@article{SrinivasanSenthilkumarMuralietal.2011, author = {Srinivasan, K. and Senthilkumar, Dharmapuri Vijayan and Murali, K. and Lakshmanan, Muthusamy and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synchronization transitions in coupled time-delay electronic circuits with a threshold nonlinearity}, series = {Chaos : an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science}, volume = {21}, journal = {Chaos : an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science}, number = {2}, publisher = {American Institute of Physics}, address = {Melville}, issn = {1054-1500}, doi = {10.1063/1.3591791}, pages = {11}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Experimental observations of typical kinds of synchronization transitions are reported in unidirectionally coupled time-delay electronic circuits with a threshold nonlinearity and two time delays, namely feedback delay tau(1) and coupling delay tau(2). We have observed transitions from anticipatory to lag via complete synchronization and their inverse counterparts with excitatory and inhibitory couplings, respectively, as a function of the coupling delay tau(2). The anticipating and lag times depend on the difference between the feedback and the coupling delays. A single stability condition for all the different types of synchronization is found to be valid as the stability condition is independent of both the delays. Further, the existence of different kinds of synchronizations observed experimentally is corroborated by numerical simulations and from the changes in the Lyapunov exponents of the coupled time-delay systems.}, language = {en} } @article{OsipovIvanchenkoKurthsetal.2005, author = {Osipov, Grigory V. and Ivanchenko, Mikhail V. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Hu, B.}, title = {Synchronized chaotic intermittent and spiking behavior in coupled map chains}, issn = {1539-3755}, year = {2005}, abstract = {We study phase synchronization effects in a chain of nonidentical chaotic oscillators with a type-I intermittent behavior. Two types of parameter distribution, linear and random, are considered. The typical phenomena are the onset and existence of global (all-to-all) and cluster (partial) synchronization with increase of coupling. Increase of coupling strength can also lead to desynchronization phenomena, i.e., global or cluster synchronization is changed into a regime where synchronization is intermittent with incoherent states. Then a regime of a fully incoherent nonsynchronous state (spatiotemporal intermittency) appears. Synchronization-desynchronization transitions with increase of coupling are also demonstrated for a system resembling an intermittent one: a chain of coupled maps replicating the spiking behavior of neurobiological networks}, language = {en} } @article{KitajimaKurths2005, author = {Kitajima, H. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synchronized firing of FitzHugh-Nagumo neurons by noise}, issn = {1054-1500}, year = {2005}, abstract = {We investigate the influence of noise on synchronization between the spiking activities of neurons with external impulsive forces. We first analyze the dependence of the synchronized firing on the amplitude and the angular frequency of the impulsive force in the noise-free system. Three cases (regular spiking, traveling wave, and chaotic spiking) with low synchronized firing are chosen to study effects due to noise. In each case we find that small noise can be a promoter of synchronization phenomena in neural activities, by choosing an appropriate noise intensity acting on some of the neurons. (C) 2005 American Institute of Physics}, language = {en} } @article{KoseskaVolkovKurths2011, author = {Koseska, Aneta and Volkov, Evgenii and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Synthetic multicellular oscillatory systems controlling protein dynamics with genetic circuits}, series = {Physica scripta : an international journal for experimental and theoretical physics}, volume = {84}, journal = {Physica scripta : an international journal for experimental and theoretical physics}, number = {4}, publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {0031-8949}, doi = {10.1088/0031-8949/84/04/045007}, pages = {10}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Synthetic biology is a relatively new research discipline that combines standard biology approaches with the constructive nature of engineering. Thus, recent efforts in the field of synthetic biology have given a perspective to consider cells as 'programmable matter'. Here, we address the possibility of using synthetic circuits to control protein dynamics. In particular, we show how intercellular communication and stochasticity can be used to manipulate the dynamical behavior of a population of coupled synthetic units and, in this manner, finely tune the expression of specific proteins of interest, e.g. in large bioreactors.}, language = {en} } @article{ScheffczykKrampeEngbertetal.1997, author = {Scheffczyk, Christian and Krampe, Ralf-Thomas and Engbert, Ralf and Rosenblum, Michael and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kliegl, Reinhold}, title = {Tempo-induced transitions in polyrhythmic hand movements}, year = {1997}, abstract = {We investigate the cognitive control in polyrhythmic hand movements as a model paradigm for bimanual coordination. Using a symbolic coding of the recorded time series, we demonstrate the existence of qualitative transitions induced by experimental manipulation of the tempo. A nonlinear model with delayed feedback control is proposed, which accounts for these dynamical transitions in terms of bifurcations resulting from variation of the external control parameter. Furthermore, it is shown that transitions can also be observed due to fluctuations in the timing control level. We conclude that the complexity of coordinated bimanual movements results from interactions between nonlinear control mechanisms with delayed feedback and stochastic timing components.}, language = {en} } @article{VossKurths1998, author = {Voss, Henning U. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Test for nonlinear dynamical behavior in symbol sequences}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{RiedlvanLeeuwenSuhrbieretal.2009, author = {Riedl, Maik and van Leeuwen, Peter Jan and Suhrbier, Alexander and Malberg, Hagen and Groenemeyer, Dietrich and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Wessel, Niels}, title = {Testing foetal-maternal heart rate synchronization via model-based analyses}, issn = {1364-503X}, doi = {10.1098/rsta.2008.0277}, year = {2009}, abstract = {The investigation of foetal reaction to internal and external conditions and stimuli is an important tool in the characterization of the developing neural integration of the foetus. An interesting example of this is the study of the interrelationship between the foetal and the maternal heart rate. Recent studies have shown a certain likelihood of occasional heart rate synchronization between mother and foetus. In the case of respiratory-induced heart rate changes, the comparison with maternal surrogates suggests that the evidence for detected synchronization is largely statistical and does not result from physiological interaction. Rather, they simply reflect a stochastic, temporary stability of two independent oscillators with time-variant frequencies. We reanalysed three datasets from that study for a more local consideration. Epochs of assumed synchronization associated with short-term regulation of the foetal heart rate were selected and compared with synchronization resulting from white noise instead of the foetal signal. Using data-driven modelling analysis, it was possible to identify the consistent influence of the heartbeat duration of maternal beats preceding the foetal beats during epochs of synchronization. These maternal beats occurred approximately one maternal respiratory cycle prior to the affected foetal beat. A similar effect could not be found in the epochs without synchronization. Simulations based on the fitted models led to a higher likelihood of synchronization in the data segments with assumed foetal-maternal interaction than in the segment without such assumed interaction. We conclude that the data-driven model-based analysis can be a useful tool for the identification of synchronization.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsSchwarzParlitzetal.1994, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Parlitz, Ulrich and Sonett, Charles P.}, title = {Testing for nonlinearity in radiocarbon data}, issn = {1023-5809}, year = {1994}, abstract = {The radiocarbon record that has been extended from 7199 BC to 1891 AD is of fundamental importance to understand century-scale variations of solar activity. We have, therefore, studied how to extract information from dynamic reconstructions of this observational record. Using some rather unusual methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have found that the data are significantly different from linear colored noise and that there is some evidence of nonlinear behavior. The method of recurrence plots exhibits that the grand minima of solar activity are quite different in their recurrence. Most remarkably, it suggests that the recent epoch seems to be similar to the Medieval maximum.}, language = {en} } @article{AllefeldKurths2004, author = {Allefeld, Carsten and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Testing for phase synchronization}, issn = {0218-1274}, year = {2004}, abstract = {We present different tests for phase synchronization which improve the procedures currently used in the literature. This is accomplished by using a two-sample test setup and by utilizing insights and methods from directional statistics and bootstrap theory. The tests differ in the generality of the situation in which they can be applied as well as in their complexity, including computational cost. A modification of the resampling technique of the bootstrap is introduced, making it possible to fully utilize data from time series}, language = {en} } @article{EngbertHainzlZoelleretal.1998, author = {Engbert, Ralf and Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Testing for unstable periodic orbits to characterize spatiotemporal dynamics}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{WittKurthsPikovskij1998, author = {Witt, Annette and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Pikovskij, Arkadij}, title = {Testing stationarity in time series}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{ZiehmannSmithKurths1999, author = {Ziehmann, Christine and Smith, L. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {The bootstrap and lyapunov exponents in deterministic chaos}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @book{FeudelKurthsNeiman1995, author = {Feudel, Ulrike and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Neiman, Alexander}, title = {The cumulant approach for investigating the noise influence on mode-locking bifurcations}, series = {Preprint NLD}, volume = {16}, journal = {Preprint NLD}, publisher = {Univ.}, address = {Potsdam}, pages = {20 S.}, year = {1995}, language = {en} } @article{FlorenceDahlemAlmeidaetal.2009, author = {Florence, Gerson and Dahlem, Markus A. and Almeida, Ant{\^o}nio-Carlos G. and Bassani, Jos{\´e} W. M. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {The role of extracellular potassium dynamics in the different stages of ictal bursting and spreading depression : a computational study}, issn = {0022-5193}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.01.032}, year = {2009}, abstract = {Experimental evidences point Out the participation of nonsynaptic mechanisms (e.g., fluctuations in extracellular tons) in epileptiform bursting and spreading depression (SD). During these abnormal oscillatory patterns, it is observed an increase of extracellular potassium concentration [K+](o) and a decrease of extracellular calcium concentration [Ca2+](o) which raises the neuronal excitability. However, whether the high [K+](o) triggers and propagates these abnormal neuronal activities or plays a secondary role into this process is unclear. To better understand the influence of extracellular potassium dynamics in these oscillatory patterns, the experimental conditions of high [K+](o) and zero [Ca2+](o) were replicated in an extended Golomb model where we added important regulatory mechanisms of ion concentration as Na+-K+ pump, ion diffusion and glial buffering. Within these Conditions, simulations of the cell model exhibit seizure-like discharges (ictal bursting). The SD was elicited by the interruption of the Na+- K+ pump activity, mimicking the effect of cellular hypoxia (an experimental protocol to elicit SD, the hypoxia-induced SD). We used the bifurcation theory and the fast-slow method to analyze the interference of K+ dynamics in the cellular excitability. This analysis indicates that the system loses its stability at a high [K+](o), transiting to an elevated state of neuronal excitability. Effects of high [K+](o), are observed in different stages of ictal bursting and SD. In the initial stage, the increase of [K+](o) creates favorable conditions to trigger both oscillatory patterns. During the neuronal activity, a continuous growth of [K+](o) by outward K+ flow depresses K+ Currents in a positive feedback way. At the last stage, due to the depression of K+ currents, the Na+-K+ pump is the main mechanism in the end of neuronal activity. Thus, this work suggests that [K+](o) dynamics may play a fundamental role in these abnormal oscillatory patterns.}, language = {en} } @article{TraxlBoersRheinwaltetal.2016, author = {Traxl, Dominik and Boers, Niklas and Rheinwalt, Aljoscha and Goswami, Bedartha and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {The size distribution of spatiotemporal extreme rainfall clusters around the globe}, series = {Geophysical research letters}, volume = {43}, journal = {Geophysical research letters}, publisher = {American Geophysical Union}, address = {Washington}, issn = {0094-8276}, doi = {10.1002/2016GL070692}, pages = {9939 -- 9947}, year = {2016}, abstract = {The scaling behavior of rainfall has been extensively studied both in terms of event magnitudes and in terms of spatial extents of the events. Different heavy-tailed distributions have been proposed as candidates for both instances, but statistically rigorous treatments are rare. Here we combine the domains of event magnitudes and event area sizes by a spatiotemporal integration of 3-hourly rain rates corresponding to extreme events derived from the quasi-global high-resolution rainfall product Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42. A maximum likelihood evaluation reveals that the distribution of spatiotemporally integrated extreme rainfall cluster sizes over the oceans is best described by a truncated power law, calling into question previous statements about scale-free distributions. The observed subpower law behavior of the distribution's tail is evaluated with a simple generative model, which indicates that the exponential truncation of an otherwise scale-free spatiotemporal cluster size distribution over the oceans could be explained by the existence of land masses on the globe.}, language = {en} } @article{PalusKurthsSchwarzetal.2007, author = {Palus, Milan and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo and Seehafer, Norbert and Novotna, Dagmar and Charvatova, Ivanka}, title = {The solar activity cycle is weakly synchronized with the solar inertial motion}, doi = {10.1016/j.physleta.2007.01.039}, year = {2007}, abstract = {We study possible interrelations between the 300-year record of the yearly sunspot numbers and the solar inertial motion (SIM) using the recently developed technique of synchronization analysis. Phase synchronization of the sunspot cycle and the SIM is found and statistically confirmed in three epochs (1734-1790, 1855-1875 and 1907-1960) of the whole period 1700-2000. These results give quantitative support to the hypothesis that there is a weak interaction between the solar activity and the SIM.}, language = {en} } @article{BoccalettiKurthsOsipov2002, author = {Boccaletti, Stefano and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Osipov, Grigory V.}, title = {The synchronization of chaotic systems}, year = {2002}, language = {en} } @article{SitzSchwarzKurths2004, author = {Sitz, Andre and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {The unscented Kalman filter : a powerful tool for data analysis}, year = {2004}, language = {en} } @article{MarwanKurthsThomsenetal.2009, author = {Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Thomsen, Jesper Skovhus and Felsenberg, Dieter and Saparin, Peter}, title = {Three-dimensional quantification of structures in trabecular bone using measures of complexity}, issn = {1539-3755}, doi = {10.1103/Physreve.79.021903}, year = {2009}, abstract = {The study of pathological changes of bone is an important task in diagnostic procedures of patients with metabolic bone diseases such as osteoporosis as well as in monitoring the health state of astronauts during long-term space flights. The recent availability of high-resolution three-dimensional (3D) imaging of bone challenges the development of data analysis techniques able to assess changes of the 3D microarchitecture of trabecular bone. We introduce an approach based on spatial geometrical properties and define structural measures of complexity for 3D image analysis. These measures evaluate different aspects of organization and complexity of 3D structures, such as complexity of its surface or shape variability. We apply these measures to 3D data acquired by high-resolution microcomputed tomography (mu CT) from human proximal tibiae and lumbar vertebrae at different stages of osteoporotic bone loss. The outcome is compared to the results of conventional static histomorphometry and exhibits clear relationships between the analyzed geometrical features of trabecular bone and loss of bone density, but also indicate that the measures reveal additional information about the structural composition of bone, which were not revealed by the static histomorphometry. Finally, we have studied the dependency of the developed measures of complexity on the spatial resolution of the mu CT data sets.}, language = {en} } @article{StolbovaSurovyatkinaBookhagenetal.2016, author = {Stolbova, Veronika and Surovyatkina, Elena and Bookhagen, Bodo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Tipping elements of the Indian monsoon: Prediction of onset and withdrawal}, series = {Geophysical research letters}, volume = {43}, journal = {Geophysical research letters}, publisher = {American Geophysical Union}, address = {Washington}, issn = {0094-8276}, doi = {10.1002/2016GL068392}, pages = {3982 -- 3990}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Forecasting the onset and withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon is crucial for the life and prosperity of more than one billion inhabitants of the Indian subcontinent. However, accurate prediction of monsoon timing remains a challenge, despite numerous efforts. Here we present a method for prediction of monsoon timing based on a critical transition precursor. We identify geographic regions-tipping elements of the monsoon-and use them as observation locations for predicting onset and withdrawal dates. Unlike most predictability methods, our approach does not rely on precipitation analysis but on air temperature and relative humidity, which are well represented both in models and observations. The proposed method allows to predict onset 2 weeks earlier and withdrawal dates 1.5 months earlier than existing methods. In addition, it enables to correctly forecast monsoon duration for some anomalous years, often associated with El Nino-Southern Oscillation.}, language = {en} } @article{BeimGrabenFrischFinketal.2005, author = {Beim Graben, Peter and Frisch, Stefan and Fink, A. and Saddy, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Topographic voltage and coherence mapping of brain potentials by means of the symbolic resonance analysis}, issn = {1539-3755}, year = {2005}, abstract = {We apply the recently developed symbolic resonance analysis to electroencephalographic measurements of event- related brain potentials (ERPs) in a language processing experiment by using a three-symbol static encoding with varying thresholds for analyzing the ERP epochs, followed by a spin-flip transformation as a nonlinear filter. We compute an estimator of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for the symbolic dynamics measuring the coherence of threshold-crossing events. Hence, we utilize the inherent noise of the EEG for sweeping the underlying ERP components beyond the encoding thresholds. Plotting the SNR computed within the time window of a particular ERP component (the N400) against the encoding thresholds, we find different resonance curves for the experimental conditions. The maximal differences of the SNR lead to the estimation of optimal encoding thresholds. We show that topographic brain maps of the optimal threshold voltages and of their associated coherence differences are able to dissociate the underlying physiological processes, while corresponding maps gained from the customary voltage averaging technique are unable to do so}, language = {en} } @article{StolbovaMartinBookhagenetal.2014, author = {Stolbova, Veronika and Martin, P. and Bookhagen, Bodo and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Topology and seasonal evolution of the network of extreme precipitation over the Indian subcontinent and Sri Lanka}, series = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, volume = {21}, journal = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, number = {4}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1023-5809}, doi = {10.5194/npg-21-901-2014}, pages = {901 -- 917}, year = {2014}, abstract = {This paper employs a complex network approach to determine the topology and evolution of the network of extreme precipitation that governs the organization of extreme rainfall before, during, and after the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) season. We construct networks of extreme rainfall events during the ISM (June-September), post-monsoon (October-December), and pre-monsoon (March-May) periods from satellite-derived (Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission, TRMM) and rain-gauge interpolated (Asian Precipitation Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards the Evaluation of Water Resources, APHRODITE) data sets. The structure of the networks is determined by the level of synchronization of extreme rainfall events between different grid cells throughout the Indian subcontinent. Through the analysis of various complex-network metrics, we describe typical repetitive patterns in North Pakistan (NP), the Eastern Ghats (EG), and the Tibetan Plateau (TP). These patterns appear during the pre-monsoon season, evolve during the ISM, and disappear during the post-monsoon season. These are important meteorological features that need further attention and that may be useful in ISM timing and strength prediction.}, language = {en} } @article{WittFeudelGebogietal.1998, author = {Witt, Annette and Feudel, Fred and Gebogi, C. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Braun, Robert}, title = {Tracer dynamics in a flow of driven vortices}, series = {Preprint NLD}, volume = {51}, journal = {Preprint NLD}, publisher = {Univ.}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1432-2935}, pages = {8 S. : graph. Darst.}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{BraunFeudelGebogietal.1999, author = {Braun, Robert and Feudel, Fred and Gebogi, C. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Witt, Annette}, title = {Tracer dynamics in a flow of driven vortices}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @article{PopovychMaistrenkoMosekildeetal.2000, author = {Popovych, Orest and Maistrenko, Yu and Mosekilde, Erik and Pikovskij, Arkadij and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Transcritical loss of synchronization in coupled chaotic systems}, year = {2000}, language = {en} } @article{PopovychMaistrenkoMosekildeetal.2001, author = {Popovych, Orest and Maistrenko, Yu and Mosekilde, Erik and Pikovskij, Arkadij and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Transcritical riddling in a system of coupled maps}, year = {2001}, abstract = {The transition from fully synchronized behavior to two-cluster dynamics is investigated for a system of N globally coupled chaotic oscillators by means of a model of two coupled logistic maps. An uneven distribution of oscillators between the two clusters causes an asymmetry to arise in the coupling of the model system. While the transverse period-doubling bifurcation remains essentially unaffected by this asymmetry, the transverse pitchfork bifurcation is turned into a saddle-node bifurcation followed by a transcritical riddling bifurcation in which a periodic orbit embedded in the synchronized chaotic state loses its transverse stability. We show that the transcritical riddling transition is always hard. For this, we study the sequence of bifurcations that the asynchronous point cycles produced in the saddle-node bifurcation undergo, and show how the manifolds of these cycles control the magnitude of asynchronous bursts. In the case where the system involves two subpopulations of oscillators with a small mismatch of the parameters, the transcritical riddling will be replaced by two subsequent saddle-node bifurcations, or the saddle cycle involved in the transverse destabilization of the synchronized chaotic state may smoothly shift away from the synchronization manifold. In this way, the transcritical riddling bifurcation is substituted by a symmetry-breaking bifurcation, which is accompanied by the destruction of a thin invariant region around the symmetrical chaotic state.}, language = {en} } @article{HassanKurths2001, author = {Hassan, M. K. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Transition from random to ordered fractals in fragmentation of particles in an open system}, year = {2001}, language = {en} } @article{HeuerSchultheissHodgsonetal.1999, author = {Heuer, Axel and Schultheiss, J. and Hodgson, N. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Menzel, Ralf and Raab, Volker}, title = {Transverse effects in phase conjugate laser mirrors based on stimulated brillouin scattering}, year = {1999}, language = {en} } @article{ZhangHuHuetal.2002, author = {Zhang, H. and Hu, B. and Hu, G. and Ouyang, Q. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Turbulence control by developing a spiral wave with a periodic signal injection in the complex Ginzburg-Laundau equation}, year = {2002}, language = {en} } @article{ThielRomanoKurthsetal.2006, author = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin and Kliegl, Reinhold}, title = {Twin surrogates to test for complex synchronisation}, doi = {10.1209/epl/i2006-10147-0}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We present an approach to generate (multivariate) twin surrogates (TS) based on recurrence properties. This technique generates surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i.e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system starting at different initial conditions. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronisation and exemplify this for the paradigmatic system of Rossler oscillators. The proposed test enables to assess the statistical relevance of a synchronisation analysis from passive experiments which are typical in natural systems}, language = {en} } @article{ZhouMotterKurths2006, author = {Zhou, Changsong and Motter, Adilson E. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Universality in the synchronization of weighted random networks}, doi = {10.1103/Physrevlett.96.034101}, year = {2006}, abstract = {Realistic networks display not only a complex topological structure, but also a heterogeneous distribution of weights in the connection strengths. Here we study synchronization in weighted complex networks and show that the synchronizability of random networks with a large minimum degree is determined by two leading parameters: the mean degree and the heterogeneity of the distribution of node's intensity, where the intensity of a node, defined as the total strength of input connections, is a natural combination of topology and weights. Our results provide a possibility for the control of synchronization in complex networks by the manipulation of a few parameters}, language = {en} } @article{HempelKoseskaNikoloskietal.2011, author = {Hempel, Sabrina and Koseska, Aneta and Nikoloski, Zoran and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Unraveling gene regulatory networks from time-resolved gene expression data - a measures comparison study}, series = {BMC bioinformatics}, volume = {12}, journal = {BMC bioinformatics}, number = {1}, publisher = {BioMed Central}, address = {London}, issn = {1471-2105}, doi = {10.1186/1471-2105-12-292}, pages = {26}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Background: Inferring regulatory interactions between genes from transcriptomics time-resolved data, yielding reverse engineered gene regulatory networks, is of paramount importance to systems biology and bioinformatics studies. Accurate methods to address this problem can ultimately provide a deeper insight into the complexity, behavior, and functions of the underlying biological systems. However, the large number of interacting genes coupled with short and often noisy time-resolved read-outs of the system renders the reverse engineering a challenging task. Therefore, the development and assessment of methods which are computationally efficient, robust against noise, applicable to short time series data, and preferably capable of reconstructing the directionality of the regulatory interactions remains a pressing research problem with valuable applications. Results: Here we perform the largest systematic analysis of a set of similarity measures and scoring schemes within the scope of the relevance network approach which are commonly used for gene regulatory network reconstruction from time series data. In addition, we define and analyze several novel measures and schemes which are particularly suitable for short transcriptomics time series. We also compare the considered 21 measures and 6 scoring schemes according to their ability to correctly reconstruct such networks from short time series data by calculating summary statistics based on the corresponding specificity and sensitivity. Our results demonstrate that rank and symbol based measures have the highest performance in inferring regulatory interactions. In addition, the proposed scoring scheme by asymmetric weighting has shown to be valuable in reducing the number of false positive interactions. On the other hand, Granger causality as well as information-theoretic measures, frequently used in inference of regulatory networks, show low performance on the short time series analyzed in this study. Conclusions: Our study is intended to serve as a guide for choosing a particular combination of similarity measures and scoring schemes suitable for reconstruction of gene regulatory networks from short time series data. We show that further improvement of algorithms for reverse engineering can be obtained if one considers measures that are rooted in the study of symbolic dynamics or ranks, in contrast to the application of common similarity measures which do not consider the temporal character of the employed data. Moreover, we establish that the asymmetric weighting scoring scheme together with symbol based measures (for low noise level) and rank based measures (for high noise level) are the most suitable choices.}, language = {en} } @article{KurthsAgarwalShuklaetal.2019, author = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Agarwal, Ankit and Shukla, Roopam and Marwan, Norbert and Maheswaran, Rathinasamy and Caesar, Levke and Krishnan, Raghavan and Merz, Bruno}, title = {Unravelling the spatial diversity of Indian precipitation teleconnections via a non-linear multi-scale approach}, series = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, volume = {26}, journal = {Nonlinear processes in geophysics}, number = {3}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1023-5809}, doi = {10.5194/npg-26-251-2019}, pages = {251 -- 266}, year = {2019}, abstract = {A better understanding of precipitation dynamics in the Indian subcontinent is required since India's society depends heavily on reliable monsoon forecasts. We introduce a non-linear, multiscale approach, based on wavelets and event synchronization, for unravelling teleconnection influences on precipitation. We consider those climate patterns with the highest relevance for Indian precipitation. Our results suggest significant influences which are not well captured by only the wavelet coherence analysis, the state-of-the-art method in understanding linkages at multiple timescales. We find substantial variation across India and across timescales. In particular, El Ni{\~n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) mainly influence precipitation in the south-east at interannual and decadal scales, respectively, whereas the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has a strong connection to precipitation, particularly in the northern regions. The effect of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) stretches across the whole country, whereas the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) influences precipitation particularly in the central arid and semi-arid regions. The proposed method provides a powerful approach for capturing the dynamics of precipitation and, hence, helps improve precipitation forecasting.}, language = {en} } @article{BeimGrabenSaddyKurths2004, author = {Beim Graben, Peter and Saddy, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Untitled}, year = {2004}, language = {de} } @article{BaptistaPereiraKurths2006, author = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Pereira, Tiago and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Upper bounds in phase synchronous weak coherent chaotic attractors}, issn = {0167-2789}, doi = {10.1016/j.physd.2006.02.007}, year = {2006}, abstract = {An approach is presented for coupled chaotic systems with weak coherent motion, from which we estimate the upper bound value for the absolute phase difference in phase synchronous states. This approach shows that synchronicity in phase implies synchronicity in the time of events, a characteristic explored to derive an equation to detect phase synchronization, based on the absolute difference between the time of these events. We demonstrate the potential use of this approach for the phase coherent and the funnel attractor of the Rossler system, as well as for the spiking/bursting Rulkov map.}, language = {en} } @article{VianaGrebogiPintoetal.2003, author = {Viana, R. L. and Grebogi, Celso and Pinto, Seds and Lopes, S. R. and Batista, A. M. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Validity of numerical trajectories in the synchronization transition of complex systems}, issn = {1063-651X}, year = {2003}, abstract = {We investigate the relationship between the loss of synchronization and the onset of shadowing breakdown via unstable dimension variability in complex systems. In the neighborhood of the critical transition to strongly nonhyperbolic behavior, the system undergoes on-off intermittency with respect to the synchronization state. There are potentially severe consequences of these facts on the validity of the computer-generated trajectories obtained from dynamical systems whose synchronization manifolds share the same nonhyperbolic properties}, language = {en} } @article{GandhimathiRajasekarKurths2006, author = {Gandhimathi, V. M. and Rajasekar, S. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Vibrational and stochastic resonances in two coupled overdamped anharmonic oscillators}, series = {Modern physics letters : A, Particles and fields, gravitation, cosmology, nuclear physics}, volume = {360}, journal = {Modern physics letters : A, Particles and fields, gravitation, cosmology, nuclear physics}, number = {2}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0375-9601}, doi = {10.1016/j.physleta.2006.08.051}, pages = {279 -- 286}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We study the overdamped version of two coupled anharmonic oscillators under the influence of both low- and high-frequency forces respectively and a Gaussian noise term added to one of the two state variables of the system. The dynamics of the system is first studied in the presence of both forces separately without noise. In the presence of only one of the forces, no resonance behaviour is observed, however, hysteresis happens there. Then the influence of the high-frequency force in the presence of a low-frequency, i.e. biharmonic forcing, is studied. Vibrational resonance is found to occur when the amplitude of the high-frequency force is varied. The resonance curve resembles a stochastic resonance-like curve. It is maximum at the value of g at which the orbit lies in one well during one half of the drive cycle of the low-frequency force and in the other for the remaining half cycle. Vibrational resonance is characterized using the response amplitude and mean residence time. We show the occurrence of stochastic resonance behaviour in the overdamped system by replacing the high-frequency force by Gaussian noise. Similarities and differences between both types of resonance are presented. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @article{ZaikinLopezBaltanasetal.2002, author = {Zaikin, Alexei A. and L{\´o}pez, L and Baltan{\´a}s, J. P. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fern{\´a}ndez}, title = {Vibrational resonance in noise-induced structure}, year = {2002}, abstract = {We report on the effect of vibrational resonance in a spatially extended system of coupled noisy oscillators under the action of two periodic forces, a low-frequency one (signal) and a high-frequency one (carrier). Vibrational resonance manifests itself in the fact that for optimally selected values of high-frequency force amplitude, the response of the system to a low-frequency signal is optimal. This phenomenon is a synthesis of two effects, a noise- induced phase transition leading to bistability, and a conventional vibrational resonance, resulting in the optimization of signal processing. Numerical simulations, which demonstrate this effect for an extended system, can be understood by means of a zero-dimensional "effective" model. The behavior of this "effective" model is also confirmed by an experimental realization of an electronic circuit.}, language = {en} } @article{MaheswaranAgarwalSivakumaretal.2019, author = {Maheswaran, Rathinasamy and Agarwal, Ankit and Sivakumar, Bellie and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Wavelet analysis of precipitation extremes over India and teleconnections to climate indices}, series = {Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment}, volume = {33}, journal = {Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment}, number = {11-12}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {New York}, issn = {1436-3240}, doi = {10.1007/s00477-019-01738-3}, pages = {2053 -- 2069}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Precipitation patterns and extremes are significantly influenced by various climatic factors and large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. This study uses wavelet coherence analysis to detect significant interannual and interdecadal oscillations in monthly precipitation extremes across India and their teleconnections to three prominent climate indices, namely, Nino 3.4, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Further, partial wavelet coherence analysis is used to estimate the standalone relationship between the climate indices and precipitation after removing the effect of interdependency. The wavelet analysis of monthly precipitation extremes at 30 different locations across India reveals that (a) interannual (2-8 years) and interdecadal (8-32 years) oscillations are statistically significant, and (b) the oscillations vary in both time and space. The results from the partial wavelet coherence analysis reveal that Nino 3.4 and IOD are the significant drivers of Indian precipitation at interannual and interdecadal scales. Intriguingly, the study also confirms that the strength of influence of large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns on Indian precipitation extremes varies with spatial physiography of the region.}, language = {en} } @article{KliemSchwarzKurthsetal.1998, author = {Kliem, Bernhard and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Dennis, Brian and Schwartz, Richard and Aschwanden, Markus J.}, title = {Wavelet analysis of solar flare hard X-ray}, issn = {0004-637x}, year = {1998}, language = {en} } @article{AgarwalMaheswaranKurthsetal.2016, author = {Agarwal, Ankit and Maheswaran, Rathinasamy and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Khosa, R.}, title = {Wavelet Spectrum and Self-Organizing Maps-Based Approach for Hydrologic Regionalization -a Case Study in the Western United States}, series = {Water Resources Management}, volume = {30}, journal = {Water Resources Management}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Dordrecht}, issn = {0920-4741}, doi = {10.1007/s11269-016-1428-1}, pages = {4399 -- 4413}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Hydrologic regionalization deals with the investigation of homogeneity in watersheds and provides a classification of watersheds for regional analysis. The classification thus obtained can be used as a basis for mapping data from gauged to ungauged sites and can improve extreme event prediction. This paper proposes a wavelet power spectrum (WPS) coupled with the self-organizing map method for clustering hydrologic catchments. The application of this technique is implemented for gauged catchments. As a test case study, monthly streamflow records observed at 117 selected catchments throughout the western United States from 1951 through 2002. Further, based on WPS of each station, catchments are classified into homogeneous clusters, which provides a representative WPS pattern for the streamflow stations in each cluster.}, language = {en} } @article{AgarwalMaheswaranMarwanetal.2018, author = {Agarwal, Ankit and Maheswaran, Rathinasamy and Marwan, Norbert and Caesar, Levke and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Wavelet-based multiscale similarity measure for complex networks}, series = {The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems}, volume = {91}, journal = {The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems}, number = {11}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {New York}, issn = {1434-6028}, doi = {10.1140/epjb/e2018-90460-6}, pages = {12}, year = {2018}, abstract = {In recent years, complex network analysis facilitated the identification of universal and unexpected patterns in complex climate systems. However, the analysis and representation of a multiscale complex relationship that exists in the global climate system are limited. A logical first step in addressing this issue is to construct multiple networks over different timescales. Therefore, we propose to apply the wavelet multiscale correlation (WMC) similarity measure, which is a combination of two state-of-the-art methods, viz. wavelet and Pearson's correlation, for investigating multiscale processes through complex networks. Firstly we decompose the data over different timescales using the wavelet approach and subsequently construct a corresponding network by Pearson's correlation. The proposed approach is illustrated and tested on two synthetics and one real-world example. The first synthetic case study shows the efficacy of the proposed approach to unravel scale-specific connections, which are often undiscovered at a single scale. The second synthetic case study illustrates that by dividing and constructing a separate network for each time window we can detect significant changes in the signal structure. The real-world example investigates the behavior of the global sea surface temperature (SST) network at different timescales. Intriguingly, we notice that spatial dependent structure in SST evolves temporally. Overall, the proposed measure has an immense potential to provide essential insights on understanding and extending complex multivariate process studies at multiple scales.}, language = {en} } @article{AnishchenkoNikolaevKurths2006, author = {Anishchenko, Vadim S. and Nikolaev, S and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Winding number locking on a two-dimensional torus : synchronization of quasiperiodic motions}, issn = {1539-3755}, doi = {10.1103/Physreve.73.056202}, year = {2006}, abstract = {We propose a new autonomous dynamical system of dimension N=4 that demonstrates the regime of stable two- frequency motions and period-doubling bifurcations of a two-dimensional torus. It is shown that the period-doubling bifurcation of the two-dimensional torus is not followed by the resonance phenomenon, and the two-dimensional ergodic torus undergoes a period-doubling bifurcation. The interaction of two generators is also analyzed. The phenomenon of external and mutual synchronization of two-frequency oscillations is observed, for which winding number locking on a two- dimensional torus takes place}, language = {en} }