TY  - UNPD
A1  - Ludolph, Lars
A1  - Šedová, Barbora
T1  - Global food prices, local weather and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa
T2  - CEPA Discussion Papers
N2  - In this paper, we study the effect of exogenous global crop price changes on migration from agricultural and non-agricultural households in Sub-Saharan Africa. We show that, similar to the effect of positive local weather shocks, the effect of a locally-relevant global crop price increase on household out-migration depends on the initial household wealth. Higher international producer prices relax the budget constraint of poor agricultural households and facilitate migration. The order of magnitude of a standardized price effect is approx. one third of the standardized effect of a local weather shock. Unlike positive weather shocks, which mostly facilitate internal rural-urban migration, positive income shocks through rising producer prices only increase migration to neighboring African countries, likely due to the simultaneous decrease in real income in nearby urban areas. Finally, we show that while higher producer prices induce conflict, conflict does not play a role for the household decision to send a member as a labor migrant.
T3  - CEPA Discussion Papers - 26 
KW  - labour migration
KW  - food prices
KW  - climate
KW  - Africa
Y1  - 2021
UR  - https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/49494
UR  - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-494946
SN  - 2628-653X
IS  - 26
ER  -