@misc{Esther2002, type = {Master Thesis}, author = {Esther, Alexandra}, title = {Modellgest{\"u}tzte Untersuchungen zum {\"U}berleben einer Steinkauzpopulation (Athene noctua) in Th{\"u}ringen}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-44519}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2002}, abstract = {Der R{\"u}ckgang des Steinkauzes (Athene noctua) hat in Th{\"u}ringen und Sachsen seit den 60er Jahren dramatische Ausmaße angenommen. In den 50er Jahren noch fl{\"a}chendeckend beobachtet, wurden f{\"u}r das Jahr 2000 nur noch 18 Individuen durch Bestandserfassungen registriert. Die vielfach diskutierten R{\"u}ckgangsursachen beziehen sich vor Allem auf die großfl{\"a}chige {\"A}nderung der Landschaftsstrukturen, die zum Verlust der Lebensgrundlagen des Steinkauzes f{\"u}hrten. So haben u.a. der Verlust an Brut- und Vorratsh{\"o}hlen und an ganzj{\"a}hrig kurzgehaltenen Gr{\"u}nlandfl{\"a}chen, sowie der zunehmende Einfluss von Pr{\"a}datoren erheblich zum R{\"u}ckgang beigetragen. Eingeleitete Schutzmaßnahmen, ehrenamtlich oder auf dem allgemeinen Naturschutzprogramm des Freistaates Th{\"u}ringen beruhend, wie das Anbringen von Nisthilfen mit Marderschutz oder Pflegevertr{\"a}ge f{\"u}r Streuobstwiesen, zeigen bisher keine sichtbare Wirkung. Als weitergehende Maßnahmen stehen die Reduzierung von F{\"u}chsen (Vulpes vulpes) und Steinmardern (Martes foina), Ausbreitungskorridore f{\"u}r Steink{\"a}uze und ein Auswilderungsprogramm zur Diskussion. Angesichts des Populationsr{\"u}ckgangs des Steinkauz war es Aufgabe dieser Arbeit durch ein Simulationsmodell Untersuchungen zum {\"U}berleben einer Steinkauzpopulation (Athene noctua) in Th{\"u}ringen durchzuf{\"u}hren. Die zusammengetragenen Bestandszahlen ergaben geringe Individuenzahlen in den th{\"u}ringischen Landkreisen Altenburger Land, Greiz und der Stadt Gera sowie in den s{\"a}chsischen Landkreisen Chemnitzer Land und Mittweida. Die Bestandszahlen der Jahre 1989-2001, sowie weitere der Literatur entnommene Daten zum populations{\"o}kologischen Hintergrund, wie auch Analysen des Gebietes in Th{\"u}ringen und Sachsen und dessen besetzter Reviere der Jahre 1989- 2001, wurden in ein stochastisches, r{\"a}umlich-explizites, auf Individuen basierendes Simulationsmodell eingebracht. Es wurde eine Sensitivit{\"a}tsanalyse durchgef{\"u}hrt, die beruhend auf den erfassten Populationsentwicklungen in Th{\"u}ringen und Sachsen und auf Literaturangaben, ausgew{\"a}hlte Parameterkonstellationen f{\"u}r die Untersuchungenergab. Die Untersuchungen zum {\"U}berleben vor dem Hintergrund m{\"o}glicher Gef{\"a}hrdungsfaktoren und zur Ermittelung des Nutzens von Managementoptionen, wurden mit Schwerpunkten auf „Pr{\"a}dation", „Habitatverbesserung" und „Auswilderung" durchgef{\"u}hrt. Als Ergebnis der Simulationen kam heraus, dass die Pr{\"a}dation keinen großen Einfluss auf das {\"U}berleben der Population hat, und Schutzmaßnahmen die Chancen f{\"u}r das {\"U}berleben der Population nicht erh{\"o}hen w{\"u}rden. Habitatverbesserungen, die die Juvenilen animieren sich im Umkreis von bis zu 5 km vom elterlichen Revier anzusiedeln, w{\"u}rden aber deutlich zum {\"U}berleben der Population, auch in l{\"a}ngerfristiger Perspektive, beitragen. Habitatverbesserungen, die zu weiter entfernteren Ansiedlungen animieren, k{\"o}nnten sich dagegen ung{\"u}nstig auf das {\"U}berleben der Population auswirken. F{\"u}r eine m{\"o}gliche Auswilderung als Schutzmaßnahme ergab sich im Modell, dass eine Auswilderung von 5 Individuen pro Jahr {\"u}ber einen Zeitraum von 5 Jahren, die {\"U}berlebenswahrscheinlichkeit kurzfristig deutlich verbessern w{\"u}rde. Es ergab sich allerdings kein Unterschied, ob 5, 10 oder 15 Individuen ausgewildert werden. Eine l{\"a}nger durchgef{\"u}hrte Auswilderung w{\"u}rde vermutlich die {\"U}berlebenswahrscheinlichkeit entsprechend langfristiger verbessern.}, language = {de} } @book{GeissendoerferRahnStoiber2003, author = {Geißend{\"o}rfer, Manfred and Rahn, Thomas and Stoiber, Michael}, title = {Handbuch "Erfolgreiches Regionalmanagement"}, address = {M{\"u}nchen}, organization = {Forschungsgruppe Agrar- und Regionalentwicklung Triesdorf}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-bbdig-60}, pages = {185}, year = {2003}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Kneis2007, author = {Kneis, David}, title = {A water quality model for shallow river-lake systems and its application in river basin management}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-14647}, school = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, year = {2007}, abstract = {This work documents the development and application of a new model for simulating mass transport and turnover in rivers and shallow lakes. The simulation tool called 'TRAM' is intended to complement mesoscale eco-hydrological catchment models in studies on river basin management. TRAM aims at describing the water quality of individual water bodies, using problem- and scale-adequate approaches for representing their hydrological and ecological characteristics. The need for such flexible water quality analysis and prediction tools is expected to further increase during the implementation of the European Water Framework Directive (WFD) as well as in the context of climate change research. The developed simulation tool consists of a transport and a reaction module with the latter being highly flexible with respect to the description of turnover processes in the aquatic environment. Therefore, simulation approaches of different complexity can easily be tested and model formulations can be chosen in consideration of the problem at hand, knowledge of process functioning, and data availability. Consequently, TRAM is suitable for both heavily simplified engineering applications as well as scientific ecosystem studies involving a large number of state variables, interactions, and boundary conditions. TRAM can easily be linked to catchment models off-line and it requires the use of external hydrodynamic simulation software. Parametrization of the model and visualization of simulation results are facilitated by the use of geographical information systems as well as specific pre- and post-processors. TRAM has been developed within the research project 'Management Options for the Havel River Basin' funded by the German Ministry of Education and Research. The project focused on the analysis of different options for reducing the nutrient load of surface waters. It was intended to support the implementation of the WFD in the lowland catchment of the Havel River located in North-East Germany. Within the above-mentioned study TRAM was applied with two goals in mind. In a first step, the model was used for identifying the magnitude as well as spatial and temporal patterns of nitrogen retention and sediment phosphorus release in a 100~km stretch of the highly eutrophic Lower Havel River. From the system analysis, strongly simplified conceptual approaches for modeling N-retention and P-remobilization in the studied river-lake system were obtained. In a second step, the impact of reduced external nutrient loading on the nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations of the Havel River was simulated (scenario analysis) taking into account internal retention/release. The boundary conditions for the scenario analysis such as runoff and nutrient emissions from river basins were computed by project partners using the catchment models SWIM and ArcEGMO-Urban. Based on the output of TRAM, the considered options of emission control could finally be evaluated using a site-specific assessment scale which is compatible with the requirements of the WFD. Uncertainties in the model predictions were also examined. According to simulation results, the target of the WFD -- with respect to total phosphorus concentrations in the Lower Havel River -- could be achieved in the medium-term, if the full potential for reducing point and non-point emissions was tapped. Furthermore, model results suggest that internal phosphorus loading will ease off noticeably until 2015 due to a declining pool of sedimentary mobile phosphate. Mass balance calculations revealed that the lakes of the Lower Havel River are an important nitrogen sink. This natural retention effect contributes significantly to the efforts aimed at reducing the river's nitrogen load. If a sustainable improvement of the river system's water quality is to be achieved, enhanced measures to further reduce the immissions of both phosphorus and nitrogen are required.}, language = {en} } @article{KuehnAltmannsbergerHens2016, author = {K{\"u}hn, Michael and Altmannsberger, Charlotte and Hens, Carmen}, title = {Waiweras WarmwasserreservoirWelche Aussagekraft haben Modelle?}, series = {Grundwasser : Zeitschrift der Fachsektion Hydrogeologie in der Deutschen Gesellschaft f{\~A}¼r Geowissenschaften (FH-DGG)}, volume = {21}, journal = {Grundwasser : Zeitschrift der Fachsektion Hydrogeologie in der Deutschen Gesellschaft f{\~A}¼r Geowissenschaften (FH-DGG)}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Heidelberg}, issn = {1430-483X}, doi = {10.1007/s00767-016-0323-2}, pages = {107 -- 117}, year = {2016}, abstract = {The warm water geothermal reservoir below the village of Waiwera in New Zealand has been known by the native Maori for centuries. Development by the European immigrants began in 1863. Until the year 1969, the warm water flowing from all drilled wells was artesian. Due to overproduction, water up to 50 A degrees C now needs to be pumped to surface. Further, between 1975 and 1976, all warm water seeps on the beach of Waiwera ran dry. Within the context of sustainable water management, hydrogeological models must be developed as part of a management plan. Approaches of varying complexity have been set-up and applied since the 1980s. However, none of the models directly provide all results required for optimal water management. Answers are given simply to parts of the questions, nonetheless improving resource management of the geothermal reservoir.}, language = {de} } @article{SchmidtWellenburg2014, author = {Schmidt-Wellenburg, Christian}, title = {How consulting became a transnational form of governance in the field of management}, series = {Berliner Journal f{\"u}r Soziologie = Journal de sociologie de Berlin}, volume = {24}, journal = {Berliner Journal f{\"u}r Soziologie = Journal de sociologie de Berlin}, number = {2}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Wiesbaden}, issn = {0863-1808}, doi = {10.1007/s11609-014-0250-y}, pages = {227 -- 255}, year = {2014}, language = {de} } @book{SchmiedgenRhinowKoeppenetal.2015, author = {Schmiedgen, Jan and Rhinow, Holger and K{\"o}ppen, Eva and Meinel, Christoph}, title = {Parts without a whole?}, number = {97}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, isbn = {978-3-86956-334-3}, issn = {1613-5652}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-79969}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam}, pages = {143}, year = {2015}, abstract = {This explorative study gives a descriptive overview of what organizations do and experience when they say they practice design thinking. It looks at how the concept has been appropriated in organizations and also describes patterns of design thinking adoption. The authors use a mixed-method research design fed by two sources: questionnaire data and semi-structured personal expert interviews. The study proceeds in six parts: (1) design thinking¹s entry points into organizations; (2) understandings of the descriptor; (3) its fields of application and organizational localization; (4) its perceived impact; (5) reasons for its discontinuation or failure; and (6) attempts to measure its success. In conclusion the report challenges managers to be more conscious of their current design thinking practice. The authors suggest a co-evolution of the concept¹s introduction with innovation capability building and the respective changes in leadership approaches. It is argued that this might help in unfolding design thinking¹s hidden potentials as well as preventing unintended side-effects such as discontented teams or the dwindling authority of managers.}, language = {en} } @article{SundelofGrimmUlmestrandetal.2015, author = {Sundelof, Andreas and Grimm, Volker and Ulmestrand, Mats and Fiksen, Oyvind}, title = {Modelling harvesting strategies for the lobster fishery in northern Europe: the importance of protecting egg-bearing females}, series = {Population ecology}, volume = {57}, journal = {Population ecology}, number = {1}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Tokyo}, issn = {1438-3896}, doi = {10.1007/s10144-014-0460-3}, pages = {237 -- 251}, year = {2015}, language = {en} } @misc{Tiberius2019, author = {Tiberius, Victor}, title = {Scenarios in the strategy process}, number = {119}, issn = {1867-5808}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-44290}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-442907}, pages = {16}, year = {2019}, abstract = {This paper challenges the solely rational view of the scenario technique as a strategy and foresight tool designed to cope with uncertainty by considering multiple possible future states. The paper employs an affordance-based view that allows for the identification and structuring of hidden, emergent attributes of the scenario technique beyond the intended ones. The suggested framework distinguishes between affordances (1) that are intended by the organization and relate to its goals, (2) that emergently generate organizational benefits, and (3) that do not relate to organizational but individual interests. Also, constraints in the use of scenarios are discussed. Affordance theory's specific lens shows that the emergence of such attributes depends on the users' specific intentions.}, language = {en} } @article{Tiberius2019, author = {Tiberius, Victor}, title = {Scenarios in the strategy process}, series = {European Journal of Futures Research}, volume = {7}, journal = {European Journal of Futures Research}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Heidelberg}, issn = {2195-2248}, doi = {10.1186/s40309-019-0160-5}, pages = {14}, year = {2019}, abstract = {This paper challenges the solely rational view of the scenario technique as a strategy and foresight tool designed to cope with uncertainty by considering multiple possible future states. The paper employs an affordance-based view that allows for the identification and structuring of hidden, emergent attributes of the scenario technique beyond the intended ones. The suggested framework distinguishes between affordances (1) that are intended by the organization and relate to its goals, (2) that emergently generate organizational benefits, and (3) that do not relate to organizational but individual interests. Also, constraints in the use of scenarios are discussed. Affordance theory's specific lens shows that the emergence of such attributes depends on the users' specific intentions.}, language = {en} } @article{Tiberius2019, author = {Tiberius, Victor}, title = {Scenarios in the strategy process}, series = {European Journal of Futures Research}, volume = {7}, journal = {European Journal of Futures Research}, publisher = {Springer Open}, address = {London}, issn = {2195-4194}, doi = {10.1186/s40309-019-0160-5}, pages = {14}, year = {2019}, abstract = {This paper challenges the solely rational view of the scenario technique as a strategy and foresight tool designed to cope with uncertainty by considering multiple possible future states. The paper employs an affordance-based view that allows for the identification and structuring of hidden, emergent attributes of the scenario technique beyond the intended ones. The suggested framework distinguishes between affordances (1) that are intended by the organization and relate to its goals, (2) that emergently generate organizational benefits, and (3) that do not relate to organizational but individual interests. Also, constraints in the use of scenarios are discussed. Affordance theory's specific lens shows that the emergence of such attributes depends on the users' specific intentions.}, language = {en} }