@article{LandaUshakovKurths2006, author = {Landa, Polina S. and Ushakov, Vladimir and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Rigorous theory of stochastic resonance in overdamped bistable oscillators for weak signals}, series = {Chaos, solitons \& fractals : applications in science and engineering}, volume = {30}, journal = {Chaos, solitons \& fractals : applications in science and engineering}, number = {3}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0960-0779}, doi = {10.1016/j.chaos.2005.08.116}, pages = {574 -- 578}, year = {2006}, abstract = {The results of the theoretical consideration of stochastic resonance in overdamped bistable oscillators are given. These results are founded not on the model of two states as in [McNamara B, Wiesenfeld K. Theory of stochastic resonance. Phys Rev A 1989;39:4854-69], but on splitting of motion into regular and random and the rigorous solution of the Fokker-Planck equation for the random component. We show that this resonance is caused by a change, under the influence of noise, of the system's effective stiffness and damping factor contained in the equation for the regular component. For a certain value of the noise intensity the effective stiffness is minimal, and this fact causes non-monotonic change of the output signal amplitude as the noise intensity changes. It is important that the location of the minimum and its value depend essentially on the signal frequency.}, language = {en} } @article{LaiGrebogiKurths1999, author = {Lai, Ying Cheng and Grebogi, Celso and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Modeling of deterministic chaotic systems}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @article{KuznetsovKurths2002, author = {Kuznetsov, A. S. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Stable heteroclinic cycles for ensembles of chaotic oscillators}, year = {2002}, language = {en} } @unpublished{KurthsVossWittetal.1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Voss, A. and Witt, Annette and Saparin, P. and Kleiner, H. J. and Wessel, Niels}, title = {Quantitative analysis of heart rate variability}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13470}, year = {1994}, abstract = {In the modern industrialized countries every year several hundred thousands of people die due to the sudden cardiac death. The individual risk for this sudden cardiac death cannot be defined precisely by common available, non-invasive diagnostic tools like Holter-monitoring, highly amplified ECG and traditional linear analysis of heart rate variability (HRV). Therefore, we apply some rather unconventional methods of nonlinear dynamics to analyse the HRV. Especially, some complexity measures that are basing on symbolic dynamics as well as a new measure, the renormalized entropy, detect some abnormalities in the HRV of several patients who have been classified in the low risk group by traditional methods. A combination of these complexity measures with the parameters in the frequency domain seems to be a promising way to get a more precise definition of the individual risk. These findings have to be validated by a representative number of patients.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSeehaferSpahn1999, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Seehafer, Norbert and Spahn, Frank}, title = {Nichtlineare Dynamik in der Physik : Forschungsbeispiele und Forschungstrends}, isbn = {3-540-65329- 5}, year = {1999}, language = {de} } @article{KurthsSchwarzWitt1995, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Witt, Annette}, title = {Non-linear data analysis in solar radio astronomy}, year = {1995}, abstract = {We have discussed some tools from nonlinear dynamics which may help to analyze transient phenomena, such as solar bursts. The structure function known from turbulence theory is an appropriate method to find out some scaling behavior of fluctuations in time. More generally, the wavelet analysis, which is some generalization of the power spectrum, exhibits information on the location as well as the size of hidden characteristic features. Applying both techniques to microwave bursts, we have found some scaling properties that refer to the existence of hierarchic time structures. This is in good accordance with the electric circuit model for describing the flare-particle energization process.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarzParlitzetal.1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Parlitz, Ulrich and Sonett, Charles P.}, title = {Testing for nonlinearity in radiocarbon data}, issn = {1023-5809}, year = {1994}, abstract = {The radiocarbon record that has been extended from 7199 BC to 1891 AD is of fundamental importance to understand century-scale variations of solar activity. We have, therefore, studied how to extract information from dynamic reconstructions of this observational record. Using some rather unusual methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have found that the data are significantly different from linear colored noise and that there is some evidence of nonlinear behavior. The method of recurrence plots exhibits that the grand minima of solar activity are quite different in their recurrence. Most remarkably, it suggests that the recent epoch seems to be similar to the Medieval maximum.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarz1993, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo}, title = {Application of techniques of nonlinear dynamics to SS Cyg}, isbn = {0-7503-0282-8}, year = {1993}, abstract = {We look for structural properties in the light curve of the dwarf nova SS Cyg by means of techniques from nonlinear dynamics. Applying the popular Grassberger-Procaccia procedure, Cannizzo and Goddings (1988) showed that there is no evidence for a low-dimensional attractor underlying this record. Because there are some hints for order in the light curve, we search for other signatures of deterministic systems. Therefore, we use other methods recently developed in this theory, such as local linear prediction and recurrence maps. Our main findings are: i] the prediction error grows exponentially during outburst phases, but via a power law in the quiescent states, ii] there are some rather regular patterns in this light curve which sometimes recur, but the recurrence is not regular. This leads to the following conclusions: i] The outburst dynamics shows a higher degree of order than the quiescent one. There are some hints for deterministic chaos in the outburst behavior. ii] The light curve is a complex mixture of deterministic and stochastic structures. The analysis presented in this paper shows that methods of nonlinear dynamics can be an efficient tool for the study of complex processes, even if there is no evidence for a low-dimensional attractor.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarz1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo}, title = {Chaos theory and radio emission}, year = {1994}, abstract = {The application of chaos theory has become popular to understand the nature of various features of solar activity because most of them are far from regular. The usual approach, however, that is basing on finding low- dimensional structures of the underlying processes seems to be successful only in a few exceptional cases, such as in rather coherent phenomena as coronal pulsations. It is important to note that most phenomena in solar radio emission are more complex. We present two kinds of techniques from nonlinear dynamics which can be useful to analyse such phenomena: i] Fragmentation processes observed in solar spike events are studied by means of symbolic dynamics methods. Different measures of complexity calculated from such observations reveal that there is some order in this fragmentation. ii] Bursts are a typical transient phenomenon. To study energization processes causing impulsive microwave bursts, the wavelet analysis is applied. It exhibits structural differences of the pre- and post-impulsive phase in cases where the power spectra of both are not distinct.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarz2001, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo}, title = {Nichtlineare Wissenschaften - neue Paradigmen und Konzepte}, issn = {0177- 3674}, year = {2001}, abstract = {In den letzten 2 Jahrzehnten des 20. Jahrhunderts hat sich mit der rasanten Entwicklung der Nichtlinearen Wissenschaften ein weiterer Umbruch vollzogen, der eine ausgepraegte Nachhaltigkeit in Wissenschaft und Technik ebenso wie in der Gesellschaft erwarten laesst. Die Nichtlinearen Wissenschaften werden auch als Nichtlineare Dynamik, Wissenschaft Komplexer Systeme oder etwas eingegrenzt Chaostheorie bezeichnet.}, language = {de} } @article{KurthsRomanoThieletal.2006, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Osipov, Grigory V. and Ivanchenko, Mikhail V. and Kiss, Istvan Z. and Hudson, John L.}, title = {Synchronization analysis of coupled noncoherent oscillators}, issn = {0924-090X}, doi = {10.1007/s11071-006-1957-x}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We present two different approaches to detect and quantify phase synchronization in the case of coupled non- phase coherent oscillators. The first one is based on the general idea of curvature of an arbitrary curve. The second one is based on recurrences of the trajectory in phase space. We illustrate both methods in the paradigmatic example of the Rossler system in the funnel regime. We show that the second method is applicable even in the case of noisy data. Furthermore, we extend the second approach to the application of chains of coupled systems, which allows us to detect easily clusters of synchronized oscillators. In order to illustrate the applicability of this approach, we show the results of the algorithm applied to experimental data from a population of 64 electrochemical oscillators}, language = {en} } @unpublished{KurthsPikovskijScheffczyk1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Pikovskij, Arkadij and Scheffczyk, Christian}, title = {Roughening interfaces in deterministic dynamics}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13447}, year = {1994}, abstract = {Two deterministic processes leading to roughening interfaces are considered. It is shown that the dynamics of linear perturbations of turbulent regimes in coupled map lattices is governed by a discrete version of the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation. The asymptotic scaling behavior of the perturbation field is investigated in the case of large lattices. Secondly, the dynamics of an order-disorder interface is modelled with a simple two-dimensional coupled map lattice, possesing a turbulent and a laminar state. It is demonstrated, that in some range of parameters the spreading of the turbulent state is accompanied by kinetic roughening of the interface.}, language = {en} } @book{KurthsMayerKress1998, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Mayer-Kress, Gottfried}, title = {Nonlinear analysis of physiological data}, editor = {Kantz, Holger}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Berlin, New York}, isbn = {3-540-63481-9}, pages = {VIII, 344 S. : Ill., graph. Darst.}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsKliemSchwarzetal.1998, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kliem, Bernhard and Schwarz, Udo and Kr{\"u}ger, Albrecht and Urpo, S.}, title = {Multiresolution analysis of solar mm-wave bursts}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsAgarwalShuklaetal.2019, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Agarwal, Ankit and Shukla, Roopam and Marwan, Norbert and Maheswaran, Rathinasamy and Caesar, Levke and Krishnan, Raghavan and Merz, Bruno}, title = {Unravelling the spatial diversity of Indian precipitation teleconnections via a non-linear multi-scale approach}, series = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, volume = {26}, journal = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, number = {3}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1023-5809}, doi = {10.5194/npg-26-251-2019}, pages = {251 -- 266}, year = {2019}, abstract = {A better understanding of precipitation dynamics in the Indian subcontinent is required since India's society depends heavily on reliable monsoon forecasts. We introduce a non-linear, multiscale approach, based on wavelets and event synchronization, for unravelling teleconnection influences on precipitation. We consider those climate patterns with the highest relevance for Indian precipitation. Our results suggest significant influences which are not well captured by only the wavelet coherence analysis, the state-of-the-art method in understanding linkages at multiple timescales. We find substantial variation across India and across timescales. In particular, El Ni{\~n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) mainly influence precipitation in the south-east at interannual and decadal scales, respectively, whereas the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has a strong connection to precipitation, particularly in the northern regions. The effect of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) stretches across the whole country, whereas the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) influences precipitation particularly in the central arid and semi-arid regions. The proposed method provides a powerful approach for capturing the dynamics of precipitation and, hence, helps improve precipitation forecasting.}, language = {en} } @article{KrampeEngbertKliegletal.2000, author = {Krampe, Ralf-Thomas and Engbert, Ralf and Kliegl, Reinhold and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Koordination und Synchronisation der H{\"a}nde beim rhythmischen Timing}, year = {2000}, language = {de} } @misc{KoseskaZaikinKurthsetal.2009, author = {Koseska, Aneta and Zaikin, Alexey and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Garc{\´i}a-Ojalvo, Jordi}, title = {Timing cellular decision making under noise via cell-cell communication}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-45260}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Many cellular processes require decision making mechanisms, which must act reliably even in the unavoidable presence of substantial amounts of noise. However, the multistable genetic switches that underlie most decision-making processes are dominated by fluctuations that can induce random jumps between alternative cellular states. Here we show, via theoretical modeling of a population of noise-driven bistable genetic switches, that reliable timing of decision-making processes can be accomplished for large enough population sizes, as long as cells are globally coupled by chemical means. In the light of these results, we conjecture that cell proliferation, in the presence of cell-cell communication, could provide a mechanism for reliable decision making in the presence of noise, by triggering cellular transitions only when the whole cell population reaches a certain size. In other words , the summation performed by the cell population would average out the noise and reduce its detrimental impact.}, language = {en} } @article{KoseskaVolkovKurths2009, author = {Koseska, Aneta and Volkov, Evgenij and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Detuning-dependent dominance of oscillation death in globally coupled synthetic genetic oscillators}, issn = {0295-5075}, doi = {10.1209/0295-5075/85/28002}, year = {2009}, abstract = {We study dynamical regimes of globally coupled genetic relaxation oscillators in the presence of small detuning. Using bifurcation analysis, we find that under strong coupling via the slow variable, the detuning can eliminate standard oscillatory solutions in a large region of the parameter space, providing the dominance of oscillation death. This result is substantially different from previous results on oscillation quenching, where for homogeneous populations, the coexistence of oscillation death and limit cycle oscillations is always present. We propose further that this effect of detuning-dependent dominance could be a powerful regulator of genetic network's dynamics.}, language = {en} } @article{KoseskaVolkovKurths2011, author = {Koseska, Aneta and Volkov, Evgenii and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synthetic multicellular oscillatory systems controlling protein dynamics with genetic circuits}, series = {Physica scripta : an international journal for experimental and theoretical physics}, volume = {84}, journal = {Physica scripta : an international journal for experimental and theoretical physics}, number = {4}, publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {0031-8949}, doi = {10.1088/0031-8949/84/04/045007}, pages = {10}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Synthetic biology is a relatively new research discipline that combines standard biology approaches with the constructive nature of engineering. Thus, recent efforts in the field of synthetic biology have given a perspective to consider cells as 'programmable matter'. Here, we address the possibility of using synthetic circuits to control protein dynamics. In particular, we show how intercellular communication and stochasticity can be used to manipulate the dynamical behavior of a population of coupled synthetic units and, in this manner, finely tune the expression of specific proteins of interest, e.g. in large bioreactors.}, language = {en} } @article{KopitzkiWarnkeSaparinetal.2002, author = {Kopitzki, K. and Warnke, P. C. and Saparin, Peter and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Timmer, Jens}, title = {Comment on "Kullback-Leibler and renormalized entropies: Applications to electroencephalograms of epilepsy patients"}, year = {2002}, language = {en} } @article{KomalapriyaRomanoBlascoThieletal.2009, author = {Komalapriya, Chandrasekaran and Romano Blasco, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Simonotto, Jennifer and Furman, Michael and Ditto, William L. and Carney, Paul R.}, title = {Analysis of high-resulution microelectrode EEG recordings in an animal model of spontaneous limbic seizures}, issn = {0218-1274}, doi = {10.1142/S0218127409023226}, year = {2009}, language = {en} } @article{KolodnerAbelKurthsetal.1999, author = {Kolodner, P. and Abel, Markus and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Voss, Henning U.}, title = {Amplitude equations from spatiotemporal binary-fluid convection data}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @article{KliemSchwarzKurthsetal.1998, author = {Kliem, Bernhard and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Dennis, Brian and Schwartz, Richard and Aschwanden, Markus J.}, title = {Wavelet analysis of solar flare hard X-ray}, issn = {0004-637x}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{KitajimaKurths2005, author = {Kitajima, H. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synchronized firing of FitzHugh-Nagumo neurons by noise}, issn = {1054-1500}, year = {2005}, abstract = {We investigate the influence of noise on synchronization between the spiking activities of neurons with external impulsive forces. We first analyze the dependence of the synchronized firing on the amplitude and the angular frequency of the impulsive force in the noise-free system. Three cases (regular spiking, traveling wave, and chaotic spiking) with low synchronized firing are chosen to study effects due to noise. In each case we find that small noise can be a promoter of synchronization phenomena in neural activities, by choosing an appropriate noise intensity acting on some of the neurons. (C) 2005 American Institute of Physics}, language = {en} } @article{KimKurthsKimetal.1998, author = {Kim, G. G. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kim, S. and Cao, L. Y.}, title = {Detecting determinism in human posture control data}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{IvanchenkoOsipovShalfeevetal.2004, author = {Ivanchenko, Mikhail V. and Osipov, Grigory V. and Shalfeev, V. D. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Phase synchronization in ensembles of bursting oscillators}, issn = {0031-9007}, year = {2004}, abstract = {We study the effects of mutual and external chaotic phase synchronization in ensembles of bursting oscillators. These oscillators (used for modeling neuronal dynamics) are essentially multiple time scale systems. We show that a transition to mutual phase synchronization takes place on the bursting time scale of globally coupled oscillators, while on the spiking time scale, they behave asynchronously. We also demonstrate the effect of the onset of external chaotic phase synchronization of the bursting behavior in the studied ensemble by a periodic driving applied to one arbitrarily taken neuron. We also propose an explanation of the mechanism behind this effect. We infer that the demonstrated phenomenon can be used efficiently for controlling bursting activity in neural ensembles}, language = {en} } @article{IvanchenkoOsipovShalfeevetal.2004, author = {Ivanchenko, Mikhail V. and Osipov, Grigory V. and Shalfeev, V. D. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Phase synchronization of chaotic intermittent oscillations}, issn = {0031-9007}, year = {2004}, abstract = {We study phase synchronization effects of chaotic oscillators with a type-I intermittency behavior. The external and mutual locking of the average length of the laminar stage for coupled discrete and continuous in time systems is shown and the mechanism of this synchronization is explained. We demonstrate that this phenomenon can be described by using results of the parametric resonance theory and that this correspondence enables one to predict and derive all zones of synchronization}, language = {en} } @article{IvanchenkoOsipovShalfeevetal.2004, author = {Ivanchenko, Mikhail V. and Osipov, Grigory V. and Shalfeev, V. D. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synchronization of two non-scalar-coupled limit-cycle oscillators}, year = {2004}, abstract = {Being one of the fundamental phenomena in nonlinear science, synchronization of oscillations has permanently remained an object of intensive research. Development of many asymptotic methods and numerical simulations has allowed an understanding and explanation of various phenomena of self-synchronization. But even in the classical case of coupled van der Pol oscillators a full description of all possible dynamical regimes, their mutual transitions and characteristics is still lacking. We present here a study of the phenomenon of mutual synchronization for two non-scalar- coupled non-identical limit-cycle oscillators and analyze phase, frequency and amplitude characteristics of synchronization regimes. A series of bifurcation diagrams that we obtain exhibit various regions of qualitatively different behavior. Among them we find mono-, bi- and multistability regions, beating and "oscillation death" ones; also a region, where one of the oscillators dominates the other one is observed. The frequency characteristics that we obtain reveal three qualitatively different types of synchronization: (i) on the mean frequency (the in-phase synchronization), (ii) with a shift from the mean frequency caused by a conservative coupling term (the anti-phase synchronization), and (iii) on the frequency of one of the oscillators (when one oscillator dominates the other). (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved}, language = {en} } @article{ItohKurths2010, author = {Itoh, Naoki and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Change-point detection of climate time series by nonparametric method}, issn = {2078-0958}, year = {2010}, abstract = {In one of the data mining techniques, change-point detection is of importance in evaluating time series measured in real world. For decades this technique has been developed as a nonlinear dynamics. We apply the method for detecting the change points, Singular Spectrum Transformation (SST), to the climate time series. To know where the structures of climate data sets change can reveal a climate background. In this paper we discuss the structures of precipitation data in Kenya and Wrangel Island (Arctic land) by using the SST.}, language = {en} } @article{HuangChenKurths2011, author = {Huang, Tingwen and Chen, Guanrong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synchronization of chaotic of chaotic systems with time-varying coup{\"o}ing delays}, series = {Discrete and continuous dynamical systems : a journal bridging mathematics and sciences ; Series B, Mathematical modelling, analysis and computations}, volume = {16}, journal = {Discrete and continuous dynamical systems : a journal bridging mathematics and sciences ; Series B, Mathematical modelling, analysis and computations}, number = {4}, publisher = {American Institute of Mathematical Sciences}, address = {Springfield}, issn = {1531-3492}, doi = {10.3934/dcdsb.2011.16.1071}, pages = {1071 -- 1082}, year = {2011}, abstract = {In this paper, we study the complete synchronization of a class of time-varying delayed coupled chaotic systems using feedback control. In terms of Linear Matrix Inequalities, a sufficient condition is obtained through using a Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional and differential equation in equalities. The conditions can be easily verified and implemented. We present two simulation examples to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.}, language = {en} } @article{HnatkovaVesselVossetal.1998, author = {Hnatkova, Katarina and Vessel, N. and Voss, Andreas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Sander, A. and Schirdewan, Alexander and Camm, A. J. and Malik, Marek}, title = {Multiparametric analysis of heart rate variability used for risk stratification among survivors of acute myocardial infarction}, issn = {0895-2795}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{HeuerSchultheissHodgsonetal.1999, author = {Heuer, Axel and Schultheiss, J. and Hodgson, N. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Menzel, Ralf and Raab, Volker}, title = {Transverse effects in phase conjugate laser mirrors based on stimulated brillouin scattering}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @article{HempelKoseskaKurthsetal.2011, author = {Hempel, Stefan and Koseska, Aneta and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Nikoloski, Zoran}, title = {Inner composition alignment for inferring directed networks from short time series}, series = {Physical review letters}, volume = {107}, journal = {Physical review letters}, number = {5}, publisher = {American Physical Society}, address = {College Park}, issn = {0031-9007}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevLett.107.054101}, pages = {4}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Identifying causal links (couplings) is a fundamental problem that facilitates the understanding of emerging structures in complex networks. We propose and analyze inner composition alignment-a novel, permutation-based asymmetric association measure to detect regulatory links from very short time series, currently applied to gene expression. The measure can be used to infer the direction of couplings, detect indirect (superfluous) links, and account for autoregulation. Applications to the gene regulatory network of E. coli are presented.}, language = {en} } @article{HempelKoseskaNikoloskietal.2011, author = {Hempel, Sabrina and Koseska, Aneta and Nikoloski, Zoran and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Unraveling gene regulatory networks from time-resolved gene expression data - a measures comparison study}, series = {BMC bioinformatics}, volume = {12}, journal = {BMC bioinformatics}, number = {1}, publisher = {BioMed Central}, address = {London}, issn = {1471-2105}, doi = {10.1186/1471-2105-12-292}, pages = {26}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Background: Inferring regulatory interactions between genes from transcriptomics time-resolved data, yielding reverse engineered gene regulatory networks, is of paramount importance to systems biology and bioinformatics studies. Accurate methods to address this problem can ultimately provide a deeper insight into the complexity, behavior, and functions of the underlying biological systems. However, the large number of interacting genes coupled with short and often noisy time-resolved read-outs of the system renders the reverse engineering a challenging task. Therefore, the development and assessment of methods which are computationally efficient, robust against noise, applicable to short time series data, and preferably capable of reconstructing the directionality of the regulatory interactions remains a pressing research problem with valuable applications. Results: Here we perform the largest systematic analysis of a set of similarity measures and scoring schemes within the scope of the relevance network approach which are commonly used for gene regulatory network reconstruction from time series data. In addition, we define and analyze several novel measures and schemes which are particularly suitable for short transcriptomics time series. We also compare the considered 21 measures and 6 scoring schemes according to their ability to correctly reconstruct such networks from short time series data by calculating summary statistics based on the corresponding specificity and sensitivity. Our results demonstrate that rank and symbol based measures have the highest performance in inferring regulatory interactions. In addition, the proposed scoring scheme by asymmetric weighting has shown to be valuable in reducing the number of false positive interactions. On the other hand, Granger causality as well as information-theoretic measures, frequently used in inference of regulatory networks, show low performance on the short time series analyzed in this study. Conclusions: Our study is intended to serve as a guide for choosing a particular combination of similarity measures and scoring schemes suitable for reconstruction of gene regulatory networks from short time series data. We show that further improvement of algorithms for reverse engineering can be obtained if one considers measures that are rooted in the study of symbolic dynamics or ranks, in contrast to the application of common similarity measures which do not consider the temporal character of the employed data. Moreover, we establish that the asymmetric weighting scoring scheme together with symbol based measures (for low noise level) and rank based measures (for high noise level) are the most suitable choices.}, language = {en} } @misc{HempelKoseskaNikoloskietal.2017, author = {Hempel, Sabrina and Koseska, Aneta and Nikoloski, Zoran and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Unraveling gene regulatory networks from time-resolved gene expression data}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-400924}, pages = {26}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Background: Inferring regulatory interactions between genes from transcriptomics time-resolved data, yielding reverse engineered gene regulatory networks, is of paramount importance to systems biology and bioinformatics studies. Accurate methods to address this problem can ultimately provide a deeper insight into the complexity, behavior, and functions of the underlying biological systems. However, the large number of interacting genes coupled with short and often noisy time-resolved read-outs of the system renders the reverse engineering a challenging task. Therefore, the development and assessment of methods which are computationally efficient, robust against noise, applicable to short time series data, and preferably capable of reconstructing the directionality of the regulatory interactions remains a pressing research problem with valuable applications. Results: Here we perform the largest systematic analysis of a set of similarity measures and scoring schemes within the scope of the relevance network approach which are commonly used for gene regulatory network reconstruction from time series data. In addition, we define and analyze several novel measures and schemes which are particularly suitable for short transcriptomics time series. We also compare the considered 21 measures and 6 scoring schemes according to their ability to correctly reconstruct such networks from short time series data by calculating summary statistics based on the corresponding specificity and sensitivity. Our results demonstrate that rank and symbol based measures have the highest performance in inferring regulatory interactions. In addition, the proposed scoring scheme by asymmetric weighting has shown to be valuable in reducing the number of false positive interactions. On the other hand, Granger causality as well as information-theoretic measures, frequently used in inference of regulatory networks, show low performance on the short time series analyzed in this study. Conclusions: Our study is intended to serve as a guide for choosing a particular combination of similarity measures and scoring schemes suitable for reconstruction of gene regulatory networks from short time series data. We show that further improvement of algorithms for reverse engineering can be obtained if one considers measures that are rooted in the study of symbolic dynamics or ranks, in contrast to the application of common similarity measures which do not consider the temporal character of the employed data. Moreover, we establish that the asymmetric weighting scoring scheme together with symbol based measures (for low noise level) and rank based measures (for high noise level) are the most suitable choices.}, language = {en} } @article{HellandGapelyukSuhrbieretal.2010, author = {Helland, Vanessa Carolina Figuera and Gapelyuk, Andrej and Suhrbier, Alexander and Riedl, Maik and Penzel, Thomas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Wessel, Niels}, title = {Investigation of an automatic sleep stage classification by means of multiscorer hypnogram}, issn = {0026-1270}, doi = {10.3414/Me09-02-0052}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Objectives: Scoring sleep visually based on polysomnography is an important but time-consuming element of sleep medicine. Where-as computer software assists human experts in the assignment of sleep stages to polysomnogram epochs, their performance is usually insufficient. This study evaluates the possibility to fully automatize sleep staging considering the reliability of the sleep stages available from human expert sleep scorers. Methods: We obtain features from EEG, ECG and respiratory signals of polysomnograms from ten healthy subjects. Using the sleep stages provided by three human experts, we evaluate the performance of linear discriminant analysis on the entire polysomnogram and:only on epochs where the three experts agree in their-sleep stage scoring. Results: We show that in polysomnogram intervals, to which all three scorers assign the same sleep stage, our algorithm achieves 90\% accuracy. This high rate of agreement with the human experts is accomplished with only a small set of three frequency features from the EEG. We increase-the performance to 93\% by including ECG and respiration features. In contrast, on intervals of ambiguous sleep stage, the sleep stage classification obtained from our algorithm, agrees with the human consensus scorer in approximately 61\%. Conclusions: These findings suggest that machine classification is highly consistent with human sleep staging and that error in the algorithm's assignments is rather a problem of lack of well-defined criteria for human experts to judge certain polysomnogram epochs than an insufficiency of computational procedures}, language = {en} } @article{HassanKurths2001, author = {Hassan, M. K. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Transition from random to ordered fractals in fragmentation of particles in an open system}, year = {2001}, language = {en} } @article{HassanKurths2001, author = {Hassan, M. K. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Competitive random sequential adsorption of point and fixed-sized particles: analytical results}, year = {2001}, language = {en} } @article{HainzlZoellerKurthsetal.2000, author = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Zschau, Jochen}, title = {Seismic quiescence as an indicator for large earthquakes in a system of self-organized criticality}, year = {2000}, language = {en} } @article{HainzlZoellerKurths2000, author = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Self-organization of spatio-temporal earthquake clusters}, year = {2000}, language = {en} } @article{HainzlZoellerKurths1999, author = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Self-organized criticality model for earthquakes : Quiescence, foreshocks and aftershocks}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @article{HainzlZoellerKurths1999, author = {Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Similar power laws for foreshock and aftershock sequences in a spring block model for earthquakes}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @unpublished{GuastiEngbertKrampeetal.2000, author = {Guasti, Giovanna and Engbert, Ralf and Krampe, Ralf T. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Phase transitions, complexity, and stationarity in the production of polyrhythms}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-14933}, year = {2000}, abstract = {Contents: 1 Introduction 2 Experiment 3 Data 4 Symbolic dynamics 4.1 Symbolic dynamics as a tool for data analysis 4.2 2-symbols coding 4.3 3-symbols coding 5 Measures of complexity 5.1 Word statistics 5.2 Shannon entropy 6 Testing for stationarity 6.1 Stationarity 6.2 Time series of cycle durations 6.3 Chi-square test 7 Control parameters in the production of rhythms 8 Analysis of relative phases 9 Discussion 10 Outlook}, language = {en} } @article{GrimbsArnoldKoseskaetal.2011, author = {Grimbs, Sergio and Arnold, Anne and Koseska, Aneta and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Selbig, Joachim and Nikoloski, Zoran}, title = {Spatiotemporal dynamics of the Calvin cycle multistationarity and symmetry breaking instabilities}, series = {Biosystems : journal of biological and information processing sciences}, volume = {103}, journal = {Biosystems : journal of biological and information processing sciences}, number = {2}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Oxford}, issn = {0303-2647}, doi = {10.1016/j.biosystems.2010.10.015}, pages = {212 -- 223}, year = {2011}, abstract = {The possibility of controlling the Calvin cycle has paramount implications for increasing the production of biomass. Multistationarity, as a dynamical feature of systems, is the first obvious candidate whose control could find biotechnological applications. Here we set out to resolve the debate on the multistationarity of the Calvin cycle. Unlike the existing simulation-based studies, our approach is based on a sound mathematical framework, chemical reaction network theory and algebraic geometry, which results in provable results for the investigated model of the Calvin cycle in which we embed a hierarchy of realistic kinetic laws. Our theoretical findings demonstrate that there is a possibility for multistationarity resulting from two sources, homogeneous and inhomogeneous instabilities, which partially settle the debate on multistability of the Calvin cycle. In addition, our tractable analytical treatment of the bifurcation parameters can be employed in the design of validation experiments.}, language = {en} } @article{GozolchianiMoshelHausdorffetal.2006, author = {Gozolchiani, Avi and Moshel, Shay and Hausdorff, Jeffrey M. and Simon, Ely and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Havlin, Shlomo}, title = {Decaying of phase synchronization in parkinsonian tremor}, issn = {0378-4371}, doi = {10.1016/j.physa.2005.10.033}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We describe effects of the asymmetry of cycles and non-stationarity in time series on the phase synchronization method which may lead to artifacts. We develop a modified method that overcomes these effects and apply it to study parkinsonian tremor. Our results indicate that there is synchronization between two different hands and provide information about the time delay separating their dynamics. These findings suggest that this method may be useful for detecting and quantifying weak synchronization between two non-stationary signals.}, language = {en} } @article{GowinSaparinKurthsetal.2001, author = {Gowin, W. and Saparin, Peter and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Felsenberg, D.}, title = {Bone Architecture assessment with Measures of Complexity}, year = {2001}, language = {en} } @article{GowinSaparinKurths2001, author = {Gowin, W. and Saparin, Peter and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Bone architecture quantification: Measures of complexity compared to failure lead results}, year = {2001}, language = {en} } @article{GowinKurthsSaparinetal.1997, author = {Gowin, W. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Saparin, Peter and Felsenberg, D.}, title = {Measures of complexity and processing of vertebral CT-images}, isbn = {0-7803-4262-3}, year = {1997}, language = {en} } @article{GoswamiShekatkarRheinwaltetal.2015, author = {Goswami, Bedartha and Shekatkar, Snehal M. and Rheinwalt, Aljoscha and Ambika, G. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {A random interacting network model for complex networks}, series = {Scientific reports}, volume = {5}, journal = {Scientific reports}, publisher = {Nature Publ. Group}, address = {London}, issn = {2045-2322}, doi = {10.1038/srep18183}, pages = {10}, year = {2015}, abstract = {We propose a RAndom Interacting Network (RAIN) model to study the interactions between a pair of complex networks. The model involves two major steps: (i) the selection of a pair of nodes, one from each network, based on intra-network node-based characteristics, and (ii) the placement of a link between selected nodes based on the similarity of their relative importance in their respective networks. Node selection is based on a selection fitness function and node linkage is based on a linkage probability defined on the linkage scores of nodes. The model allows us to relate within-network characteristics to between-network structure. We apply the model to the interaction between the USA and Schengen airline transportation networks (ATNs). Our results indicate that two mechanisms: degree-based preferential node selection and degree-assortative link placement are necessary to replicate the observed inter-network degree distributions as well as the observed inter-network assortativity. The RAIN model offers the possibility to test multiple hypotheses regarding the mechanisms underlying network interactions. It can also incorporate complex interaction topologies. Furthermore, the framework of the RAIN model is general and can be potentially adapted to various real-world complex systems.}, language = {en} } @article{GoswamiMarwanFeulneretal.2013, author = {Goswami, Bedartha and Marwan, Norbert and Feulner, Georg and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {How do global temperature drivers influence each other?}, series = {European physical journal special topics}, volume = {222}, journal = {European physical journal special topics}, number = {3-4}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Heidelberg}, issn = {1951-6355}, doi = {10.1140/epjst/e2013-01889-8}, pages = {861 -- 873}, year = {2013}, abstract = {We investigate a network of influences connected to global mean temperature. Considering various climatic factors known to influence global mean temperature, we evaluate not only the impacts of these factors on temperature but also the directed dependencies among the factors themselves. Based on an existing recurrence-based connectivity measure, we propose a new and more general measure that quantifies the level of dependence between two time series based on joint recurrences at a chosen time delay. The measures estimated in the analysis are tested for statistical significance using twin surrogates. We find, in accordance with earlier studies, the major drivers for global mean temperature to be greenhouse gases, ENSO, volcanic activity, and solar irradiance. We further uncover a feedback between temperature and ENSO. Our results demonstrate the need to involve multiple, delayed interactions within the drivers of temperature in order to develop a more thorough picture of global temperature variations.}, language = {en} } @article{GoswamiHeitzigRehfeldetal.2014, author = {Goswami, Bedartha and Heitzig, Jobst and Rehfeld, Kira and Marwan, Norbert and Anoop, Ambili and Prasad, Sushma and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Estimation of sedimentary proxy records together with associated uncertainty}, series = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, volume = {21}, journal = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, number = {6}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1023-5809}, doi = {10.5194/npg-21-1093-2014}, pages = {1093 -- 1111}, year = {2014}, abstract = {Sedimentary proxy records constitute a significant portion of the recorded evidence that allows us to investigate paleoclimatic conditions and variability. However, uncertainties in the dating of proxy archives limit our ability to fix the timing of past events and interpret proxy record intercomparisons. While there are various age-modeling approaches to improve the estimation of the age-depth relations of archives, relatively little focus has been placed on the propagation of the age (and radiocarbon calibration) uncertainties into the final proxy record. We present a generic Bayesian framework to estimate proxy records along with their associated uncertainty, starting with the radiometric age-depth and proxy-depth measurements, and a radiometric calibration curve if required. We provide analytical expressions for the posterior proxy probability distributions at any given calendar age, from which the expected proxy values and their uncertainty can be estimated. We illustrate our method using two synthetic data sets and then use it to construct the proxy records for groundwater inflow and surface erosion from Lonar lake in central India. Our analysis reveals interrelations between the uncertainty of the proxy record over time and the variance of proxies along the depth of the archive. For the Lonar lake proxies, we show that, rather than the age uncertainties, it is the proxy variance combined with calibration uncertainty that accounts for most of the final uncertainty. We represent the proxy records as probability distributions on a precise, error-free timescale that makes further time series analyses and intercomparisons of proxies relatively simple and clear. Our approach provides a coherent understanding of age uncertainties within sedimentary proxy records that involve radiometric dating. It can be potentially used within existing age modeling structures to bring forth a reliable and consistent framework for proxy record estimation.}, language = {en} } @article{GoswamiBoersRheinwaltetal.2018, author = {Goswami, Bedartha and Boers, Niklas and Rheinwalt, Aljoscha and Marwan, Norbert and Heitzig, Jobst and Breitenbach, Sebastian Franz Martin and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Abrupt transitions in time series with uncertainties}, series = {Nature Communications}, volume = {9}, journal = {Nature Communications}, publisher = {Nature Publ. Group}, address = {London}, issn = {2041-1723}, doi = {10.1038/s41467-017-02456-6}, pages = {10}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Identifying abrupt transitions is a key question in various disciplines. Existing transition detection methods, however, do not rigorously account for time series uncertainties, often neglecting them altogether or assuming them to be independent and qualitatively similar. Here, we introduce a novel approach suited to handle uncertainties by representing the time series as a time-ordered sequence of probability density functions. We show how to detect abrupt transitions in such a sequence using the community structure of networks representing probabilities of recurrence. Using our approach, we detect transitions in global stock indices related to well-known periods of politico-economic volatility. We further uncover transitions in the El Ni{\~n}o-Southern Oscillation which coincide with periods of phase locking with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Finally, we provide for the first time an 'uncertainty-aware' framework which validates the hypothesis that ice-rafting events in the North Atlantic during the Holocene were synchronous with a weakened Asian summer monsoon.}, language = {en} } @misc{GoswamiBoersRheinwaltetal.2018, author = {Goswami, Bedartha and Boers, Niklas and Rheinwalt, Aljoscha and Marwan, Norbert and Heitzig, Jobst and Breitenbach, Sebastian Franz Martin and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Abrupt transitions in time series with uncertainties}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {576}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-42311}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-423111}, pages = {10}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Identifying abrupt transitions is a key question in various disciplines. Existing transition detection methods, however, do not rigorously account for time series uncertainties, often neglecting them altogether or assuming them to be independent and qualitatively similar. Here, we introduce a novel approach suited to handle uncertainties by representing the time series as a time-ordered sequence of probability density functions. We show how to detect abrupt transitions in such a sequence using the community structure of networks representing probabilities of recurrence. Using our approach, we detect transitions in global stock indices related to well-known periods of politico-economic volatility. We further uncover transitions in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation which coincide with periods of phase locking with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Finally, we provide for the first time an 'uncertainty-aware' framework which validates the hypothesis that ice-rafting events in the North Atlantic during the Holocene were synchronous with a weakened Asian summer monsoon.}, language = {en} } @article{GandhimathiRajasekarKurths2006, author = {Gandhimathi, V. M. and Rajasekar, S. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Vibrational and stochastic resonances in two coupled overdamped anharmonic oscillators}, series = {Modern physics letters : A, Particles and fields, gravitation, cosmology, nuclear physics}, volume = {360}, journal = {Modern physics letters : A, Particles and fields, gravitation, cosmology, nuclear physics}, number = {2}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0375-9601}, doi = {10.1016/j.physleta.2006.08.051}, pages = {279 -- 286}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We study the overdamped version of two coupled anharmonic oscillators under the influence of both low- and high-frequency forces respectively and a Gaussian noise term added to one of the two state variables of the system. The dynamics of the system is first studied in the presence of both forces separately without noise. In the presence of only one of the forces, no resonance behaviour is observed, however, hysteresis happens there. Then the influence of the high-frequency force in the presence of a low-frequency, i.e. biharmonic forcing, is studied. Vibrational resonance is found to occur when the amplitude of the high-frequency force is varied. The resonance curve resembles a stochastic resonance-like curve. It is maximum at the value of g at which the orbit lies in one well during one half of the drive cycle of the low-frequency force and in the other for the remaining half cycle. Vibrational resonance is characterized using the response amplitude and mean residence time. We show the occurrence of stochastic resonance behaviour in the overdamped system by replacing the high-frequency force by Gaussian noise. Similarities and differences between both types of resonance are presented. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @article{GamezZhouTimmermannetal.2004, author = {Gamez, A. J. and Zhou, Changsong and Timmermann, A. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Nonlinear dimensionality reduction in climate data}, issn = {1023-5809}, year = {2004}, abstract = {Linear methods of dimensionality reduction are useful tools for handling and interpreting high dimensional data. However, the cumulative variance explained by each of the subspaces in which the data space is decomposed may show a slow convergence that makes the selection of a proper minimum number of subspaces for successfully representing the variability of the process ambiguous. The use of nonlinear methods can improve the embedding of multivariate data into lower dimensional manifolds. In this article, a nonlinear method for dimensionality reduction, Isomap, is applied to the sea surface temperature and thermocline data in the tropical Pacific Ocean, where the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon and the annual cycle phenomena interact. Isomap gives a more accurate description of the manifold dimensionality of the physical system. The knowledge of the minimum number of dimensions is expected to improve the development of low dimensional models for understanding and predicting ENSO}, language = {en} } @article{FujiwaraKurths2009, author = {Fujiwara, Naoya and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Spectral universality of phase synchronization in non-identical oscillator networks}, issn = {1434-6028}, doi = {10.1140/epjb/e2009-00078-6}, year = {2009}, abstract = {We employ a spectral decomposition method to analyze synchronization of a non-identical oscillator network. We study the case that a small parameter mismatch of oscillators is characterized by one parameter and phase synchronization is observed. We derive a linearized equation for each eigenmode of the coupling matrix. The parameter mismatch is reflected on inhomogeneous term in the linearized equation. We find that the oscillation of each mode is essentially characterized only by the eigenvalue of the coupling matrix with a suitable normalization. We refer to this property as spectral universality, because it is observed irrespective of network topology. Numerical results in various network topologies show good agreement with those based on linearized equation. This universality is also observed in a system driven by additive independent Gaussian noise.}, language = {en} } @article{FrascaBergnerKurthsetal.2012, author = {Frasca, Mattia and Bergner, Andre and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Fortuna, Luigi}, title = {Bifurcations in a star-like network of Stuart-Landau oscillators}, series = {International journal of bifurcation and chaos : in applied sciences and engineering}, volume = {22}, journal = {International journal of bifurcation and chaos : in applied sciences and engineering}, number = {7}, publisher = {World Scientific}, address = {Singapore}, issn = {0218-1274}, doi = {10.1142/S0218127412501738}, pages = {13}, year = {2012}, abstract = {In this paper, we analytically study a star motif of Stuart-Landau oscillators, derive the bifurcation diagram and discuss the different forms of synchronization arising in such a system. Despite the parameter mismatch between the central node and the peripheral ones, an analytical approach independent of the number of units in the system has been proposed. The approach allows to calculate the separatrices between the regions with distinct dynamical behavior and to determine the nature of the different transitions to synchronization appearing in the system. The theoretical analysis is supported by numerical results.}, language = {en} } @article{FlorenceDahlemAlmeidaetal.2009, author = {Florence, Gerson and Dahlem, Markus A. and Almeida, Ant{\^o}nio-Carlos G. and Bassani, Jos{\´e} W. M. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {The role of extracellular potassium dynamics in the different stages of ictal bursting and spreading depression : a computational study}, issn = {0022-5193}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.01.032}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Experimental evidences point Out the participation of nonsynaptic mechanisms (e.g., fluctuations in extracellular tons) in epileptiform bursting and spreading depression (SD). During these abnormal oscillatory patterns, it is observed an increase of extracellular potassium concentration [K+](o) and a decrease of extracellular calcium concentration [Ca2+](o) which raises the neuronal excitability. However, whether the high [K+](o) triggers and propagates these abnormal neuronal activities or plays a secondary role into this process is unclear. To better understand the influence of extracellular potassium dynamics in these oscillatory patterns, the experimental conditions of high [K+](o) and zero [Ca2+](o) were replicated in an extended Golomb model where we added important regulatory mechanisms of ion concentration as Na+-K+ pump, ion diffusion and glial buffering. Within these Conditions, simulations of the cell model exhibit seizure-like discharges (ictal bursting). The SD was elicited by the interruption of the Na+- K+ pump activity, mimicking the effect of cellular hypoxia (an experimental protocol to elicit SD, the hypoxia-induced SD). We used the bifurcation theory and the fast-slow method to analyze the interference of K+ dynamics in the cellular excitability. This analysis indicates that the system loses its stability at a high [K+](o), transiting to an elevated state of neuronal excitability. Effects of high [K+](o), are observed in different stages of ictal bursting and SD. In the initial stage, the increase of [K+](o) creates favorable conditions to trigger both oscillatory patterns. During the neuronal activity, a continuous growth of [K+](o) by outward K+ flow depresses K+ Currents in a positive feedback way. At the last stage, due to the depression of K+ currents, the Na+-K+ pump is the main mechanism in the end of neuronal activity. Thus, this work suggests that [K+](o) dynamics may play a fundamental role in these abnormal oscillatory patterns.}, language = {en} } @book{FeudelKurthsNeiman1995, author = {Feudel, Ulrike and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Neiman, Alexander}, title = {The cumulant approach for investigating the noise influence on mode-locking bifurcations}, series = {Preprint NLD}, volume = {16}, journal = {Preprint NLD}, publisher = {Univ.}, address = {Potsdam}, pages = {20 S.}, year = {1995}, language = {en} } @article{FeudelJansenKurthsetal.1997, author = {Feudel, Ulrike and Jansen, Wolfgang and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Voss, Henning U.}, title = {Solar variability : simple models and proxy data}, isbn = {4-274-90187-4}, year = {1997}, language = {en} } @article{FeudelWittGellertetal.2005, author = {Feudel, Fred and Witt, Annette and Gellert, Marcus and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Grebogi, Celso and Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fernandez}, title = {Intersections of stable and unstable manifolds : the skeleton of Lagrangian chaos}, year = {2005}, abstract = {We study Hamiltonian chaos generated by the dynamics of passive tracers moving in a two-dimensional fluid flow and describe the complex structure formed in a chaotic layer that separates a vortex region from the shear flow. The stable and unstable manifolds of unstable periodic orbits are computed. It is shown that their intersections in the Poincare map as an invariant set of homoclinic points constitute the backbone of the chaotic layer. Special attention is paid to the finite time properties of the chaotic layer. In particular, finite time Lyapunov exponents are computed and a scaling law of the variance of their distribution is derived. Additionally, the box counting dimension as an effective dimension to characterize the fractal properties of the layer is estimated for different duration times of simulation. Its behavior in the asymptotic time limit is discussed. By computing the Lyapunov exponents and by applying methods of symbolic dynamics, the formation of the layer as a function of the external forcing strength, which in turn represents the perturbation of the originally integrable system, is characterized. In particular, it is shown that the capture of KAM tori by the layer has a remarkable influence on the averaged Lyapunov exponents. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved}, language = {en} } @article{ErogluMarwanPrasadetal.2014, author = {Eroglu, Deniz and Marwan, Norbert and Prasad, Sushma and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Finding recurrence networks' threshold adaptively for a specific time series}, series = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, volume = {21}, journal = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, number = {6}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1023-5809}, doi = {10.5194/npg-21-1085-2014}, pages = {1085 -- 1092}, year = {2014}, abstract = {Recurrence-plot-based recurrence networks are an approach used to analyze time series using a complex networks theory. In both approaches - recurrence plots and recurrence networks -, a threshold to identify recurrent states is required. The selection of the threshold is important in order to avoid bias of the recurrence network results. In this paper, we propose a novel method to choose a recurrence threshold adaptively. We show a comparison between the constant threshold and adaptive threshold cases to study period-chaos and even period-period transitions in the dynamics of a prototypical model system. This novel method is then used to identify climate transitions from a lake sediment record.}, language = {en} } @unpublished{EngbertScheffczykKrampeetal.1997, author = {Engbert, Ralf and Scheffczyk, Christian and Krampe, Ralf-Thomas and Rosenblum, Mikhael and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kliegl, Reinhold}, title = {Tempo-induced transitions in polyrhythmic hand movements}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-14380}, year = {1997}, abstract = {We investigate the cognitive control in polyrhythmic hand movements as a model paradigm for bimanual coordination. Using a symbolic coding of the recorded time series, we demonstrate the existence of qualitative transitions induced by experimental manipulation of the tempo. A nonlinear model with delayed feedback control is proposed, which accounts for these dynamical transitions in terms of bifurcations resulting from variation of the external control parameter. Furthermore, it is shown that transitions can also be observed due to fluctuations in the timing control level. We conclude that the complexity of coordinated bimanual movements results from interactions between nonlinear control mechanisms with delayed feedback and stochastic timing components.}, language = {en} } @article{EngbertScheffczykKrampeetal.2002, author = {Engbert, Ralf and Scheffczyk, Christian and Krampe, Ralf-Thomas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kliegl, Reinhold}, title = {Symbolic dynamics of bimanual production of polyrhythms}, isbn = {3-540- 63481-9}, year = {2002}, abstract = {We analyse time series from a study on bimanual rhythmic movements in which the speed of performance (the external control parameter) was experimentally manipulated. Using symbolic transformations as a visualization technique we observe qualitative changes in the dynamics of the timing patterns. Such phase transitions are quantitatively described by measures of complexity. Using these results we develop an advanced symbolic coding which enables us to detect important dynamical structures. Furthermore, our analysis raises new questions concerning the modelling of the underlying human cognitive-motor system.}, language = {en} } @article{EngbertHainzlZoelleretal.1998, author = {Engbert, Ralf and Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Testing for unstable periodic orbits to characterize spatiotemporal dynamics}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{EbelingMolgedeyKurthsetal.2002, author = {Ebeling, Werner and Molgedey, Lutz and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo}, title = {Entropy, complexity, predictability, and data analysis of time series and letter sequences}, isbn = {3-540-41324-3}, year = {2002}, abstract = {The structure of time series and letter sequences is investigated using the concepts of entropy and complexity. First conditional entropy and transinformation are introduced and several generalizations are discussed. Further several measures of complexity are introduced and discussed. The capability of these concepts to describe the structure of time series and letter sequences generated by nonlinear maps, data series from meteorology, astrophysics, cardiology, cognitive psychology and finance is investigated. The relation between the complexity and the predictability of informational strings is discussed. The relation between local order and the predictability of time series is investigated.}, language = {en} } @article{DongesZouMarwanetal.2009, author = {Donges, Jonathan Friedemann and Zou, Yong and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Complex networks in climate dynamics : comparing linear and nonlinear network construction methods}, issn = {1951-6355}, doi = {10.1140/epjst/e2009-01098-2}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Complex network theory provides a powerful framework to statistically investigate the topology of local and non- local statistical interrelationships, i.e. teleconnections, in the climate system. Climate networks constructed from the same global climatological data set using the linear Pearson correlation coefficient or the nonlinear mutual information as a measure of dynamical similarity between regions, are compared systematically on local, mesoscopic and global topological scales. A high degree of similarity is observed on the local and mesoscopic topological scales for surface air temperature fields taken from AOGCM and reanalysis data sets. We find larger differences on the global scale, particularly in the betweenness centrality field. The global scale view on climate networks obtained using mutual information offers promising new perspectives for detecting network structures based on nonlinear physical processes in the climate system.}, language = {en} } @article{DongesDonnerTrauthetal.2011, author = {Donges, Jonathan Friedemann and Donner, Reik Volker and Trauth, Martin H. and Marwan, Norbert and Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Nonlinear detection of paleoclimate-variability transitions possibly related to human evolution}, series = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {108}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, number = {51}, publisher = {National Acad. of Sciences}, address = {Washington}, issn = {0027-8424}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.1117052108}, pages = {20422 -- 20427}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Potential paleoclimatic driving mechanisms acting on human evolution present an open problem of cross-disciplinary scientific interest. The analysis of paleoclimate archives encoding the environmental variability in East Africa during the past 5 Ma has triggered an ongoing debate about possible candidate processes and evolutionary mechanisms. In this work, we apply a nonlinear statistical technique, recurrence network analysis, to three distinct marine records of terrigenous dust flux. Our method enables us to identify three epochs with transitions between qualitatively different types of environmental variability in North and East Africa during the (i) Middle Pliocene (3.35-3.15 Ma B. P.), (ii) Early Pleistocene (2.25-1.6 Ma B. P.), and (iii) Middle Pleistocene (1.1-0.7 Ma B. P.). A deeper examination of these transition periods reveals potential climatic drivers, including (i) large-scale changes in ocean currents due to a spatial shift of the Indonesian throughflow in combination with an intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciation, (ii) a global reorganization of the atmospheric Walker circulation induced in the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean, and (iii) shifts in the dominating temporal variability pattern of glacial activity during the Middle Pleistocene, respectively. A reexamination of the available fossil record demonstrates statistically significant coincidences between the detected transition periods and major steps in hominin evolution. This result suggests that the observed shifts between more regular and more erratic environmental variability may have acted as a trigger for rapid change in the development of humankind in Africa.}, language = {en} } @article{DongesDonnerRehfeldetal.2011, author = {Donges, Jonathan Friedemann and Donner, Reik Volker and Rehfeld, Kira and Marwan, Norbert and Trauth, Martin H. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Identification of dynamical transitions in marine palaeoclimate records by recurrence network analysis}, series = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, volume = {18}, journal = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, number = {5}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1023-5809}, doi = {10.5194/npg-18-545-2011}, pages = {545 -- 562}, year = {2011}, abstract = {The analysis of palaeoclimate time series is usually affected by severe methodological problems, resulting primarily from non-equidistant sampling and uncertain age models. As an alternative to existing methods of time series analysis, in this paper we argue that the statistical properties of recurrence networks - a recently developed approach - are promising candidates for characterising the system's nonlinear dynamics and quantifying structural changes in its reconstructed phase space as time evolves. In a first order approximation, the results of recurrence network analysis are invariant to changes in the age model and are not directly affected by non-equidistant sampling of the data. Specifically, we investigate the behaviour of recurrence network measures for both paradigmatic model systems with non-stationary parameters and four marine records of long-term palaeoclimate variations. We show that the obtained results are qualitatively robust under changes of the relevant parameters of our method, including detrending, size of the running window used for analysis, and embedding delay. We demonstrate that recurrence network analysis is able to detect relevant regime shifts in synthetic data as well as in problematic geoscientific time series. This suggests its application as a general exploratory tool of time series analysis complementing existing methods.}, language = {en} } @article{DanaBlasiusKurths2006, author = {Dana, Syamal Kumar and Blasius, Bernd and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Experimental evidence of anomalous phase synchronization in two diffusively coupled Chua oscillators}, issn = {1054-1500}, doi = {10.1063/1.2197168}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We study the transition to phase synchronization in two diffusively coupled, nonidentical Chua oscillators. In the experiments, depending on the used parameterization, we observe several distinct routes to phase synchronization, including states of either in-phase, out-of-phase, or antiphase synchronization, which may be intersected by an intermediate desynchronization regime with large fluctuations of the frequency difference. Furthermore, we report the first experimental evidence of an anomalous transition to phase synchronization, which is characterized by an initial enlargement of the natural frequency difference with coupling strength. This results in a maximal frequency disorder at intermediate coupling levels, whereas usual phase synchronization via monotonic decrease in frequency difference sets in only for larger coupling values. All experimental results are supported by numerical simulations of two coupled Chua models}, language = {en} } @misc{CiemerRehmKurthsetal.2020, author = {Ciemer, Catrin and Rehm, Lars and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Donner, Reik Volker and Winkelmann, Ricarda and Boers, Niklas}, title = {An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {9}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-52586}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-525863}, pages = {12}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months.}, language = {en} } @article{CiemerRehmKurthsetal.2020, author = {Ciemer, Catrin and Rehm, Lars and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Donner, Reik Volker and Winkelmann, Ricarda and Boers, Niklas}, title = {An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures}, series = {Environmental Research Letters}, volume = {15}, journal = {Environmental Research Letters}, number = {9}, publisher = {IOP - Institute of Physics Publishing}, address = {Bristol}, pages = {10}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months.}, language = {en} } @article{CiemerBoersHirotaetal.2019, author = {Ciemer, Catrin and Boers, Niklas and Hirota, Marina and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and M{\"u}ller-Hansen, Finn and Oliveira, Rafael S. and Winkelmann, Ricarda}, title = {Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall}, series = {Nature geoscience}, volume = {12}, journal = {Nature geoscience}, number = {3}, publisher = {Nature Publ. Group}, address = {New York}, issn = {1752-0894}, doi = {10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z}, pages = {174 -- 179}, year = {2019}, abstract = {With ongoing global warming, the amount and frequency of precipitation in the tropics is projected to change substantially. While it has been shown that tropical forests and savannahs are sustained within the same intermediate mean annual precipitation range, the mechanisms that lead to the resilience of these ecosystems are still not fully understood. In particular, the long-term impact of rainfall variability on resilience is as yet unclear. Here we present observational evidence that both tropical forest and savannah exposed to a higher rainfall variability-in particular on interannual scales-during their long-term past are overall more resilient against climatic disturbances. Based on precipitation and tree cover data in the Brazilian Amazon basin, we constructed potential landscapes that enable us to systematically measure the resilience of the different ecosystems. Additionally, we infer that shifts from forest to savannah due to decreasing precipitation in the future are more likely to occur in regions with a precursory lower rainfall variability. Long-term rainfall variability thus needs to be taken into account in resilience analyses and projections of vegetation response to climate change.}, language = {en} } @article{ChenShangZhouetal.2009, author = {Chen, Maoyin and Shang, Yun and Zhou, Changsong and Wu, Ye and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Enhanced synchronizability in scale-free networks}, issn = {1054-1500}, doi = {10.1063/1.3062864}, year = {2009}, abstract = {We introduce a modified dynamical optimization coupling scheme to enhance the synchronizability in the scale- free networks as well as to keep uniform and converging intensities during the transition to synchronization. Further, the size of networks that can be synchronizable exceeds by several orders of magnitude the size of unweighted networks.}, language = {en} } @article{ChenShiauTsengetal.2010, author = {Chen, Jin-Long and Shiau, Yuo-Hsien and Tseng, Yin-Jiun and Chiu, Hung-Wen and Hsiao, Tzu-Chien and Wessel, Niels and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Chu, Woei-Chyn}, title = {Concurrent sympathetic activation and vagal withdrawal in hyperthyroidism : evidence from detrended fluctuation analysis of heart rate variability}, issn = {0378-4371}, doi = {10.1016/j.physa.2009.12.062}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Despite many previous Studies on the association between hyperthyroidism and the hyperadrenergic state, controversies still exist. Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a well recognized method in the nonlinear analysis of heart rate variability (HRV), and it has physiological significance related to the autonomic nervous system. In particular, an increased short-term scaling exponent alpha 1 calculated from DFA is associated with both increased sympathetic activity and decreased vagal activity. No study has investigated the DFA of HRV in hyperthyroidism. This study was designed to assess the sympathovagal balance in hyperthyroidism. We performed the DFA along with the linear analysis of HRV in 36 hyperthyroid Graves' disease patients (32 females and 4 males; age 30 +/- 1 years, means +/- SE) and 36 normal controls matched by sex, age and body mass index. Compared with the normal controls, the hyperthyroid patients revealed a significant increase (P < 0.001) in alpha 1 (hyperthyroid 1.28 +/- 0.04 versus control 0.91 +/- 0.02), long-term scaling exponent alpha 2 (1.05 +/- 0.02 versus 0.90 +/- 0.01), overall scaling exponent alpha (1.11 +/- 0.02 versus 0.89 +/- 0.01), low frequency power in normalized units (LF\%) and the ratio of low frequency power to high frequency power (LF/HF); and a significant decrease (P < 0.001) in the standard deviation of the R-R intervals (SDNN) and high frequency power (HF). In conclusion, hyperthyroidism is characterized by concurrent sympathetic activation and vagal withdrawal. This sympathovagal imbalance state in hyperthyroidism helps to explain the higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation and exercise intolerance among hyperthyroid patients.}, language = {en} } @article{BreitenbachRehfeldGoswamietal.2012, author = {Breitenbach, Sebastian Franz Martin and Rehfeld, Kira and Goswami, Bedartha and Baldini, James U. L. and Ridley, H. E. and Kennett, D. J. and Prufer, K. M. and Aquino, Valorie V. and Asmerom, Yemane and Polyak, V. J. and Cheng, Hai and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Marwan, Norbert}, title = {Constructing Proxy Records from Age models (COPRA)}, series = {Climate of the past : an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union}, volume = {8}, journal = {Climate of the past : an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union}, number = {5}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1814-9324}, doi = {10.5194/cp-8-1765-2012}, pages = {1765 -- 1779}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Reliable age models are fundamental for any palaeoclimate reconstruction. Available interpolation procedures between age control points are often inadequately reported, and very few translate age uncertainties to proxy uncertainties. Most available modeling algorithms do not allow incorporation of layer counted intervals to improve the confidence limits of the age model in question. We present a framework that allows detection and interactive handling of age reversals and hiatuses, depth-age modeling, and proxy-record reconstruction. Monte Carlo simulation and a translation procedure are used to assign a precise time scale to climate proxies and to translate dating uncertainties to uncertainties in the proxy values. The presented framework allows integration of incremental relative dating information to improve the final age model. The free software package COPRA1.0 facilitates easy interactive usage.}, language = {en} } @article{BraunFeudelGebogietal.1999, author = {Braun, Robert and Feudel, Fred and Gebogi, C. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Witt, Annette}, title = {Tracer dynamics in a flow of driven vortices}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @article{BraunDitlevsenKurthsetal.2010, author = {Braun, Holger and Ditlevsen, Peter D. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Mudelsee, Manfred}, title = {Limitations of red noise in analysing Dansgaard-Oeschger events}, issn = {1814-9324}, doi = {10.5194/cp-6-85-2010}, year = {2010}, abstract = {During the last glacial period, climate records from the North Atlantic region exhibit a pronounced spectral component corresponding to a period of about 1470 years, which has attracted much attention. This spectral peak is closely related to the recurrence pattern of Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events. In previous studies a red noise random process, more precisely a first-order autoregressive (AR1) process, was used to evaluate the statistical significance of this peak, with a reported significance of more than 99\%. Here we use a simple mechanistic two-state model of DO events, which itself was derived from a much more sophisticated ocean-atmosphere model of intermediate complexity, to numerically evaluate the spectral properties of random (i.e., solely noise-driven) events. This way we find that the power spectral density of random DO events differs fundamentally from a simple red noise random process. These results question the applicability of linear spectral analysis for estimating the statistical significance of highly non-linear processes such as DO events. More precisely, to enhance our scientific understanding about the trigger of DO events, we must not consider simple "straw men" as, for example, the AR1 random process, but rather test against realistic alternative descriptions.}, language = {en} } @article{BoveBoccalettiBragardetal.2004, author = {Bove, I. and Boccaletti, Stefano and Bragard, Jean and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Mancini, H.}, title = {Frequency entrainment of nonautonomous chaotic oscillators}, year = {2004}, abstract = {We give evidence of frequency entrainment of dominant peaks in the chaotic spectra of two coupled chaotic nonautonomous oscillators. At variance with the autonomous case, the phenomenon is here characterized by the vanishing of a previously positive Lyapunov exponent in the spectrum, which takes place for a broad range of the coupling strength parameter. Such a state is studied also for the case of chaotic oscillators with ill-defined phases due to the absence of a unique center of rotation. Different phase synchronization indicators are used to circumvent this difficulty}, language = {en} } @article{BoersGoswamiRheinwaltetal.2019, author = {Boers, Niklas and Goswami, Bedartha and Rheinwalt, Aljoscha and Bookhagen, Bodo and Hoskins, Brian and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Complex networks reveal global pattern of extreme-rainfall teleconnections}, series = {Nature : the international weekly journal of science}, volume = {566}, journal = {Nature : the international weekly journal of science}, number = {7744}, publisher = {Nature Publ. Group}, address = {London}, issn = {0028-0836}, doi = {10.1038/s41586-018-0872-x}, pages = {373 -- 377}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Climatic observables are often correlated across long spatial distances, and extreme events, such as heatwaves or floods, are typically assumed to be related to such teleconnections(1,2). Revealing atmospheric teleconnection patterns and understanding their underlying mechanisms is of great importance for weather forecasting in general and extreme-event prediction in particular(3,4), especially considering that the characteristics of extreme events have been suggested to change under ongoing anthropogenic climate change(5-8). Here we reveal the global coupling pattern of extreme-rainfall events by applying complex-network methodology to high-resolution satellite data and introducing a technique that corrects for multiple-comparison bias in functional networks. We find that the distance distribution of significant connections (P < 0.005) around the globe decays according to a power law up to distances of about 2,500 kilometres. For longer distances, the probability of significant connections is much higher than expected from the scaling of the power law. We attribute the shorter, power-law-distributed connections to regional weather systems. The longer, super-power-law-distributed connections form a global rainfall teleconnection pattern that is probably controlled by upper-level Rossby waves. We show that extreme-rainfall events in the monsoon systems of south-central Asia, east Asia and Africa are significantly synchronized. Moreover, we uncover concise links between south-central Asia and the European and North American extratropics, as well as the Southern Hemisphere extratropics. Analysis of the atmospheric conditions that lead to these teleconnections confirms Rossby waves as the physical mechanism underlying these global teleconnection patterns and emphasizes their crucial role in dynamical tropical-extratropical couplings. Our results provide insights into the function of Rossby waves in creating stable, global-scale dependencies of extreme-rainfall events, and into the potential predictability of associated natural hazards.}, language = {en} } @article{BoersBookhagenMarwanetal.2016, author = {Boers, Niklas and Bookhagen, Bodo and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Spatiotemporal characteristics and synchronization of extreme rainfall in South America with focus on the Andes Mountain range}, series = {Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system}, volume = {46}, journal = {Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {New York}, issn = {0930-7575}, doi = {10.1007/s00382-015-2601-6}, pages = {601 -- 617}, year = {2016}, abstract = {The South American Andes are frequently exposed to intense rainfall events with varying moisture sources and precipitation-forming processes. In this study, we assess the spatiotemporal characteristics and geographical origins of rainfall over the South American continent. Using high-spatiotemporal resolution satellite data (TRMM 3B42 V7), we define four different types of rainfall events based on their (1) high magnitude, (2) long temporal extent, (3) large spatial extent, and (4) high magnitude, long temporal and large spatial extent combined. In a first step, we analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of these events over the entire South American continent and integrate their impact for the main Andean hydrologic catchments. Our results indicate that events of type 1 make the overall highest contributions to total seasonal rainfall (up to 50\%). However, each consecutive episode of the infrequent events of type 4 still accounts for up to 20\% of total seasonal rainfall in the subtropical Argentinean plains. In a second step, we employ complex network theory to unravel possibly non-linear and long-ranged climatic linkages for these four event types on the high-elevation Altiplano-Puna Plateau as well as in the main river catchments along the foothills of the Andes. Our results suggest that one to two particularly large squall lines per season, originating from northern Brazil, indirectly trigger large, long-lasting thunderstorms on the Altiplano Plateau. In general, we observe that extreme rainfall in the catchments north of approximately 20 degrees S typically originates from the Amazon Basin, while extreme rainfall at the eastern Andean foothills south of 20 degrees S and the Puna Plateau originates from southeastern South America.}, language = {en} } @article{BoersBookhagenMarengoetal.2015, author = {Boers, Niklas and Bookhagen, Bodo and Marengo, Jose and Marwan, Norbert and von Storch, Jin-Song and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Extreme Rainfall of the South American Monsoon System: A Dataset Comparison Using Complex Networks}, series = {Journal of climate}, volume = {28}, journal = {Journal of climate}, number = {3}, publisher = {American Meteorological Soc.}, address = {Boston}, issn = {0894-8755}, doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00340.1}, pages = {1031 -- 1056}, year = {2015}, abstract = {In this study, the authors compare six different rainfall datasets for South America with a focus on their representation of extreme rainfall during the monsoon season (December February): the gauge-calibrated TRMM 3B42 V7 satellite product; the near-real-time TRMM 3B42 V7 RT, the GPCP 1 degrees daily (1DD) V1.2 satellite gauge combination product, the Interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) product; output of a high-spatial-resolution run of the ECHAM6 global circulation model; and output of the regional climate model Eta. For the latter three, this study can be understood as a model evaluation. In addition to statistical values of local rainfall distributions, the authors focus on the spatial characteristics of extreme rainfall covariability. Since traditional approaches based on principal component analysis are not applicable in the context of extreme events, they apply and further develop methods based on complex network theory. This way, the authors uncover substantial differences in extreme rainfall patterns between the different datasets: (i) The three model-derived datasets yield very different results than the satellite gauge combinations regarding the main climatological propagation pathways of extreme events as well as the main convergence zones of the monsoon system. (ii) Large discrepancies are found for the development of mesoscale convective systems in southeastern South America. (iii) Both TRMM datasets and ECHAM6 indicate a linkage of extreme rainfall events between the central Amazon basin and the eastern slopes of the central Andes, but this pattern is not reproduced by the remaining datasets. The authors' study suggests that none of the three model-derived datasets adequately captures extreme rainfall patterns in South America.}, language = {en} } @article{BoersBarbosaBookhagenetal.2015, author = {Boers, Niklas and Barbosa, Henrique M. J. and Bookhagen, Bodo and Marengo, Jose A. and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Propagation of Strong Rainfall Events from Southeastern South America to the Central Andes}, series = {Journal of climate}, volume = {28}, journal = {Journal of climate}, number = {19}, publisher = {American Meteorological Soc.}, address = {Boston}, issn = {0894-8755}, doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0137.1}, pages = {7641 -- 7658}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Based on high-spatiotemporal-resolution data, the authors perform a climatological study of strong rainfall events propagating from southeastern South America to the eastern slopes of the central Andes during the monsoon season. These events account for up to 70\% of total seasonal rainfall in these areas. They are of societal relevance because of associated natural hazards in the form of floods and landslides, and they form an intriguing climatic phenomenon, because they propagate against the direction of the low-level moisture flow from the tropics. The responsible synoptic mechanism is analyzed using suitable composites of the relevant atmospheric variables with high temporal resolution. The results suggest that the low-level inflow from the tropics, while important for maintaining sufficient moisture in the area of rainfall, does not initiate the formation of rainfall clusters. Instead, alternating low and high pressure anomalies in midlatitudes, which are associated with an eastward-moving Rossby wave train, in combination with the northwestern Argentinean low, create favorable pressure and wind conditions for frontogenesis and subsequent precipitation events propagating from southeastern South America toward the Bolivian Andes.}, language = {en} } @article{BoccalettiValladaresKurths2000, author = {Boccaletti, Stefano and Valladares, D. L. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synchronization of chaotic structurally nonequivalent systems}, year = {2000}, language = {en} } @article{BoccalettiKurthsOsipov2002, author = {Boccaletti, Stefano and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Osipov, Grigory V.}, title = {The synchronization of chaotic systems}, year = {2002}, language = {en} } @article{BoccalettiHwangChavezetal.2006, author = {Boccaletti, Stefano and Hwang, Dong-Uk and Chavez, Mario and Amann, Andreas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Pecora, Louis M.}, title = {Synchronization in dynamical networks : evolution along commutative graphs}, issn = {1539-3755}, doi = {10.1103/Physreve.74.016102}, year = {2006}, abstract = {Starting from an initial wiring of connections, we show that the synchronizability of a network can be significantly improved by evolving the graph along a time dependent connectivity matrix. We consider the case of connectivity matrices that commute at all times, and compare several approaches to engineer the corresponding commutative graphs. In particular, we show that synchronization in a dynamical network can be achieved even in the case in which each individual commutative graphs does not give rise to synchronized behavior}, language = {en} } @article{BittmannGutschowLutheretal.2005, author = {Bittmann, Frank and Gutschow, Stephan and Luther, Sven and Wessel, Niels and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {On the functional relationship between postural motor balance and performance at school}, year = {2005}, abstract = {In integrated medical considerations of the biological human system, both intellectual and motor performances in a similar manner are considered as a result of the function of the nervous system. Consequently, universal minimal dysfunctions of the central nervous system may lead to both intellectual and physical anomalies. Therefore, this study tests the hypothesis that there is a connection between the balance ability as a motor parameter and school success as an intellectual parameter. A postural measuring system based on the force-moment sensor technique was used to record the postural balance regulation of 773 children (circle divide 11 +/- 1 years). The school achievement of each child was determined by school grades. Data analysis was performed by linear as well as by nonlinear time series analyses. There are highly significant differences in balance regulation between good and poor pupils recognized by several linear and nonlinear parameters. Good pupils could be discriminated from pupils with bad results in learning to 80 \%. The results support the hypothesis mentioned above. One possible explanation for the poor regulation of balance in bad learners could be a deficit in the neural maturity. In future, further developments will be targeted on higher discrimination levels, possibly in order to predict school success. On the other hand, the effects of special movement exercises on the neural development in childhood will be the focus in our further work}, language = {en} } @article{BergnerFrascaSciutoetal.2012, author = {Bergner, Andre and Frasca, M. and Sciuto, G. and Buscarino, A. and Ngamga, Eulalie Joelle and Fortuna, L. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Remote synchronization in star networks}, series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, volume = {85}, journal = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, number = {2}, publisher = {American Physical Society}, address = {College Park}, issn = {1539-3755}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.85.026208}, pages = {7}, year = {2012}, abstract = {We study phase synchronization in a network motif with a starlike structure in which the central node's (the hub's) frequency is strongly detuned against the other peripheral nodes. We find numerically and experimentally a regime of remote synchronization (RS), where the peripheral nodes form a phase synchronized cluster, while the hub remains free with its own dynamics and serves just as a transmitter for the other nodes. We explain the mechanism for this RS by the existence of a free amplitude and also show that systems with a fixed or constant amplitude, such as the classic Kuramoto phase oscillator, are not able to generate this phenomenon. Further, we derive an analytic expression which supports our explanation of the mechanism.}, language = {en} } @article{BelykhOsipovKucklaenderetal.2005, author = {Belykh, Vladimir N. and Osipov, Grigory V. and Kuckl{\"a}nder, Nina and Blasius, Bernd and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Automatic control of phase synchronization in coupled complex oscillators}, year = {2005}, abstract = {We present an automatic control method for phase locking of regular and chaotic non-identical oscillations, when all subsystems interact via feedback. This method is based on the well known principle of feedback control which takes place in nature and is successfully used in engineering. In contrast to unidirectional and bidirectional coupling, the approach presented here supposes the existence of a special controller, which allows to change the parameters of the controlled systems. First we discuss general principles of automatic phase synchronization (PS) for arbitrary coupled systems with a controller whose input is given by a special quadratic form of coordinates of the individual systems and its output is a result of the application of a linear differential operator. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach for controlled PS on several examples: (i) two coupled regular oscillators, (ii) coupled regular and chaotic oscillators, (iii) two coupled chaotic R"ossler oscillators, (iv) two coupled foodweb models, (v) coupled chaotic R"ossler and Lorenz oscillators, (vi) ensembles of locally coupled regular oscillators, (vii) ensembles of locally coupled chaotic oscillators, and (viii) ensembles of globally coupled chaotic oscillators.}, language = {en} } @article{BeimGrabenSaddySchlesewskyetal.2000, author = {Beim Graben, Peter and Saddy, Douglas and Schlesewsky, Matthias and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Symbolic dynamics of event-related brain potentials}, year = {2000}, language = {en} } @article{BeimGrabenSaddyKurths2004, author = {Beim Graben, Peter and Saddy, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Untitled}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @article{BeimGrabenFrischFinketal.2005, author = {Beim Graben, Peter and Frisch, Stefan and Fink, A. and Saddy, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Topographic voltage and coherence mapping of brain potentials by means of the symbolic resonance analysis}, issn = {1539-3755}, year = {2005}, abstract = {We apply the recently developed symbolic resonance analysis to electroencephalographic measurements of event- related brain potentials (ERPs) in a language processing experiment by using a three-symbol static encoding with varying thresholds for analyzing the ERP epochs, followed by a spin-flip transformation as a nonlinear filter. We compute an estimator of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for the symbolic dynamics measuring the coherence of threshold-crossing events. Hence, we utilize the inherent noise of the EEG for sweeping the underlying ERP components beyond the encoding thresholds. Plotting the SNR computed within the time window of a particular ERP component (the N400) against the encoding thresholds, we find different resonance curves for the experimental conditions. The maximal differences of the SNR lead to the estimation of optimal encoding thresholds. We show that topographic brain maps of the optimal threshold voltages and of their associated coherence differences are able to dissociate the underlying physiological processes, while corresponding maps gained from the customary voltage averaging technique are unable to do so}, language = {en} } @article{BaptistaZhouKurths2006, author = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Zhou, Changsong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Information transmission in phase synchronous chaotic arrays}, issn = {0256-307X}, doi = {10.1088/0256-307X/23/3/010}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We show many versatile phase synchronous configurations that emerge in an array of coupled chaotic elements due to the presence of a periodic stimulus. Then, we explain the relevance of these configurations to the understanding of how information about such a. stimulus is transmitted from one side to the other in this array. The stimulus actively creates the ways to be transmitted, by making the chaotic elements to phase synchronize}, language = {en} } @article{BaptistaPereiraSartorellietal.2005, author = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Pereira, Tiago and Sartorelli, J. C. and Caldas, Ibere Luiz and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Non-transitive maps in phase synchronization}, year = {2005}, abstract = {Concepts from Ergodic Theory are used to describe the existence of special non-transitive maps in attractors of phase synchronous chaotic oscillators. In particular, it is shown that, for a class of phase-coherent oscillators, these special maps imply phase synchronization. We illustrate these ideas in the sinusoidally forced Chua's circuit and two coupled Rossler oscillators. Furthermore, these results are extended to other coupled chaotic systems. In addition, a phase for a chaotic attractor is defined from the tangent vector of the flow. Finally, it is discussed how these maps can be used for the real-time detection of phase synchronization in experimental systems. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved}, language = {en} } @article{BaptistaPereiraKurths2006, author = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Pereira, Tiago and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Upper bounds in phase synchronous weak coherent chaotic attractors}, issn = {0167-2789}, doi = {10.1016/j.physd.2006.02.007}, year = {2006}, abstract = {An approach is presented for coupled chaotic systems with weak coherent motion, from which we estimate the upper bound value for the absolute phase difference in phase synchronous states. This approach shows that synchronicity in phase implies synchronicity in the time of events, a characteristic explored to derive an equation to detect phase synchronization, based on the absolute difference between the time of these events. We demonstrate the potential use of this approach for the phase coherent and the funnel attractor of the Rossler system, as well as for the spiking/bursting Rulkov map.}, language = {en} } @article{BaptistaKurths2005, author = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Chaotic channel}, issn = {1539-3755}, year = {2005}, abstract = {This work combines the theory of chaotic synchronization with the theory of information in order to introduce the chaotic channel, an active medium formed by connected chaotic systems. This subset of a large chaotic net represents the path along which information flows. We show that the possible amount of information exchange between the transmitter, where information enters the net, and the receiver, the destination of the information, is proportional to the level of synchronization between these two special subsystems}, language = {en} } @article{BaptistaBohnKliegletal.2008, author = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Bohn, Christiane and Kliegl, Reinhold and Engbert, Ralf and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Reconstruction of eye movements during blinks}, issn = {1054-1500}, doi = {10.1063/1.2890843}, year = {2008}, language = {en} } @article{BaltanasZaikinFeudeletal.2002, author = {Baltan{\´a}s, J. P. and Zaikin, Alexei A. and Feudel, Fred and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fern{\´a}ndez}, title = {Noise-induced effects in tracer dynamics}, year = {2002}, language = {en} } @article{AnishchenkoVadivasovaKurthsetal.2004, author = {Anishchenko, Vadim S. and Vadivasova, T. E. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Okrokvertskhov, G. A. and Strelkova, G. I.}, title = {Autocorrelation function and spectral linewidth of spiral chaos in a physical experiment}, issn = {1063-651X}, year = {2004}, abstract = {We present results of physical experiments where we measure the autocorrelation function (ACF) and the spectral linewidth of the basic frequency of a spiral chaotic attractor in a generator with inertial nonlinearity both without and in the presence of external noise. It is shown that the ACF of spiral attractors decays according to an exponential law with a decrement which is defined by the phase diffusion coefficient. It is also established that the evolution of the instantaneous phase can be approximated by a Wiener random process}, language = {en} } @article{AnishchenkoVadivasovaKopeikinetal.2003, author = {Anishchenko, Vadim S. and Vadivasova, T. E. and Kopeikin, A. S. and Strelkova, G. I. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Spectral and correlation analysis of spiral chaos}, issn = {0219-4775}, year = {2003}, abstract = {We study numerically the behavior of the autocorrelation function (ACF) and the power spectrum of spiral attractors without and in the presence of noise. It is shown that the ACF decays exponentially and has two different time scales. The rate of the ACF decrease is defined by the amplitude fluctuations on small time intervals, i.e., when tau < tau(cor), and by the effective diffusion coefficient of the instantantaneous phase on large time intervals. it is also demonstrated that the ACF in the Poincare map also decreases according to the exponential law exp(-lambda(+)k), where lambda(+) is the positive Lyapunov exponent. The obtained results are compared with the theory of fluctuations for the Van der Pol oscillator}, language = {en} }