TY  - JOUR
A1  - Bindschadler, Robert A.
A1  - Nowicki, Sophie
A1  - Abe-Ouchi, Ayako
A1  - Aschwanden, Andy
A1  - Choi, Hyeungu
A1  - Fastook, Jim
A1  - Granzow, Glen
A1  - Greve, Ralf
A1  - Gutowski, Gail
A1  - Herzfeld, Ute
A1  - Jackson, Charles
A1  - Johnson, Jesse
A1  - Khroulev, Constantine
A1  - Levermann, Anders
A1  - Lipscomb, William H.
A1  - Martin, Maria A.
A1  - Morlighem, Mathieu
A1  - Parizek, Byron R.
A1  - Pollard, David
A1  - Price, Stephen F.
A1  - Ren, Diandong
A1  - Saito, Fuyuki
A1  - Sato, Tatsuru
A1  - Seddik, Hakime
A1  - Seroussi, Helene
A1  - Takahashi, Kunio
A1  - Walker, Ryan
A1  - Wang, Wei Li
T1  - Ice-sheet model sensitivities to environmental forcing and their use in projecting future sea level (the SeaRISE project)
T2  - Journal of glaciology
N2  - Ten ice-sheet models are used to study sensitivity of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to prescribed changes of surface mass balance, sub-ice-shelf melting and basal sliding. Results exhibit a large range in projected contributions to sea-level change. In most cases, the ice volume above flotation lost is linearly dependent on the strength of the forcing. Combinations of forcings can be closely approximated by linearly summing the contributions from single forcing experiments, suggesting that nonlinear feedbacks are modest. Our models indicate that Greenland is more sensitive than Antarctica to likely atmospheric changes in temperature and precipitation, while Antarctica is more sensitive to increased ice-shelf basal melting. An experiment approximating the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's RCP8.5 scenario produces additional first-century contributions to sea level of 22.3 and 8.1 cm from Greenland and Antarctica, respectively, with a range among models of 62 and 14 cm, respectively. By 200 years, projections increase to 53.2 and 26.7 cm, respectively, with ranges of 79 and 43 cm. Linear interpolation of the sensitivity results closely approximates these projections, revealing the relative contributions of the individual forcings on the combined volume change and suggesting that total ice-sheet response to complicated forcings over 200 years can be linearized.
Y1  - 2013
UR  - https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/35355
SN  - 0022-1430
VL  - 59
IS  - 214
SP  - 195
EP  - 224
PB  - International Glaciological Society
CY  - Cambridge
ER  -