila},
  title     = {Hoher Besuch : Xi Jinping in Russland},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-66669},
  year      = {2013},
  abstract  = {Wenn ein neuer Mann (das gilt auch f{\"u}r entsprechende Frauen) an die Spitze des Staates oder der Regierung tritt, macht er Besuche im Ausland. Allerdings hatte schon der chinesische Philosoph Laotse im 6. Jahrhundert v. u. Z. festgestellt: „Auch der l{\"a}ngste Marsch beginnt mit dem ersten Schritt." Es gibt immer nur einen ersten Schritt, bereits der zweite ist nicht mehr der erste. So kann auch ein Staatsoberhaupt nur einen ersten Auslandsbesuch machen.},
  language  = {de}
}
@misc{OPUS4-6205,
  title     = {China und die Welt},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-64267},
  year      = {2013},
  abstract  = {Was will China? Diese Frage wird immer wieder gestellt, wenn es um die internationale Positionierung der Volksrepublik geht. In den letzten Heften diskutierte WeltTrends die neue(n) Weltunordnung(en) des 21. Jahrhunderts. Einig war man sich in der Einsch{\"a}tzung, welche Rolle China in der Welt von {\"u}bermorgen {\"u}bernehmen wird: Es wird eine globale Macht sein. Ein Autor datierte sogar die {\"U}bernahme der hegemonialen Rolle der USA durch China pr{\"a}zise auf das Jahr 2035. Im asiatisch-pazifischen Raum versteht sich China als „Großmacht". Die Zahl der Nachbarn ist groß und China steht seit Jahrtausenden mit ihnen in einem spannungsreichen Verh{\"a}ltnis. Territorialkonflikte schwelen und brechen von Zeit zu Zeit aus. Auch die USA verstehen sich als pazifische Macht. Dies wurde durch Obama, dem „ersten pazifischen Pr{\"a}sidenten" der USA, zum neuen außenpolitischen Programm, das milit{\"a}risch untersetzt wird. Gef{\"a}hrlich, auch f{\"u}r den globalen Frieden, kann es werden, wenn in diesem Raum aus der Konkurrenz zweier großer M{\"a}chte ein Kampf wird. Das Rasseln von S{\"a}beln ist bereits h{\"o}rbar. Dass sich die chinesische Diplomatie dieser Herausforderung mit konfuzianischer Klugheit stellt, {\"u}berrascht.},
  language  = {de}
}