@article{ZolotovProkhorovNamgaladzeetal.2011, author = {Zolotov, O. V. and Prokhorov, Boris E. and Namgaladze, Alexander A. and Martynenko, O. V.}, title = {Variations in the total electron content of the ionosphere during preparation of earthquakes}, series = {Russian journal of physical chemistry : B, Focus on physics}, volume = {5}, journal = {Russian journal of physical chemistry : B, Focus on physics}, number = {3}, publisher = {Pleiades Publ.}, address = {New York}, issn = {1990-7931}, doi = {10.1134/S1990793111030146}, pages = {435 -- 438}, year = {2011}, abstract = {The morphological features in the deviations of the total electron content (TEC) of the ionosphere from the background undisturbed state as possible precursors of the earthquake of January 12, 2010 (21:53 UT (16:53 LT), 18.46A degrees N, 72.5A degrees W, 7.0 M) in Haiti are analyzed. To identify these features, global and regional differential TEC maps based on global 2-h TEC maps provided by NASA in the IONEX format were plotted. For the considered earthquake, long-lived disturbances, presumably of seismic origin, were localized in the near-epicenter area and were accompanied by similar effects in the magnetoconjugate region. Both decreases and increases in the local TEC over the period from 22 UT of January 10 to 08 UT of January 12, 2010 were observed. The horizontal dimensions of the anomalies were similar to 40A degrees in longitude and similar to 20A degrees in latitude, with the magnitude of TEC disturbances reaching similar to 40\% relative to the background near the epicenter and more than 50\% in the magnetoconjugate area. No significant geomagnetic disturbances within January 1-12, 2010 were observed, i.e., the detected TEC anomalies were manifestations of interplay between processes in the lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere system.}, language = {en} } @article{MorenoMelnickRosenauetal.2011, author = {Moreno, Marcelo Spegiorin and Melnick, Daniel and Rosenau, M. and Bolte, John and Klotz, Jan and Echtler, Helmut Peter and B{\´a}ez, Juan Carlos and Bataille, Klaus and Chen, J. and Bevis, M. and Hase, H. and Oncken, Onno}, title = {Heterogeneous plate locking in the South-Central Chile subduction zone building up the next great earthquake}, series = {Earth \& planetary science letters}, volume = {305}, journal = {Earth \& planetary science letters}, number = {3-4}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0012-821X}, doi = {10.1016/j.epsl.2011.03.025}, pages = {413 -- 424}, year = {2011}, abstract = {We use Global Positioning System (GPS) velocities and kinematic Finite Element models (FE-models) to infer the state of locking between the converging Nazca and South America plates in South-Central Chile (36 degrees S -46 degrees S) and to evaluate its spatial and temporal variability. GPS velocities provide information on earthquake-cycle deformation over the last decade in areas affected by the megathrust events of 1960 (M-w = 9.5) and 2010 (M-w = 8.8). Our data confirm that a change in surface velocity patterns of these two seismotectonic segments can be related to their different stages in the seismic cycle: Accordingly, the northern (2010) segment was in a final stage of interseismic loading whereas the southern (1960) segment is still in a postseismic stage and undergoes a prolonged viscoelastic mantle relaxation. After correcting the signals for mantle relaxation, the residual GPS velocity pattern suggests that the plate interface accumulates slip deficit in a spatially and presumably temporally variable way towards the next great event. Though some similarity exist between locking and 1960 coseismic slip, extrapolating the current, decadal scale slip deficit accumulation towards the similar to 300-yr recurrence times of giant events here does neither yield the slip distribution nor the moment magnitude of the 1960 earthquake. This suggests that either the locking pattern is evolving in time (to reconcile a slip deficit distribution similar to the 1960 earthquake) or that some asperities are not persistent over multiple events. The accumulated moment deficit since 1960 suggests that highly locked patches in the 1960 segment are already capable of producing a M similar to 8 event if triggered to fail by stress transfer from the 2010 event.}, language = {en} }