TY  - JOUR
A1  - Jashari, Arbrie
A1  - Tiberius, Victor
A1  - Dabić, Marina
T1  - Tracing the progress of scenario research in business and management
T2  - Futures & foresight science
N2  - Business and management research on scenarios has been highly productive over the decades but led to a complex literature that is hard to oversee. To organize the field and identify distinguishable research clusters, we conducted a co-citation analysis focusing on the long-term history of research. We compare our findings with a previously published bibliographic coupling, focusing on the more recent research to trace its development over time. Our study revealed six research clusters: (1) Planning the Future with Scenarios, (2) Scenario Planning in Strategic Management, (3) Reinforcing the Scenario Technique, (4) Integration of Scenario Planning and MCDA, (5) Combination of Different Methods, and (6) Decision-making through Stochastic Programming, whereas the bibliographic coupling generated 11 clusters. Some former research clusters were divided into separate new clusters, while others were united. Additionally, completely new clusters emerged. Future research on scenarios is expected (1) to further differentiate into strategy and operations, (2) to be based on “behavioral futures” or “behavioral foresight” as a new research stream, (3) to advance the scenario technique methodically and include new specific scenario generation methods, and (4) to put forth new application areas.
KW  - bibliometric analysis
KW  - business research
KW  - co‐citation analysis
KW  - management
KW  - scenario
Y1  - 2021
UR  - https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/60910
SN  - 2573-5152
VL  - 4
IS  - 2
PB  - John Wiley & Sons
CY  - Hoboken, NJ
ER  -