@techreport{Nastansky2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Nastansky, Andreas}, title = {Gruppierung von Daten}, series = {Statistische Diskussionsbeitr{\"a}ge}, journal = {Statistische Diskussionsbeitr{\"a}ge}, number = {55}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-57272}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-572722}, pages = {26}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Dieser Beitrag beinhaltet einen Vergleich zwischen den Methoden der Topologischen Datenanalyse (TDA) und statistischen Clusterverfahren bei der Gruppierung von Daten. Es werden Gemeinsamkeiten und Unterschiede bei der Bildung der Cluster und Zuordnung der statistischen Einheiten identifiziert. Hierzu werden zwei empirische Datens{\"a}tze aus der Biologie und Medizin herangezogen. Zusammengefasst haben sich die Verfahren der TDA als ein praktikables Werkzeug bei der Gruppierung von Objekten erwiesen. Vor allem mit dem Mapper-Algorithmus konnten ad{\"a}quate Cluster erkannt werden. Beim Iris Flower-Datensatz hat die TDA {\"a}hnliche Ergebnisse wie die Clusteranalyse erzielt. Der Heart Disease-Datensatz war schwieriger zu behandeln. Die genutzten clusteranalytischen Verfahren waren nicht geeignet, die beiden Gruppen von Patienten korrekt zu identifizieren. Im Vergleich zu den Standardverfahren der Clusteranalyse zeigte sich eine leichte {\"U}berlegenheit der topologischen Verfahren.}, language = {de} } @techreport{KauffmannNastansky2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Kauffmann, Albrecht and Nastansky, Andreas}, title = {Regionale Mieten in Deutschland}, series = {Statistische Diskussionsbeitr{\"a}ge}, journal = {Statistische Diskussionsbeitr{\"a}ge}, number = {54}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-57274}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-572742}, pages = {44}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Untersucht werden die von BulwienGesa erhobenen und aufbereiteten jahresdurchschnittlichen Mieten von Wohnungen und die Relation des Wiederverkaufswertes von Eigentumswohnungen zu den Wohnungsmieten (Preis-Miet-Relation) in 401 kreisfreien St{\"a}dten und Landkreisen f{\"u}r die Jahre 2004-2017. Dabei zeigt sich bei den Wohnungsmieten eine Zunahme der regionalen Streuung im Zeitverlauf vor allem in der auf die Finanzkrise 2007-2009 folgenden Zeit. Bei der Preis-Miet-Relation nimmt die Streuung im Zeitverlauf ab 2010 ebenfalls zu. Im Durchschnitt der Regionen (Landkreise und kreisfreie St{\"a}dte) steigen {\"u}ber den gesamten Zeitabschnitt die Mieten und in der {\"u}berwiegenden Zahl der Regionen auch die Preis-Miet-Relation (allerdings erst ab 2010); sie entwickeln sich aber regional stark unterschiedlich. Dies f{\"u}hrt auch zur Zunahme der Variationskoeffizienten, also der relativen Streuung der regionalen Mieten und - ab 2010 - auch der regionalen Preis-Miet-Relationen. Dies deutet auf eine Zunahme der regionalen Disparit{\"a}ten in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland hin. Besondere Divergenzen zeigen sich zwischen den alten und den neuen Bundesl{\"a}ndern, wie auch zwischen prosperierenden kreisfreien St{\"a}dten und deren Umland und {\"o}konomisch schw{\"a}cheren St{\"a}dten und Landkreisen.}, language = {de} } @techreport{KalkuhlFlachslandKnopfetal.2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Kalkuhl, Matthias and Flachsland, Christian and Knopf, Brigitte and Amberg, Maximilian and Bergmann, Tobias and Kellner, Maximilian and St{\"u}ber, Sophia and Haywood, Luke and Roolfs, Christina and Edenhofer, Ottmar}, title = {Effects of the energy price crisis on households in Germany}, publisher = {Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) gGmbH}, address = {Berlin}, pages = {35}, year = {2022}, language = {en} } @techreport{KalkuhlFlachslandKnopfetal.2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Kalkuhl, Matthias and Flachsland, Christian and Knopf, Brigitte and Amberg, Maximilian and Bergmann, Tobias and Kellner, Maximilian and St{\"u}ber, Sophia and Haywood, Luke and Roolfs, Christina and Edenhofer, Ottmar}, title = {Auswirkungen der Energiepreiskrise auf Haushalte in Deutschland}, publisher = {Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) gGmbH}, address = {Berlin}, pages = {37}, year = {2022}, language = {de} } @techreport{SteckelMissbachOhlendorfetal.2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Steckel, Jan Christoph and Missbach, Leonard and Ohlendorf, Nils and Feindt, Simon and Kalkuhl, Matthias}, title = {Effects of the energy price crisis on European households}, publisher = {Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) gGmbH}, address = {Berlin}, pages = {30}, year = {2022}, language = {en} } @techreport{KellnerAmbergBergmannetal.2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Kellner, Maximilian and Amberg, Maximilian and Bergmann, Tobias and Roolfs, Christina and Kalkuhl, Matthias}, title = {Entlastungspakete f{\"u}r Energiepreisanstiege}, publisher = {Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) gGmbH}, address = {Berlin}, doi = {10.5281/zenodo.6617130}, pages = {23}, year = {2022}, language = {de} } @techreport{BlanzEydamHeinemannetal.2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Blanz, Alkis and Eydam, Ulrich and Heinemann, Maik and Kalkuhl, Matthias}, title = {Optimal carbon pricing with fluctuating energy prices — emission targeting vs. price targeting}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {51}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-56104}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-561049}, pages = {12}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Prices of primary energy commodities display marked fluctuations over time. Market-based climate policy instruments (e.g., emissions pricing) create incentives to reduce energy consumption by increasing the user cost of fossil energy. This raises the question of whether climate policy should respond to fluctuations in fossil energy prices? We study this question within an environmental dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (E-DSGE) model calibrated on the German economy. Our results indicate that the welfare implications of dynamic emissions pricing crucially depend on how the revenues are used. When revenues are fully absorbed, a reduction in emissions prices stabilizes the economy in response to energy price shocks. However, when revenues are at least partially recycled, a stable emissions price improves overall welfare. This result is robust to different modeling assumptions.}, language = {en} } @techreport{Schrauth2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Schrauth, Philipp}, title = {The Causal Effect of Cycling Infrastructure on Traffic and Accidents}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {48}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-55335}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-553359}, pages = {56}, year = {2022}, abstract = {This paper analyzes the effect of new bicycle lanes on traffic volume, congestion, and accidents. Crucially, the new bike lanes replace existing car lanes thereby reducing available space for motorized traffic. In order to obtain causal estimates, I exploit the quasi-random timing and location of the newly built cycle lanes. Using an event study design, a two-way fixed effects model and the synthetic control group method on geo-coded data, I show that the construction of pop-up bike lanes significantly reduced average car speed by 8 to 12 percentage points (p.p.) and up to 16 p.p. in peak traffic hours. In contrast, the results for car volume are modest, while the data does not allow for a conclusive judgment of accidents.}, language = {en} } @techreport{GohlSchrauth2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Gohl, Niklas and Schrauth, Philipp}, title = {Ticket to Paradise?}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {50}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-55846}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-558466}, pages = {20}, year = {2022}, abstract = {This paper provides novel evidence on the impact of public transport subsidies on air pollution. We obtain causal estimates by leveraging a unique policy intervention in Germany that temporarily reduced nationwide prices for regional public transport to a monthly flat rate price of 9 Euros. Us-ing DiD estimation strategies on air pollutant data, we show that this intervention causally reduced a benchmark air pollution index by more than six percent. Our results illustrate that public transport subsidies - especially in the context of spatially constrained cities - offer a viable alterna-tive for policymakers and city planers to improve air quality, which has been shown to crucially affect health outcomes.}, language = {en} } @techreport{CaliendoKritikosStier2022, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Caliendo, Marco and Kritikos, Alexander and Stier, Claudia}, title = {The Influence of Start-up Motivation on Entrepreneurial Performance}, series = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, journal = {CEPA Discussion Papers}, number = {59}, issn = {2628-653X}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-57115}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-571152}, pages = {43}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Predicting entrepreneurial development based on individual and business-related characteristics is a key objective of entrepreneurship research. In this context, we investigate whether the motives of becoming an entrepreneur influence the subsequent entrepreneurial development. In our analysis, we examine a broad range of business outcomes including survival and income, as well as job creation, expansion and innovation activities for up to 40 months after business formation. Using self-determination theory as conceptual background, we aggregate the start-up motives into a continuous motivational index. We show - based on a unique dataset of German start-ups from unemployment and non-unemployment - that the later business performance is better, the higher they score on this index. Effects are particularly strong for growth oriented outcomes like innovation and expansion activities. In a next step, we examine three underlying motivational categories that we term opportunity, career ambition, and necessity. We show that individuals driven by opportunity motives perform better in terms of innovation and business expansion activities, while career ambition is positively associated with survival, income, and the probability of hiring employees. All effects are robust to the inclusion of a large battery of covariates that are proven to be important determinants of entrepreneurial performance.}, language = {en} }