@phdthesis{Pagel2014, author = {Pagel, J{\"o}rn}, title = {Statistical process-based models for the understanding and prediction of range dynamics}, pages = {VII, 147}, year = {2014}, language = {en} } @article{PagelAndersonCrameretal.2014, author = {Pagel, J{\"o}rn and Anderson, Barbara J. and Cramer, Wolfgang and Fox, Richard and Jeltsch, Florian and Roy, David B. and Thomas, Chris D. and Schurr, Frank Martin}, title = {Quantifying range-wide variation in population trends from local abundance surveys and widespread opportunistic occurrence records}, series = {Methods in ecology and evolution : an official journal of the British Ecological Society}, volume = {5}, journal = {Methods in ecology and evolution : an official journal of the British Ecological Society}, number = {8}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, address = {Hoboken}, issn = {2041-210X}, doi = {10.1111/2041-210X.12221}, pages = {751 -- 760}, year = {2014}, abstract = {2. We present a hierarchical model that integrates observations from multiple sources to estimate spatio-temporal abundance trends. The model links annual population densities on a spatial grid to both long-term count data and to opportunistic occurrence records from a citizen science programme. Specific observation models for both data types explicitly account for differences in data structure and quality. 3. We test this novel method in a virtual study with simulated data and apply it to the estimation of abundance dynamics across the range of a butterfly species (Pyronia tithonus) in Great Britain between 1985 and 2004. The application to simulated and real data demonstrates how the hierarchical model structure accommodates various sources of uncertainty which occur at different stages of the link between observational data and the modelled abundance, thereby it accounts for these uncertainties in the inference of abundance variations. 4. We show that by using hierarchical observation models that integrate different types of commonly available data sources, we can improve the estimates of variation in species abundances across space and time. This will improve our ability to detect regional trends and can also enhance the empirical basis for understanding range dynamics.}, language = {en} } @article{PagelFritzschBiedermannetal.2008, author = {Pagel, J{\"o}rn and Fritzsch, Katrin and Biedermann, Robert and Schr{\"o}der-Esselbach, Boris}, title = {Annual plants under cyclic disturbance regime : better understanding through model aggregation}, issn = {1051-0761}, year = {2008}, abstract = {In their application for conservation ecology, 'classical' analytical models and individual-based simulation models (IBMs) both entail their specific strengths and weaknesses, either in providing a detailed and realistic representation of processes or in regard to a comprehensive model analysis. This well-known dilemma may be resolved by the combination of both approaches when tackling certain problems of conservation ecology. Following this idea, we present the complementary use of both an IBM and a matrix population model in a case study on grassland conservation management. First, we develop a spatially explicit IBM to simulate the long-term response of the annual plant Thlaspi perfoliatum (Brassicaceae), claspleaf pennycress, to different management schemes (annual mowing vs. infrequent rototilling) based on field experiments. In order to complement the simulation results by further analyses, we aggregate the IBM to a spatially nonexplicit deterministic matrix population model. Within the periodic environment created by management regimes, population dynamics are described by periodic products of annual transition matrices. Such periodic matrix products provide a very conclusive framework to study the responses of species to different management return intervals. Thus, using tools of matrix model analysis (e.g., loop analysis), we can both identify dormancy within the age-structured seed bank as the pivotal strategy for persistence under cyclic disturbance regimes and reveal crucial thresholds in some less certain parameters. Results of matrix model analyses are therefore successfully tested by comparing their results to the respective IBM simulations. Their implications for an enhanced scientific basis for management decisions are discussed as well as some general benefits and limitations of the use of aggregating modeling approaches in conservation.}, language = {en} } @article{PagelSchurr2012, author = {Pagel, J{\"o}rn and Schurr, Frank Martin}, title = {Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics}, series = {Global ecology and biogeography : a journal of macroecology}, volume = {21}, journal = {Global ecology and biogeography : a journal of macroecology}, number = {2}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, address = {Malden}, issn = {1466-822X}, doi = {10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00663.x}, pages = {293 -- 304}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Aim The study and prediction of speciesenvironment relationships is currently mainly based on species distribution models. These purely correlative models neglect spatial population dynamics and assume that species distributions are in equilibrium with their environment. This causes biased estimates of species niches and handicaps forecasts of range dynamics under environmental change. Here we aim to develop an approach that statistically estimates process-based models of range dynamics from data on species distributions and permits a more comprehensive quantification of forecast uncertainties. Innovation We present an approach for the statistical estimation of process-based dynamic range models (DRMs) that integrate Hutchinson's niche concept with spatial population dynamics. In a hierarchical Bayesian framework the environmental response of demographic rates, local population dynamics and dispersal are estimated conditional upon each other while accounting for various sources of uncertainty. The method thus: (1) jointly infers species niches and spatiotemporal population dynamics from occurrence and abundance data, and (2) provides fully probabilistic forecasts of future range dynamics under environmental change. In a simulation study, we investigate the performance of DRMs for a variety of scenarios that differ in both ecological dynamics and the data used for model estimation. Main conclusions Our results demonstrate the importance of considering dynamic aspects in the collection and analysis of biodiversity data. In combination with informative data, the presented framework has the potential to markedly improve the quantification of ecological niches, the process-based understanding of range dynamics and the forecasting of species responses to environmental change. It thereby strengthens links between biogeography, population biology and theoretical and applied ecology.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Paijmans2015, author = {Paijmans, Johanna L. A.}, title = {Application of hybridisation capture to investigate complete mitogenomes from ancient samples}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {207}, year = {2015}, language = {en} } @misc{PaijmansBarlowHennebergeretal.2020, author = {Paijmans, Johanna L. A. and Barlow, Axel and Henneberger, Kirstin and Fickel, J{\"o}rns and Hofreiter, Michael and Foerste, Daniel W. G.}, title = {Ancestral mitogenome capture of the Southeast Asian banded linsang}, series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {972}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-47444}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-474441}, pages = {14}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Utilising a reconstructed ancestral mitochondrial genome of a clade to design hybridisation capture baits can provide the opportunity for recovering mitochondrial sequences from all its descendent and even sister lineages. This approach is useful for taxa with no extant close relatives, as is often the case for rare or extinct species, and is a viable approach for the analysis of historical museum specimens. Asiatic linsangs (genus Prionodon) exemplify this situation, being rare Southeast Asian carnivores for which little molecular data is available. Using ancestral capture we recover partial mitochondrial genome sequences for seven banded linsangs (P. linsang) from historical specimens, representing the first intraspecific genetic dataset for this species. We additionally assemble a high quality mitogenome for the banded linsang using shotgun sequencing for time-calibrated phylogenetic analysis. This reveals a deep divergence between the two Asiatic linsang species (P. linsang, P. pardicolor), with an estimated divergence of ~12 million years (Ma). Although our sample size precludes any robust interpretation of the population structure of the banded linsang, we recover two distinct matrilines with an estimated tMRCA of ~1 Ma. Our results can be used as a basis for further investigation of the Asiatic linsangs, and further demonstrate the utility of ancestral capture for studying divergent taxa without close relatives.}, language = {en} } @article{PaijmansBarlowHennebergeretal.2020, author = {Paijmans, Johanna L. A. and Barlow, Axel and Henneberger, Kirstin and Fickel, J{\"o}rns and Hofreiter, Michael and Foerste, Daniel W. G.}, title = {Ancestral mitogenome capture of the Southeast Asian banded linsang}, series = {PLoS ONE}, volume = {15}, journal = {PLoS ONE}, number = {6}, publisher = {PLOS}, address = {San Francisco, California, US}, issn = {1932-6203}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0234385}, pages = {12}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Utilising a reconstructed ancestral mitochondrial genome of a clade to design hybridisation capture baits can provide the opportunity for recovering mitochondrial sequences from all its descendent and even sister lineages. This approach is useful for taxa with no extant close relatives, as is often the case for rare or extinct species, and is a viable approach for the analysis of historical museum specimens. Asiatic linsangs (genus Prionodon) exemplify this situation, being rare Southeast Asian carnivores for which little molecular data is available. Using ancestral capture we recover partial mitochondrial genome sequences for seven banded linsangs (P. linsang) from historical specimens, representing the first intraspecific genetic dataset for this species. We additionally assemble a high quality mitogenome for the banded linsang using shotgun sequencing for time-calibrated phylogenetic analysis. This reveals a deep divergence between the two Asiatic linsang species (P. linsang, P. pardicolor), with an estimated divergence of ~12 million years (Ma). Although our sample size precludes any robust interpretation of the population structure of the banded linsang, we recover two distinct matrilines with an estimated tMRCA of ~1 Ma. Our results can be used as a basis for further investigation of the Asiatic linsangs, and further demonstrate the utility of ancestral capture for studying divergent taxa without close relatives.}, language = {en} } @article{PaijmansBarnettGilbertetal.2017, author = {Paijmans, Johanna L. A. and Barnett, Ross and Gilbert, M. Thomas P. and Zepeda-Mendoza, M. Lisandra and Reumer, Jelle W. F. and de Vos, John and Zazula, Grant and Nagel, Doris and Baryshnikov, Gennady F. and Leonard, Jennifer A. and Rohland, Nadin and Westbury, Michael V. and Barlow, Axel and Hofreiter, Michael}, title = {Evolutionary History of Saber-Toothed Cats Based on Ancient Mitogenomics}, series = {Current biology}, volume = {27}, journal = {Current biology}, publisher = {Cell Press}, address = {Cambridge}, issn = {0960-9822}, doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2017.09.033}, pages = {3330 -- +}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Saber-toothed cats (Machairodontinae) are among the most widely recognized representatives of the now largely extinct Pleistocene megafauna. However, many aspects of their ecology, evolution, and extinction remain uncertain. Although ancient-DNA studies have led to huge advances in our knowledge of these aspects of many other megafauna species (e.g., mammoths and cave bears), relatively few ancient-DNA studies have focused on saber-toothed cats [1-3], and they have been restricted to short fragments of mitochondrial DNA. Here we investigate the evolutionary history of two lineages of saber-toothed cats (Smilodon and Homotherium) in relation to living carnivores and find that the Machairodontinae form a well-supported clade that is distinct from all living felids. We present partial mitochondrial genomes from one S. populator sample and three Homotherium sp. samples, including the only Late Pleistocene Homotherium sample from Eurasia [4]. We confirm the identification of the unique Late Pleistocene European fossil through ancient-DNA analyses, thus strengthening the evidence that Homotherium occurred in Europe over 200,000 years later than previously believed. This in turn forces a re-evaluation of its demography and extinction dynamics. Within the Machairodontinae, we find a deep divergence between Smilodon and Homotherium (similar to 18 million years) but limited diversity between the American and European Homotherium specimens. The genetic data support the hypothesis that all Late Pleistocene (or post-Villafrancian) Homotherium should be considered a single species, H. latidens, which was previously proposed based on morphological data [5, 6].}, language = {en} } @article{PaijmansFickelCourtioletal.2016, author = {Paijmans, Johanna L. A. and Fickel, J{\"o}rns and Courtiol, Alexandre and Hofreiter, Michael and Foerster, Daniel W.}, title = {Impact of enrichment conditions on cross-species capture of fresh and degraded DNA}, series = {Molecular ecology resources}, volume = {16}, journal = {Molecular ecology resources}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, address = {Hoboken}, issn = {1755-098X}, doi = {10.1111/1755-0998.12420}, pages = {42 -- 55}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Abstract By combining high-throughput sequencing with target enrichment ('hybridization capture'), researchers are able to obtain molecular data from genomic regions of interest for projects that are otherwise constrained by sample quality (e.g. degraded and contamination-rich samples) or a lack of a priori sequence information (e.g. studies on nonmodel species). Despite the use of hybridization capture in various fields of research for many years, the impact of enrichment conditions on capture success is not yet thoroughly understood. We evaluated the impact of a key parameter - hybridization temperature - on the capture success of mitochondrial genomes across the carnivoran family Felidae. Capture was carried out for a range of sample types (fresh, archival, ancient) with varying levels of sequence divergence between bait and target (i.e. across a range of species) using pools of individually indexed libraries on Agilent SureSelect™ arrays. Our results suggest that hybridization capture protocols require specific optimization for the sample type that is being investigated. Hybridization temperature affected the proportion of on-target sequences following capture: for degraded samples, we obtained the best results with a hybridization temperature of 65 °C, while a touchdown approach (65 °C down to 50 °C) yielded the best results for fresh samples. Evaluation of capture performance at a regional scale (sliding window approach) revealed no significant improvement in the recovery of DNA fragments with high sequence divergence from the bait at any of the tested hybridization temperatures, suggesting that hybridization temperature may not be the critical parameter for the enrichment of divergent fragments.}, language = {en} } @article{PajoroMadrigalMuinoetal.2014, author = {Pajoro, Alice and Madrigal, Pedro and Muino, Jose M. and Tomas Matus, Jose and Jin, Jian and Mecchia, Martin A. and Debernardi, Juan M. and Palatnik, Javier F. and Balazadeh, Salma and Arif, Muhammad and Wellmer, Frank and Krajewski, Pawel and Riechmann, Jose-Luis and Angenent, Gerco C. and Kaufmann, Kerstin}, title = {Dynamics of chromatin accessibility and gene regulation by MADS-domain transcription factors in flower development}, series = {Genome biology : biology for the post-genomic era}, volume = {15}, journal = {Genome biology : biology for the post-genomic era}, publisher = {BioMed Central}, address = {London}, issn = {1465-6906}, doi = {10.1186/gb-2014-15-3-r41}, pages = {18}, year = {2014}, abstract = {Background: Development of eukaryotic organisms is controlled by transcription factors that trigger specific and global changes in gene expression programs. In plants, MADS-domain transcription factors act as master regulators of developmental switches and organ specification. However, the mechanisms by which these factors dynamically regulate the expression of their target genes at different developmental stages are still poorly understood. Results: We characterized the relationship of chromatin accessibility, gene expression, and DNA binding of two MADS-domain proteins at different stages of Arabidopsis flower development. Dynamic changes in APETALA1 and SEPALLATA3 DNA binding correlated with changes in gene expression, and many of the target genes could be associated with the developmental stage in which they are transcriptionally controlled. We also observe dynamic changes in chromatin accessibility during flower development. Remarkably, DNA binding of APETALA1 and SEPALLATA3 is largely independent of the accessibility status of their binding regions and it can precede increases in DNA accessibility. These results suggest that APETALA1 and SEPALLATA3 may modulate chromatin accessibility, thereby facilitating access of other transcriptional regulators to their target genes. Conclusions: Our findings indicate that different homeotic factors regulate partly overlapping, yet also distinctive sets of target genes in a partly stage-specific fashion. By combining the information from DNA-binding and gene expression data, we are able to propose models of stage-specific regulatory interactions, thereby addressing dynamics of regulatory networks throughout flower development. Furthermore, MADS-domain TFs may regulate gene expression by alternative strategies, one of which is modulation of chromatin accessibility.}, language = {en} }