@misc{AyzelVarentsovaErinaetal.2019,
  author    = {Ayzel, Georgy and Varentsova, Natalia and Erina, Oxana and Sokolov, Dmitriy and Kurochkina, Liubov and Moreydo, Vsevolod},
  title     = {OpenForecast},
  series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {1338},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-47329},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-473295},
  pages     = {17},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {The development and deployment of new operational runoff forecasting systems are a strong focus of the scientific community due to the crucial importance of reliable and timely runoff predictions for early warnings of floods and flashfloods for local businesses and communities. OpenForecast, the first operational runoff forecasting system in Russia, open for public use, is presented in this study. We developed OpenForecast based only on open-source software and data-GR4J hydrological model, ERA-Interim meteorological reanalysis, and ICON deterministic short-range meteorological forecasts. Daily forecasts were generated for two basins in the European part of Russia. Simulation results showed a limited efficiency in reproducing the spring flood of 2019. Although the simulations managed to capture the timing of flood peaks, they failed in estimating flood volume. However, further implementation of the parsimonious data assimilation technique significantly alleviates simulation errors. The revealed limitations of the proposed operational runoff forecasting system provided a foundation to outline its further development and improvement.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{AyzelVarentsovaErinaetal.2019,
  author    = {Ayzel, Georgy and Varentsova, Natalia and Erina, Oxana and Sokolov, Dmitriy and Kurochkina, Liubov and Moreydo, Vsevolod},
  title     = {OpenForecast},
  series = {Water : Molecular Diversity Preservation International},
  volume    = {11},
  journal   = {Water : Molecular Diversity Preservation International},
  number    = {8},
  publisher = {MDPI},
  address   = {Basel},
  issn      = {2073-4441},
  doi       = {10.3390/w11081546},
  pages     = {17},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {The development and deployment of new operational runoff forecasting systems are a strong focus of the scientific community due to the crucial importance of reliable and timely runoff predictions for early warnings of floods and flashfloods for local businesses and communities. OpenForecast, the first operational runoff forecasting system in Russia, open for public use, is presented in this study. We developed OpenForecast based only on open-source software and data-GR4J hydrological model, ERA-Interim meteorological reanalysis, and ICON deterministic short-range meteorological forecasts. Daily forecasts were generated for two basins in the European part of Russia. Simulation results showed a limited efficiency in reproducing the spring flood of 2019. Although the simulations managed to capture the timing of flood peaks, they failed in estimating flood volume. However, further implementation of the parsimonious data assimilation technique significantly alleviates simulation errors. The revealed limitations of the proposed operational runoff forecasting system provided a foundation to outline its further development and improvement.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZhilichRudayaKrivonogovetal.2017,
  author    = {Zhilich, Snezhana and Rudaya, Natalia and Krivonogov, Sergei and Nazarova, Larisa B. and Pozdnyakov, Dmitry},
  title     = {Environmental dynamics of the Baraba forest-steppe (Siberia) over the last 8000 years and their impact on the types of economic life of the population},
  series = {Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal},
  volume    = {163},
  journal   = {Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal},
  publisher = {Elsevier},
  address   = {Oxford},
  issn      = {0277-3791},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.03.022},
  pages     = {152 -- 161},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {This article offers a reconstruction of the vegetation and climate of the south-western Siberian Baraba forest-steppe area during the last ca. 8000 years. The analysis of palynological data from the sediment core of Lake Bolshie Toroki using quantitative methods has made it possible to reconstruct changes of the dominant types of vegetation and mean July air temperatures. Coniferous forests grew in the vicinity of the lake, and mean July air temperatures were similar to present-day ones between 7.9 and 7.0 kyr BP. The warmest and driest climate occurred at 7.0-5.0 kyr BP. At that time, the region had open steppe landscapes; birch groves began to spread. A cooling trend is seen after 5.5 kyr BP, when forest-steppe began to emerge. Steppe communities started to dominate again after 1.5 kyr BP. Mean July air temperatures lower than now are reconstructed for the period of 1.9-1 kyr BP, and then the temperatures became similar to present-day ones. Comparing the archaeological data on the types of economy of the population which inhabited the Baraba forest-steppe with the data on changes in the natural environment revealed a connection between the gradual transition from hunting and fishing to livestock breeding and the development of forest-steppe landscapes with a decrease in the area covered by forests. The development of the forest-steppe as an ecotonic landscape starting around 5 kyr BP might have contributed to the coexistence of several archaeological cultures with different types of economy on the same territory. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZibulskiHerzschuhPestryakova2016,
  author    = {Zibulski, Romy and Herzschuh, Ulrike and Pestryakova, Luidmila Agafyevna},
  title     = {Vegetation patterns along micro-relief and vegetation type transects in polygonal landscapes of the Siberian Arctic},
  series = {Journal of vegetation science},
  volume    = {27},
  journal   = {Journal of vegetation science},
  publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell},
  address   = {Hoboken},
  issn      = {1100-9233},
  doi       = {10.1111/jvs.12356},
  pages     = {377 -- 386},
  year      = {2016},
  abstract  = {QuestionHow important is the effect of micro-relief and vegetation type on the characteristics of vascular plants and bryophytes in low-centred polygons? LocationSiberian Arctic, Russia. MethodsEight low-centred polygons in northern Siberia were surveyed for vegetation along transects running from the rim to the pond via the rim-pond transition of each polygon and across a vegetation type gradient from open forest to tundra. ResultsThe cover of vascular plants and bryophytes displays no significant differences between the rim and rim-pond transition but is significantly lower in the pond section of the polygons. Alpha-diversity of vascular plants decreases strongly from rim to pond, whereas bryophyte diversity in pond plots is significantly distinct from the rim and the rim-pond transition. There is no clear trend in cover for either plant group along the vegetation type transect and only a weak trend in -diversity. However, both gradients are reflected in the compositional turnover. The applied indicator species analysis identified taxa characteristic of certain environmental conditions. Among others, we found vascular plants primarily characteristic of the rim and bryophyte taxa characteristic of each micro-relief level and vegetation type. ConclusionsThe observed gradual pattern in -diversity and composition of polygonal vegetation suggests that micro-relief is the main driver of changes in the vegetation composition, while vegetation type and the related forest cover change are of subordinate importance for polygonal vegetation patterns along the Siberian tree line.},
  language  = {en}
}