@unpublished{KreibichvandenBerghBouweretal.2014, author = {Kreibich, Heidi and van den Bergh, Jeroen C. J. M. and Bouwer, Laurens M. and Bubeck, Philip and Ciavola, Paolo and Green, Colin and Hallegatte, Stephane and Logar, Ivana and Meyer, Volker and Schwarze, Reimund and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Costing natural hazards}, series = {Nature climate change}, volume = {4}, journal = {Nature climate change}, number = {5}, publisher = {Nature Publ. Group}, address = {London}, issn = {1758-678X}, pages = {303 -- 306}, year = {2014}, language = {en} } @article{SchroeterKreibichVogeletal.2014, author = {Schroeter, Kai and Kreibich, Heidi and Vogel, Kristin and Riggelsen, Carsten and Scherbaum, Frank and Merz, Bruno}, title = {How useful are complex flood damage models?}, series = {Water resources research}, volume = {50}, journal = {Water resources research}, number = {4}, publisher = {American Geophysical Union}, address = {Washington}, issn = {0043-1397}, doi = {10.1002/2013WR014396}, pages = {3378 -- 3395}, year = {2014}, abstract = {We investigate the usefulness of complex flood damage models for predicting relative damage to residential buildings in a spatial and temporal transfer context. We apply eight different flood damage models to predict relative building damage for five historic flood events in two different regions of Germany. Model complexity is measured in terms of the number of explanatory variables which varies from 1 variable up to 10 variables which are singled out from 28 candidate variables. Model validation is based on empirical damage data, whereas observation uncertainty is taken into consideration. The comparison of model predictive performance shows that additional explanatory variables besides the water depth improve the predictive capability in a spatial and temporal transfer context, i.e., when the models are transferred to different regions and different flood events. Concerning the trade-off between predictive capability and reliability the model structure seem more important than the number of explanatory variables. Among the models considered, the reliability of Bayesian network-based predictions in space-time transfer is larger than for the remaining models, and the uncertainties associated with damage predictions are reflected more completely.}, language = {en} } @article{KreibichBubeckVanVlietetal.2015, author = {Kreibich, Heidi and Bubeck, Philip and Van Vliet, Mathijs and De Moel, Hans}, title = {A review of damage-reducing measures to manage fluvial flood risks in a changing climate}, series = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change : an international journal devoted to scientific, engineering, socio-economic and policy responses to environmental change}, volume = {20}, journal = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change : an international journal devoted to scientific, engineering, socio-economic and policy responses to environmental change}, number = {6}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Dordrecht}, issn = {1381-2386}, doi = {10.1007/s11027-014-9629-5}, pages = {967 -- 989}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Damage due to floods has increased during the last few decades, and further increases are expected in several regions due to climate change and growing vulnerability. To address the projected increase in flood risk, a combination of structural and non-structural flood risk mitigation measures is considered as a promising adaptation strategy. Such a combination takes into account that flood defence systems may fail, and prepares for unexpected crisis situations via land-use planning and private damage reduction, e.g. via building precautionary measures, and disaster response. However, knowledge about damage-reducing measures is scarce and often fragmented since based on case studies. For instance, it is believed that private precautionary measures, like shielding with water shutters or building fortification, are especially effective in areas with frequent flood events and low flood water levels. However, some of these measures showed a significant damage-reducing effect also during the extreme flood event in 2002 in Germany. This review analyses potentials of land-use planning and private flood precautionary measures as components of adaptation strategies for global change. Focus is on their implementation, their damage-reducing effects and their potential contribution to address projected changes in flood risk, particularly in developed countries.}, language = {en} } @book{ThiekenBesselCallsenetal.2015, author = {Thieken, Annegret and Bessel, Tina and Callsen, Ines and Falter, Daniela and Hasan, Issa and Kienzler, Sarah and Kox, Thomas and Kreibich, Heidi and Kuhlicke, Christian and Kunz, Michael and Matthias, Max and Meyer, Volker and M{\"u}hr, Bernhard and M{\"u}ller, Meike and Otto, Antje and Pech, Ina and Petrow, Theresia and Pisi, Sebastian and Rother, Karl-Heinz and Schr{\"o}ter, Kai}, title = {Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013}, series = {Schriftenreihe des DKKV ; 53}, journal = {Schriftenreihe des DKKV ; 53}, publisher = {Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge}, address = {Bonn}, isbn = {978-3-933181-62-6}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {207}, year = {2015}, language = {de} } @article{MuellerBesselPisietal.2015, author = {M{\"u}ller, Meike and Bessel, Tina and Pisi, Sebastian and Kreibich, Heidi and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Auswirkungen und Sch{\"a}den}, series = {Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 : Bew{\"a}hrungsprobe f{\"u}r das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland}, journal = {Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 : Bew{\"a}hrungsprobe f{\"u}r das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland}, isbn = {978-3-933181-62-6}, pages = {31 -- 45}, year = {2015}, language = {de} } @article{ThiekenOttoPisietal.2015, author = {Thieken, Annegret and Otto, Antje and Pisi, Sebastian and Petrow, Theresia and Kreibich, Heidi and Kuhlicke, Christian and Schr{\"o}ter, Kai and Kienzler, Sarah and M{\"u}ller, Meike}, title = {Schlussfolgerungen und Empfehlungen}, series = {Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 : Bew{\"a}hrungsprobe f{\"u}r das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland}, journal = {Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 : Bew{\"a}hrungsprobe f{\"u}r das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland}, publisher = {Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge}, address = {Bonn}, isbn = {978-3-933181-62-6}, pages = {184 -- 196}, year = {2015}, language = {de} } @article{PechKreibichThieken2015, author = {Pech, Ina and Kreibich, Heidi and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {Warnung und Reaktion aus Sicht von Betroffenen}, series = {Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 : Bew{\"a}hrungsprobe f{\"u}r das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland}, journal = {Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 : Bew{\"a}hrungsprobe f{\"u}r das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland}, publisher = {Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge}, address = {Bonn}, isbn = {978-3-933181-62-6}, pages = {138 -- 142}, year = {2015}, language = {de} } @article{KienzlerPechKreibichetal.2015, author = {Kienzler, Sarah and Pech, Ina and Kreibich, Heidi and Mueller, M. and Thieken, Annegret}, title = {After the extreme flood in 2002: changes in preparedness, response and recovery of flood-affected residents in Germany between 2005 and 2011}, series = {Natural hazards and earth system sciences}, volume = {15}, journal = {Natural hazards and earth system sciences}, number = {3}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1561-8633}, doi = {10.5194/nhess-15-505-2015}, pages = {505 -- 526}, year = {2015}, abstract = {After the flood in 2002, the level of private precautions taken increased considerably. One contributing factor is the fact that, in general, a larger proportion of people knew that they were at risk of flooding. The best level of precaution was found before the flood events in 2006 and 2011. The main reason for this might be that residents had more experience with flooding than residents affected in 2005 or 2010. Yet, overall, flood experience and knowledge did not necessarily result in building retrofitting or flood-proofing measures, which are considered as mitigating damages most effectively. Hence, investments still need to be stimulated in order to reduce future damage more efficiently.}, language = {en} } @article{DoThiChinhBubeckNguyenVietDungetal.2016, author = {Do Thi Chinh, and Bubeck, Philip and Nguyen Viet Dung, and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {The 2011 flood event in the Mekong Delta: preparedness, response, damage and recovery of private households and small businesses}, series = {Disasters : the journal of disaster studies, policy and management}, volume = {40}, journal = {Disasters : the journal of disaster studies, policy and management}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, address = {Hoboken}, issn = {0361-3666}, doi = {10.1111/disa.12171}, pages = {753 -- 778}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Floods frequently cause substantial economic and human losses, particularly in developing countries. For the development of sound flood risk management schemes that reduce flood consequences, detailed insights into the different components of the flood risk management cycle, such as preparedness, response, flood impact analyses and recovery, are needed. However, such detailed insights are often lacking: commonly, only (aggregated) data on direct flood damage are available. Other damage categories such as losses owing to the disruption of production processes are usually not considered, resulting in incomplete risk assessments and possibly inappropriate recommendations for risk management. In this paper, data from 858 face-to-face interviews among flood-prone households and small businesses in Can Tho city in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta are presented to gain better insights into the damage caused by the 2011 flood event and its management by households and businesses.}, language = {en} } @misc{BubeckAertsdeMoeletal.2016, author = {Bubeck, Philip and Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. and de Moel, Hans and Kreibich, Heidi}, title = {Preface: Flood-risk analysis and integrated management}, series = {Natural hazards and earth system sciences}, volume = {16}, journal = {Natural hazards and earth system sciences}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1561-8633}, doi = {10.5194/nhess-16-1005-2016}, pages = {1005 -- 1010}, year = {2016}, language = {en} }