@techreport{GohlSchrauth2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Gohl, Niklas and Schrauth, Philipp}, title = {Ticket to Paradise?}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {50}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-55846}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-558466}, pages = {20}, year = {2022}, abstract = {This paper provides novel evidence on the impact of public transport subsidies on air pollution. We obtain causal estimates by leveraging a unique policy intervention in Germany that temporarily reduced nationwide prices for regional public transport to a monthly flat rate price of 9 Euros. Us-ing DiD estimation strategies on air pollutant data, we show that this intervention causally reduced a benchmark air pollution index by more than six percent. Our results illustrate that public transport subsidies - especially in the context of spatially constrained cities - offer a viable alterna-tive for policymakers and city planers to improve air quality, which has been shown to crucially affect health outcomes.}, language = {en} } @article{GohlSchrauth2024, author = {Gohl, Niklas and Schrauth, Philipp}, title = {JUE insight : ticket to paradise?}, series = {Journal of urban economics}, journal = {Journal of urban economics}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0094-1190}, doi = {10.1016/j.jue.2024.103643}, year = {2024}, abstract = {This paper provides novel evidence on the impact of public transport subsidies on air pollution. We obtain causal estimates by leveraging a unique policy intervention in Germany that temporarily reduced nationwide prices for regional public transport to a monthly flat rate price of 9 Euros. Using DiD estimation strategies on air pollutant data, we show that this intervention causally reduced a benchmark air pollution index by more than eight percent and, after its termination, increased again. Our results illustrate that public transport subsidies - especially in the context of spatially constrained cities - offer a viable alternative for policymakers and city planers to improve air quality, which has been shown to crucially affect health outcomes.}, language = {en} } @article{GohlHaanMichelsenetal.2023, author = {Gohl, Niklas and Haan, Peter and Michelsen, Claus and Weinhardt, Felix}, title = {House price expectations}, series = {Journal of economic behavior \& organization}, volume = {218}, journal = {Journal of economic behavior \& organization}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0167-2681}, doi = {10.1016/j.jebo.2023.12.015}, pages = {379 -- 398}, year = {2023}, abstract = {This study examines short-, medium-, and long-run price expectations in housing markets. At the heart of our analysis is the combination of data from a tailored in-person household survey, past sale offerings, satellite imagery on developable land, and an information treatment (RCT). As novel finding, we show that price expectations show no evidence for momentum-effects in the long run. We also do not find much evidence for behavioural biases in expectations related to individual housing tenure decisions. Confirming existing findings, we find momentum-effects in the short-run and that individuals, to a limited extend, use aggregate price information to update local expectations. Lastly, we provide suggestive evidence corroborating existing findings that expectations are relevant for portfolio choice.}, language = {en} } @techreport{Gohl2023, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Gohl, Niklas}, title = {Working Longer, Working Stronger?}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {63}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-58527}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-585275}, pages = {62}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Leveraging two cohort-specific pension reforms, this paper estimates the forward-looking effects of an exogenous increase in the working horizon on (un)employment behaviour for individuals with a long remaining statutory working life. Using difference-in-differences and regression discontinuity approaches based on administrative and survey data, I show that a longer legal working horizon increases individuals' subjective expectations about the length of their work life, raises the probability of employment, decreases the probability of unemployment, and increases the intensity of job search among the unemployed. Heterogeneity analyses show that the demonstrated employment effects are strongest for women and in occupations with comparatively low physical intensity, i.e., occupations that can be performed at older ages.}, language = {en} } @techreport{BorckGohl2021, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Borck, Rainald and Gohl, Niklas}, title = {Gentrification and Affordable Housing Policies}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {39}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-52930}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-529300}, pages = {51}, year = {2021}, abstract = {We use a quantitative spatial equilibrium model to evaluate the distributional and welfare impacts of a recent temporary rent control policy in Berlin, Germany. We calibrate the model to key features of Berlin's housing market, in particular the recent gentrification of inner city locations. As expected, gentrification benefits rich homeowners, while poor renter households lose. Our counterfactual analysis mimicks the rent control policy. We find that this policy reduces welfare for rich and poor households and in fact, the percentage change in welfare is largest for the poorest households. We also study alternative affordable housing policies such as subsidies and re-zoning policies, which are better suited to address the adverse consequences of gentrification.}, language = {en} } @misc{BorckGohl2022, author = {Borck, Rainald and Gohl, Niklas}, title = {Steigende Mieten?}, series = {{\"O}konomenstimme}, journal = {{\"O}konomenstimme}, publisher = {KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle der ETH Z{\"u}rich}, address = {Z{\"u}rich}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Vor dem Hintergrund rasant steigender Mieten in deutschen Großst{\"a}dten untersuchen wir in einer neuen Studie die Auswirkungen von Gentrifizierung sowie von politischen Gegenmaßnahmen auf unterschiedliche Einkommensgruppen anhand eines quantitativen Modells f{\"u}r Berlin. Wir finden, dass eine Mietpreisbindung (wie der „Mietendeckel") allen Haushalten, vor allem aber den {\"a}rmeren Haushalten, schadet. Andere Maßnahmen wie Neubau oder direkte Subventionen schneiden besser ab.}, language = {de} }