@article{MeyerAghionKantz2022,
  author    = {Meyer, Philipp and Aghion, Erez and Kantz, Holger},
  title     = {Decomposing the effect of anomalous diffusion enables direct calculation of the Hurst exponent and model classification for single random paths},
  series = {Journal of physics / Institute of Physics. A, Mathematical, nuclear and general},
  volume    = {55},
  journal   = {Journal of physics / Institute of Physics. A, Mathematical, nuclear and general},
  number    = {27},
  publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.},
  address   = {Bristol},
  issn      = {1751-8113},
  doi       = {10.1088/1751-8121/ac72d4},
  pages     = {22},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Recently, a large number of research teams from around the world collaborated in the so-called 'anomalous diffusion challenge'. Its aim: to develop and compare new techniques for inferring stochastic models from given unknown time series, and estimate the anomalous diffusion exponent in data. We use various numerical methods to directly obtain this exponent using the path increments, and develop a questionnaire for model selection based on feature analysis of a set of known stochastic processes given as candidates. Here, we present the theoretical background of the automated algorithm which we put for these tasks in the diffusion challenge, as a counter to other pure data-driven approaches.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RitschelCherstvyMetzler2021,
  author    = {Ritschel, Stefan and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Metzler, Ralf},
  title     = {Universality of delay-time averages for financial time series},
  series = {Journal of physics. Complexity},
  volume    = {2},
  journal   = {Journal of physics. Complexity},
  number    = {4},
  publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.},
  address   = {Bristol},
  issn      = {2632-072X},
  doi       = {10.1088/2632-072X/ac2220},
  pages     = {30},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {We analyze historical data of stock-market prices for multiple financial indices using the concept of delay-time averaging for the financial time series (FTS). The region of validity of our recent theoretical predictions [Cherstvy A G et al 2017 New J. Phys. 19 063045] for the standard and delayed time-averaged mean-squared 'displacements' (TAMSDs) of the historical FTS is extended to all lag times. As the first novel element, we perform extensive computer simulations of the stochastic differential equation describing geometric Brownian motion (GBM) which demonstrate a quantitative agreement with the analytical long-term price-evolution predictions in terms of the delayed TAMSD (for all stock-market indices in crisis-free times). Secondly, we present a robust procedure of determination of the model parameters of GBM via fitting the features of the price-evolution dynamics in the FTS for stocks and cryptocurrencies. The employed concept of single-trajectory-based time averaging can serve as a predictive tool (proxy) for a mathematically based assessment and rationalization of probabilistic trends in the evolution of stock-market prices.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Hendriyana2017,
  author    = {Hendriyana, Andri},
  title     = {Detection and Kirchhoff-type migration of seismic events by use of a new characteristic function},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-398879},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {v, 139},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {The classical method of seismic event localization is based on the picking of body wave arrivals, ray tracing and inversion of travel time data. Travel time picks with small uncertainties are required to produce reliable and accurate results with this kind of source localization. Hence recordings, with a low Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) cannot be used in a travel time based inversion. Low SNR can be related with weak signals from distant and/or low magnitude sources as well as with a high level of ambient noise. Diffraction stacking is considered as an alternative seismic event localization method that enables also the processing of low SNR recordings by mean of stacking the amplitudes of seismograms along a travel time function. The location of seismic event and its origin time are determined based on the highest stacked amplitudes (coherency) of the image function. The method promotes an automatic processing since it does not need travel time picks as input data. However, applying diffraction stacking may require longer computation times if only limited computer resources are used. Furthermore, a simple diffraction stacking of recorded amplitudes could possibly fail to locate the seismic sources if the focal mechanism leads to complex radiation patterns which typically holds for both natural and induced seismicity. In my PhD project, I have developed a new work flow for the localization of seismic events which is based on a diffraction stacking approach. A parallelized code was implemented for the calculation of travel time tables and for the determination of an image function to reduce computation time. In order to address the effects from complex source radiation patterns, I also suggest to compute diffraction stacking from a characteristic function (CF) instead of stacking the original wave form data. A new CF, which is called in the following mAIC (modified from Akaike Information Criterion) is proposed. I demonstrate that, the performance of the mAIC does not depend on the chosen length of the analyzed time window and that both P- and S-wave onsets can be detected accurately. To avoid cross-talk between P- and S-waves due to inaccurate velocity models, I separate the P- and S-waves from the mAIC function by making use of polarization attributes. Then, eventually the final image function is represented by the largest eigenvalue as a result of the covariance analysis between P- and S-image functions. Before applying diffraction stacking, I also apply seismogram denoising by using Otsu thresholding in the time-frequency domain. Results from synthetic experiments show that the proposed diffraction stacking provides reliable results even from seismograms with low SNR=1. Tests with different presentations of the synthetic seismograms (displacement, velocity, and acceleration) shown that, acceleration seismograms deliver better results in case of high SNR, whereas displacement seismograms provide more accurate results in case of low SNR recordings. In another test, different measures (maximum amplitude, other statistical parameters) were used to determine the source location in the final image function. I found that the statistical approach is the preferred method particularly for low SNR. The work flow of my diffraction stacking method was finally applied to local earthquake data from Sumatra, Indonesia. Recordings from a temporary network of 42 stations deployed for 9 months around the Tarutung pull-apart Basin were analyzed. The seismic event locations resulting from the diffraction stacking method align along a segment of the Sumatran Fault. A more complex distribution of seismicity is imaged within and around the Tarutung Basin. Two lineaments striking N-S were found in the middle of the Tarutung Basin which support independent results from structural geology. These features are interpreted as opening fractures due to local extension. A cluster of seismic events repeatedly occurred in short time which might be related to fluid drainage since two hot springs are observed at the surface near to this cluster.},
  language  = {en}
}