@phdthesis{Bredow2017, author = {Bredow, Eva}, title = {Geodynamic models of plume-ridge interaction}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-411732}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {104}, year = {2017}, abstract = {According to the classical plume hypothesis, mantle plumes are localized upwellings of hot, buoyant material in the Earth's mantle. They have a typical mushroom shape, consisting of a large plume head, which is associated with the formation of voluminous flood basalts (a Large Igneous Province) and a narrow plume tail, which generates a linear, age-progressive chain of volcanic edifices (a hotspot track) as the tectonic plate migrates over the relatively stationary plume. Both plume heads and tails reshape large areas of the Earth's surface over many tens of millions of years. However, not every plume has left an exemplary record that supports the classical hypothesis. The main objective of this thesis is therefore to study how specific hotspots have created the crustal thickness pattern attributed to their volcanic activities. Using regional geodynamic models, the main chapters of this thesis address the challenge of deciphering the three individual (and increasingly complex) Réunion, Iceland, and Kerguelen hotspot histories, especially focussing on the interactions between the respective plume and nearby spreading ridges. For this purpose, the mantle convection code ASPECT is used to set up three-dimensional numerical models, which consider the specific local surroundings of each plume by prescribing time-dependent boundary conditions for temperature and mantle flow. Combining reconstructed plate boundaries and plate motions, large-scale global flow velocities and an inhomogeneous lithosphere thickness distribution together with a dehydration rheology represents a novel setup for regional convection models. The model results show the crustal thickness pattern produced by the plume, which is compared to present-day topographic structures, crustal thickness estimates and age determinations of volcanic provinces associated with hotspot activity. Altogether, the model results agree well with surface observations. Moreover, the dynamic development of the plumes in the models provide explanations for the generation of smaller, yet characteristic volcanic features that were previously unexplained. Considering the present-day state of a model as a prediction for the current temperature distribution in the mantle, it cannot only be compared to observations on the surface, but also to structures in the Earth's interior as imaged by seismic tomography. More precisely, in the case of the Réunion hotspot, the model demonstrates how the distinctive gap between the Maldives and Chagos is generated due to the combination of the ridge geometry and plume-ridge interaction. Further, the Rodrigues Ridge is formed as the surface expression of a long-distance sublithospheric flow channel between the upwelling plume and the closest ridge segment, confirming the long-standing hypothesis of Morgan (1978) for the first time in a dynamic context. The Réunion plume has been studied in connection with the seismological RHUM-RUM project, which has recently provided new seismic tomography images that yield an excellent match with the geodynamic model. Regarding the Iceland plume, the numerical model shows how plume material may have accumulated in an east-west trending corridor of thin lithosphere across Greenland and resulted in simultaneous melt generation west and east of Greenland. This provides an explanation for the extremely widespread volcanic material attributed to magma production of the Iceland hotspot and demonstrates that the model setup is also able to explain more complicated hotspot histories. The Iceland model results also agree well with newly derived seismic tomographic images. The Kerguelen hotspot has an extremely complex history and previous studies concluded that the plume might be dismembered or influenced by solitary waves in its conduit to produce the reconstructed variable melt production rate. The geodynamic model, however, shows that a constant plume influx can result in a variable magma production rate if the plume interacts with nearby mid-ocean ridges. Moreover, the Ninetyeast Ridge in the model is created by on-ridge activities, while the Kerguelen plume was located beneath the Australian plate. This is also a contrast to earlier studies, which described the Ninetyeast Ridge as the result of the Indian plate passing over the plume. Furthermore, the Amsterdam-Saint Paul Plateau in the model is the result of plume material flowing from the upwelling toward the Southeast Indian Ridge, whereas previous geochemical studies attributed that volcanic province to a separate deep plume. In summary, the three case studies presented in this thesis consistently highlight the importance of plume-ridge interaction in order to reconstruct the overall volcanic hotspot record as well as specific smaller features attributed to a certain hotspot. They also demonstrate that it is not necessary to attribute highly complicated properties to a specific plume in order to account for complex observations. Thus, this thesis contributes to the general understanding of plume dynamics and extends the very specific knowledge about the Réunion, Iceland, and Kerguelen mantle plumes.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Carus2017, author = {Carus, Jana}, title = {Plant-habitat interactions in brackish marshes}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404966}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {VII, 103}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Estuarine marshes are ecosystems that are situated at the transition zone between land and water and are thus controlled by physical and biological interactions. Marsh vegetation offers important ecosystem services by filtrating solid and dissolved substances from the water and providing habitat. By buffering a large part of the arriving flow velocity, attenuating wave energy and serving as erosion control for riverbanks, tidal marshes furthermore reduce the destructive effects of storm surges and storm waves and thus contribute to ecosystem-based shore protection. However, in many estuaries, extensive embankments, artificial bank protection, river dredging and agriculture threaten tidal marshes. Global warming might entail additional risks, such as changes in water levels, an increase of the tidal amplitude and a resulting shift of the salinity zones. This can affect the dynamics of the shore and foreland vegetation, and vegetation belts can be narrowed or fragmented. Against this background, it is crucial to gain a better understanding of the processes underlying the spatio temporal vegetation dynamics in brackish marshes. Furthermore, a better understanding of how plant-habitat relationships generate patterns in tidal marsh vegetation is vital to maintain ecosystem functions and assess the response of marshes to environmental change as well as the success of engineering and restoration projects. For this purpose, three research objectives were addressed within this thesis: (1) to explore the possibility of vegetation serving as self-adaptive shore protection by quantifying the reduction of current velocity in the vegetation belt and the morphologic plasticity of a brackish marsh pioneer, (2) to disentangle the roles of abiotic factors and interspecific competition on species distribution and stand characteristics in brackish marshes, and (3) to develop a mechanistic vegetation model that helps analysing the influence of habitat conditions on the spatio-temporal dynamic of tidal marsh vegetation. These aspects were investigated using a combination of field studies and statistical as well as process-based modelling. To explore the possibility of vegetation serving as self-adaptive coastal protection, in the first study, we measured current velocity with and without living vegetation, recorded ramet density and plant thickness during two growing periods at two locations in the Elbe estuary and assessed the adaptive value of a larger stem diameter of plants at locations with higher mechanical stress by biomechanical measurements. The results of this study show that under non-storm conditions, the vegetation belt of the marsh pioneer Bolboschoenus maritimus is able to buffer a large proportion of the flow velocity. We were furthermore able to show that morphological traits of plant species are adapted to hydrodynamic forces by demonstrating a positive correlation between ramet thickness and cross-shore current. In addition, our measurements revealed that thicker ramets growing at the front of the vegetation belt have a significantly higher stability than ramets inside the vegetation belt. This self-adaptive effect improves the ability of B. maritimus to grow and persist in the pioneer zone and could provide an adaptive value in habitats with high mechanical stress. In the second study, we assessed the distribution of the two marsh species and a set of stand characteristics, namely aboveground and belowground biomass, ramet density, ramet height and the percentage of flowering ramets. Furthermore, we collected information on several abiotic habitat factors to test their effect on plant growth and zonation with generalised linear models (GLMs). Our results demonstrate that flow velocity is the main factor controlling the distribution of Bolboschoenus maritimus and Phragmites australis. Additionally, inundation height and duration, as well as intraspecific competition affect distribution patterns. This study furthermore shows that cross-shore flow velocity does not only directly influence the distribution of the two marsh species, but also alters the plants' occurrence relative to inun-dation height and duration. This suggests an effect of cross-shore flow velocity on their tolerance to inundation. The analysis of the measured stand characteristics revealed a negative effect of total flow velocity on all measured parameters of B. maritimus and thus confirmed our expectation that flow velocity is a decisive stressor which influences the growth of this species. To gain a better understanding of the processes and habitat factors influencing the spatio-temporal vegetation dynamics in brackish marshes, I built a spatially explicit, mechanistic model applying a pattern-oriented modelling approach. A sensitivity analysis of the para-meters of this dynamic habitat-macrophyte model HaMac suggests that rhizome growth is the key process for the lateral dynamics of brackish marshes. From the analysed habitat factors, P. australis patterns were mainly influenced by flow velocity. The competition with P. australis was of key importance for the belowground biomass of B. maritimus. Concerning vegetation dynamics, the model results emphasise that without the effect of flow velocity the B. maritimus vegetation belt would expand into the tidal flat at locations with present vegetation recession, suggesting that flow velocity is the main reason for vegetation recession at exposed locations. Overall, the results of this thesis demonstrate that brackish marsh vegetation considerably contributes to flow reduction under average flow conditions and can hence be a valuable component of shore-protection schemes. At the same time, the distribution, growth and expansion of tidal marsh vegetation is substantially influenced by flow. Altogether, this thesis provides a clear step forward in understanding plant-habitat interactions in tidal marshes. Future research should integrate studies of vertical marsh accretion with research on the factors that control the lateral position of marshes.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Golly2017, author = {Golly, Antonius}, title = {Formation and evolution of channel steps and their role for sediment dynamics in a steep mountain stream}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-411728}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {180}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Steep mountain channels are an important component of the fluvial system. On geological timescales, they shape mountain belts and counteract tectonic uplift by erosion. Their channels are strongly coupled to hillslopes and they are often the main source of sediment transported downstream to low-gradient rivers and to alluvial fans, where commonly settlements in mountainous areas are located. Hence, mountain streams are the cause for one of the main natural hazards in these regions. Due to climate change and a pronounced populating of mountainous regions the attention given to this threat is even growing. Although quantitative studies on sediment transport have significantly advanced our knowledge on measuring and calibration techniques we still lack studies of the processes within mountain catchments. Studies examining the mechanisms of energy and mass exchange on small temporal and spatial scales in steep streams remain sparse in comparison to low-gradient alluvial channels. In the beginning of this doctoral project, a vast amount of experience and knowledge of a steep stream in the Swiss Prealps had to be consolidated in order to shape the principal aim of this research effort. It became obvious, that observations from within the catchment are underrepresented in comparison to experiments performed at the catchment's outlet measuring fluxes and the effects of the transported material. To counteract this imbalance, an examination of mass fluxes within the catchment on the process scale was intended. Hence, this thesis is heavily based on direct field observations, which are generally rare in these environments in quantity and quality. The first objective was to investigate the coupling of the channel with surrounding hillslopes, the major sources of sediment. This research, which involved the monitoring of the channel and adjacent hillslopes, revealed that alluvial channel steps play a key role in coupling of channel and hillslopes. The observations showed that hillslope stability is strongly associated with the step presence and an understanding of step morphology and stability is therefore crucial in understanding sediment mobilization. This finding refined the way we think about the sediment dynamics in steep channels and motivated continued research of the step dynamics. However, soon it became obvious that the technological basis for developing field tests and analyzing the high resolution geometry measured in the field was not available. Moreover, for many geometrical quantities in mountain channels definitions and a clear scientific standard was not available. For example, these streams are characterized by a high spatial variability of the channel banks, preventing straightforward calculations of the channel width without a defined reference. Thus, the second and inevitable part of this thesis became the development and evaluation of scientific tools in order to investigate the geometrical content of the study reach thoroughly. The developed framework allowed the derivation of various metrics of step and channel geometry which facilitated research on the a large data set of observations of channel steps. In the third part, innovative, physically-based metrics have been developed and compared to current knowledge on step formation, suggested in the literature. With this analyses it could be demonstrated that the formation of channel steps follow a wide range of hydraulic controls. Due to the wide range of tested parameters channel steps observed in a natural stream were attributed to different mechanisms of step formation, including those based on jamming and those based on key-stones. This study extended our knowledge on step formation in a steep stream and harmonized different, often time seen as competing, processes of step formation. This study was based on observations collected at one point in time. In the fourth part of this project, the findings of the snap-shot observations were extended in the temporal dimension and the derived concepts have been utilized to investigate reach-scale step patterns in response to large, exceptional flood events. The preliminary results of this work based on the long-term analyses of 7 years of long profile surveys showed that the previously observed channel-hillslope mechanism is the responsible for the short-term response of step formation. The findings of the long-term analyses of step patterns drew a bow to the initial observations of a channel-hillslope system which allowed to join the dots in the dynamics of steep stream. Thus, in this thesis a broad approach has been chosen to gain insights into the complex system of steep mountain rivers. The effort includes in situ field observations (article I), the development of quantitative scientific tools (article II), the reach-scale analyses of step-pool morphology (article III) and its temporal evolution (article IV). With this work our view on the processes within the catchment has been advanced towards a better mechanistic understanding of these fluvial system relevant to improve applied scientific work.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Gudipudi2017, author = {Gudipudi, Venkata Ramana}, title = {Cities and global sustainability}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407113}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xxii, 101}, year = {2017}, abstract = {In the wake of 21st century, humanity witnessed a phenomenal raise of urban agglomerations as powerhouses for innovation and socioeconomic growth. Driving much of national (and in few instances even global) economy, such a gargantuan raise of cities is also accompanied by subsequent increase in energy, resource consumption and waste generation. Much of anthropogenic transformation of Earth's environment in terms of environmental pollution at local level to planetary scale in the form of climate change is currently taking place in cities. Projected to be crucibles for entire humanity by the end of this century, the ultimate fate of humanity predominantly lies in the hands of technological innovation, urbanites' attitudes towards energy/resource consumption and development pathways undertaken by current and future cities. Considering the unparalleled energy, resource consumption and emissions currently attributed to global cities, this thesis addresses these issues from an efficiency point of view. More specifically, this thesis addresses the influence of population size, density, economic geography and technology in improving urban greenhouse gas (GHG) emission efficiency and identifies the factors leading to improved eco-efficiency in cities. In order to investigate the in uence of these factors in improving emission and resource efficiency in cities, a multitude of freely available datasets were coupled with some novel methodologies and analytical approaches in this thesis. Merging the well-established Kaya Identity to the recently developed urban scaling laws, an Urban Kaya Relation is developed to identify whether large cities are more emission efficient and the intrinsic factors leading to such (in)efficiency. Applying Urban Kaya Relation to a global dataset of 61 cities in 12 countries, this thesis identifed that large cities in developed regions of the world will bring emission efficiency gains because of the better technologies implemented in these cities to produce and utilize energy consumption while the opposite is the case for cities in developing regions. Large cities in developing countries are less efficient mainly because of their affluence and lack of efficient technologies. Apart from the in uence of population size on emission efficiency, this thesis identified the crucial role played by population density in improving building and on-road transport sector related emission efficiency in cities. This is achieved by applying the City Clustering Algorithm (CCA) on two different gridded land use datasets and a standard emission inventory to attribute these sectoral emissions to all inhabited settlements in the USA. Results show that doubling the population density would entail a reduction in the total CO2 emissions in buildings and on-road sectors typically by at least 42 \%. Irrespective of their population size and density, cities are often blamed for their intensive resource consumption that threatens not only local but also global sustainability. This thesis merged the concept of urban metabolism with benchmarking and identified cities which are eco-efficient. These cities enable better socioeconomic conditions while being less burden to the environment. Three environmental burden indicators (annual average NO2 concentration, per capita waste generation and water consumption) and two socioeconomic indicators (GDP per capita and employment ratio) for 88 most populous European cities are considered in this study. Using two different non-parametric ranking methods namely regression residual ranking and Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), eco-efficient cities and their determining factors are identified. This in-depth analysis revealed that mature cities with well-established economic structures such as Munich, Stockholm and Oslo are eco-efficient. Further, correlations between objective eco-efficiency ranking with each of the indicator rankings and the ranking of urbanites' subjective perception about quality of life are analyzed. This analysis revealed that urbanites' perception about quality of life is not merely confined to the socioeconomic well-being but rather to their combination with lower environmental burden. In summary, the findings of this dissertation has three general conclusions for improving emission and ecological efficiency in cities. Firstly, large cities in emerging nations face a huge challenge with respect to improving their emission efficiency. The task in front of these cities is threefold: (1) deploying efficient technologies for the generation of electricity and improvement of public transportation to unlock their leap frogging potential, (2) addressing the issue of energy poverty and (3) ensuring that these cities do not develop similar energy consumption patterns with infrastructure lock-in behavior similar to those of cities in developed regions. Secondly, the on-going urban sprawl as a global phenomenon will decrease the emission efficiency within the building and transportation sector. Therefore, local policy makers should identify adequate fiscal and land use policies to curb urban sprawl. Lastly, since mature cities with well-established economic structures are more eco-efficient and urbanites' perception re ects its combination with decreasing environmental burden; there is a need to adopt and implement strategies which enable socioeconomic growth in cities whilst decreasing their environment burden.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Hendriyana2017, author = {Hendriyana, Andri}, title = {Detection and Kirchhoff-type migration of seismic events by use of a new characteristic function}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-398879}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {v, 139}, year = {2017}, abstract = {The classical method of seismic event localization is based on the picking of body wave arrivals, ray tracing and inversion of travel time data. Travel time picks with small uncertainties are required to produce reliable and accurate results with this kind of source localization. Hence recordings, with a low Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) cannot be used in a travel time based inversion. Low SNR can be related with weak signals from distant and/or low magnitude sources as well as with a high level of ambient noise. Diffraction stacking is considered as an alternative seismic event localization method that enables also the processing of low SNR recordings by mean of stacking the amplitudes of seismograms along a travel time function. The location of seismic event and its origin time are determined based on the highest stacked amplitudes (coherency) of the image function. The method promotes an automatic processing since it does not need travel time picks as input data. However, applying diffraction stacking may require longer computation times if only limited computer resources are used. Furthermore, a simple diffraction stacking of recorded amplitudes could possibly fail to locate the seismic sources if the focal mechanism leads to complex radiation patterns which typically holds for both natural and induced seismicity. In my PhD project, I have developed a new work flow for the localization of seismic events which is based on a diffraction stacking approach. A parallelized code was implemented for the calculation of travel time tables and for the determination of an image function to reduce computation time. In order to address the effects from complex source radiation patterns, I also suggest to compute diffraction stacking from a characteristic function (CF) instead of stacking the original wave form data. A new CF, which is called in the following mAIC (modified from Akaike Information Criterion) is proposed. I demonstrate that, the performance of the mAIC does not depend on the chosen length of the analyzed time window and that both P- and S-wave onsets can be detected accurately. To avoid cross-talk between P- and S-waves due to inaccurate velocity models, I separate the P- and S-waves from the mAIC function by making use of polarization attributes. Then, eventually the final image function is represented by the largest eigenvalue as a result of the covariance analysis between P- and S-image functions. Before applying diffraction stacking, I also apply seismogram denoising by using Otsu thresholding in the time-frequency domain. Results from synthetic experiments show that the proposed diffraction stacking provides reliable results even from seismograms with low SNR=1. Tests with different presentations of the synthetic seismograms (displacement, velocity, and acceleration) shown that, acceleration seismograms deliver better results in case of high SNR, whereas displacement seismograms provide more accurate results in case of low SNR recordings. In another test, different measures (maximum amplitude, other statistical parameters) were used to determine the source location in the final image function. I found that the statistical approach is the preferred method particularly for low SNR. The work flow of my diffraction stacking method was finally applied to local earthquake data from Sumatra, Indonesia. Recordings from a temporary network of 42 stations deployed for 9 months around the Tarutung pull-apart Basin were analyzed. The seismic event locations resulting from the diffraction stacking method align along a segment of the Sumatran Fault. A more complex distribution of seismicity is imaged within and around the Tarutung Basin. Two lineaments striking N-S were found in the middle of the Tarutung Basin which support independent results from structural geology. These features are interpreted as opening fractures due to local extension. A cluster of seismic events repeatedly occurred in short time which might be related to fluid drainage since two hot springs are observed at the surface near to this cluster.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Herbrich2017, author = {Herbrich, Marcus}, title = {Einfluss der erosionsbedingten Pedogenese auf den Wasserund Stoffhaushalt ackerbaulich genutzter B{\"o}den der Grundmor{\"a}nenbodenlandschaft NO-Deutschlands - hydropedologische Untersuchungen mittels w{\"a}gbarer Pr{\"a}zisionslysimeter}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-408561}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {186}, year = {2017}, abstract = {In the arable soil landscape of hummocky ground moraines, an erosion-affected spatial differentiation of soils can be observed. Man-made erosion leads to soil profile modifications along slopes with changed solum thickness and modified properties of soil horizons due to water erosion in combination with tillage operations. Soil erosion creates, thereby, spatial patterns of soil properties (e.g., texture and organic matter content) and differences in crop development. However, little is known about the manner in which water fluxes are affected by soil-crop interactions depending on contrasting properties of differently-developed soil horizons and how water fluxes influence the carbon transport in an eroded landscape. To identify such feedbacks between erosion-induced soil profile modifications and the 1D-water and solute balance, high-precision weighing lysimeters equipped with a wide range of sensor technique were filled with undisturbed soil monoliths that differed in the degree of past soil erosion. Furthermore, lysimeter effluent concentrations were analyzed for dissolved carbon fractions in bi-weekly intervals. The water balance components measured by high precision lysimeters varied from the most eroded to the less eroded monolith up to 83 \% (deep drainage) primarily caused due to varying amounts of precipitation and evapotranspiration for a 3-years period. Here, interactions between crop development and contrasting rainfall interception by above ground biomass could explain differences in water balance components. Concentrations of dissolved carbon in soil water samples were relatively constant in time, suggesting carbon leaching was mainly affected by water fluxes in this observation period. For the lysimeter-based water balance analysis, a filtering scheme was developed considering temporal autocorrelation. The minute-based autocorrelation analysis of mass changes from lysimeter time series revealed characteristic autocorrelation lengths ranging from 23 to 76 minutes. Thereby, temporal autocorrelation provided an optimal approximation of precipitation quantities. However, the high temporal resolution in lysimeter time series is restricted by the lengths of autocorrelation. Erosion-induced but also gradual changes in soil properties were reflected by dynamics of soil water retention properties in the lysimeter soils. Short-term and long-term hysteretic water retention data suggested seasonal wettability problems of soils increasingly limited rewetting of previously dried pore regions. Differences in water retention were assigned to soil tillage operations and the erosion history at different slope positions. The threedimensional spatial pattern of soil types that result from erosional soil profile modifications were also reflected in differences of crop root development at different landscape positions. Contrasting root densities revealed positive relations of root and aboveground plant characteristics. Differences in the spatially-distributed root growth between different eroded soil types provided indications that root development was affected by the erosion-induced soil evolution processes. Overall, the current thesis corroborated the hypothesis that erosion-induced soil profile modifications affect the soil water balance, carbon leaching and soil hydraulic properties, but also the crop root system is influenced by erosion-induced spatial patterns of soil properties in the arable hummocky post glacial soil landscape. The results will help to improve model predictions of water and solute movement in arable soils and to understand interactions between soil erosion and carbon pathways regarding sink-or-source terms in landscapes.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Kellermann2017, author = {Kellermann, Patric}, title = {Assessing natural risks for railway infrastructure and transportation in Austria}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-103877}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {x, 113}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Natural hazards can have serious societal and economic impacts. Worldwide, around one third of economic losses due to natural hazards are attributable to floods. The majority of natural hazards are triggered by weather-related extremes such as heavy precipitation, rapid snow melt, or extreme temperatures. Some of them, and in particular floods, are expected to further increase in terms of frequency and/or intensity in the coming decades due to the impacts of climate change. In this context, the European Alps areas are constantly disclosed as being particularly sensitive. In order to enhance the resilience of societies to natural hazards, risk assessments are substantial as they can deliver comprehensive risk information to be used as a basis for effective and sustainable decision-making in natural hazards management. So far, current assessment approaches mostly focus on single societal or economic sectors - e.g. flood damage models largely concentrate on private-sector housing - and other important sectors, such as the transport infrastructure sector, are widely neglected. However, transport infrastructure considerably contributes to economic and societal welfare, e.g. by ensuring mobility of people and goods. In Austria, for example, the national railway network is essential for the European transit of passengers and freights as well as for the development of the complex Alpine topography. Moreover, a number of recent experiences show that railway infrastructure and transportation is highly vulnerable to natural hazards. As a consequence, the Austrian Federal Railways had to cope with economic losses on the scale of several million euros as a result of flooding and other alpine hazards. The motivation of this thesis is to contribute to filling the gap of knowledge about damage to railway infrastructure caused by natural hazards by providing new risk information for actors and stakeholders involved in the risk management of railway transportation. Hence, in order to support the decision-making towards a more effective and sustainable risk management, the following two shortcomings in natural risks research are approached: i) the lack of dedicated models to estimate flood damage to railway infrastructure, and ii) the scarcity of insights into possible climate change impacts on the frequency of extreme weather events with focus on future implications for railway transportation in Austria. With regard to flood impacts to railway infrastructure, the empirically derived damage model Railway Infrastructure Loss (RAIL) proved expedient to reliably estimate both structural flood damage at exposed track sections of the Northern Railway and resulting repair cost. The results show that the RAIL model is capable of identifying flood risk hot spots along the railway network and, thus, facilitates the targeted planning and implementation of (technical) risk reduction measures. However, the findings of this study also show that the development and validation of flood damage models for railway infrastructure is generally constrained by the continuing lack of detailed event and damage data. In order to provide flood risk information on the large scale to support strategic flood risk management, the RAIL model was applied for the Austrian Mur River catchment using three different hydraulic scenarios as input as well as considering an increased risk aversion of the railway operator. Results indicate that the model is able to deliver comprehensive risk information also on the catchment level. It is furthermore demonstrated that the aspect of risk aversion can have marked influence on flood damage estimates for the study area and, hence, should be considered with regard to the development of risk management strategies. Looking at the results of the investigation on future frequencies of extreme weather events jeopardizing railway infrastructure and transportation in Austria, it appears that an increase in intense rainfall events and heat waves has to be expected, whereas heavy snowfall and cold days are likely to decrease. Furthermore, results indicate that frequencies of extremes are rather sensitive to changes of the underlying thresholds. It thus emphasizes the importance to carefully define, validate, and — if needed — to adapt the thresholds that are used to detect and forecast meteorological extremes. For this, continuous and standardized documentation of damaging events and near-misses is a prerequisite. Overall, the findings of the research presented in this thesis agree on the necessity to improve event and damage documentation procedures in order to enable the acquisition of comprehensive and reliable risk information via risk assessments and, thus, support strategic natural hazards management of railway infrastructure and transportation.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Korzeniowska2017, author = {Korzeniowska, Karolina}, title = {Object-based image analysis for detecting landforms diagnostic of natural hazards}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-402240}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {XV, 139}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Natural and potentially hazardous events occur on the Earth's surface every day. The most destructive of these processes must be monitored, because they may cause loss of lives, infrastructure, and natural resources, or have a negative effect on the environment. A variety of remote sensing technologies allow the recoding of data to detect these processes in the first place, partly based on the diagnostic landforms that they form. To perform this effectively, automatic methods are desirable. Universal detection of natural hazards is challenging due to their differences in spatial impacts, timing and longevity of consequences, and the spatial resolution of remote-sensing data. Previous studies have reported that topographic metrics such as roughness, which can be captured from digital elevation data, can reveal landforms diagnostic of natural hazards, such as gullies, dunes, lava fields, landslides and snow avalanches, as these landforms tend to be more heterogeneous than the surrounding landscape. A single roughness metric is often limited in such detections; however, a more complex approach that exploits the spatial relation and the location of objects, such as object-based image analysis (OBIA), is desirable. In this thesis, I propose a topographic roughness measure derived from an airborne laser scanning (ALS) digital terrain model (DTM) and discuss its performance in detecting landforms principally diagnostic of natural hazards. I further develop OBIA-based algorithms for the detection of snow avalanches using near-infrared (NIR) aerial images, and the size (changes) of mountain lakes using LANDSAT satellite images. I quantitatively test and document how the level of difficulty in detecting these very challenging landforms depends on the input data resolution, the derivatives that could be evaluated from images and DTMs, the size, shape and complexity of landforms, and the capabilities of obtaining the information in the data. I demonstrate that surface roughness is a promising metric for detecting different landforms in diverse environments, and that OBIA assists significantly in detecting parts of lakes and snow avalanches that may not be correctly assigned by applying only the thresholding of spectral properties of data and their derivatives. The curvature-based surface roughness parameter allows the detection of gullies, dunes, lava fields and landslides with a user's accuracy of 0.63, 0.21, 0.53, and 0.45, respectively. The OBIA algorithms for detecting lakes and snow avalanches obtained user's accuracy of 0.98, and 0.78, respectively. Most of the analysed landforms constituted only a small part of the entire dataset, and therefore the user's accuracy is the most appropriate performance measure that should be given in a such classification, because it tells how many automatically-extracted pixels in fact represent the object that one wants to classify, and its calculation does not take the second (background) class into account. One advantage of the proposed roughness parameter is that it allows the extraction of the heterogeneity of the surface without the need for data detrending. The OBIA approach is novel in that it allows the classification of lakes regardless of the physical state of their water, and also allows the separation of frozen lakes from glaciers that have very similar water indices used in purely optical remote sensing applications. The algorithm proposed for snow avalanches allows the detection of release zones, tracks, and deposition zones by verifying the snow heterogeneity based on a roughness metric evaluated from a water index, and by analysing the local relation of segments with their neighbouring objects. This algorithm contains few steps, which allows for the simultaneous classification of avalanches that occur on diverse mountain slopes and differ in size and shape. This thesis contributes to natural hazard research as it provides automatic solutions to tracking six different landforms that are diagnostic of natural hazards over large regions. This is a step toward delineating areas susceptible to the processes producing these landforms and the improvement of hazard maps.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Meier2017, author = {Meier, Tobias}, title = {Borehole Breakouts in Transversely Isotropic Posidonia Shale}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-400019}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xviii, 133}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Borehole instabilities are frequently encountered when drilling through finely laminated, organic rich shales ({\O}kland and Cook, 1998; Ottesen, 2010; etc.); such instabilities should be avoided to assure a successful exploitation and safe production of the contained unconventional hydrocarbons. Borehole instabilities, such as borehole breakouts or drilling induced tensile fractures, may lead to poor cementing of the borehole annulus, difficulties with recording and interpretation of geophysical logs, low directional control and in the worst case the loss of the well. If these problems are not recognized and expertly remedied, pollution of the groundwater or the emission of gases into the atmosphere can occur since the migration paths of the hydrocarbons in the subsurface are not yet fully understood (e.g., Davies et al., 2014; Zoback et al., 2010). In addition, it is often mentioned that the drilling problems encountered and the resulting downtimes of the wellbore system in finely laminated shales significantly increase drilling costs (Fjaer et al., 2008; Aadnoy and Ong, 2003). In order to understand and reduce the borehole instabilities during drilling in unconventional shales, we investigate stress-induced irregular extensions of the borehole diameter, which are also referred to as borehole breakouts. For this purpose, experiments with different borehole diameters, bedding plane angles and stress boundary conditions were performed on finely laminated Posidonia shales. The Lower Jurassic Posidonia shale is one of the most productive source rocks for conventional reservoirs in Europe and has the greatest potential for unconventional oil and gas in Europe (Littke et al., 2011). In this work, Posidonia shale specimens from the North (PN) and South (PS) German basins were selected and characterized petrophysically and mechanically. The composition of the two shales is dominated by calcite (47-56\%) followed by clays (23-28\%) and quartz (16-17\%). The remaining components are mainly pyrite and organic matter. The porosity of the shales varies considerably and is up to 10\% for PS and 1\% for PN, which is due to a larger deposition depth of PN. Both shales show marked elasticity and strength anisotropy, which can be attributed to a macroscopic distribution and orientation of soft and hard minerals. Under load the hard minerals form a load-bearing, supporting structure, while the soft minerals compensate the deformation. Therefore, if loaded parallel to the bedding, the Posidonia shale is more brittle than loaded normal to the bedding. The resulting elastic anisotropy, which can be defined by the ratio of the modulus of elasticity parallel and normal to the bedding, is about 50\%, while the strength anisotropy (i.e., the ratio of uniaxial compressive strength normal and parallel to the bedding) is up to 66\%. Based on the petrophysical characterization of the two rocks, a transverse isotropy (TVI) was derived. In general, PS is softer and weaker than PN, which is due to the stronger compaction of the material due to the higher burial depth. Conventional triaxial borehole breakout experiments on specimens with different borehole diameters showed that, when the diameter of the borehole is increased, the stress required to initiate borehole breakout decreases to a constant value. This value can be expressed as the ratio of the tangential stress and the uniaxial compressive strength of the rock. The ratio increases exponentially with decreasing borehole diameter from about 2.5 for a 10 mm diameter hole to ~ 7 for a 1 mm borehole (increase of initiation stress by 280\%) and can be described by a fracture mechanic based criterion. The reduction in borehole diameter is therefore a considerable aspect in reducing the risk of breakouts. New drilling techniques with significantly reduced borehole diameters, such as "fish-bone" holes, are already underway and are currently being tested (e.g., Xing et al., 2012). The observed strength anisotropy and the TVI material behavior are also reflected in the observed breakout processes at the borehole wall. Drill holes normal to the bedding develop breakouts in a plane of isotropy and are not affected by the strength or elasticity anisotropy. The observed breakouts are point-symmetric and form compressive shear failure planes, which can be predicted by a Mohr-Coulomb failure approach. If the shear failure planes intersect, conjugate breakouts can be described as "dog-eared" breakouts. While the initiation of breakouts for wells oriented normal to the stratification has been triggered by random local defects, reduced strengths parallel to bedding planes are the starting point for breakouts for wells parallel to the bedding. In the case of a deflected borehole trajectory, therefore, the observed failure type changes from shear-induced failure surfaces to buckling failure of individual layer packages. In addition, the breakout depths and widths increased, resulting in a stress-induced enlargement of the borehole cross-section and an increased output of rock material into the borehole. With the transition from shear to buckling failure and changing bedding plane angle with respect to the borehole axis, the stress required for inducing wellbore breakouts drops by 65\%. These observations under conventional triaxial stress boundary conditions could also be confirmed under true triaxial stress conditions. Here breakouts grew into the rock as a result of buckling failure, too. In this process, the broken layer packs rotate into the pressure-free drill hole and detach themselves from the surrounding rock by tensile cracking. The final breakout shape in Posidonia shale can be described as trapezoidal when the bedding planes are parallel to the greatest horizontal stress and to the borehole axis. In the event that the largest horizontal stress is normal to the stratification, breakouts were formed entirely by shear fractures between the stratification and required higher stresses to initiate similar to breakouts in conventional triaxial experiments with boreholes oriented normal to the bedding. In the content of this work, a fracture mechanics-based failure criterion for conventional triaxial loading conditions in isotropic rocks (Dresen et al., 2010) has been successfully extended to true triaxial loading conditions in the transverse isotropic rock to predict the initiation of borehole breakouts. The criterion was successfully verified on the experiments carried out. The extended failure criterion and the conclusions from the laboratory and numerical work may help to reduce the risk of borehole breakouts in unconventional shales.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Muldashev2017, author = {Muldashev, Iskander}, title = {Modeling of the great earthquake seismic cycles}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-398926}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xii, 117}, year = {2017}, abstract = {The timing and location of the two largest earthquakes of the 21st century (Sumatra, 2004 and Tohoku 2011, events) greatly surprised the scientific community, indicating that the deformation processes that precede and follow great megathrust earthquakes remain enigmatic. During these phases before and after the earthquake a combination of multi-scale complex processes are acting simultaneously: Stresses built up by long-term tectonic motions are modified by sudden jerky deformations during earthquakes, before being restored by multiple ensuing relaxation processes. This thesis details a cross-scale thermomechanical model developed with the aim of simulating the entire subduction process from earthquake (1 minute) to million years' time scale, excluding only rupture propagation. The model employs elasticity, non-linear transient viscous rheology, and rate-and-state friction. It generates spontaneous earthquake sequences, and, by using an adaptive time-step algorithm, recreates the deformation process as observed naturally over single and multiple seismic cycles. The model is thoroughly tested by comparing results to those from known high- resolution solutions of generic modeling setups widely used in modeling of rupture propagation. It is demonstrated, that while not modeling rupture propagation explicitly, the modeling procedure correctly recognizes the appearance of instability (earthquake) and correctly simulates the cumulative slip at a fault during great earthquake by means of a quasi-dynamic approximation. A set of 2D models is used to study the effects of non-linear transient rheology on the postseismic processes following great earthquakes. Our models predict that the viscosity in the mantle wedge drops by 3 to 4 orders of magnitude during a great earthquake with magnitude above 9. This drop in viscosity results in spatial scales and timings of the relaxation processes following the earthquakes that are significantly different to previous estimates. These models replicate centuries long seismic cycles exhibited by the greatest earthquakes (like the Great Chile 1960 Earthquake) and are consistent with the major features of postseismic surface displacements recorded after the Great Tohoku Earthquake. The 2D models are also applied to study key factors controlling maximum magnitudes of earthquakes in subduction zones. Even though methods of instrumentally observing earthquakes at subduction zones have rapidly improved in recent decades, the characteristic recurrence interval of giant earthquakes (Mw>8.5) is much larger than the currently available observational record and therefore the necessary conditions for giant earthquakes are not clear. Statistical studies have recognized the importance of the slab shape and its surface roughness, state of the strain of the upper plate and thickness of sediments filling the trenches. In this thesis we attempt to explain these observations and to identify key controlling parameters. We test a set of 2D models representing great earthquake seismic cycles at known subduction zones with various known geometries, megathrust friction coefficients, and convergence rates implemented. We found that low-angle subduction (large effect) and thick sediments in the subduction channel (smaller effect) are the fundamental necessary conditions for generating giant earthquakes, while the change of subduction velocity from 10 to 3.5 cm/yr has a lower effect. Modeling results also suggest that having thick sediments in the subduction channel causes low static friction, resulting in neutral or slightly compressive deformation in the overriding plate for low-angle subduction zones. These modeling results agree well with observations for the largest earthquakes. The model predicts the largest possible earthquakes for subduction zones of given dipping angles. The predicted maximum magnitudes exactly threshold magnitudes of all known giant earthquakes of 20th and 21st centuries. The clear limitation of most of the models developed in the thesis is their 2D nature. Development of 3D models with comparable resolution and complexity will require significant advances in numerical techniques. Nevertheless, we conducted a series of low-resolution 3D models to study the interaction between two large asperities at a subduction interface separated by an aseismic gap of varying width. The novelty of the model is that it considers behavior of the asperities during multiple seismic cycles. As expected, models show that an aseismic gap with a narrow width could not prevent rupture propagation from one asperity to another, and that rupture always crosses the entire model. When the gap becomes too wide, asperities do not interact anymore and rupture independently. However, an interesting mode of interaction was observed in the model with an intermediate width of the aseismic gap: In this model the asperities began to stably rupture in anti-phase following multiple seismic cycles. These 3D modeling results, while insightful, must be considered preliminary because of the limitations in resolution. The technique developed in this thesis for cross-scale modeling of seismic cycles can be used to study the effects of multiple seismic cycles on the long-term deformation of the upper plate. The technique can be also extended to the case of continental transform faults and for the advanced 3D modeling of specific subduction zones. This will require further development of numerical techniques and adaptation of the existing advanced highly scalable parallel codes like LAMEM and ASPECT.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Murawski2017, author = {Murawski, Aline}, title = {Trends in precipitation over Germany and the Rhine basin related to changes in weather patterns}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-412725}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {112}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Niederschlag als eine der wichtigsten meteorologischen Gr{\"o}ßen f{\"u}r Landwirtschaft, Wasserversorgung und menschliches Wohlbefinden hat schon immer erh{\"o}hte Aufmerksamkeit erfahren. Niederschlagsmangel kann verheerende Auswirkungen haben, wie z.B. Missernten und Wasserknappheit. {\"U}berm{\"a}ßige Niederschl{\"a}ge andererseits bergen jedoch ebenfalls Gefahren in Form von Hochwasser oder Sturzfluten und wiederum Missernten. Daher wurde viel Arbeit in die Detektion von Niederschlags{\"a}nderungen und deren zugrundeliegende Prozesse gesteckt. Insbesondere angesichts von Klimawandel und unter Ber{\"u}cksichtigung des Zusammenhangs zwischen Temperatur und atmosph{\"a}rischer Wasserhaltekapazit{\"a}t, ist großer Bedarf an Forschung zum Verst{\"a}ndnis der Auswirkungen von Klimawandel auf Niederschlags{\"a}nderungen gegeben. Die vorliegende Arbeit hat das Ziel, vergangene Ver{\"a}nderungen in Niederschlag und anderen meteorologischen Variablen zu verstehen. F{\"u}r verschiedene Zeitr{\"a}ume wurden Tendenzen gefunden und mit entsprechenden Ver{\"a}nderungen in der großskaligen atmosph{\"a}rischen Zirkulation in Zusammenhang gebracht. Die Ergebnisse dieser Arbeit k{\"o}nnen als Grundlage f{\"u}r die Attributierung von Hochwasserver{\"a}nderungen zu Klimawandel genutzt werden. Die Annahmen f{\"u}r die Maßstabsverkleinerung („Downscaling") der Daten von großskaligen Zirkulationsmodellen auf die lokale Skala wurden hier getestet und verifziert. In einem ersten Schritt wurden Niederschlagsver{\"a}nderungen in Deutschland analysiert. Dabei lag der Fokus nicht nur auf Niederschlagssummen, sondern auch auf Eigenschaften der statistischen Verteilung, {\"U}bergangswahrscheinlichkeiten als Maß f{\"u}r Trocken- und Niederschlagsperioden und Extremniederschlagsereignissen. Den r{\"a}umlichen Fokus auf das Rheineinzugsgebiet, das gr{\"o}ßte Flusseinzugsgebiet Deutschlands und einer der Hauptwasserwege Europas, verlagernd, wurden nachgewiesene Ver{\"a}nderungen in Niederschlag und anderen meteorologischen Gr{\"o}ßen in Bezug zu einer „optimierten" Wetterlagenklassifikation analysiert. Die Wetterlagenklassifikation wurde unter der Maßgabe entwickelt, die Varianz des lokalen Klimas bestm{\"o}glich zu erkl{\"a}ren. Die letzte hier behandelte Frage dreht sich darum, ob die beobachteten Ver{\"a}nderungen im lokalen Klima eher H{\"a}ufigkeits{\"a}nderungen der Wetterlagen zuzuordnen sind oder einer Ver{\"a}nderung der Wetterlagen selbst. Eine gebr{\"a}uchliche Annahme f{\"u}r einen Downscaling-Ansatz mit Hilfe von Wetterlagen und einem stochastischen Wettergenerator ist, dass Klimawandel sich allein durch eine Ver{\"a}nderung der H{\"a}ufigkeit von Wetterlagen ausdr{\"u}ckt, die Eigenschaften der Wetterlagen dabei jedoch konstant bleiben. Diese Annahme wurde {\"u}berpr{\"u}ft und die F{\"a}higkeit der neuesten Generation von Zirkulationsmodellen, diese Wetterlagen zu reproduzieren, getestet. Niederschlagsver{\"a}nderungen in Deutschland im Zeitraum 1951-2006 lassen sich zusammenfassen als negativ im Sommer und positiv in allen anderen Jahreszeiten. Verschiedene Niederschlagscharakteristika best{\"a}tigen die Tendenz in den Niederschlagssummen: w{\"a}hrend mittlere und extreme Niederschlagstageswerte im Winter zugenommen haben, sind auch zusammenh{\"a}ngende Niederschlagsperioden l{\"a}nger geworden (ausgedr{\"u}ckt als eine gestiegene Wahrscheinlichkeit f{\"u}r einen Tag mit Niederschlag gefolgt von einem weiteren nassen Tag). Im Sommer wurde das Gegenteil beobachtet: gesunkene Niederschlagssummen, untermauert von verringerten Mittel- und Extremwerten und l{\"a}ngeren Trockenperioden. Abseits dieser allgemeinen Zusammenfassung f{\"u}r das gesamte Gebiet Deutschlands, ist die r{\"a}umliche Verteilung von Niederschlagsver{\"a}nderungen deutlich heterogener. Vermehrter Niederschlag im Winter wurde haupts{\"a}chlich im Nordwesten und S{\"u}dosten Deutschlands beobachtet, w{\"a}hrend im Fr{\"u}hling die st{\"a}rksten Ver{\"a}nderungen im Westen und im Herbst im S{\"u}den aufgetreten sind. Das saisonale Bild wiederum l{\"o}st sich f{\"u}r die zugeh{\"o}rigen Monate auf, z.B. setzt sich der Anstieg im Herbstniederschlag aus deutlich vermehrtem Niederschlag im S{\"u}dwesten im Oktober und im S{\"u}dosten im November zusammen. Diese Ergebnisse betonen die starken r{\"a}umlichen Zusammenh{\"a}nge der Niederschlags{\"a}nderungen. Der n{\"a}chste Schritt hinsichtlich einer Zuordnung von Niederschlagsver{\"a}nderungen zu {\"A}nderungen in großskaligen Zirkulationsmustern, war die Ableitung einer Wetterlagenklassifikation, die die betrachteten lokalen Klimavariablen hinreichend stratifizieren kann. Fokussierend auf Temperatur, Globalstrahlung und Luftfeuchte zus{\"a}tzlich zu Niederschlag, wurde eine Klassifikation basierend auf Luftdruck, Temperatur und spezifischer Luftfeuchtigkeit als am besten geeignet erachtet, die Varianz der lokalen Variablen zu erkl{\"a}ren. Eine vergleichsweise hohe Anzahl von 40 Wetterlagen wurde ausgew{\"a}hlt, die es erlaubt, typische Druckmuster durch die zus{\"a}tzlich verwendete Temperaturinformation einzelnen Jahreszeiten zuzuordnen. W{\"a}hrend die F{\"a}higkeit, Varianz im Niederschlag zu erkl{\"a}ren, relativ gering ist, ist diese deutlich besser f{\"u}r Globalstrahlung und nat{\"u}rlich Temperatur. Die meisten der aktuellen Zirkulationsmodelle des CMIP5-Ensembles sind in der Lage, die Wetterlagen hinsichtlich H{\"a}ufigkeit, Saisonalit{\"a}t und Persistenz hinreichend gut zu reproduzieren. Schließlich wurden dieWetterlagen bez{\"u}glich Ver{\"a}nderungen in ihrer H{\"a}ufigkeit, Saisonalit{\"a}t und Persistenz, sowie der Wetterlagen-spezifischen Niederschl{\"a}ge und Temperatur, untersucht. Um Unsicherheiten durch die Wahl eines bestimmten Analysezeitraums auszuschließen, wurden alle m{\"o}glichen Zeitr{\"a}ume mit mindestens 31 Jahren im Zeitraum 1901-2010 untersucht. Dadurch konnte die Annahme eines konstanten Zusammenhangs zwischen Wetterlagen und lokalem Wetter gr{\"u}ndlich {\"u}berpr{\"u}ft werden. Es wurde herausgefunden, dass diese Annahme nur zum Teil haltbar ist. W{\"a}hrend Ver{\"a}nderungen in der Temperatur haupts{\"a}chlich auf Ver{\"a}nderungen in der Wetterlagenh{\"a}ufigkeit zur{\"u}ckzuf{\"u}hren sind, wurde f{\"u}r Niederschlag ein erheblicher Teil von Ver{\"a}nderungen innerhalb einzelner Wetterlagen gefunden. Das Ausmaß und sogar das Vorzeichen der Ver{\"a}nderungen h{\"a}ngt hochgradig vom untersuchten Zeitraum ab. Die H{\"a}ufigkeit einiger Wetterlagen steht in direkter Beziehung zur langfristigen Variabilit{\"a}t großskaliger Zirkulationsmuster. Niederschlagsver{\"a}nderungen variieren nicht nur r{\"a}umlich, sondern auch zeitlich - Aussagen {\"u}ber Tendenzen sind nur in Bezug zum jeweils untersuchten Zeitraum g{\"u}ltig. W{\"a}hrend ein Teil der Ver{\"a}nderungen auf {\"A}nderungen der großskaligen Zirkulation zur{\"u}ckzuf{\"u}hren ist, gibt es auch deutliche Ver{\"a}nderungen innerhalb einzelner Wetterlagen. Die Ergebnisse betonen die Notwendigkeit f{\"u}r einen sorgf{\"a}ltigen Nachweis von Ver{\"a}nderungen m{\"o}glichst verschiedene Zeitr{\"a}ume zu untersuchen und mahnen zur Vorsicht bei der Anwendung von Downscaling-Ans{\"a}tzen mit Hilfe von Wetterlagen, da diese die Auswirkungen von Klimaver{\"a}nderungen durch das Vernachl{\"a}ssigen von Wetterlagen-internen Ver{\"a}nderungen falsch einsch{\"a}tzen k{\"o}nnten.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{OseiTutu2017, author = {Osei Tutu, Anthony}, title = {Linking global mantle dynamics with lithosphere dynamics using the geoid, plate velocities and lithosphere stress state as constraints}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407057}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {108}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Lithospheric plates move over the low viscosity asthenosphere balancing several forces. The driving forces include basal shear stress exerted by mantle convection and plate boundary forces such as slab pull and ridge push, whereas the resisting forces include inter-plate friction, trench resistance, and cratonic root resistance. These generate plate motions, the lithospheric stress field and dynamic topography which are observed with different geophysical methods. The orientation and tectonic regime of the observed crustal/lithospheric stress field further contribute to our knowledge of different deformation processes occurring within the Earth's crust and lithosphere. Using numerical models previous studies were able to identify major forces generating stresses in the crust and lithosphere which also contribute to the formation of topography as well as driving lithospheric plates. They showed that the first-order stress pattern explaining about 80\,\\% of the stress field originates from a balance of forces acting at the base of the moving lithospheric plates due to convective flow in the underlying mantle. The remaining second-order stress pattern is due to lateral density variations in the crust and lithosphere in regions of pronounced topography and high gravitational potential, such as the Himalayas and mid-ocean ridges. By linking global lithosphere dynamics to deep mantle flow this study seeks to evaluate the influence of shallow and deep density heterogenities on plate motions, lithospheric stress field and dynamic topography using the geoid as a major constraint for mantle rheology. We use the global 3D lithosphere-asthenosphere model SLIM3D with visco-elasto-plastic rheology coupled at 300 km depth to a spectral model of mantle flow. The complexity of the lithosphere-asthenosphere component allows for the simulation of power-law rheology with creep parameters accounting for both diffusion and dislocation creep within the uppermost 300 km. First we investigate the influence of intra-plate friction and asthenospheric viscosity on present-day plate motions. Previous modelling studies have suggested that small friction coefficients (µ < 0.1, yield stress ~ 100 MPa) can lead to plate tectonics in models of mantle convection. Here we show that, in order to match present-day plate motions and net rotation, the frictional parameter must be less than 0.05. We are able to obtain a good fit with the magnitude and orientation of observed plate velocities (NUVEL-1A) in a no-net-rotation (NNR) reference frame with µ < 0.04 and minimum asthenosphere viscosity ~ 5*10e19 Pas to 10e20 Pas. Our estimates of net rotation (NR) of the lithosphere suggest that amplitudes ~ 0.1-0.2 °/Ma, similar to most observation-based estimates, can be obtained with asthenosphere viscosity cutoff values of ~ 10e19 Pas to 5*10e19 Pas and friction coefficient µ < 0.05. The second part of the study investigates further constraints on shallow and deep mantle heterogeneities causing plate motion by predicting lithosphere stress field and topography and validating with observations. Lithosphere stresses and dynamic topography are computed using the modelling setup and rheological parameters for prescribed plate motions. We validate our results with the World Stress Map 2016 (WSM2016) and the observed residual topography. Here we tested a number of upper mantle thermal-density structures. The one used to calculate plate motions is considered the reference thermal-density structure. This model is derived from a heat flow model combined with a sea floor age model. In addition we used three different thermal-density structures derived from global S-wave velocity models to show the influence of lateral density heterogeneities in the upper 300 km on model predictions. A large portion of the total dynamic force generating stresses in the crust/lithosphere has its origin in the deep mantle, while topography is largely influenced by shallow heterogeneities. For example, there is hardly any difference between the stress orientation patterns predicted with and without consideration of the heterogeneities in the upper mantle density structure across North America, Australia, and North Africa. However, the crust is dominant in areas of high altitude for the stress orientation compared to the all deep mantle contribution. This study explores the sensitivity of all the considered surface observables with regards to model parameters providing insights into the influence of the asthenosphere and plate boundary rheology on plate motion as we test various thermal-density structures to predict stresses and topography.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Otto2017, author = {Otto, Christopher}, title = {Numerical analysis of thermal, hydraulic and mechanical processes in the near- and far-field of underground coal gasification reactors}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404625}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {XII, 115}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Die Untertagevergasung von Kohle (UTV) erm{\"o}glicht die Erschließung konventionell nicht f{\"o}rderbarer Kohleressourcen und bietet dadurch Potenzial zur Erh{\"o}hung der weltweiten Kohlereserven. Bei der in-situ Kohleumwandlung entsteht ein hochkalorisches Synthesegas, das elektrifiziert oder zur Gewinnung chemischer Rohstoffe und synthetischer Kraftstoffe eingesetzt werden kann. Neben den wirtschaftlichen M{\"o}glichkeiten, bestehen jedoch auch standort-spezifische Umweltgef{\"a}hrdungspotentiale durch Subsidenz und Schadstoffmigration von UTV-R{\"u}ckst{\"a}nden in nutzbare Grundwasserleiter. Eine nachhaltige und effiziente UTV erfordert ein umfangreiches Verst{\"a}ndnis der thermisch, hydraulisch und mechanisch gekoppelten Prozesse im UTV-Reaktornahbereich. Aufgrund der hohen Investitionskosten von UTV-Pilotanlagen, sind numerische Simulationen gekoppelter Prozesse von entscheidender Bedeutung f{\"u}r die Bewertung m{\"o}glicher UTV-Umweltauswirkungen. Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wird die UTV-induzierte Permeabilit{\"a}tsver{\"a}nderung, Erzeugung m{\"o}glicher hydraulischer Kurzschl{\"u}sse benachbarter Reaktoren und Dynamik nicht-isothermer Multiphasenfl{\"u}sse mit gekoppelten Simulationen analysiert. Die Simulationsergebnisse zeigen, dass eine Implementierung temperaturabh{\"a}ngiger thermo-mechanischer Gesteinsparameter nur f{\"u}r Untersuchungen von Permeabilit{\"a}ts-{\"a}nderungen im Reaktornachbereich notwendig ist. Die Ergebnisse erlauben somit eine recheneffiziente Realisierung von komplexen thermo-mechanisch gekoppelten Simulations-studien regionalskaliger Modelle mit konstanten Gesteinsparametern, bei nahezu gleichbleibender Ergebnisgenauigkeit, die zur Bewertung von UTV-Umweltgef{\"a}hrdungs-potenzialen beitragen. Simulationen zur Ausbildung hydraulischer Kurzschl{\"u}sse zwischen einzelnen UTV-Reaktoren auf regionaler Skala, verdeutlichen die Relevanz von geologischen St{\"o}rungen an einem UTV-Standort, da diese durch Reaktivierung hydraulische Verbindungen induzieren und somit einen effizienten und nachhaltigen UTV-Betrieb negativ beeintr{\"a}chtigen k{\"o}nnen. In diesem Zusammenhang kommt der Ausbildung einer Wasserdampfphase, der sogenannte „steam jacket", im Hochtemperaturnahbereich von UTV-Reaktoren, als potenzielle Barriere zur Vermeidung von UTV-Schadstoffaustritten und zur potenziellen Minimierung von Energieverlusten eine entscheidende Bedeutung zu. Diese steam jackets entstehen durch evaporiertes Formationswasser und sind komplexe nicht-isotherme Multiphasenfluss-Ph{\"a}nomene. F{\"u}r ein verbessertes Prozessverst{\"a}ndnis dieser Multiphasenfl{\"u}sse, wurde ein neuartiges Modellkonzept entwickelt, welches, validiert gegen Feldversuchsdaten, erstmals sowohl eine Quantifizierung als auch Prognose von Wasserflussraten in und aus einem UTV-Reaktor erlaubt. Die Ergebnisse der vorgelegten Doktorarbeit bilden eine wichtige Grundlage f{\"u}r eine erfolgreiche Integration gekoppelter thermo-hydro-mechanischer Simulationen in weiterf{\"u}hrende Studien. Vor dem Hintergrund hoher UTV-Umweltgef{\"a}hrdungspotentiale, k{\"o}nnen diese zur verbesserten Bewertung und Minderung von UTV-Umweltauswirkungen beitragen, sowie die UTV-Effizienz nachhaltig optimieren.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Schmidt2017, author = {Schmidt, Katja}, title = {Assessing, testing, and implementing socio-cultural valuation methods to operationalise ecosystem services in land use management}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-411049}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {165}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Ecosystem services (ESs) are defined as the contributions that ecosystems make to human wellbeing and are increasingly being used as an approach to explore the importance of ecosystems for humans through their valuation. Although value plurality has been recognised long before the mainstreaming of ESs research, socio-cultural valuation is still underrepresented in ESs assessments. It is the central goal of this PhD dissertation to explore the ability of socio-cultural valuation methods for the operationalisation of ESs research in land management. To address this, I formulated three research objectives that are briefly outlined below and relate to the three studies conducted during this dissertation. The first objective relates to the assessment of the current role of socio-cultural valuation in ESs research. Human values are central to ESs research yet non-monetary socio-cultural valuation methods have been found underrepresented in the field of ESs science. In regard to the unbalanced consideration of value domains and conceptual uncertainties, I perform a systematic literature review aiming to answer the research question: To what extent have socio-cultural values been addressed in ESs assessments. The second objective aims to test socio-cultural valuation methods of ESs and their relevance for land use preferences by exploring their methodological opportunities and limitations. Socio-cultural valuation methods have only recently become a focus in ESs research and therefore bear various uncertainties in regard to their methodological implications. To overcome these uncertainties, I analysed responses to a visitor survey. The research questions related to the second objective were: What are the implications of different valuation methods for ESs values? To what extent are land use preferences explained by socio-cultural values of ESs? The third objective addressed in this dissertation is the implementation of ESs research into land management through socio-cultural valuation. Though it is emphasised that the ESs approach can assist decision making, there is little empirical evidence of the effect of ESs knowledge on land management. I proposed a way to implement transdisciplinary, spatially explicit research on ESs by answering the following research questions: Which landscape features underpinning ESs supply are considered in land management? How can participatory approaches accounting for ESs be operationalised in land management? The empirical research resulted in five main findings that provide answers to the research questions. First, this dissertation provides evidence that socio-cultural values are an integral part of ESs research. I found that they can be assessed for provisioning, regulating, and cultural services though they are linked to cultural services to a greater degree. Socio-cultural values have been assessed by monetary and non-monetary methods and their assessment is effectively facilitated by stakeholder participation. Second, I found that different methods of socio-cultural valuation revealed different information. Whereas rating revealed a general value of ESs, weighting was found more suitable to identify priorities across ESs. Value intentions likewise differed in the distribution of values, generally implying a higher value for others than for respondents themselves. Third, I showed that ESs values were distributed similarly across groups with differing land use preferences. Thus, I provided empirical evidence that ESs values and landscape values should not be used interchangeably. Fourth, I showed which landscape features important for ESs supply in a Scottish regional park are not sufficiently accounted for in the current management strategy. This knowledge is useful for the identification of priority sites for land management. Finally, I provide an approach to explore how ESs knowledge elicited by participatory mapping can be operationalised in land management. I demonstrate how stakeholder knowledge and values can be used for the identification of ESs hotspots and how these hotspots can be compared to current management priorities. This dissertation helps to bridge current gaps of ESs science by advancing the understanding of the current role of socio-cultural values in ESs research, testing different methods and their relevance for land use preferences, and implementing ESs knowledge into land management. If and to what extent ESs and their values are implemented into ecosystem management is mainly the choice of the management. An advanced understanding of socio-cultural valuation methods contributes to the normative basis of this management, while the proposal for the implementation of ESs in land management presents a practical approach of how to transfer this type of knowledge into practice. The proposed methods for socio-cultural valuation can support guiding land management towards a balanced consideration of ESs and conservation goals.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Schmidt2017, author = {Schmidt, Silke Regina}, title = {Analyzing lakes in the time frequency domain}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-406955}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {VIII, 126}, year = {2017}, abstract = {The central aim of this thesis is to demonstrate the benefits of innovative frequency-based methods to better explain the variability observed in lake ecosystems. Freshwater ecosystems may be the most threatened part of the hydrosphere. Lake ecosystems are particularly sensitive to changes in climate and land use because they integrate disturbances across their entire catchment. This makes understanding the dynamics of lake ecosystems an intriguing and important research priority. This thesis adds new findings to the baseline knowledge regarding variability in lake ecosystems. It provides a literature-based, data-driven and methodological framework for the investigation of variability and patterns in environmental parameters in the time frequency domain. Observational data often show considerable variability in the environmental parameters of lake ecosystems. This variability is mostly driven by a plethora of periodic and stochastic processes inside and outside the ecosystems. These run in parallel and may operate at vastly different time scales, ranging from seconds to decades. In measured data, all of these signals are superimposed, and dominant processes may obscure the signals of other processes, particularly when analyzing mean values over long time scales. Dominant signals are often caused by phenomena at long time scales like seasonal cycles, and most of these are well understood in the limnological literature. The variability injected by biological, chemical and physical processes operating at smaller time scales is less well understood. However, variability affects the state and health of lake ecosystems at all time scales. Besides measuring time series at sufficiently high temporal resolution, the investigation of the full spectrum of variability requires innovative methods of analysis. Analyzing observational data in the time frequency domain allows to identify variability at different time scales and facilitates their attribution to specific processes. The merit of this approach is subsequently demonstrated in three case studies. The first study uses a conceptual analysis to demonstrate the importance of time scales for the detection of ecosystem responses to climate change. These responses often occur during critical time windows in the year, may exhibit a time lag and can be driven by the exceedance of thresholds in their drivers. This can only be detected if the temporal resolution of the data is high enough. The second study applies Fast Fourier Transform spectral analysis to two decades of daily water temperature measurements to show how temporal and spatial scales of water temperature variability can serve as an indicator for mixing in a shallow, polymictic lake. The final study uses wavelet coherence as a diagnostic tool for limnology on a multivariate high-frequency data set recorded between the onset of ice cover and a cyanobacteria summer bloom in the year 2009 in a polymictic lake. Synchronicities among limnological and meteorological time series in narrow frequency bands were used to identify and disentangle prevailing limnological processes. Beyond the novel empirical findings reported in the three case studies, this thesis aims to more generally be of interest to researchers dealing with now increasingly available time series data at high temporal resolution. A set of innovative methods to attribute patterns to processes, their drivers and constraints is provided to help make more efficient use of this kind of data.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Siddiqui2017, author = {Siddiqui, Tarique Adnan}, title = {Long-term investigation of the lunar tide in the equatorial electrojet during stratospheric sudden warmings}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-406384}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xvii, 116}, year = {2017}, abstract = {The ionosphere, which is strongly influenced by the Sun, is known to be also affected by meteorological processes. These processes, despite having their origin in the troposphere and stratosphere, interact with the upper atmosphere. Such an interaction between atmospheric layers is known as vertical coupling. During geomagnetically quiet times, when near-Earth space is not under the influence of solar storms, these processes become important drivers for ionospheric variability. Studying the link between these processes in the lower atmosphere and the ionospheric variability is important for our understanding of fundamental mechanisms in ionospheric and meteorological research. A prominent example of vertical coupling between the stratosphere and the ionosphere are the so-called stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) events that occur usually during northern winters and result in an increase in the polar stratospheric temperature and a reversal of the circumpolar winds. While the phenomenon of SSW is confined to the northern polar stratosphere, its influence on the ionosphere can be observed even at equatorial latitudes. During SSW events, the connection between the polar stratosphere and the equatorial ionosphere is believed to be through the modulation of global atmospheric tides. These tides are fundamental for the ionospheric E-region wind dynamo that generates electric fields and currents in the ionosphere. Observations of ionospheric currents indicate a large enhancement of the semidiurnal lunar tide in response to SSW events. Thus, the semidiurnal lunar tide becomes an important driver of ionospheric variability during SSW events. In this thesis, the ionospheric effect of SSW events is investigated in the equatorial region, where a narrow but an intense E-region current known as the equatorial electrojet (EEJ) flows above the dip equator during the daytime. The day-to-day variability of the EEJ can be determined from magnetic field records at geomagnetic observatories close to the dip equator. Such magnetic data are available for several decades and allows to investigate the impact of SSW events on the EEJ and, even more importantly, helps in understanding the effects of SSW events on the equatorial ionosphere. An excellent long-term record of the geomagnetic field at the equator from 1922 onwards is available for the observatory Huancayo in Peru and is extensively utilized in this study. The central subject of this thesis is the investigation of lunar tides in the EEJ during SSW events by analyzing long time series. This is done by estimating the lunar tidal amplitude in the EEJ from the magnetic records at Huancayo and by comparing them to measurements of the polar stratospheric wind and temperature, which led to the identification of the known SSW events from 1952 onwards. One goal of this thesis is to identify SSW events that predate 1952. To this end, superposed epoch analysis (SEA) is employed to establish a relationship between the lunar tidal power and the wind and temperature conditions in the lower atmosphere. A threshold value for the lunar tidal power is identified that is discriminative for the known SSW events. This threshold is then used to identify lunar tidal enhancements, which are indicative for any historic SSW events prior to 1952. It can be shown, that the number of lunar tidal enhancements and thus the occurrence frequency of historic SSW events between 1926 and 1952 is similar to the occurrence frequency of the known SSW events from 1952 onwards. Next to the classic SSW definition, the concept of polar vortex weakening (PVW) is utilized in this thesis. PVW is defined for higher latitudes and altitudes (≈ 40km) than the classical SSW definition (≈ 32km). The correlation between the timing and magnitude of lunar tidal enhancements in the EEJ and the timing and magnitude of PVW is found to be better than for the classic SSW definition. This suggests that the lunar tidal enhancements in the EEJ are closely linked to the state of the middle atmosphere. Geomagnetic observatories located in different longitudes at the dip equator allow investigating the longitudinally dependent variability of the EEJ during SSW events. For this purpose, the lunar tidal enhancements in the EEJ are determined for the Peruvian and Indian sectors during the major SSW events of the years 2006 and 2009. It is found that the lunar tidal amplitude shows similar enhancements in the Peruvian sector during both SSW events, while the enhancements are notably different for the two events in the Indian sector. In summary, this thesis shows that lunar tidal enhancements in the EEJ are indeed correlated to the occurrence of SSW events and they should be considered a prominent driver of low latitude ionospheric variability. Secondly, lunar tidal enhancements are found to be longitudinally variable. This suggests that regional effects, such as ionospheric conductivity and the geometry and strength of the geomagnetic field, also play an important role and have to be considered when investigating the mechanisms behind vertical coupling.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Theuring2017, author = {Theuring, Philipp Christian}, title = {Suspended sediments in the Kharaa River, sources and impacts}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-410550}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {135}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Anthropogenically amplified erosion leads to increased fine-grained sediment input into the fluvial system in the 15.000 km2 Kharaa River catchment in northern Mongolia and constitutes a major stressing factor for the aquatic ecosystem. This study uniquely combines the application of intensive monitoring, source fingerprinting and catchment modelling techniques to allow for the comparison of the credibility and accuracy of each single method. High-resolution discharge data were used in combination with daily suspended solid measurements to calculate the suspended sediment budget and compare it with estimations of the sediment budget model SedNet. The comparison of both techniques showed that the development of an overall sediment budget with SedNet was possible, yielding results in the same order of magnitude (20.3 kt a- 1 and 16.2 kt a- 1). Radionuclide sediment tracing, using Be-7, Cs-137 and Pb-210 was applied to differentiate sediment sources for particles < 10μm from hillslope and riverbank erosion and showed that riverbank erosion generates 74.5\% of the suspended sediment load, whereas surface erosion contributes 21.7\% and gully erosion only 3.8\%. The contribution of the single subcatchments of the Kharaa to the suspended sediment load was assessed based on their variation in geochemical composition (e.g. in Ti, Sn, Mo, Mn, As, Sr, B, U, Ca and Sb). These variations were used for sediment source discrimination with geochemical composite fingerprints based on Genetic Algorithm driven Discriminant Function Analysis, the Kruskal-Wallis H-test and Principal Component Analysis. The contributions of the individual sub-catchment varied from 6.4\% to 36.2\%, generally showing higher contributions from the sub-catchments in the middle, rather than the upstream portions of the study area. The results indicate that river bank erosion generated by existing grazing practices of livestock is the main cause for elevated fine sediment input. Actions towards the protection of the headwaters and the stabilization of the river banks within the middle reaches were identified as the highest priority. Deforestation and by lodging and forest fires should be prevented to avoid increased hillslope erosion in the mountainous areas. Mining activities are of minor importance for the overall catchment sediment load but can constitute locally important point sources for particular heavy metals in the fluvial system.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Weege2017, author = {Weege, Stefanie}, title = {Climatic drivers of retrogressive thaw slump activity and resulting sediment and carbon release to the nearshore zone of Herschel Island, Yukon Territory, Canada}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-397947}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {163}, year = {2017}, abstract = {The Yukon Coast in Canada is an ice-rich permafrost coast and highly sensitive to changing environmental conditions. Retrogressive thaw slumps are a common thermoerosion feature along this coast, and develop through the thawing of exposed ice-rich permafrost on slopes and removal of accumulating debris. They contribute large amounts of sediment, including organic carbon and nitrogen, to the nearshore zone. The objective of this study was to 1) identify the climatic and geomorphological drivers of sediment-meltwater release, 2) quantify the amount of released meltwater, sediment, organic carbon and nitrogen, and 3) project the evolution of sediment-meltwater release of retrogressive thaw slumps in a changing future climate. The analysis is based on data collected over 18 days in July 2013 and 18 days in August 2012. A cut-throat flume was set up in the main sediment-meltwater channel of the largest retrogressive thaw slump on Herschel Island. In addition, two weather stations, one on top of the undisturbed tundra and one on the slump floor, measured incoming solar radiation, air temperature, wind speed and precipitation. The discharge volume eroding from the ice-rich permafrost and retreating snowbanks was measured and compared to the meteorological data collected in real time with a resolution of one minute. The results show that the release of sediment-meltwater from thawing of the ice-rich permafrost headwall is strongly related to snowmelt, incoming solar radiation and air temperature. Snowmelt led to seasonal differences, especially due to the additional contribution of water to the eroding sediment-meltwater from headwall ablation, lead to dilution of the sediment-meltwater composition. Incoming solar radiation and air temperature were the main drivers for diurnal and inter-diurnal fluctuations. In July (2013), the retrogressive thaw slump released about 25 000 m³ of sediment-meltwater, containing 225 kg dissolved organic carbon and 2050 t of sediment, which in turn included 33 t organic carbon, and 4 t total nitrogen. In August (2012), just 15 600 m³ of sediment-meltwater was released, since there was no additional contribution from snowmelt. However, even without the additional dilution, 281 kg dissolved organic carbon was released. The sediment concentration was twice as high as in July, with sediment contents of up to 457 g l-1 and 3058 t of sediment, including 53 t organic carbon and 5 t nitrogen, being released. In addition, the data from the 36 days of observations from Slump D were upscaled to cover the main summer season of 1 July to 31 August (62 days) and to include all 229 active retrogressive thaw slumps along the Yukon Coast. In total, all retrogressive thaw slumps along the Yukon Coast contribute a minimum of 1.4 Mio. m³ sediment-meltwater each thawing season, containing a minimum of 172 000 t sediment with 3119 t organic carbon, 327 t nitrogen and 17 t dissolved organic carbon. Therefore, in addition to the coastal erosion input to the Beaufort Sea, retrogressive thaw slumps additionally release 3 \% of sediment and 8 \% of organic carbon into the ocean. Finally, the future evolution of retrogressive thaw slumps under a warming scenario with summer air temperatures increasing by 2-3 °C by 2081-2100, would lead to an increase of 109-114\% in release of sediment-meltwater. It can be concluded that retrogressive thaw slumps are sensitive to climatic conditions and under projected future Arctic warming will contribute larger amounts of thawed permafrost material (including organic carbon and nitrogen) into the environment.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Wolf2017, author = {Wolf, Julia}, title = {Schadenserkennung in Beton durch {\"U}berwachung mit eingebetteten Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-397363}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {ix, 142}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Die zerst{\"o}rungsfreien Pr{\"u}fungen von Bauwerken mit Hilfe von Ultraschallmessverfahren haben in den letzten Jahren an Bedeutung gewonnen. Durch Ultraschallmessungen k{\"o}nnen die Geometrien von Bauteilen bestimmt sowie von außen nicht sichtbare Fehler wie Delaminationen und Kiesnester erkannt werden. Mit neuartigen, in das Betonbauteil eingebetteten Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen sollen nun Bauwerke dauerhaft auf Ver{\"a}nderungen {\"u}berpr{\"u}ft werden. Dazu werden Ultraschallsignale direkt im Inneren eines Bauteils erzeugt, was die M{\"o}glichkeiten der herk{\"o}mmlichen Methoden der Bauwerks{\"u}berwachung wesentlich erweitert. Ein Ultraschallverfahren k{\"o}nnte mit eingebetteten Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen ein Betonbauteil kontinuierlich integral {\"u}berwachen und damit auch stetig fortschreitende Gef{\"u}ge{\"a}nderungen, wie beispielsweise Mikrorisse, registrieren. Sicherheitsrelevante Bauteile, die nach dem Einbau f{\"u}r Messungen unzug{\"a}nglich oder mittels Ultraschall, beispielsweise durch zus{\"a}tzliche Beschichtungen der Oberfl{\"a}che, nicht pr{\"u}fbar sind, lassen sich mit eingebetteten Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen {\"u}berwachen. An bereits vorhandenen Bauwerken k{\"o}nnen die Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe mithilfe von Bohrl{\"o}chern und speziellem Verpressm{\"o}rtel auch nachtr{\"a}glich in das Bauteil integriert werden. F{\"u}r Fertigbauteile bieten sich eingebettete Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe zur Herstellungskontrolle sowie zur {\"U}berwachung der Baudurchf{\"u}hrung als Werkzeug der Qualit{\"a}tssicherung an. Auch die schnelle Schadensanalyse eines Bauwerks nach Naturkatastrophen, wie beispielsweise einem Erdbeben oder einer Flut, ist denkbar. Durch die gute Ankopplung erm{\"o}glichen diese neuartigen Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe den Einsatz von empfindlichen Auswertungsmethoden, wie die Kreuzkorrelation, die Coda-Wellen-Interferometrie oder die Amplitudenauswertung, f{\"u}r die Signalanalyse. Bei regelm{\"a}ßigen Messungen k{\"o}nnen somit sich anbahnende Sch{\"a}den eines Bauwerks fr{\"u}hzeitig erkannt werden. Da die Sch{\"a}digung eines Bauwerks keine direkt messbare Gr{\"o}ße darstellt, erfordert eine eindeutige Schadenserkennung in der Regel die Messung mehrerer physikalischer Gr{\"o}ßen die geeignet verkn{\"u}pft werden. Physikalische Gr{\"o}ßen k{\"o}nnen sein: Ultraschalllaufzeit, Amplitude des Ultraschallsignals und Umgebungstemperatur. Dazu m{\"u}ssen Korrelationen zwischen dem Zustand des Bauwerks, den Umgebungsbedingungen und den Parametern des gemessenen Ultraschallsignals untersucht werden. In dieser Arbeit werden die neuartigen Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe vorgestellt. Es wird beschrieben, dass sie sich, sowohl in bereits errichtete Betonbauwerke als auch in der Konstruktion befindliche, einbauen lassen. Experimentell wird gezeigt, dass die Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe in mehreren Ebenen eingebettet sein k{\"o}nnen da ihre Abstrahlcharakteristik im Beton nahezu ungerichtet ist. Die Mittenfrequenz von rund 62 kHz erm{\"o}glicht Abst{\"a}nde, je nach Betonart und SRV, von mindestens 3 m zwischen Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen die als Sender und Empf{\"a}nger arbeiten. Die Empfindlichkeit der eingebetteten Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe gegen{\"u}ber Ver{\"a}nderungen im Beton wird an Hand von zwei Laborexperimenten gezeigt, einem Drei-Punkt-Biegeversuch und einem Versuch zur Erzeugung von Frost-Tau-Wechsel Sch{\"a}den. Die Ergebnisse werden mit anderen zerst{\"o}rungsfreien Pr{\"u}fverfahren verglichen. Es zeigt sich, dass die Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe durch die Anwendung empfindlicher Auswertemethoden, auftretende Risse im Beton detektieren, bevor diese eine Gefahr f{\"u}r das Bauwerk darstellen. Abschließend werden Beispiele von Installation der neuartigen Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe in realen Bauteilen, zwei Br{\"u}cken und einem Fundament, gezeigt und basierend auf dort gewonnenen ersten Erfahrungen ein Konzept f{\"u}r die Umsetzung einer Langzeit{\"u}berwachung aufgestellt.}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Zhou2017, author = {Zhou, Bin}, title = {On the assessment of surface urban heat island}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404383}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {xiii, 119}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Inwiefern St{\"a}dte unter den Megatrends der Urbanisierung und des Klimawandels nachhaltig gestaltet werden k{\"o}nnen, bleibt umstritten. Dies ist zum Teil auf unzureichende Kenntnisse der Mensch-Umwelt-Interaktionen zur{\"u}ckzuf{\"u}hren. Als die am vollst{\"a}ndigsten dokumentierte anthropogene Klimamodifikation ruft der Urbane Hitzeinsel (UHI) Effekt weltweit Sorgen hinsichtlich der Gesundheit der Bev{\"o}lkerung hervor. Dazu kommt noch ein immer h{\"a}ufigeres und intensiveres Auftreten von Hitzewellen, wodurch das Wohlbefinden der Stadtbewohner weiter beeintr{\"a}chtigt wird. Trotz eines deutlichen Anstiegs der Zahl der UHI-bezogenen Ver{\"o}ffentlichungen in den letzten Jahrzehnten haben die unterschiedlichen Definitionen von st{\"a}dtischen und l{\"a}ndlichen Gebieten in bisherigen Studien die allgemeine Vergleichbarkeit der Resultate stark erschwert. Dar{\"u}ber hinaus haben nur wenige Studien den UHI-Effekt und seine Einflussfaktoren anhand einer Kombination der Landnutzungsdaten und der thermischen Fernerkundung systematisch untersucht. Diese Arbeit stellt einen allgemeinen Rahmen zur Quantifizierung von UHI-Intensit{\"a}ten mittels eines automatisierten Algorithmus vor, wobei St{\"a}dte als Agglomerationen maximal r{\"a}umlicher Kontinuit{\"a}t basierend auf Landnutzungsdaten identifiziert, sowie deren l{\"a}ndliche Umfelder analog definiert werden. Durch Verkn{\"u}pfung der Landnutzungsdaten mit Landoberfl{\"a}chentemperaturen von Satelliten kann die UHI-Intensit{\"a}t robust und konsistent berechnet werden. Anhand dieser Innovation wurde nicht nur der Zusammenhang zwischen Stadtgr{\"o}ße und UHI-Intensit{\"a}t erneut untersucht, sondern auch die Auswirkungen der Stadtform auf die UHI-Intensit{\"a}t quantifiziert. Diese Arbeit leistet vielf{\"a}ltige Beitr{\"a}ge zum tieferen Verst{\"a}ndnis des UHI-Ph{\"a}nomens. Erstens wurde eine log-lineare Beziehung zwischen UHI-Intensit{\"a}t und Stadtgr{\"o}ße unter Ber{\"u}cksichtigung der 5,000 europ{\"a}ischen St{\"a}dte best{\"a}tigt. Werden kleinere St{\"a}dte auch ber{\"u}cksichtigt, ergibt sich eine log-logistische Beziehung. Zweitens besteht ein komplexes Zusammenspiel zwischen der Stadtform und der UHI-Intensit{\"a}t: die Stadtgr{\"o}ße stellt den st{\"a}rksten Einfluss auf die UHI-Intensit{\"a}t dar, gefolgt von der fraktalen Dimension und der Anisometrie. Allerdings zeigen ihre relativen Beitr{\"a}ge zur UHI-Intensit{\"a}t eine regionale Heterogenit{\"a}t, welche die Bedeutung r{\"a}umlicher Muster w{\"a}hrend der Umsetzung von UHI-Anpassungsmaßnahmen hervorhebt. Des Weiteren ergibt sich eine neue Saisonalit{\"a}t der UHI-Intensit{\"a}t f{\"u}r individuelle St{\"a}dte in Form von Hysteresekurven, die eine Phasenverschiebung zwischen den Zeitreihen der UHI-Intensit{\"a}t und der Hintergrundtemperatur andeutet. Diese Saisonalit{\"a}t wurde anhand von Luft- und Landoberfl{\"a}chentemperaturen untersucht, indem die Satellitenbeobachtung und die Modellierung der urbanen Grenzschicht mittels des UrbClim-Modells kombiniert wurden. Am Beispiel von London ist die Diskrepanz der Saisonalit{\"a}ten zwischen den beiden Temperaturen vor allem auf die mit der einfallenden Sonnenstrahlung verbundene Besonderheit der Landoberfl{\"a}chentemperatur zur{\"u}ckzuf{\"u}hren. Dar{\"u}ber hinaus spielt das regionale Klima eine wichtige Rolle bei der Entwicklung der UHI. Diese Arbeit ist eine der ersten Studien dieser Art, die eine systematische und statistische Untersuchung des UHI-Effektes erm{\"o}glicht. Die Ergebnisse sind von besonderer Bedeutung f{\"u}r die allgemeine r{\"a}umliche Planung und Regulierung auf Meso- und Makroebenen, damit sich Vorteile der rapiden Urbanisierung nutzbar machen und zeitgleich die folgende Hitzebelastung proaktiv vermindern lassen.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Ziegler2017, author = {Ziegler, Moritz O.}, title = {The 3D in-situ stress field and its changes in geothermal reservoirs}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-403838}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {VIII, 110, XV}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Information on the contemporary in-situ stress state of the earth's crust is essential for geotechnical applications and physics-based seismic hazard assessment. Yet, stress data records for a data point are incomplete and their availability is usually not dense enough to allow conclusive statements. This demands a thorough examination of the in-situ stress field which is achieved by 3D geomechanicalnumerical models. However, the models spatial resolution is limited and the resulting local stress state is subject to large uncertainties that confine the significance of the findings. In addition, temporal variations of the in-situ stress field are naturally or anthropogenically induced. In my thesis I address these challenges in three manuscripts that investigate (1) the current crustal stress field orientation, (2) the 3D geomechanical-numerical modelling of the in-situ stress state, and (3) the phenomenon of injection induced temporal stress tensor rotations. In the first manuscript I present the first comprehensive stress data compilation of Iceland with 495 data records. Therefore, I analysed image logs from 57 boreholes in Iceland for indicators of the orientation of the maximum horizontal stress component. The study is the first stress survey from different kinds of stress indicators in a geologically very young and tectonically active area of an onshore spreading ridge. It reveals a distinct stress field with a depth independent stress orientation even very close to the spreading centre. In the second manuscript I present a calibrated 3D geomechanical-numerical modelling approach of the in-situ stress state of the Bavarian Molasse Basin that investigates the regional (70x70x10km³) and local (10x10x10km³) stress state. To link these two models I develop a multi-stage modelling approach that provides a reliable and efficient method to derive from the larger scale model initial and boundary conditions for the smaller scale model. Furthermore, I quantify the uncertainties in the models results which are inherent to geomechanical-numerical modelling in general and the multi-stage approach in particular. I show that the significance of the models results is mainly reduced due to the uncertainties in the material properties and the low number of available stress magnitude data records for calibration. In the third manuscript I investigate the phenomenon of injection induced temporal stress tensor rotation and its controlling factors. I conduct a sensitivity study with a 3D generic thermo-hydro-mechanical model. I show that the key control factors for the stress tensor rotation are the permeability as the decisive factor, the injection rate, and the initial differential stress. In particular for enhanced geothermal systems with a low permeability large rotations of the stress tensor are indicated. According to these findings the estimation of the initial differential stress in a reservoir is possible provided the permeability is known and the angle of stress rotation is observed. I propose that the stress tensor rotations can be a key factor in terms of the potential for induced seismicity on pre-existing faults due to the reorientation of the stress field that changes the optimal orientation of faults.}, language = {en} }