@article{CaliendoFedoretsPreussetal.2018, author = {Caliendo, Marco and Fedorets, Alexandra and Preuss, Malte and Schr{\"o}der, Carsten and Wittbrodt, Linda}, title = {The short-run employment effects of the German minimum wage reform}, series = {Labour economics : an international journal}, volume = {53}, journal = {Labour economics : an international journal}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0927-5371}, doi = {10.1016/j.labeco.2018.07.002}, pages = {46 -- 62}, year = {2018}, abstract = {We assess the short-term employment effects of the introduction of a national statutory minimum wage in Germany in 2015. For this purpose, we exploit variation in the regional treatment intensity, assuming that the stronger a minimum wage 'bites' into the regional wage distribution, the stronger the regional labour market will be affected. In contrast to previous studies, we construct two regional bite indicators based upon detailed individual wage data from the Structure of Earnings Survey (SES) 2014 and combine it with administrative information on regional employment. Moreover, using the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), we are able to affirm the absence of anticipation effects and verify the assumption of a common trend in wages before the reform. In sum, we find only moderate negative effects on overall employment of about 140,000 (0.4\%) jobs, which are mainly driven by a sharp decline of marginal employment ('mini-jobs'), while we do not find pronounced significant effects for regular employment in most specifications. Our results are robust to a variety of sensitivity tests.}, language = {en} } @article{CaliendoFedoretsPreussetal.2022, author = {Caliendo, Marco and Fedorets, Alexandra and Preuss, Malte and Schr{\"o}der, Carsten and Wittbrodt, Linda}, title = {The short- and medium-term distributional effects of the German minimum wage reform}, series = {Empirical economics}, volume = {64}, journal = {Empirical economics}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Berlin}, issn = {0377-7332}, doi = {10.1007/s00181-022-02288-4}, pages = {1149 -- 1175}, year = {2022}, abstract = {This study quantifies the distributional effects of the minimum wage introduced in Germany in 2015. Using detailed Socio-Economic Panel survey data, we assess changes in the hourly wages, working hours, and monthly wages of employees who were entitled to be paid the minimum wage. We employ a difference-in-differences analysis, exploiting regional variation in the "bite" of the minimum wage. At the bottom of the hourly wage distribution, we document wage growth of 9\% in the short term and 21\% in the medium term. At the same time, we find a reduction in working hours, such that the increase in hourly wages does not lead to a subortionate increase in monthly wages. We conclude that working hours adjustments play an important role in the distributional effects of minimum wages.}, language = {en} } @article{BurauelCaliendoGrabkaetal.2020, author = {Burauel, Patrick F. and Caliendo, Marco and Grabka, Markus M. and Obst, Cosima and Preuss, Malte and Schr{\"o}der, Carsten and Shupe, Cortnie}, title = {The impact of the German minimum wage on individual wages and monthly warnings}, series = {Jahrb{\"u}cher f{\"u}r National{\"o}konomie und Statistik = Journal of economics and statistics}, volume = {240}, journal = {Jahrb{\"u}cher f{\"u}r National{\"o}konomie und Statistik = Journal of economics and statistics}, number = {2-3}, publisher = {De Gruyter}, address = {Berlin}, issn = {0021-4027}, doi = {10.1515/jbnst-2018-0077}, pages = {201 -- 231}, year = {2020}, abstract = {This paper evaluates the short-run impact of the introduction of a statutory minimum wage in Germany on the hourly wages and monthly earnings of workers targeted by the reform. We first provide detailed descriptive evidence of changes to the wage structure in particular at the bottom of the distribution and distinguish between trends for regularly employed and marginally employed workers. In the causal analysis, we then employ a differential trend adjusted difference-in-differences (DTADD) strategy to identify the extent to which these changes in wages and earnings can be attributed to the minimum wage introduction. We find that the minimum wage introduction can account for hourly wage growth in the order of roughly 6.5 \% or (sic)0.45/hour and an increase in monthly earnings of 6.6 \% or (sic)53/month. Despite finding wage growth at the bottom of the distribution, the paper documents widespread non-compliance with the mandated wage floor of (sic)8.50/hour.}, language = {en} } @article{PreussHennecke2018, author = {Preuss, Malte and Hennecke, Juliane}, title = {Biased by success and failure}, series = {Labour economics : an international journal}, volume = {53}, journal = {Labour economics : an international journal}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0927-5371}, doi = {10.1016/j.labeco.2018.05.007}, pages = {63 -- 74}, year = {2018}, abstract = {We test the stability of locus of control, a measure that has been attributed substantial explanatory power for economic outcomes since it depicts how much people believe in their ability to affect life outcomes. Using the German Socio-Economic Panel, we find that a job loss due to a plant closure has no long-lasting effect on locus of control. The common assumption of its stability is thus not rejected. However, during unemployment, control perception decreases by 30 percent of one standard deviation. The effect holds true independent from unemployment duration or socio-demographic characteristics and vanishes as soon as the unemployed find a new job. We therefore conclude that stated locus of control is affected by unemployment. Using this trait as explanatory variable can thus lead to biased estimations when this temporary deviation in measurement is not accounted for.}, language = {en} }