@article{MerzVorogushynLalletal.2015,
  author    = {Bruno Merz and Sergiy Vorogushyn and Upmanu Lall and Alberto Viglione and G{\"u}nter Bl{\"o}schl},
  title     = {Charting unknown waters-On the role of surprise in flood risk assessment and management},
  journal   = {Water resources research},
  volume    = {51},
  number    = {8},
  pages     = {6399 -- 6416},
  doi       = {10.1002/2015WR017464},
  year      = {2015},
}