@article{MantiloniDavisGaeteRojasetal.2021,
  author    = {Mantiloni, Lorenzo and Davis, Timothy and Gaete Rojas, Ayleen Barbara and Rivalta, Eleonora},
  title     = {Stress inversion in a gelatin box},
  series = {Geophysical research letters : GRL / American Geophysical Union},
  volume    = {48},
  journal   = {Geophysical research letters : GRL / American Geophysical Union},
  number    = {6},
  publisher = {American Geophysical Union},
  address   = {Washington},
  issn      = {0094-8276},
  doi       = {10.1029/2020GL090407},
  pages     = {11},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {Assessing volcanic hazard in regions of distributed volcanism is challenging because of the uncertain location of future vents. A statistical-mechanical strategy to forecast such locations was recently proposed: here, we further develop and test it with analog models. We stress a gelatin block laterally and with surface excavations, and observe air-filled crack trajectories. We use the observed surface arrivals to sample the distributions of parameters describing the stress state of the gelatin block, combining deterministic crack trajectory simulations with a Monte Carlo approach. While the individual stress parameters remain unconstrained, we effectively retrieve their ratio and successfully forecast the arrival points of subsequent cracks.},
  language  = {en}
}