@misc{WutzlerHudsonThieken2022, author = {Wutzler, Bianca and Hudson, Paul and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Adaptation strategies of flood-damaged businesses in Germany}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {1304}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-57735}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-577350}, pages = {13}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Flood risk management in Germany follows an integrative approach in which both private households and businesses can make an important contribution to reducing flood damage by implementing property-level adaptation measures. While the flood adaptation behavior of private households has already been widely researched, comparatively less attention has been paid to the adaptation strategies of businesses. However, their ability to cope with flood risk plays an important role in the social and economic development of a flood-prone region. Therefore, using quantitative survey data, this study aims to identify different strategies and adaptation drivers of 557 businesses damaged by a riverine flood in 2013 and 104 businesses damaged by pluvial or flash floods between 2014 and 2017. Our results indicate that a low perceived self-efficacy may be an important factor that can reduce the motivation of businesses to adapt to flood risk. Furthermore, property-owners tended to act more proactively than tenants. In addition, high experience with previous flood events and low perceived response costs could strengthen proactive adaptation behavior. These findings should be considered in business-tailored risk communication.}, language = {en} } @misc{Wimmer2004, author = {Wimmer, Willy}, title = {Deutschland einen Platz an der Sonne?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47305}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @misc{Wimmer2009, author = {Wimmer, Willy}, title = {Von Sternstunden und Fehlstunden}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32831}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"Der 8. Mai hat es in sich. Es ist aber nicht nur die Geschichte. Die Woche vom 8. Mai war in diesem Jahr die 'Woche der Wahrheit' im Bundestag, eine Kristallkugel, die einen d{\"u}steren Blick in die Zukunft erlaubt. Das wurde durch zwei Ereignisse klar, die etwas verband, ohne dass sie zusammen geplant waren. [...]"}, language = {de} } @misc{VolmerBrozus2005, author = {Volmer, Ludger and Brozus, Lars}, title = {Mehr machtpolitische Sozialisierung, bitte!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47605}, year = {2005}, language = {de} } @misc{Trampusch2005, author = {Trampusch, Christine}, title = {Sozialpolitik in Post-Hartz Germany}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-47845}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The article points to the following causes of German social policy reform, as it has taken shape by the so-called 'Hartz'-Acts: the self-inflicted financial crisis of the welfare state, the return of party leaders as agenda setters, and the weakening of employers associations and trade unions in this policy field. Through a large, informal coalition, the political parties have responded to various internal conflict constellations.}, language = {de} } @misc{SprungkvonOppeln2005, author = {Sprungk, Carina and von Oppeln, Sabine}, title = {Bev{\"o}lkerungsmeinung und Elitendiskurs : die deutsche und die franz{\"o}sische Debatte {\"u}ber den europ{\"a}ischen Verfassungsvertrag}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-48051}, year = {2005}, abstract = {The authors argue that the public opinion and the discourse of political elites differ significantly within the Franco-German debate on the Constitutional Treaty of the EU. Moreover, the article shows that the discussion reflects different conceptions of European politics. These differences lead to the claim that the co-operation and the leading role of Germany and France in the EU have to be re-defined. This has to occur in the context of a politicisation of European politics, which is crucial for the future of the enlarged European Union.}, language = {de} } @misc{SpekkersRoezerThiekenetal.2017, author = {Spekkers, Matthieu and R{\"o}zer, Viktor and Thieken, Annegret and ten Veldhuis, Marie-Claire and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {A comparative survey of the impacts of extreme rainfall in two international case studies}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {640}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-41843}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418432}, pages = {1337 -- 1355}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Flooding is assessed as the most important natural hazard in Europe, causing thousands of deaths, affecting millions of people and accounting for large economic losses in the past decade. Little is known about the damage processes associated with extreme rainfall in cities, due to a lack of accurate, comparable and consistent damage data. The objective of this study is to investigate the impacts of extreme rainfall on residential buildings and how affected households coped with these impacts in terms of precautionary and emergency actions. Analyses are based on a unique dataset of damage characteristics and a wide range of potential damage explaining variables at the household level, collected through computer-aided telephone interviews (CATI) and an online survey. Exploratory data analyses based on a total of 859 completed questionnaires in the cities of Munster (Germany) and Amsterdam (the Netherlands) revealed that the uptake of emergency measures is related to characteristics of the hazardous event. In case of high water levels, more efforts are made to reduce damage, while emergency response that aims to prevent damage is less likely to be effective. The difference in magnitude of the events in Munster and Amsterdam, in terms of rainfall intensity and water depth, is probably also the most important cause for the differences between the cities in terms of the suffered financial losses. Factors that significantly contributed to damage in at least one of the case studies are water contamination, the presence of a basement in the building and people's awareness of the upcoming event. Moreover, this study confirms conclusions by previous studies that people's experience with damaging events positively correlates with precautionary behaviour. For improving future damage data acquisition, we recommend the inclusion of cell phones in a CATI survey to avoid biased sampling towards certain age groups.}, language = {en} } @misc{SiegShinkoVogeletal.2019, author = {Sieg, Tobias and Shinko, Thomas and Vogel, Kristin and Mechler, Reinhard and Merz, Bruno and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {Integrated assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts including uncertainty quantification}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {708}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-42911}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-429119}, pages = {21}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Understanding and quantifying total economic impacts of flood events is essential for flood risk management and adaptation planning. Yet, detailed estimations of joint direct and indirect flood-induced economic impacts are rare. In this study an innovative modeling procedure for the joint assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic flood impacts is introduced. The procedure is applied to 19 economic sectors in eight federal states of Germany after the flood events in 2013. The assessment of the direct economic impacts is object-based and considers uncertainties associated with the hazard, the exposed objects and their vulnerability. The direct economic impacts are then coupled to a supply-side Input-Output-Model to estimate the indirect economic impacts. The procedure provides distributions of direct and indirect economic impacts which capture the associated uncertainties. The distributions of the direct economic impacts in the federal states are plausible when compared to reported values. The ratio between indirect and direct economic impacts shows that the sectors Manufacturing, Financial and Insurance activities suffered the most from indirect economic impacts. These ratios also indicate that indirect economic impacts can be almost as high as direct economic impacts. They differ strongly between the economic sectors indicating that the application of a single factor as a proxy for the indirect impacts of all economic sectors is not appropriate.}, language = {en} } @misc{SemkeTiberius2020, author = {Semke, Lisa-Marie and Tiberius, Victor}, title = {Corporate Foresight and Dynamic Capabilities}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {128}, issn = {1867-5808}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-47448}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-474487}, pages = {180 -- 193}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Firms engage in forecasting and foresight activities to predict the future or explore possible future states of the business environment in order to pre-empt and shape it (corporate foresight). Similarly, the dynamic capabilities approach addresses relevant firm capabilities to adapt to fast change in an environment that threatens a firm's competitiveness and survival. However, despite these conceptual similarities, their relationship remains opaque. To close this gap, we conduct qualitative interviews with foresight experts as an exploratory study. Our results show that foresight and dynamic capabilities aim at an organizational renewal to meet future challenges. Foresight can be regarded as a specific activity that corresponds with the sensing process of dynamic capabilities. The experts disagree about the relationship between foresight and sensing and see no direct links with transformation. However, foresight can better inform post-sensing activities and, therefore, indirectly contribute to the adequate reconfiguration of the resource base, an increased innovativeness, and firm performance.}, language = {en} } @misc{Schoeneburg2002, author = {Sch{\"o}neburg, Volkmar}, title = {Der verlorene Charme des Rechtsstaates : oder: was brachten die Mauersch{\"u}tzenprozesse?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9451}, year = {2002}, abstract = {This article is a reply to a statement by Elke Schwinger in WeltTrends 31. The author tries to strike the balance between "coming to terms with the past" and the role of criminal law in this process in Germany. The principle of prohibition of retroactive laws, fixed in the 1990 German Unification Treaty and in the Constitution, had been broken in the trials against the "Mauersch{\"u}tzen" (border guards) in German criminal courts since 1990. There is an artificially constructed past which does not correspond to the reality of the border regime before 1989. The author underlines that today the criminal law is misused for political aims within the German unification process.}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2004, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Dramatisierung deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9658}, year = {2004}, abstract = {In the spring issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann (Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe- Universit{\"a}t Frankfurt a. M.) sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a Realpolitik policy generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann this transformation indicates "the deepest crisis of German foreign policy" ever. Hellmann proposes a rehabilitation of the tradition of the Bonner Republik and an active Idealpolitik. This summer issue of WeltTrends features eleven articles written in response to Hellmann by International Relations scholars. The debate focuses on analytical as well as normative aspects of current German foreign policy. The authors discuss the context of the European Common Foreign and Security Policy, the international system and the United Nations, historical aspects of German foreign policy and the German foreign policy discourse. While some contributors share Hellmann's idealist position, most challenge his plea from a more realist perspective. In the upcoming fall issue, this debate will be continued with contributions by German foreign policy makers. A final reply by Hellmann will complete the debate in the winter issue of WeltTrends. Contributions by: Franz Ansprenger, Stephan B{\"o}ckenf{\"o}rde, Wilfried von Bredow, Sabine Busse, Edwina S. Campbell, Hartmut Elsenhans, Hans J. Gießmann, Werner Link, Carlo Masala, Hanns W. Maull, and Siegfried Schwarz.}, language = {de} } @misc{Schwarz2009, author = {Schwarz, Siegfried}, title = {Portr{\"a}t: John McCloy : Erster Hochkommissar der USA in Bonn}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-31503}, year = {2009}, abstract = {"McCloy war nicht einfach nur der Repr{\"a}sentant Washingtons in Westdeutschland, sondern wirkte dar{\"u}ber hinaus als einflussreicher Akteur in der amerikanischen Politik, zumal er {\"u}ber einen direkten Draht zum Außenminister und zur Regierung verf{\"u}gte. Aus gutb{\"u}rgerlichen Verh{\"a}ltnissen stammend, hatte McCloy jahrelang als Anwalt in der New Yorker Wall Street gearbeitet..."}, language = {de} } @misc{SamprognaMohorThiekenKorup2021, author = {Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme and Thieken, Annegret and Korup, Oliver}, title = {Residential flood loss estimated from Bayesian multilevel models}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-51774}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-517743}, pages = {1599 -- 1614}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Models for the predictions of monetary losses from floods mainly blend data deemed to represent a single flood type and region. Moreover, these approaches largely ignore indicators of preparedness and how predictors may vary between regions and events, challenging the transferability of flood loss models. We use a flood loss database of 1812 German flood-affected households to explore how Bayesian multilevel models can estimate normalised flood damage stratified by event, region, or flood process type. Multilevel models acknowledge natural groups in the data and allow each group to learn from others. We obtain posterior estimates that differ between flood types, with credibly varying influences of water depth, contamination, duration, implementation of property-level precautionary measures, insurance, and previous flood experience; these influences overlap across most events or regions, however. We infer that the underlying damaging processes of distinct flood types deserve further attention. Each reported flood loss and affected region involved mixed flood types, likely explaining the uncertainty in the coefficients. Our results emphasise the need to consider flood types as an important step towards applying flood loss models elsewhere. We argue that failing to do so may unduly generalise the model and systematically bias loss estimations from empirical data.}, language = {en} } @misc{Sakson2011, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Neues deutsches Gedenken?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-52523}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Bedarf es eines neuen Gedenktages der Vertriebenen in Deutschland? Die deutsche Regierung meint Ja. Auf ihre Initiative hin wurde die Entschließung "60 Jahre Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen - Auss{\"o}hnung vollenden" im Februar 2011 angenommen. Dieser Gedenktag soll der 5. August sein, also jener Tag, an dem 1950 die "Charta der deutschen Heimatvertriebenen" in Stuttgart angenommen wurde. Der Entschluss traf im Bundestag auf den Widerstand der Opposition - aber auch auf scharfe Kritik in Polen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Sakson2009, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Warschau zwischen Berlin und Moskau : eine polnische Sicht}, issn = {0944-8101}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32782}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Die polnische {\"O}ffentlichkeit reagiert auf Entwicklungen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen besonders sensibel. Der Autor analysiert die Ostpolitik unter Schr{\"o}der und Merkel und fordert eine st{\"a}rkere Ber{\"u}cksichtigung der polnischen Interessen in den deutsch-russischen Beziehungen.}, language = {de} } @misc{RuscheBielawskiRiemannetal.2010, author = {Rusche, Tim Maxian and Bielawski, Martina and Riemann, Silke and Reimers, Lutz and Duplouy, Florent and Kuhn, Florian and von Oettingen, Anna}, title = {Deutsche Interessen offen diskutieren!}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-41636}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Außenpolitik ist von den Werten, dem Selbstverst{\"a}ndnis einer Gesellschaft und den {\"o}konomischen Interessen ihrer Volkswirtschaft gepr{\"a}gt. In den ersten beiden Teilen dieses Essays zeigen wir auf, wie Deutschland seine Werte behutsam erneuern sollte und welche Bereiche zur Wahrung seines {\"o}konomischen Wohlstands zentral sind. Auf dieses Fundament setzen wir ein Pl{\"a}doyer f{\"u}r eine neue außenpolitische Kultur, die Interessen offen debattiert und klar definiert, um sie erfolgreich durchzusetzen.}, language = {de} } @misc{Risse2003, author = {Risse, Thomas}, title = {Die unipolare Weltordnung - Ein soziales Konstrukt : ein Kommentar zu den Kommentaren}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9631}, year = {2003}, abstract = {In this issue, we continue and complete the debate on the future of the transatlantic relationship and of world order after the Iraq war. The debate was initiated by an article by Thomas Risse (Freie Universit{\"a}t Berlin) in WeltTrends 39, which has provoked a remarkable reaction within the German academic community, as documented in WeltTrends 40. This issue features additional comments and the rebuttal by Thomas Risse. Most authors believe that the transatlantic partnership is in a serious crisis, but claim that it remains without an alternative for both sides of the Atlantic.}, language = {de} } @misc{Pichler2017, author = {Pichler, Edith}, title = {Double emigration: geographical and cultural?}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-395354}, pages = {12}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Already at the beginning of the fifties on the initiative of Italy, negotiations began between the Italian and German governments for the recruitment of migrant-workers, which ended in 1955 with a bilateral agreement between the two countries. Through this recruitment policy and because of the labour-market (Industry and Building) the Italian migration was composed prevalently of men. Female immigration happened in the setting of family reunification and less as an independent movement project. After years of stagnation of italian emigration in the eighties it may also be noted that, since the early nineties, there has been a revival of immigration to Germany. This and modernisation processes in Italy changed the gender composition of the Italian immigration flow to Germany: the distance between male and female immigration is decreasing. A peculiarity of the Italians in Germany is the low occupational participation of women in comparison with other women from EU countries. However, we could observe regional differences, which depend on the migration typologies and the dominating economic structure in the areas. The paper will analyse this different aspects (immigration-processes, migrant-typologies and labour-market participation) by female Italian migrants.}, language = {en} } @misc{Muetzenich2005, author = {M{\"u}tzenich, Rolf}, title = {Wandel und Kontinuit{\"a}ten deutscher Außenpolitik}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-9722}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In the spring 2004 issue of WeltTrends, Gunther Hellmann sparked a debate on Germany's foreign policy. He argued that Germany's international behaviour is dominated by a "realpolitik" policy, generally referred to as "normalization". For Hellmann, this transformation indicates one of the "deepest crisis of Germany's foreign policy" ever. The first three parts were published in the summer, fall and winter editions (no. 43, 44 and 45) of WeltTrends, which featured contributions of German International Relations scholars as well as experts from abroad. In this issue, foreign policy makers and a Polish expert join the debate.}, language = {de} } @misc{Maull2004, author = {Maull, Hanns W.}, title = {Deutsche Machtpolitik ohne Macht}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-46637}, year = {2004}, language = {de} }