@article{HischeLuisDominguezPfeifferetal.2010, author = {Hische, Manuela and Luis-Dominguez, Olga and Pfeiffer, Andreas F. H. and Schwarz, Peter E. and Selbig, Joachim and Spranger, Joachim}, title = {Decision trees as a simple-to-use and reliable tool to identify individuals with impaired glucose metabolism or type 2 diabetes mellitus}, issn = {0804-4643}, doi = {10.1530/Eje-10-0649}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Objective: The prevalence of unknown impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), or type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is high. Numerous studies demonstrated that IFG, IGT, or T2DM are associated with increased cardiovascular risk, therefore an improved identification strategy would be desirable. The objective of this study was to create a simple and reliable tool to identify individuals with impaired glucose metabolism (IGM). Design and methods: A cohort of 1737 individuals (1055 controls, 682 with previously unknown IGM) was screened by 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Supervised machine learning was used to automatically generate decision trees to identify individuals with IGM. To evaluate the accuracy of identification, a tenfold cross-validation was performed. Resulting trees were subsequently re-evaluated in a second, independent cohort of 1998 individuals (1253 controls, 745 unknown IGM). Results: A clinical decision tree included age and systolic blood pressure (sensitivity 89.3\%, specificity 37.4\%, and positive predictive value (PPV) 48.0\%), while a tree based on clinical and laboratory data included fasting glucose and systolic blood pressure (sensitivity 89.7\%, specificity 54.6\%, and PPV 56.2\%). The inclusion of additional parameters did not improve test quality. The external validation approach confirmed the presented decision trees. Conclusion: We proposed a simple tool to identify individuals with existing IGM. From a practical perspective, fasting blood glucose and blood pressure measurements should be regularly measured in all individuals presenting in outpatient clinics. An OGTT appears to be useful only if the subjects are older than 48 years or show abnormalities in fasting glucose or blood pressure.}, language = {en} } @article{BobbertRailaSchwarzetal.2010, author = {Bobbert, Thomas and Raila, Jens and Schwarz, Franziska and Mai, Knut and Henze, Andrea and Pfeiffer, Andreas F. H. and Schweigert, Florian J. and Spranger, Joachim}, title = {Relation between retinol, retinol-binding protein 4, transthyretin and carotid intima media thickness}, issn = {0021-9150}, doi = {10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2010.07.063}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Objective: Retinol is transported in a complex with retinol-binding protein 4 (RBP4) and transthyretin (TTR) in the circulation. While retinol is associated with various cardiovascular risk factors, the relation between retinol, RBP4, TTR and carotid intima media thickness (IMT) has not been analysed yet. Methods: Retinol, RBP4 and TTR were measured in 96 individuals and their relation to mean and maximal IMT was determined. Results: Mean IMT correlated with RBP4 (r = 0.335, p < 0.001), retinol (r = -0.241, p = 0.043), RBP/TTR ratio (r = 0.254, p = 0.025) and retinol/RBP4 ratio (r = -0.549, p < 0.001). Adjustment for age, sex, BMI, blood pressure, HDL/total cholesterol ratio, triglyceride, diabetes and smoking revealed that the retinol/RBP4 ratio was strongly and independently associated with mean IMT. Similar results were found for maximal IMT, which included the measurement of plaques. Conclusion: The data support that the transport complex of vitamin A is associated with the IMT, an established parameter of atherosclerosis. Changes in RBP4 saturation with retinol may link renal dysfunction and insulin resistance to atherosclerosis.}, language = {en} }