@phdthesis{Stark2021,
  author    = {Stark, Markus},
  title     = {Implications of local and regional processes on the stability of metacommunities in diverse ecosystems},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-52639},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-526399},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {x, 167},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {Anthropogenic activities such as continuous landscape changes threaten biodiversity at both local and regional scales. Metacommunity models attempt to combine these two scales and continuously contribute to a better mechanistic understanding of how spatial processes and constraints, such as fragmentation, affect biodiversity. There is a strong consensus that such structural changes of the landscape tend to negatively effect the stability of metacommunities. However, in particular the interplay of complex trophic communities and landscape structure is not yet fully understood. In this present dissertation, a metacommunity approach is used based on a dynamic and spatially explicit model that integrates population dynamics at the local scale and dispersal dynamics at the regional scale. This approach allows the assessment of complex spatial landscape components such as habitat clustering on complex species communities, as well as the analysis of population dynamics of a single species. In addition to the impact of a fixed landscape structure, periodic environmental disturbances are also considered, where a periodical change of habitat availability, temporally alters landscape structure, such as the seasonal drying of a water body. On the local scale, the model results suggest that large-bodied animal species, such as predator species at high trophic positions, are more prone to extinction in a state of large patch isolation than smaller species at lower trophic levels. Increased metabolic losses for species with a lower body mass lead to increased energy limitation for species on higher trophic levels and serves as an explanation for a predominant loss of these species. This effect is particularly pronounced for food webs, where species are more sensitive to increased metabolic losses through dispersal and a change in landscape structure. In addition to the impact of species composition in a food web for diversity, the strength of local foraging interactions likewise affect the synchronization of population dynamics. A reduced predation pressure leads to more asynchronous population dynamics, beneficial for the stability of population dynamics as it reduces the risk of correlated extinction events among habitats. On the regional scale, two landscape aspects, which are the mean patch isolation and the formation of local clusters of two patches, promote an increase in \$\beta\$-diversity. Yet, the individual composition and robustness of the local species community equally explain a large proportion of the observed diversity patterns. A combination of periodic environmental disturbance and patch isolation has a particular impact on population dynamics of a species. While the periodic disturbance has a synchronizing effect, it can even superimpose emerging asynchronous dynamics in a state of large patch isolation and unifies trends in synchronization between different species communities. In summary, the findings underline a large local impact of species composition and interactions on local diversity patterns of a metacommunity. In comparison, landscape structures such as fragmentation have a negligible effect on local diversity patterns, but increase their impact for regional diversity patterns. In contrast, at the level of population dynamics, regional characteristics such as periodic environmental disturbance and patch isolation have a particularly strong impact and contribute substantially to the understanding of the stability of population dynamics in a metacommunity. These studies demonstrate once again the complexity of our ecosystems and the need for further analysis for a better understanding of our surrounding environment and more targeted conservation of biodiversity.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{May2013,
  author    = {May, Felix},
  title     = {Spatial models of plant diversity and plant functional traits : towards a better understanding of plant community dynamics in fragmented landscapes},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-68444},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  year      = {2013},
  abstract  = {The fragmentation of natural habitat caused by anthropogenic land use changes is one of the main drivers of the current rapid loss of biodiversity. In face of this threat, ecological research needs to provide predictions of communities' responses to fragmentation as a prerequisite for the effective mitigation of further biodiversity loss. However, predictions of communities' responses to fragmentation require a thorough understanding of ecological processes, such as species dispersal and persistence. Therefore, this thesis seeks an improved understanding of community dynamics in fragmented landscapes. In order to approach this overall aim, I identified key questions on the response of plant diversity and plant functional traits to variations in species' dispersal capability, habitat fragmentation and local environmental conditions. All questions were addressed using spatially explicit simulations or statistical models. In chapter 2, I addressed scale-dependent relationships between dispersal capability and species diversity using a grid-based neutral model. I found that the ratio of survey area to landscape size is an important determinant of scale-dependent dispersal-diversity relationships. With small ratios, the model predicted increasing dispersal-diversity relationships, while decreasing dispersal-diversity relationships emerged, when the ratio approached one, i.e. when the survey area approached the landscape size. For intermediate ratios, I found a U-shaped pattern that has not been reported before. With this study, I unified and extended previous work on dispersal-diversity relationships. In chapter 3, I assessed the type of regional plant community dynamics for the study area in the Southern Judean Lowlands (SJL). For this purpose, I parameterised a multi-species incidence-function model (IFM) with vegetation data using approximate Bayesian computation (ABC). I found that the type of regional plant community dynamics in the SJL is best characterized as a set of isolated "island communities" with very low connectivity between local communities. Model predictions indicated a significant extinction debt with 33\% - 60\% of all species going extinct within 1000 years. In general, this study introduces a novel approach for combining a spatially explicit simulation model with field data from species-rich communities. In chapter 4, I first analysed, if plant functional traits in the SJL indicate trait convergence by habitat filtering and trait divergence by interspecific competition, as predicted by community assembly theory. Second, I assessed the interactive effects of fragmentation and the south-north precipitation gradient in the SJL on community-mean plant traits. I found clear evidence for trait convergence, but the evidence for trait divergence fundamentally depended on the chosen null-model. All community-mean traits were significantly associated with the precipitation gradient in the SJL. The trait associations with fragmentation indices (patch size and connectivity) were generally weaker, but statistically significant for all traits. Specific leaf area (SLA) and plant height were consistently associated with fragmentation indices along the precipitation gradient. In contrast, seed mass and seed number were interactively influenced by fragmentation and precipitation. In general, this study provides the first analysis of the interactive effects of climate and fragmentation on plant functional traits. Overall, I conclude that the spatially explicit perspective adopted in this thesis is crucial for a thorough understanding of plant community dynamics in fragmented landscapes. The finding of contrasting responses of local diversity to variations in dispersal capability stresses the importance of considering the diversity and composition of the metacommunity, prior to implementing conservation measures that aim at increased habitat connectivity. The model predictions derived with the IFM highlight the importance of additional natural habitat for the mitigation of future species extinctions. In general, the approach of combining a spatially explicit IFM with extensive species occupancy data provides a novel and promising tool to assess the consequences of different management scenarios. The analysis of plant functional traits in the SJL points to important knowledge gaps in community assembly theory with respect to the simultaneous consequences of habitat filtering and competition. In particular, it demonstrates the importance of investigating the synergistic consequences of fragmentation, climate change and land use change on plant communities. I suggest that the integration of plant functional traits and of species interactions into spatially explicit, dynamic simulation models offers a promising approach, which will further improve our understanding of plant communities and our ability to predict their dynamics in fragmented and changing landscapes.},
  language  = {en}
}